Rebane's Ruminations
November 2026
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  • George Rebane

    Sarah, the most recent addition to our little family, has now become the Great Black Hunter – well almost.  She arrived from the Animal Shelter with a case of the sniffles which was going around in the facility.  But a couple of trips to the vet took care of that with daily doses of antibiotic.  Then she became 200% kitten and you could hear Jo Ann and me regularly exclaim, ‘I forgot that they did that …’.  You see, our old black cat Leo turned 14 about three weeks ago, and his life has for some time passed at a more dignified and deliberate pace.

    Sarah was shown the great outdoors about a week ago and immediately climbed to the highest reaches of the bird-feeder ladened dogwood next to our porch.  In her enthusiasm she overshot the branches where the feeders are and had to discover how to come down backwards and then get off at the proper branch.  The birds were, of course, gone and Leo, looking on, could be heard to mumble something like, ‘You dummy, what’d you expect?.’

    Sarahturkeys

    Well, if you can’t get the small fast ones, thought Sarah, maybe I can nail a big one, a really big one.  Her opportunity came last night during the puu-puus and wine hour as we had some friends over for a little dinner party.  It seems that a flock of turkeys had landed in the yard opposite the porch and were busy making their usual mess scratching for seeds.  Little Sarah, assuming her best ground hugging stalk, was going to get one of those flying ‘heavies’. 

    As we all watched, she made it across the driveway thinking that no one had seen her.  Of course, all of them (about eight birds) had seen the little pipsqueak, and no one cared.  Even the two big toms in their normal guard positions looking down at this little bag of black fur didn’t so much as twitch a muscle as Sarah finally crawled quietly into the middle of the flock.  Have you ever seen a turkey gaze with disdain?

    Being literally a couple of feet from several birds, Sarah finally began to understand the scope of her undertaking.  Her plan was executed perfectly, but the intended target turned out to be, well, large.  She was clearly outclassed along every dimension, and worse, completely ignored by these dignified giants.  To save face, I guess, little Sarah then decided to just assume a more comfortable posture and lay there surrounded by turkeys going about their business.  We all know what she was thinking as she now calmly watched all the scratching and feeding going on around her, ‘The ones in the tree are small and fast, and these guys are big and scary, there must be something in the middle that I’ll be able manage after I grow a little; you just wait.’   

  • George Rebane

    Bush lied about Saddam’s nuclear program?  Well, according to the Associated Press, reported by no less liberal medium than MSNBC on 5 July 2008, Bush didn’t lie.  It turns out that 550 metric tons of Yellowcake_2 uranium bearing ‘yellowcake’ – you know, the stuff that Iran is now spinning the bejeezus out of to get weapons grade uranium – was confiscated by US troops in 2003 and subsequently shipped secretly to Canada.  It seems that it was Joe Wilson who lied about what he learned in Niger about Iraq’s interest in purchasing more yellowcake.  You can see the original post here.  But the point now is that this should have resulted in published media confessions of error here and in Europe – nothing.  This reminds me of Hillary’s Rose law firm billing records that mysteriously disappeared when needed by the special prosecutor working on the Clintons Arkansas sleaze case.  Then after the statute of limitation had run, the records mysteriously reappeared – according to Hillary – on a table in the middle of the presidential quarters in the White House.  Again, the ‘fair and balanced’ mainstream media noted it and dropped it.  My liberal friends have seen nothing special about such goings on and continue to maintain that ‘on the whole’ the MSM drives pretty much down the center of the road.

    The birthdays of Danny Pearl and Samar Kuntar reflect two sides of the human condition in the near and mid east.  Danny was murdered by Islamists for the crime of being a Jew while attempting to bring understanding to peoples separated by decades of hate and war.  Samar Kuntar is the unrepentant Jpearl_3 Arab psychopath and child-killer recently released by the Israelis whose gala birthday celebration in Lebanon was applauded and broadcast by Al-Jazeera.  Kuntar publicly stated that he intends to get back to his bloody business as soon as possible.  In the meanwhile Danny Pearl’s birthday has been celebrated by music festivals bringing together Arab and Jew to seek an alternative to the last six decades of conflict.  My friend Judea Pearl (Danny’s father and president of the Daniel Pearl Foundation pictured here) recently pointed out to me that Al-Jazeera is also unrepentant in its celebration of the murderer’s methods and message.  Such broadcasts go out daily to 50 million Arabs who in the large wholly agree with and abet the anti-Israeli and anti-western efforts of the Muslim terrorists.  And worse, they are picked up and reinforced by our own resident anti-Americans.  For more detail about both of these birthdays please read here and here.

    Toxic debt digested by taxpayers.  And finally, an email from friend, investor, and correspondent Tony Medler who sent me the following which I append with his permission.  “The current outrage over short sales and the concept that they must be banned to protect failing companies reminds of the history laid out in the Government’s management of Yellowstone Park.  They decided to eradicate all the wolves to protect the moose.  The moose population grew to extinction and, as a side benefit, all the beavers disappeared.  There should be a cartoon showing Bush and his cohorts gathered around making all these new regulations to “fix” the current problems.  On the horizon is a huge bank of black clouds with the title “unintended consequences”.  Free markets may cause pain at some times as excesses are corrected, but the Soviet Union showed what happens with total regulation.”

          

  • George Rebane

    The turmoil in the financial sector has resulted in insane markets that swing +/- 5% in a day.  Today’s massive sigh of relief was the result of the US Govt indicating that it will put in place an Paulson oversight institution (remember the Resolution Trust Corporation) to make sure that more big financial companies don’t go the way of Lehman, Bear Stearns, AIG … .  I have no idea why this was good news to the markets.  No pundit yet seems to have realized that what this will create is an entire sector of tens (hundreds?) of Fannie Maes and Freddie Macs that promise private profits and public (taxpayer) risk.  And if that will not be the case, then the regulatory machinery constructed by the government will be a de facto nationalization of our credit markets, making them as responsive as arthritic mammoths to the dynamic needs of global credit.  The prescient in Dubai who are now building the world’s tallest buildings as the centerpieces of their new international financial center will grab the golden ring.  The pulse of the planet will then be driven from where sand dunes were recently decorated with camel dung.

    The California Air Resources Board is about to put the last nail into the coffin of the late great commercial state of California – with added bonus that its example will spread across the rest of the land.  CARB has published its draft Scope Plan to implement the greenhouse emissions restrictions Co2foot passed into law under AB32.  My fellow blogger Russ Steele and I have been tracking the growth of this economic monster that promises to become the final arbiter of ALL land-use in the state.  We are now in the gnashing of teeth and rending of garment stage for this is how the rubber of the climate change hysteria will hit your Main Street.  I have read the operative pieces of the Scope Plan and it has left me limp.  It claims that the plan’s implementation will actually do everything from stimulating California’s sagging economy, while creating more jobs for those without saleable skills, to curing toenail fungus.  The document itself was written for people with long-departed or congenitally absent critical thinking skills.  Its reasoning climbs a rickety scaffold firmly anchored, at best, to tenuous or absolutely unfounded “scientific” bases that are presented as revealed and received truth.  Its first target audience is the gaggle of functional idiots in the California legislature who will be charged with explaining it to their flocks when they return to their home districts.  I remind you, dear Reader, that no matter where you live in this yet bountiful land, the evil twin of AB32 will rise up in your state unless a stake is driven through its heart here in La-La-Land.  Given an ample supply of Dramamine, we will have more detail on the ludicrous errors of the Scope Plan in future postings.  You may here edify yourself from its original text.
       

     

  • George Rebane

    California is trying to come up with a budget that will fill a $15 billion budget shortfall.  The battle lines are the same ol’ same ol’ ones we have witnessed so many times before.  The voters are of little help in this mess since we stopped teaching civics in high school at least a generation or so ago.  Everyone now believes that state and federal economies react instantly to the whims of the person in the Governor’s Mansion or the White House.  Legislatures are therefore dominated by the same high-sounding scoundrels as always.

    In Sacramento the Left wants to pay for its vote-buying programs by again increasing the share of taxes paid by the well-to-do minority.  This means not growing the pie, but just squeezing more out of their Personal_income_2 traditional class enemies.  The Right wants to pay for its vote-buying programs by growing the pie with lower tax rates which, history shows, do generate more government revenues.  But what to do now that less than half the population pays taxes on any kind of productive activity?

    The Left are the dominant vote buyers in states such as New York and California.  They do it by using the tax and bribe programs of the populist kind that follow the Peter-Paul Principle.  This means that they take government revenues to fashion social programs and ‘worker benefit’ laws that overwhelmingly don’t work, yet can be easily sold to the sheep who get dumber with each shearing.

    The Right fights for lower taxes for the individuals, but somehow still manages to work in corporate welfare programs.  In fact, this and pork (i.e. ‘earmarks’) are the ONLY areas of legislation in which the Left and Right are seen to reliably reach across the aisle year after year.  The Right has a harder job of convincing the voter in these dust-ups because it has to attempt using reason which is an early casualty in any election season.  The Left, unencumbered by such rigors, goes directly for the class warfare arguments – ‘Those sumbiches already have too much and are making too much which they take right out of your pockets, and, if you vote for me, I aim to get some of it back for you.’  What’s not to like?

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  • George Rebane

    “Will your “leaders” simply shrug or will they learn from the crash of Vallejo?”  So starts the latest of a series of timely posts on unfunded and unreported liabilities by Mike McDaniel on the SESF blog.  Mike has been uncovering such unfunded and unreported liabilities currently burdening the Nevada County Nevcounty jurisdictions for retirement and health benefits due their staffs.  With the impending release of the most recent CalPERS data, a number of ‘other shoes’ are about to drop that will shed more light on the fiscal viability of California’s cities and counties including our own.

    I recently had lunch with a local public finance maven, and we talked about the history of shenanigans that have gone down, most completely out of the public eye.  There appears to be a situation in place across the state which is best characterized by what Garrett Hardin taught us as the ‘Tragedy of the Commons’ (see Numeracy Nugget #2 ).  And when the pools of public employee benefits – which are a type of ‘commons’ – start unraveling, it will not be a pretty sight.

    We will see that the denials – coming right down to the declarations of municipal and county bankruptcies – will sound a lot like the denials we have heard (and continue to hear) from the subprime disasters now cascading through the financial institutions.  A good place to stick your ear to the ground is right here in Nevada County, and we’re not even in the worst shape when you look up and down the state.  To be fair, a lot of the denials have been and will continue to be professed in all sincerity, because the individual situations are complex tangles of cross-purposed funds, arcane state regulations, and budget accounting (or lack thereof).

    I urge you to continue reading Mike’s posts in the coming weeks, and ask your own questions of our electeds.

  • [gjr – Lauren Lund submitted this piece in response to my report on yesterday’s BoS meeting.  While I constrained my remarks to process and format, Lauren expands her scope to also include the content of the newly adopted Safety Element of county’s General Plan.]

    Lauren Lund

    George, you are not alone in thinking the 9/9/08 Board of Supervisors (BOS) meeting was bizarre.  It was more than bizarre.  CABPRO plus others thought it illogical, maybe even a flip-flop in attitude by the BOS.

    Qmarks Bizarre:  1- Extreme confusion of language throughout the updated Safety Element (SE) was left as is with only a glossary suggested as a remedy. 

    2- The BOS approving the SE, which is a recognized policy document, but allowing it to remain loaded with wording like “guidelines” and “recommendations” for extreme environmentalist elements that they formerly said should be removed to an educational document. 

    3- Also bizarre, how our “conservative” BOS would default to attitudes such as “this is the best we can expect for now,” or “let’s just get on with this,” and therein approve a document that any liberal environmentalist would be pleased to set their name to.

    Illogical:  1- The BOS were on record at two different BOS meetings in the Spring of 2008, saying they wanted clarity between what are mandated/regulatory fire safety standards versus what are environmentalist recommendations.  Then, illogically, they chose to breeze past the fact that no such clarifications were made or documented in the updated SE. Was there some flip-flop? 

    2- Illogically, one Supervisor tried to spin the clarification issue as a matter of property rights versus following mandated clearing regulations. Huh?  What did that have to do with anything?  Nobody at this meeting was quibbling over known state and county mandates.  Of course we care about fire safety and obeying safety laws that are truly laws. 

    3- However, one County staff person did offer a minimal table separating County mandates from State mandates, but illogically, this table still did not provide the repeatedly requested clarification between mandates and recommendations. 

    4- Also, illogically, the BOS determined that staff’s table of County versus State mandated regulations should go into the yet unwritten educational document, but not into the SE policy document.  And thanks George. I am aware that your own excellent work of clarifying the mandated regulations from environmentalist recommendations in your professionally done, clearly labeled, and easily understood table, helped the BOS and staff to finally included something along this line.  Now, if they would only put your table in the policy document, then citizens and staff looking for policy would find these distinctions clearly spelled out.

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  • George Rebane

    I witnessed a bizarre Board of Supervisors meeting this afternoon to consider and adopt the new Safety Element of the county’s General Plan that may be passed off as the county’s new fire plan.  But then, I was the only one who thought it was bizarre.  Not to string you along, the Supes wound up approving the draft Safety Element as wordsmithed during the meeting (more here).  The whole gathering demonstrated again that, even with well-meaning people in Fireplancharge, government is an institution whose involvement in your life you want to minimize.  And the most effective method of doing that is to give them as little money as possible, because it takes money for them to mess with you.

    To understand the current go-around about wildfire safety, you have to go back a couple of years when we had what can now be labeled as the ‘Old NC Fire Plan’.  BTW, it was confirmed again today that government, at the levels of the electeds and staff, are not big fans of clarity.  Some wags explain this by saying that clearing up confusions is one of the few things that gives purpose and meaning to what goes on under these mighty “domes of knowledge” (inappropriately borrowed from Supervisor Ted Owens since the Rood Center has no dome).  No one in government seems to understand or want to give definite labels to specific notions, documents, processes, etc so that they can be talked about without confusion.  Going to law school also removes the clarification gene from your body, and replaces it with the billable hours gene.

    So the Old NC Fire Plan (Old NCFP) gave up most of its provisions (things you had to do) to the current revision of the Safety Element of the General Plan (SEGP).  And our Supes made sure that the old NCFP had its teeth pulled and claws trimmed before becoming part of the SEGP.  So far so good.  Then it turned out that no one really understood what was going to replace the old NCFP, if anything.  The situation is confusing enough to point out the need for, of all things, an “Educational Document” wherein staff would attempt to clarify what was in the adopted SEGP.  This itself was cause for a little humor because some in the Rood Center had maintained that the SEGP documents were already clear enough and needed no clarification.  So the next thing coming out of Steve DeCamp’s CDA shop will be the unneeded Educational Document to clarify the already clear.  My hand scrawled figure tries to make a picture of this sequence of paperwork.

    The question that now remains is ‘Is there going to be a new Nevada County Fire Plan (New NCFP) to replace the old NCFP?’   This is not an idle question because insurance companies keep a sharp eye out for such documents when deciding on the insurability of property owners, and there already exist other special fire safe plans for certain regions of our county that refer to a NCFP.  And finally, the Supes themselves want to avoid the vacuum created by removing the old NCFP and replacing it with nothing.

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  • Mike McDaniel

    What is the long term fate of American Real Estate?

    Today’s announcement that the US government has seized both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae from the brink of disaster was immediately met with more questions than answers.  Perhaps the most interesting Upsidehouse_2 question for discussion purposes is… what does Real Estate in the USA look like 5, 10, 20 years from now?   Will we be applying for mortgage loans at the Social Security department or will the Feds delegate this activity to each state’s DMV office?  Will Freddie and Fannie be publicly traded ever again?  Will mortgage rates be manipulated for each general election from here ’til eternity?   

    The USA is currently being squashed by debt (sorry to state the obvious).  We borrow from “saver countries” like Japan and China (they buy our treasuries).  One solution that was mentioned to the Freddie/Fannie fiasco was the piecemeal sale of each company’s assets.  The risk of this “solution” is the fact that the only buyers are, you guessed it, “saver countries.”  Should the USA let the majority of our country’s mortgage loans be bought by foreign investors and sovereign wealth funds? Selling off 2 government sponsored enterprises in broad daylight is not a viable political option.

    The federal prescription/bailout of Freddie/Fannie is the most politically viable option, which allows the USA to sell the assets to foreign countries under the cover of night (the USA prints money and sells the treasuries to foreign investors and sovereign wealth funds).  Perhaps most importantly, the USA lives to leverage another day without taxpayers giving it another thought.

    [gjr]  Mike McDaniel is the principal of McDaniel Wealth Management.  His timely senitments are expanded by markets analyst Jim Willie whose writings over the recent years have been prescient.  Willie’s 8sep08 contribution can be found here.   

  • George Rebane

    Here are a couple of links worth a peek.  The first one is a well done adaptation of Thomas Paine speaking to a few of the more outrageous viewpoints some in this country hold on the make-up, values, and governance of American society.  You can view it here.

    RepubdemThe second one is a collection of dated video clips of statements leading up to and the start of the Iraq war made by various nationally known Democratic politicians.  We all know what they are saying now, but the past can get a little hazy.  You can view it here.

    A while ago I was asked what’s on the mind of business owners in Nevada County.  I said, first ‘How do I meet my next payroll?’, and second ‘How can I get my business out of Nevada County?’  This went over like the proverbial bout of flatulence in church.  But in reality the problem is even worse than that.  Our socialist electeds in Sacramento have made the entire state a pariah for business.  Here’s the latest ranking of business climate polled from thousands of CEOs – you know, the guys/gals actually responsible for making a business work – by the Development Counselors International who have been doing this for ten years now.  And the abbreviated list from best to absolute worst – the envelope please …

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  • George Rebane

    Next Tuesday, 9sep08, our Supervisors are planning on having the last discussion and public input for the current revision of the Safety Element of the Nevada County General Plan (also known to many as Forestfire the ‘Fire Plan’ or ‘Fire Safe Plan’. But do not be confused, this is NOT the Nevada County Fire Plan).  If the Board accepts the staff’s revision, then the “policy side” of fire planning will be concluded.  We remember that the policy side is what dictates the ultimate regulations that we citizens of the unincorporated areas must abide by.  The meeting will also be the last scheduled opportunity for public input on this important element of the General Plan.

    It has been a long process to get to this point which does not need rehashing here.  My own assessment is that the Board of Supervisors did a good job in keeping things safe and sane on the regulatory impact.  For those of you who have not kept up to date with this sometimes convoluted series of events, I do want to provide some ‘cut to the chase’ materials so that you’ll be up to date whether or not you attend next Tuesday’s BoS meeting.

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