Rebane's Ruminations
November 2026
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  • George Rebane

    TruckSign It is very clear that the rock apes are in charge of the zoo we call Washington DC, and the BS continues to flow across the land repeating the screed that free market capitalism is no longer working.  Everybody except the Hopeful Change Democrats are to blame for the current financial crisis.  In the docket remains former President Bush who is accused of starting this recession single-handedly with perhaps a little help from the greedy capitalists on Wall Street.  Anyone who points out the almost thirty years of the government’s distortion of the American housing market is put into a pen with the other unrepentant “ideologues” who are beyond help.  For a quick review of some history, please see this. 

    (Quiz for the well-grounded reader – why is this evidence not referenced every time Congress tries to put blame someplace else?  What equivalent evidence exists for the charge that Bush and company hindered government oversight of the financial industry starting with GSEs like Fannie and Freddie?)

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    LucasBasketball The good looking kid in the picture with the ball?  Well, that’s my 15-year-old freshman grandson playing on his high school’s varsity basketball team.  They just clinched their division championship and are now looking forward to the league playoffs.  Jo Ann and I were up in the Seattle area over the weekend catching up on the Northern Tribe grandkids’ sporting events.  The young stud is about my height (6’4”) with feet to match (size 15), and eats cool pills for breakfast.  He’s got a few more years of growing left.  Thought I’d exercise a bit of grandpa’s privilege and brag a mite.

    [8feb09 update]  Well, I have to add this link to a short youtube video of grandson Lucas (33) putting up the rebound to score the winning basket of a subsequent big game. (If you have the bandwidth, click the HD option for replay)  They were a point behind and played a nerve-wracking delay game to eat up the clock for a last second attempt at the winning basket.  The planned shot missed, but leaping Lucas was there to snag the ball and put it in before touching the ground with 0.1 second left on the clock (marvels of modern slo-mo technology to adjudicate these things.  Back in my day, there'd been three opinions of what actually happened, and we'd be arguing about it to this day).  

  • George Rebane

    Singularity

    Financial Times reports that NASA and Google are co-sponsoring a new university to begin formal studies of the Singularity.  Through this blog’s Singularity Signposts section, RR readers have been apprised of this unique and epochal event toward which the human race is careening with ever increasing speed.  Now we learn that –

    Google and NASA are throwing their weight behind a new school for futurists in Silicon Valley to prepare scientists for an era when machines become cleverer than people.
     
    The new institution, known as “Singularity University”, is to be headed by Ray Kurzweil, whose predictions about the exponential pace of technological change have made him a controversial figure in technology circles.

    Google and NASA’s backing demonstrates the growing mainstream acceptance of Mr Kurzweil’s views, which include a claim that before the middle of this century artificial intelligence will outstrip human beings, ushering in a new era of civilization.
     
    To be housed at NASA’s Ames Research Center, a stone’s-throw from the Googleplex, the Singularity University will offer courses on biotechnology, nano-technology and artificial intelligence.

    Our political leaders have been totally ignorant of the Singularity and the forces that this will unleash in the realm of human affairs.  The MSM has been behind the curve as usual, attempting to discover the future through its own cracked rear view mirror.  Perhaps the founding of this new institution will be a wake-up call as to how we should interpret and react to events leading up to the Singularity.  In the end, it does not matter.

    Some readers have been puzzled by the masthead statement of this blog – ‘Observations and interpretations of events from the last great century of Man.’  I sincerely hope that this announcement will serve to clarify the real adventure upon which we are all now embarked.   

  • George Rebane

    [This little note was written on 1 February 2009 in Woodinville, Washington where we were visiting our ‘Northern Tribe’ to attend our grandkids’ sporting events before taking part in that great American tradition, the SuperBowl party repeated in millions of homes across the country.]

    DowntheToilet The socialist season is now officially in full swing.  Despite our left-wing rejecting the ‘socialist’ label as perhaps too revealing of the grand plan now in progress, a spade is nevertheless starting to be called a spade by world leaders.  Australia’s prime minister Kevin Rudd is about to publish an article calling for the end of the “bankrupt” experiment with market capitalism and the start of a world wide “social democracy”.  Rudd, a social democrat, takes great joy in this prospect as he acknowledges that the United States has now finally elected a fellow social democrat as its President.

    As the nationalization of our nanny state picks up speed, Obama and the Congress are ramming through the next $800B (or is it now up to $900B) economic stimulus.  This piece of social legislation is made up of at least 40% of direct transfer payments to traditionally Democrat voters, an all-time record of pork barrel projects stimulating only the chances of their sponsors’ re-elections, and less than 20% of monies that have any chance of getting their shovels ready before the 2010 elections.  You can bet the ranch that two years from now the economy will still be struggling to get out from under so much government help.  And it will all be laid on the doorstep of failed Bush policies and the final indictment of market capitalism.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    [This post is actually the continuation of a magnificent comment thread that started in response to ‘McClintock Visits Nevada County’.  That thread became an examination and debate between the economic policies of the Right and Left, especially in the context of what is happening today in Washington with the seeming sea change of the government’s launch of a stream of ‘stimulus’ packages that appear to be dysfunctional for their intended purpose, and have no foreseeable end in their issue.  All of this may be viewed as a hearteningly civil discourse that seeks to build a workable bridge, or understand why one is not possible, between our country’s contending political philosophies.]

    RedBlueCounties

    … Finally in extension and with the intent of starting a new thread, we come to sovereign nation states and protectionism.  As this blog testifies, I am a proponent of retaining the plurality of nations and cultures which survive in their own homelands, and die/transform rapidly when forced into multi-cultural confines.  From such sustainable diversity come good and competitive ideas for governance, technology, arts, etc.  Yet I am also for free trade between nations – let all who can, offer what they can at the best value.  But sovereignty becomes meaningless to a nation state (as it has to many countries today) when it cannot generate a certain critical mass/collection of goods and services internally. 

    The last exercises of sovereignty, that even the smallest countries can apply, always take the form of protecting some critical/strategic domestic supplier(s) from ‘unfair’ foreign competition.  These notions of international diversity and integration of commerce contend with each other (witness the rapid spread of the financial crisis).  I have yet to discover a rule set or algorithm to apply on to where/how to draw the reasonable line.  And drawing the line is important because protectionism, seen from the inside, is the siamese twin of welfare.  But as soon as we start national welfare programs in all their various shades, the mangling of the country’s original political structure and social order cannot help but follow, and its resulting form is never as intended.  America is Exhibit A.

    Does anyone have a recommended approach over our present form of making laws and sausages that would halt the growing schism between the Right and Left?

  • George Rebane

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    This ad is running in a major newspaper near you.  For a readable version, please click here.

  • George Rebane

    Hockeystick James Hansen, the NASA scientist responsible for most of the so-called computer modeling behind the global warming scare, has been publicly rebuked by his former boss Dr. John Theon, now retired.  I would be remiss if I didn’t pick up this important development for RR readers since the MSM may never make much of it.

    Dr. Theon is among the growing throng of scientists who reject the half-baked theories of manmade global warming.  This global hysteria has been exposed now for several years by many investigators who examined all aspects of the UN IPCC report that is the main basis for continuing to cause all the excitement.

    Locally bloggers Anthony Watts and Russ Steele have been the stalwarts in keeping their readers up to date on the latest science that debunks the IPCC conclusions.  (see their blogs for more details)

    Now the question is when will the politicians in Washington and Sacramento, who never did and still don’t understand climate change, come to their senses and start rolling back travesties like the Lieberman-Warner legislation of the feds and California’s AB32, both of which promise to devastate our economy – as if that can stand more devastation.  There is a lot of damage to undo if we are to dodge this bullet.

    You can help, let your voice be heard.

  • George Rebane

    To keep track of what our socialist brethren in the country are saying, I visit sites like truthout.org.  One of the Left’s champion commentators is economist Dean Baker who writes ‘The Anti-Stimulus Crowd Blows a Gasket’ .  I cannot claim that I understand any of Baker’s logic or development, it comes from a universe I have spent my lifetime studying, and subsequently unsuccessfully avoiding.

    Now it looks like we are all fated to ride the train of Team Obama into a socialist future that even they are unabashedly giving the redux label of ‘New Deal’.  The Right has no goods to sell on this train, their only hope is that people see sooner than later that it’s headed in the wrong direction.  But given examples like the mindless support that AB32 (California’s greenhouse gas law) continues to draw, there is little hope of that.

    [update – to those concerned that “mindless” is perhaps too strong of an adjective, please check out the long list of analyses at the Institute for Energy Research site on the cost of the federal Lieberman-Warner climate change legislation that California’s AB32 seeks to trump in its implementation.  Especially revealing is the SAIC study done for the National Association of Manufacturers.  Hat tip to Russ Steele on NCMW for sending me this cost analysis.]

    Perhaps the only chance of some redemption lies in Baker’s own prescription of how long it will take for Team Obama to succeed.  He states that

    The anti-stimulus crowd is getting desperate. The possibility that a young charismatic new president will push through an ambitious package that begins to set the economy right is truly terrifying to this crew. After all, if the economy begins to turn around and has largely recovered in three or four years, the Republican leadership can look forward to spending most of their careers in the political wilderness. (Emphasis mine)

    BakerBook ‘Three or four years’, ‘largely recovered’ (!?) seem to me admissions that the Dems are going to wander in the woods for a while before coming to the tunnel with the light at the other end.  Last I looked, there will be an election in 2010.  And if we are still in the full bloom of a recession, someone may notice.  The problem is that by that time we will be used to getting our semi-annual Vote Democratic (aka ‘stimulus’) checks.  At least those of us who can reliably be counted on to vote socialist will get their checks and tax rebates.

    The Republicans don’t yet have a plan on how to communicate to the voters a solution to this prolonged economic travesty.  It’s not even clear that such a concept can be communicated to the very large, pre-educated segment of the electorate, especially when your message is that you have to retrain yourself to regain your relevance in the new workplace.  It’s hard to embrace that kind of responsibility when the Left is saying, ‘Pay no mind, just look at the checks you’ve been getting, and here’s a nice new government job waiting for you, all paid for by the coddled rich.’

    Oh, in case you’re confused about the ‘coddled rich’ part, Dean Baker also has that sorted out for you in his new book The Conservative Nanny State.  And here is the part that I really worry about – Baker has a point.  We all know that the big corporate rich have received their share of government coddling.  And while the Dems try to uncoddle those people, the successful entrepreneurs and wannabes – those who risk in creating our new technologies, industries, and jobs – will be swept along and made to pay through the nose as we all sink into the suffocating sameness of a socialist sunset.

  • George Rebane

    Here’s another ‘you can’t just do ONE thing’ development.  MIT recently announced (here) that

    Researchers in MIT’s Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (CSAIL) are working on a better way to handle supplies in a war zone: a semi-autonomous forklift that can be directed by people safely away from the dangers of the site.

    RoboForklift Well, that all seems like a good idea.  That little puppy pictured nearby will learn the layout of warehouses and loading docks, and then accept high-level directions (‘Unload truck from Dock 7 and stack pallets in Warehouse 3 Sector 19.’) to do its job.  Most of you are already ahead of me – how long until such operations become common in more peaceful environments stateside?  And what do we do with the people who used to earn a good living driving these things?  Many (most?) of these people cannot be retrained for jobs that successfully (pay per performance) compete with machines in other sectors of the economy. 

    As we approach the Singularity, such technological advances will permanently displace workers with limited abilities to learn more sophisticated skills.  The smart machines are pushing us out of our traditional workplaces more rapidly than ever.  And no one should dream on about this just happening to a few workers out there with ‘learning disabilities’.  We’re talking about tens of millions of more Americans who will soon be looking to the government to sustain them in one way or another – the operational word here is ‘more’.  No one today seems to want to think about this Singularity signpost very much.   

  • George Rebane

    LegalTies(David Kline) Today President Obama’s call for “a new era of responsibility” is stillborn.  Most well-read people have known for some decades now that we have tied ourselves into legal knots that kill the spirit of initiative and freedom.  Lawyer Philip Howard (chair of Common Good) in today’s WSJ writes ‘How Modern Law Makes Us Powerless’  – it is definitely worth a read before we suffer our next ‘Well, there ought to be a law …’ reflex response to some problem we hear about.

    Regarding the immediate implications of our laws and lawyers dilemma, Howard writes

    Here we stand, facing the worst economy since the Great Depression, and Americans no longer feel free to do anything about it. We have lost the idea, at every level of social life, that people can grab hold of a problem and fix it. Defensiveness has swept across the country like a cold wave. We have become a culture of rule followers, trained to frame every solution in terms of existing law or possible legal risk. The person of responsibility is replaced by the person of caution. When in doubt, don’t.

    And our concept of freedom has become atrophied in that “(w)e think of freedom as political freedom. We’re certainly free to live and work where we want, and to pull the lever in the ballot box. But freedom should also include the power of personal conviction and the authority to use your common sense.”

    The real problem comes down to “(t)he overlay of law on daily choices (that) destroys the human instinct needed to get things done. Bureaucracy can’t teach. Rules don’t make things happen. Accomplishment is personal. Anyone who has felt the pride of a job well done knows this.”

    As a start to fixing things, we must restructure law to “affirmatively define an area free from legal interference.”  But that will be no simple task.

    Reviving the can-do spirit that made America great requires a legal overhaul of historic dimension. We must scrape away decades of accumulated legal sediment and replace it with coherent legal goals and authority mechanisms, designed to affirmatively protect individual freedom in daily choices. “A little rebellion now and then is a good thing,” Thomas Jefferson wrote to James Madison, “and as necessary in the political world as storms are in the physical . . . .” The goal is not to change our public goals. The goal is make it possible for free citizens to achieve them.  (Emphasis mine)

7 comments on BS FOB DC (updated)