Rebane's Ruminations
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  • George Rebane

    Debt is an injustice imposed on borrowers by greedy lenders who do not deserve to be repaid – from the liberal mind.

    Forbes has identified eleven states that are in an economic “death spiral”.  These are the pictured states whose taker/maker ratios equal or exceed 1.00, states where takers are the government employees and welfare recipients, and makers are those who are taxed to pay for the takers.

    TakerMakerMap
    This list of shame reads New Mexico 1.53, Mississippi 1.49, California 1.39, Alabama 1.10, Maine 1.07, New York 1.07, South Carolina 1.06, Kentucky 1.05, Illinois 1.03, Hawaii 1.02, and Ohio 1.00.  From this we see that California has 1.39 takers for every diminishing maker in the state.  [H/T to regular reader for the heads up on this.]

    Victor Davis Hanson is keeping a stiff upper lip as he reports the goings on in the once golden state.

    Not just in its finances but almost wherever you look, the state’s vital signs are dipping. The average unemployment rate hovers above 10 percent. In the reading and math tests administered by the National Assessment of Educational Progress, California students rank near the bottom of the country, though their teachers earn far more than the average American teacher does. California’s penal system is the largest in the United States, with more than 165,000 inmates. Some studies estimate that the state prisons and county jails house more than 30,000 illegal aliens at a cost of $1 billion or more each year. Speaking of which: California has the nation’s largest population of illegal aliens, on whom it spends an estimated $10 billion annually in entitlements. The illegals also deprive the Golden State’s economy of billions of dollars every year by sending remittances to Latin America.

    For those wanting more than a little depth on this entire issue, Nicholas Eberstadt has written an analysis that pulls together the magnitude of the disease our country is afflicted with in his A Nation of Takers – America’s Entitlements Epidemic (2012).

    The government statistics he quotes that document our behavior over the last 50 years or so are devastating.  Many of them have also been presented on RR, and, of course, duly rejected by our leftwing neighbors.  Eberstadt cites that 98% of Americans over 65 receive SS and Medicare payments. But what is more shocking is that in 1960 only 0.65% of 18-64 year olds were receiving SS disability payments, and that number today has swollen to almost 6%.  And well over a third of these are getting checks for “musculoskeletal and connective tissue” maladies and “mood disorders” – clearly the nation has discovered and is exploiting a new commons and getting while the getting is good.

    The problem, it appears, is that once the government spigot is put in place and turned on, there is little chance of stopping people from demanding more spigots flowing at ever greater rates.  Contributor to the book, Yuval Levin notes that “Liberal democracy has always depended upon a kind of person it does not produce.”  These stark factors that now describe the landscape of American propensities have formed the basis of my own established assessment that we are beyond the tipping point that forebodes failure in the great experiment of our ability to govern ourselves.  And by no means is this a solitary vision of our future.

    Meanwhile the looney Left denies all of this, and with supermajorities in both houses in Sacramento, you ain’t seen nothing yet when it comes to taxing and regulating the state’s Makers.

     

     

  • George Rebane

    ConstitutionBit by piece America’s Left is unraveling the role of our Constitution as the foundation of our country’s governance.  Undoing the legacy of our Founders has now progressed from dancing the progressives’ constitutional sidestep to a growing chorus of calls to do away with the Constitution altogether – a document they see filled with “evil provisions” that has long held us in “bondage”.  This is the conclusion that constitutional law professor Louis Seidman presented in his 30dec12 NYT op-ed ‘Let’s Give Up on the Constitution’.

    And I don’t think that Seidman is the only academic who has been denigrating the Constitution in our halls of ivy.  Progressives have correctly concluded that the Constitution does stand squarely in the way of their desire to fundamentally transform America into the next attempt at a socialist paradise.  So, as Seidman, they claim that it is the restrictions of our Constitution that have caused everything from our dire fiscal cliffs (yes, plural) to the heartbreak of psoriasis.

    While agreeing that certain parts of the Constitution need to be retained, Seidman advises that we can govern ourselves through some TBD ad hoc process that we make up as we go along.  He claims that “(our) obsession with the Constitution has saddled us with a dysfunctional political system, kept us from debating the merits of divisive issues and inflamed our public discourse”, and asks us to “imagine that after careful study a government official — say, the president or one of the party leaders in Congress — reaches a considered judgment that a particular course of action is best for the country.”  Should such judgments and courses of action be then reviewed in light of the Constitution?  Absolutely not, according to this prominent maven of constitutional law.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    Economist_5jan13The banner of socialism still can’t be unfurled over the world’s newest socialist country, but I don’t think it will take much more time before the new generation will accept the label.  The national Left is bursting with pride with its victories in the bag and more on the way.  Everything is falling into place, from Agenda21 to “millionaires and billionaires” finally “paying their fair share” (see below).  Only in backwoods locales like Nevada County is there still some resistance from the collectivist choral society as they deny the advent of socialism in America, a progress which is now apparent worldwide.  Even Republicans appear to have thrown in the towel because they have to attract the youth, homosexuals, women, Latinos, lame, infirm, union members, retirees, …, don’t they?  And promising all the sheeple an ice cream cone is the demonstrated sure fire way to do it – so climb aboard.

    Congressional prudence got another kick in the hind end as the pork prone politicians started hollering about the House not passing the bacon ladened $60B Sandy Aid Bill that in passing also included a little aid to the storm victims.  It was expected that the looney Left would knot their undies over this, but people like Gov Christie bulging his veins was a bit much.  The House did pass a real $9.7B aid bill, and will forward additional aid once it can be assured that it won’t be used to solyndrize a few more favorite companies on Obama’s list.

    But that was nothing compared to what hit us with the fiscal cliff bill.  Now that the Pelosi Principle has been applied, that new tax law, with its added ‘crony capitalist blowout’, framed the new year’s most audacious ladle full of bullshit yet to come from the mouth of this president.  Lauding the bill, the Big O called for “further reforms to our tax code so that the wealthiest corporations and individuals can’t take advantage of loopholes and deductionas that aren’t available to most Americans.”  (emphasis mine)  This new tax law increased taxes on everyone, is chuck full of loopholes and deductions to the wealthiest and the select cronies in the corporate world, and added more complications to a tax code that is already the world’s laughing stock.  The 3jan13 WSJ provides an excellent summary of this offal.

    PJ Media reports on the initiative to replace teaching the classics with lessons highlighting the latest government propaganda.  Those busy little socialist beavers are just gnawing away at the remnants of the education part in ‘public education’.  Something is ‘classic’ if it endures with time.  And western culture and traditions have apparently endured long enough in the American mind – another part of the ongoing fundamental transformation.

    President Obama has now come out of the closet with his ‘take no prisoners’ approach to negotiations.  Along the way he has adopted the simple and direct strategy made famous by Samuel Gompers, national labor leader during the first half of the 20th century.   Going into union contract negotiations, Gompers was asked by reporters what he was going to ask for.  “More!” was his reply.  With Harry in the Senate, we are reminded way back when of Tennessee Ernie Ford singing, ‘If the Left one won’t a get you, then the Left one will.’  So now what’s a Republican to do?

    Finally, we note the celebratory tone of progressives telling the country that Congress is now beginning to look more and more like America.  These astute observers of the Left are, of course, on the mark.  Translating the statistics from the Dept of Education, we can easily accept that half of them have two-digit IQs, 40% are functionally illiterate, almost all are totally innumerate, and only about one in twenty can reliably determine the intent of a written paragraph.  We presume that their staffs and the lobbyists who write their multi-thousand page bills have their elevators going to higher floors no matter the perfidy of their produce.

    [7jan13 update]  Krugman the Keynesian has joined the $1T coin chorus.  You know, where the Fed stamps a platinum coin of the realm putatively worth $1T, and uses it to fund future national debt.  Presto, no more debt ceiling debates and no added inflation “since the coin will not make it into circulation”.  Oh yeah.  Just start making serious plans to do that and watch what happens with all those holding US Treasurys.  Can you say ‘run on the bank’?  It seems that a good part of the nation is becoming addled wholesale.

    In the ‘Brussels on the Potomac’ department, EU countries are in a crisis to fund, among other things, their unsustainable nationalized healthcare systems.  The 5jan13 Economist is highlighting what our lamestream buries and our progressives deny, that there are not enough tax revenues to fund the increasing costs of socialist healthcare.  Delivered services are now on the bottom tier and patients are literally dying of neglect – one hospital alone has “unnecessarily” killed 1,200 patients during 2005-2009.  And the government is trying to fix things by “expanding the responsibilities of family doctors and encouraging more private-sector involvement” – fancy that.  The new health secretary belatedly proclaims a “crisis in standards of care” as the regulatory bodies and death committees of the single-payer program have multiplied over the years.  And patients are beginning to scream bloody murder loudly enough to be heard in Westminster.  Our future, if we care to look at it.

  • George Rebane

    [This is the transcript of my 4jan13 KVMR commentary.  I last covered MOOCs in my 21aug12 post.  This post has an addendum that explains in more detailed how intelligent MOOCs can be designed to deliver complex instructional sequences that are not available in traditional learning environments. ]

    Let’s consider higher education for bit tonight, especially its cost, relevance, and the impact of learning technologies on traditional ways of delivering education products.   Our post-secondary education and its graduates are the national jewel that affects every American’s quality of life.  As a stake in the ground, consider that our population growth has slowed to under one percent per year, which still translates to adding almost 3M people annually.  With demographic lags, we currently pump out about 4M young people a year into our job markets.

    Everyone knows that they will earn more, the more post-high school education they get.  And everyone is told they are college material, and are encouraged to borrow money and apply for scholarships to pay for college.  This encouragement has been so successful that outstanding student loans now amount to over $1T nationwide.  On the whole, it’s hard to see how much of this debt will be paid off given that many or most college students select majors that don’t teach marketable skills.  The Atlantic reports that “53% of recent college grads are under- or unemployed”.

    Distinguished professor Richard Vedder of Ohio University tells us, “In 2009, spending by Americans for post-secondary education totaled $461B, an amount 42% greater than in 2000, after accounting for inflation. This $461B is the equivalent of 3.3% of total U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) and an amount greater than the total GDP of countries such as Sweden, Norway and Portugal.”, adding that  “…more than 17 million college graduates were ‘underemployed’ in 2008.”   For many college graduates ‘Would you like fries with that?’ is a recurring theme across the land.

    Many educators and employers, especially those who can’t find enough qualified workers, tell us that not everyone needs to go into debt getting a mushy major.   Most high school graduates are not ready for a college education, and would do much better for their careers by learning a marketable skill set that is confirmed by various accepted levels of certification.  And to do that, more and more young people and older workers needing to change careers are turning to online education and training courses.  The acronym to remember is MOOC – massively open online course.

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  • George Rebane

    The Progressive Plague that has ravaged California for some years, and with every passing day is becoming even more virulent, struck down a local landmark establishment.  In Nevada City Cirino’s Bar & Grill is shutting its doors according to owner Jerry Cirino because “The state and federal government has taken the most valuable asset of a business (employees) and made it a liability.  They have disrupted, irreparably, the triangular relationship between customer, employee, and employer.”  (reported in the 3jan13 Union)

    CirinosCloses

    In these pages I have evangelized that important relationship and its financial implications to a business, especially a small business.   The target audience for these soap box lectures has been the independent reader who is not yet convinced about the contributions of capitalism and free enterprise to his wellbeing.  The pushback on these clarifications has always been from the progressivists who are beyond redemption (aka butt stupid), and now cover the land like locusts destroying every shred of wealth creating commercialism that they can.  And in the dust and debris of their plunder they leave unemployed workers who are among the most needy, workers who must now become wards of the state and learn quickly on which side their bread is buttered.

    One more tombstone in California’s Business Cemetery.  And what again is the alternative to the Great Divide?

  • George Rebane

    [I’m not sure that much of this is comprehensible to younger generations, but many of us older people do hearken back to some grand years in the good old US of A.  Granted, time has worn off some of the rough edges.  Nevertheless, here’re some ramblings to mark another milestone that we pass in an age that is so different from the America of days gone by.]

    For those of us born in the 1940s, it’s already in the bank, and no one can take it away.  We have been blessed to live in the iconic America that reached its apex during the 1945 – 1965 period.  It was an age when America was the world’s white knight, having emerged victorious from vanquishing two global foes, then pouring its enormous wealth and productive capability into rebuilding a shattered world, and setting itself to stand guard against the surviving evil of communism.  We had a common public culture, boundless energy, and a pragmatic vision of how we would continue to make ours a more perfect Union.

    TVgoldenAgeBut best of all, most of us were free and working to bring such freedoms to all.  The beguiling bamboozle of 1930s socialism cum communism, that so enthralled America’s leftwing elite during the Depression, finally showed its true face as the Iron Curtain divided Europe into the history’s largest prison camp on one side, and thriving nations reaching new levels of prosperity and quality of life on the other side.  In schools we learned about American exceptionalism and then lived it as we hit the streets when school let out.

    We were also free to work our butts off.  As kids we could get about any job we could talk ourselves into.  We flipped burgers, carried papers, mowed lawns, or even worked as field hands doing stoop labor on farms.  As we got older we could get jobs using the skills we learned in high school shop classes.  My own jobs path was going from a farm laborer into aerospace light manufacturing as a sixteen year old cutting and brazing jet engine electrical conduits.  My next stop was an aerospace draftsman drawing awesomely complex functional diagrams of submarine combat systems as a teenager in college.

    There was no government to tell employers that they could not hire me, and no government telling me I could not work here or there, or taking my parents to task for ‘abusing’ me if I decided to work long hours months at a time.  In fact, I bought my first car, a used 1957 VW bug.  After arriving in Los Angeles, I registered with the California Youth Employment Agency in Hollywood.  They sent me on called-in daily jobs located from Orange County to the canyon country north of Los Angeles.  I did whatever my boss for a day (or more) would tell me to do, whether it would be to wash windows, clean out the garage, rake leaves, polish floors, or paint a porch.  America’s youth was then enabled by the state, not inhibited.

    And fearing government was something we learned about in school and saw in other countries, but none of us experienced government overreach in our own or our parents’ lives.  We could go where we wanted and do what we wanted (within reason of course).  Public lands were then truly public lands.  We could throw a backpack and gun (it had to be visible) into the back seat, and before the sun set we’d be in a very remote spot sitting around a campfire with a dubiously cooked meal warming our bellies.

    Our entertainments were salutary to God and country.  Coming out of a movie – whether a grand western, a biblical epic, filmed version of a Broadway musical, war story, or comedy – you invariably felt uplifted.  Hollywood was on the case, giving us a gratifying respite from our daily labors which were many.  And television echoed all that during its ‘golden age’, those shows whose recorded kinescopes are still entertaining and somewhat unbelievable to the current generations.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    Happy 2013!  Hope that everyone has recovered from New Year’s eve and the bowl games.  I thought it would be proper to waste no time in launching the new year with the latest from from the EPA scumbags who are introducing E15 gasoline to the nation’s pumps (that’s gasoline made from 15% corn ethanol that separates from the petroleum gasoline when it settles in your tank).  AAA strongly recommends your not using it in cars older than the 2012 model year.

    When presented with the obvious f**k up, the EPA sniffed in response that (fasten your seat belt) ‘it is impossible to do years of testing in a few months.’

    The government’s ‘nudge policy’ (a la Cass Sunstein) has now graduated into out and out vandalism in their efforts to get older cars off the roads and push their disastrous bio-fuels program which has EVERYTHING wrong with it that one can imagine.  The bottom line is that E15 will rot out your fuel system while you are getting fewer miles per gallon driving with the crap.   (See the complete report on Fox News here.)

    Now that the fiscal cliff has been kicked down the road a couple of months, it’s good to re-establish our perspective on the constant stream of damage and distress that issues daily from the banks of the Potomac.

  • George Rebane

    FixDebtRamirez…, and this is just for the record – no need to respond.  Congress at best will alleviate an immediate problem at hand, one that they themselves created.  Why did they create it?  Why, to finally address the runaway deficits and national debt that is taking us to the real fiscal cliff.  There is absolutely NO solution to that problem in what any of the parties are willing to do for this near-term charade.  The can is being kicked down the road big time as debt and deficits continue to increase for out years that disappear into the haze.

    In any event, what will really happen is a big across the board tax increase – one that hits the middle class through the payroll tax increase (shhh! we’re not supposed mention that), and the other, the vaunted class warfare tax rate increase (that re-elected Obama) to up the taxes on everyone making more than $250K – or is it …?  Oh crap, who cares – among whom are legions of real job creators.  Whatever.

    The real fiscal cliff?  That’s when the dollar collapses, the US effectively defaults on its debt and entitlement obligations (paying off in Monopoly money), and the world shifts to a hodgepodge of alternative reserve currencies for international commerce.  Our military will be reduced to coastal defense, and the biggest gun carriers in the land will be the FEMA Corps and Homeland Security focused on keeping Americans from getting at the throats of their government scumbags.

    [31dec12 update]  This thoughtful Dilbert cartoon came from a reader.  It has appeared here before, but it is still very appropriate as we celebrate the new year – Happy 2013 everbody!

    Dilbert1107

  • George Rebane

    VoteThe comment stream under ‘How to Protect School Children in Schools’  is another long one which inevitably becomes a bit hairy by developing threads that start covering the waterfront of issues of interest in these times.  Voter qualification was a thread that, to the best of my knowledge, appeared through some process of immaculate conception.  While entirely appropriate to the season, that thread diverts quite a bit from the posted topic and deserves its own venue for discussion.  This is it.

    My long held position has been that more than being able to fog a mirror should be required of a US citizen before he is allowed to vote; even more than gaining a majority of 18 years, or not having been convicted of a felony, or not being institutionalized as a mental incompetent.  In short, there should be some intellectual and/or cognitive skills that the citizen should demonstrate that may even alleviate the majority and/or mental incompetency requirements.  But what would these skills be and how would they be measured and certified?

    Our Founders recognized similar requirements and left it to the states to set the specifics.  Many required the demonstration of substance through ownership of land, or commercial interest, or wealth.  Various levels of these were judged to be a sufficient proxy for some minimum level of intellectual and cognitive skills.  Later, and mostly under Jim Crow laws, specific tests were imposed that required literacy (gasp!) and a basic knowledge of US civics.  These were struck down under various civil rights rulings.

    So now we have a nation of voters who are 40% functionally illiterate, almost totally innumerate and innocent of science, and possess no essential knowledge base of how their governments at any level are constituted and work.  These people are supported by certain of our political minions as long as they can be reliably convinced to vote for bigger government, concentration of federal power, and more transfer payments paid for by higher taxes from the producing class.  And their proportion, as demonstrated by the last election, is such that we are now way past the tipping point at which democracy begins to devour itself.

    So, before I taint the discussion with my own prejudices on voter qualifications, can you dear readers present any reasonable basis for change, if any, and if so, what kind?

    [29dec12 update]  This post’s comment stream is now mature enough to detect some trends in how the title question is being answered.  First, what some of the progressive readers have confused are the orthogonal notions of 1) what improvements could/should be made to the voting franchise that is granted to some citizens, and 2) what is the likelihood that any given set of changes to voter qualifications would actually be adopted.

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  • George Rebane

    [This message was first posted on Christmas Eve 2009.]

    The two main events in the Christian calendar are celebrations of the
    Promise and the Fulfillment.  Christmas calls on us to reflect on the
    Promise delivered – the arrival of Emmanuel, God with us, that made
    real what had long been promised.  By His appearance among us, the
    Promise of the good news and a new covenant of salvation between Man
    and God became an historical event.  He had come.

    Nativity (2)

    As Christians, we take great joy in the remembrance of that little
    noticed event two thousand years ago, an event that would alter the
    course of Man and his empires.  Today, in our own country and around the
    world, Christians again stand battered and confused by forces and
    events we scarcely understand.  But Christmas reminds us once more of
    the real hope for a better world in which we, in His image, will all
    have the freedom to grow and give according to the talents and
    opportunities afforded us.

    Jo Ann and I wish all of you a joyous Christmas, and a new year where
    ‘Better!’ will properly respond to every ‘How are you?’ coming your
    way.

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