George Rebane
George Friedman’s much anticipated book came out a couple of weeks ago. I was on Amazon’s waiting list for it, and got it almost instantly. RR readers will recognize Friedman as the founder and editor-in-chief of Stratfor, the prestigious private intelligence service on all the important happenings in the world. Along with the White House, I am a Stratfor subscriber 😉
The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century is a fascinating book on a number of counts, and also a bit of a disappointment. Let me say from the outset, this book is definitely worth a read. If you get nothing else from his prognostications, you do get a thorough summary of the last two century’s geopolitical history of the world. And thrown in are the geopolitical interests and strategies of the major nation-states on the world’s stage. Friedman quickly makes and substantiates the point that for each nation-state such interests and strategies are classical in the sense that they endure with time and through many regimes and types of governance. Reviewing a country’s history and its current actions in that light brings a new and useful perspective to a student of geopolitics.
For example, Friedman points out that we are a young and “barbaric” country, and contrary to what we have been told about America’s century being over, this will actually be the century of the “American Age”. We learn that America is and will remain for the next hundred years the asymmetric behemoth of world power. America’s interest is to maintain this position through a strategy of destabilizing any coalition of countries that forms to challenge America’s primacy. America will do this using both its economic and military power. The strategy does not require us to win wars, in the old sense, merely to play our challengers down to an expensive draw where they can no longer afford to challenge us. This has been our strategy since the end of WW2 as most clearly illustrated by the history of the Cold War. However, our citizenry does not understand this, which leads to all kinds of opportunities for our politicians to pander the conveniently ignorant.










