Rebane's Ruminations
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  • George Rebane

    Readers have noticed that RR has again become a target for spam comments; they appear to be mostly ads from different services/vendors.  In an attempt to fight this intrusive nuisance I have limited comments to a thirty day period following the date of my post.

    Several readers have suggested that I leave TypePad for a more capable blog server (e.g. WordPress), and I’m prepared to do that.  But, given other ongoing projects, I have not found a sufficiently easy way to make the switch.  Since RR is a substantial body of work over a seven year period (almost 2,000 posts and over 37,000 comments), my plan would be to leave the TypePad blog intact and simply shut off the commenting.  From the new blog I will still want to link to TypePad entries, and give my readers the ability to do the same.

    In any event, things would probably move faster in this direction if I could find a service to scrape RR of its contents and put it on a DVD in a searchable format.  I would even make this material available on/from the new blog.  Ideas/thoughts?

    Finally, I take this opportunity to thank all RR readers for frequenting these pages, commenting and contending, and putting up with the inconveniences.  It’s the readership and their use of this forum that keeps my putting the hours into this enterprise, hours that, no doubt, could be more productively used elsewhere.  Again, thank you.

  • George Rebane

                On Wealth – First create, then spread.

    [This is the addended transcript of my regular KVMR commentary broadcast on 13 September 2013.]

    As promised, this commentary continues the examination of a new class divide in America that has arisen over the last 50 years.  The supporting data for this comes from multiple institutional and government studies done in the last decade or so, and is compiled in Coming Apart: The State of White America, 1960-2010 by the country’s preeminent sociologist and author Charles Murray.

    Last time we looked at the rise of a new upper class, its characteristics, and how it has sought to separate and stabilize itself in a transforming America.  You can review that commentary on KVMR’s website archives, or be linked to its transcript from my website Rebane’s Ruminations.  Today we turn our attention to the more worrisome component of our dividing society – the newly emerged lower class.

    Murray identifies this lower class as characterized by “differences that affect the ability of people to live satisfying lives, the ability of communities to function as communities, and the ability of America to survive as America.”  In his book he compares and contrasts the classes in terms of two synthesized American communities – Belmont and Fishtown.  The upper class, who live in the country’s Belmonts, comprise about 20% of the population.  The lower class, who live in the Fishtowns, comprise about 30% of the population.  The remaining 50% is somewhere in the middle and shrinking in size, currently losing most of its members to the lower class.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    9/11 – Today some of us remember that we are at war with a civilization whose belief system – evil by our standards – cannot survive along ours in an open and inter-connected international community.  And yet others believe that 11 September 2001 happened because of some fundamental misunderstanding between two peer cultures – an unfortunate mistake that is primarily the fault of America.

    Last Sunday Nevada City held its annual Constitution Day Parade featuring all kinds of floats, people with banners and in costume, bands, and vehicles serious and silly.  It was a warm, late summer day for our community to celebrate the document that makes possible our society, and to give voice to all manner of ideas the expression of which the Constitution guarantees.  A fine day to celebrate our freedoms.

    The Nevada County Friends of the Military (under Fred Buhler’s lead) assembled a march unit that consisted of four vehicles, two of which pulled trailers, and veterans that made up an honor guard and outlier.  On one trailer was a replica of a small bamboo cage with a ‘prisoner’ inside that the North Vietnamese used to punish American POWs.  The float and its honor guard drew a reverent applause as we proceeded down Broad Street.  I was privileged to pull that float.  Jo Ann marched with the NC Tea Party unit.

    Our hard pressed ‘designated reader’ emailed me coverage of a local leftwinger’s (FUE’s) blog post and comment stream that took selected participants in the Constitution Day Parade to task.  It seems that the FUE was concerned that the parade has been “politicized”, and excessively so according to his lights.  The infraction was enlarged by the participation of the older generation who attended in excessive numbers, and seemingly with all the wrong politics.  Fortunately, some commenters were able to explain to the FUE that a seminal function of such parades is for people to express their diverse politics as part and parcel of celebrating the document that makes such public expressions possible.

    I took away from that yet another example of and confirmation that it is the Left which continues its efforts to silence the Right for its politically incorrect beliefs, the number of which grows by the day.

    Two anti-2nd Amendment politicians recalled in Colorado.  Hallelujah!  State senators Giron and Morse felt the ire of the voters for their anti-gun initiatives. Many Coloradans see such legislation as one more reason to feel that Denver (with its heavily progressive out-of-state immigrant population) no longer represents the longheld beliefs and values of the state's less densely populated regions.  I look forward to this kind of activism spreading across the land as evidence that more and more freedom loving people are beginning to pay attention to the rising autocracy of collectivism.

  • As democracy is perfected, the office of the President represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people.  On some great and glorious day, the plain folks of the land will reach their heart’s desire at last and the White House will be occupied by a downright fool and complete narcissistic moron. – H.L. Mencken, The Baltimore Evening Sun, July 26, 1920

    George Rebane

    Two things.  While we are busy worrying about protecting frogs and lizards, and the whereabouts of Obama’s absent Mideast policy, I keep hearing the strains of Tennessee Ernie Ford’s ‘Sixteen Tons’ in the background getting louder by the month – “… if the right one don’t a getcha, then the left one will.”

    WorkforceParticipationSystemic unemployment and unfunded liabilities.  The rampant rise of the first will make it impossible to pay off the second.  With the latest data coming in, it looks like both of them will getcha.

    The employment data just reported was beyond sad (more here).  One could tell that by just watching the administration and their media acolytes’ desperate spin on the news from the Commerce Department.  Longtime readers will recall that RR has long warned of what is happening in these pre-Singularity years.  I even went as far as to stick my neck out some years back predicting that by 2020 the country would have 70 million unemployed (pooh-poohed universally).  Turns out I was wrong – that number will be much higher.  How high?  Well, some economic pundits are putting those already sitting on the employment sidelines at 90M and rising; it all depends on how you tally up America’s workforce.  No matter, the fraction of that workforce working or looking for work keeps dropping (see chart), which is the only thing that let’s Team Obama keep crowing about the 7.3% unemployment rate (it would be almost 11% if all the folks in the workforce at the beginning of the recovery were still looking for work).

    It’s hard to tell how many jobs the private sector has eked out under Obama since most of them have been part time jobs, and now that he’s redefined the full time work week to be 30 hours, the situation is more complicated.  But it does well serve his intentions for the country.

    (For those wanting to review some quantitative aspects of how productivity, GDP, and workforce numbers relate, please reread ‘The Real Jobs Problem – Shhh!’.)

    Then we come to unfunded liabilities, bankrupt cities, and Chapter 9 – again topics long discussed here before they became a political concern, and now a public concern.  Investment maven Bill Mauldin has a recent compendium (‘Unrealistic Expectations’) on the subject from the financial industry’s perspective, and it turns out worse than any politician either knows or wants to talk about.

    PensionGap
    I have lifted the nearby histogram that summarizes the monetary and fiscal devastation that faces us today.  For more numerical detail and the broader picture, please read Mauldin’s article.  But the bottom line is that without sustained economic growth rates in the 5+% range, there is not a snowball’s chance in hell that these unfunded liabilities will be extracted from taxpayers in the coming years.  The nominal amounts will simply be paid off in worthless fiat money.  And for today’s politics and the ever sinking level of voter cognition, that’s OK.  Who really understands things like discount rates, fiat money, deficit, national debt, GDP, unfunded liability, … ?  The gold-plated workable solution for successful politicians is not to talk about it, while promising more taxes on the rich and corporations to make things right and fund their monthly palliatives, aka checks.

    And better yet, let’s talk about Syria instead.

  • George Rebane

    NSAsurveillanceThe Guardian, NYT, and NPR report the latest disclosures from Snowden’s cache of purloined NSA documents.  It now appears that the feds are decrypting reams of internet data from Americans in an “opportunistic” manner.  This means that they just gratuitously grab it, convert it into clear text, and then store it for later analysis just to see if it might contain anything of interest to them.

    But that’s just the ho-hum news that we’ve been hearing for months (years?) now – so what else is new?  To me the real news is that the feds have convinced certain big data collection and handling companies on the web to not only turn over data to the government, but also share with them their encryption processes; and here’s the big one, to insert ‘back doors’ and ‘trap doors’ into the security programs of these companies.  These software devices allow the NSA to access and manipulate the manner in which security measures are embedded in data transmission systems that such companies operate.  (a snootful here and here)

    Fundamentally, all these firms are customer service companies, and they all trumpet how they keep their customers’ data secure.  Now we know that some of these companies lie to us when they say that.  For them to have started opening up their software to NSA, it sure appears that they were coerced to do so.  Why else would they compromise their integrity which is the keystone of their customer trust relationship?  (At BizRate.com a decade ago we were early collectors of consumer data, and the loss of trust would have put us out of business literally overnight.  Even the appearance of that was a big concern to us as various organizations and institutions approached us for data.)

    Under such circumstances it would be more than interesting to know what ‘offers’ Big Brother made to these companies that they could not refuse.

    So now we are assured that even our most private data transmitted between our financial institutions and legal counsel is open to the government.  We are told not to worry because it is all done for our safety and security, and I’m confident that some such activity is indeed necessary given the technical sophisticates in the employ of radical Islam and other geo-strategic adversaries.

    But I’d sure like to know more about how the NSA et al really parse and partition the data they surreptitiously lift from us, how they assure that some lame brain bureaucrat from another agency does not get his hands on it for use against us in non-security situations.  From the general ineptness, incompetence, and perfidy rampant in government operations, the chance that such data sharing will be done is almost certainty.  What could or should a well-intentioned government do to put our minds at rest, instead of telling us to ‘suck it up and live with it’?

  • George Rebane

    This morning Jo Ann and I drove to Folsom to attend Igor Birman’s announcement of his candidacy for Congress from California’s 7th congressional district.  We were not the only Nevada County residents to make the trek.  Even though we can’t vote for him, many of us who live up here see Igor’s candidacy as adding to the conservative cohort from our state that can help bring our country back on course.  (Igor’s website)

    IgorBirman2013
    Igor Birman has been Congressman Tom McClintock’s chief of staff, and is one of the youngest to hold such an important job in Washington.  Igor was born in the USSR and got out when his parents took advantage of the window that President Reagan created with the agreement to let Russian Jews emigrate from a land in which they have been third class citizens for generations.  While I have a definite affinity with Igor’s odyssey – my parents also escaped communism when I was a youngster (cf My Story) – we support Igor’s candidacy because he is very smart, has high moral standards, and recognizes way better than most the tragedy that socialism cum collectivism brings into human lives.

    Some years back Tom McClintock introduced us to Igor, and since then he has become our friend, often spending meal times at our house during which we have delved into some very interesting topics of state and national interest.  Igor’s job in Washington has always brought perspectives to bear on the topic that are accessible only to one who knows and operates in the belly of the beast.  Igor’s understanding of the nation’s problems, especially in public education and its contribution to systemic unemployment in a shrinking workforce, is thorough and deep.  His overall ideology and politics also make him a desirable candidate for the tea party faction of the Republican party.

    Congressman McClintock delivered an eloquently bittersweet introduction to Igor, acknowledging the loss of an extremely valuable aide while celebrating his promising and needed candidacy for Congress.  I am heartened by the potential of adding Igor Birman to the team of conservative northern Californians comprised of Doug LaMalfa, Tom McClintock, and Dan Logue (who is running for the 3rd congressional district seat) – the four horsemen of socialism’s apocalypse.

  • George Rebane

    California’s Siskiyou County is the latest jurisdiction in the land to voice its opposition to the growing de facto condition of regulation and taxation without representation.  Their stated desire to secede from California is but another cri de coeur in the growing national chorus that laments growing statism.  The success of such movements is unlikely, but the clarity of the delivered messages should not be dismissed.

    As Charles Murray has pointed out in Coming Apart (reported here), it is an established part of human nature that people like to live with people who are more than less like themselves.  One of the prime reasons of that is that living with people whose behaviors you can predict more or less reliably is both efficient and gives comfort.  This strong tendency has given rise to distinct cultures, and contributed to the richness and diversity of our world.  It is such a valuable part of human life that wars have been and continue to be fought over the preservation of cultures – in short, people with cultures worth preserving are often willing to sacrifice all in such preservation.

    These ideas are foreign or invisible to those of the Left who see the salvation of Mankind in the homogenizing of the world’s cultural differences (witness the great social experiments in cultural homogenization in the USSR, China, Yugoslavia, …).  In these pages I have yet to see a liberal reader who understands the Great Divide.  They all seem to restrict their thinking to hip level reasoning as they start spouting the usual slogans about racism, etc.

    Nobelist Daniel Kahneman (along with the late Amos Tversky) devoted their careers to the study of human rationality.  Their findings demonstrated that humans are not reliably rational critters, that the ‘economic man’ was more of an academic fiction than a mathematically predictable agent.  Kahneman and other behavioral economists “call people reasonable if it is possible to reason with them, if their beliefs are generally in tune with reality, and if their preferences are in line with their interests and their values.”

    However being a rational person does not necessarily mean that he is reasonable.  The test of rationality involves assessing “whether a person’s beliefs are internally consistent”, in short do they reliably conform to a system of logic.  As Kahneman points out, “a rational person can believe in ghosts so long as all her other beliefs are consistent with the existence of ghosts”, in short “rationality is logical coherence – reasonable or not.”

    This conforms to the ideas of utility and multiple logics which I have attempted to illustrate over the last years.  In Thinking Fast and Slow, Kahneman describes numerous experiments and instances in which humans behave irrationally.  In this development he appears to be a supporter of ‘libertarian paternalism’ of the brand that Cass Sunstein, co-author of Nudge, advocates.  Libertarian paternalism is a means of delivering public policy “in which the state and other institutions are allowed to nudge people to make decisions that serve their own long-term interests.”  (And it is, of course, some set of elites who determine our ‘long-term interests’.)

    Perhaps nowhere have we seen such a massive demonstration of human irrationality as in the constituencies that voted for Barack Obama.  Here we are talking about women, the young, blacks, Hispanics, etc, all of whom have suffered under the Obama years as their financial fortunes declined after measurable gains and progress over the preceding 25+ years.  And given the evidence in their everyday lives and pocketbooks, they returned the man to office in 2012.  Stephen Moore in ‘Obama’s Economy Hits His Voters Hardest’ in the 4sep13 WSJ goes into the relevant numbers.

    It is all of a piece when we consider the Great Divide in the context of our polarized nation.

    [update]  Talk about reason and logic going beserk.  Today we attended Congressman LaMalfa’s frogs and toads public hearing at Nevada County’s Rood Center.  There are some yellow bellied, double suckered, single crested frogs or something similar that the US Fish & Wildlife Service tells us is threatened, and it needs a critical habitat and recovery area set aside for it that covers a good swath of the Sierra.  The hearing’s purpose was to inform the public on the progress of this newest endangered species initiative, and allow people to ask questions.  I’m sure that The Union and Yubanet will cover the details, so I won’t bother you with them here.

    The public received assurances that the FWS isn’t going to do anything to restrict property rights or hurt the region’s economy.  It doesn’t have the power to do that, so all such damage will be done by other agencies that will subsequently cite the FWS ruling that the multi-toed, yellow-beaked, one-eyed toads need such and such acres for the critters’ recovery, and that will then require another list of things that we can’t do on the affected public lands and private properties.

    The supes chambers were filled with people mostly very agitated about the feds continuing to turn the screws on us.  Public trust of the federal government doing anything productive in protecting species and the environment is pretty much gone.  Much of the testimony included citations of the decades’ long mismanagement of the nation’s forests – which now contain fuel densities that create Dresden type firestorms (that some idiots conveniently blame on AGW) – and protection of species (look up the miserable history of the spotted owl).

    That progressives are dangerous to your pocket book and health is also highlighted by the Pacific Legal Foundation which has called our attention to (seatbelts please) the feds intent to list polar bears as a threatened species under the Endangered Species Act.  This is beyond cynical, and again exposes the overall Agenda21 underbelly of progressive public policy initiatives.  The already protected polar bears are among the healthiest species in the world, now populating their ancestral habitats in numbers that are fivefold of what they were fifty years ago.

    But the gratuitous listing of them as ‘threatened’ under the ESA will allow another tranche of land and water use regulations to kick in that will ratchet down more of the wilderness areas that are available for recreation and commercial use.  The broad spectrum stack & pack initiatives are visible under every bureaucratic rock that you care to turn over.  Meanwhile, the Left denies that any of this has been happening, but assures us that more of it needs to happen.

    One of the more comedic moments at the Rood Center was when a member of the public held up maps that compared the contemplated frog and toad recovery habitats to the notorious A21 wildlands map that has been much debated for the last 20+ years.  The FWS folks had never seen or heard of it.  Again we saw Exhibit A that government is the employer of last resort.

  • George Rebane

    [This is the appended transcript of my regular KVMR commentary broadcast on 30 August 2013.]

    In these commentaries we have examined major trends like systemic unemployment, income inequality, and the notion of a Great Divide that may rend America across one of its ideological faults.  In this installment I’ll briefly summarize a schism that may be new to some of you, and is definitely not apparent to most Americans – the emergence of a new cognitive upper class.

    The existence of such a class of Americans has been heralded and discussed by some of the country’s leading authors, journalists, and sociologists of all political stripe.   Among them are liberal economist and former Clinton labor secretary Robert Reich, New York Times journalist and author David Brooks, and leading sociologist and observer of the cultural scene Charles Murray of The Bell Curve fame.  Murray’s latest best seller to people who follow such trends is Coming Apart – The State of White America, 1960-2010 published last year and updated this year with just released data.

    The major thesis of all these authors is that a new class of the cognitive elite has arisen during the last 50 years.  Not only has this class arisen, but it has also pretty much separated from the rest of the country along several important dimensions.  Among these are wealth, income, interests, life styles, locales, and, of course, smarts.  These are the people who manage our businesses and institutions, make up the academic ranks, are prominent in government and shaping public policy, and form the creative cadres of science, technology, and the arts.

    This class of so-called “over-educated elitist snobs” came into being in the years after WW2 when the universities became the great cognitive filtering system as they began accepting students on the basis of merit, instead of limiting higher education to the well-to-do or well connected.   The data shows that the big transition took place over the 1950s and was well entrenched in the 1960s.  The fruits of the separation began to be seen in the 1970s.  Then by the 1980s the information age was in full swing with the rapid spread of low cost personal computers.  All of this favored the class of people who were good at manipulating symbols, whether these made up words, numbers, or equations.  Robert Reich named these people “symbolic analysts”.

    And with this new class there arose a new kind of segregation.  Since like people like to be with others like themselves, a process called homogamy kicked in to further the separation of classes.  Social scientists use homogamy to describe the interbreeding of individuals with like characteristics.  In the nation’s universities educated students began marrying other educated students which led to a homogamous selection of the best and the brightest offspring, the new cognitive elite.  Since their parents were able to get the best jobs, create the most profitable enterprises, and affect public policies in their favor, their kids went on to repeat the cycle, as the new upper class congregated in communities of residents with like minds and means.

    As Charles Murray points out, a moment’s reflection tells us also that today homogamy works on both ends of the cognitive abilities scale.  College grads are more likely to marry college grads, and high school dropouts are more likely to marry other high school dropouts.  So with the information revolution in full swing, newly created wealth poured into the coffers of the new upper class as the ‘cognitive stratification’ that began in the 1950s became established in the nation’s socio-economic landscape.  Data shows that since the 1970s almost all benefits of economic growth have gone to the top half of wage earners.

    And since people like to congregate with people they can talk to and who understand them, this class segregation not only continues, but is picking up steam.  The wealth inequality resulting from the last decades of cognitive homogamy will most likely increase as this upper class continues to create more wealth along with public policies that allow them to keep most of it.  This concentration of wealth is abetted by the well-known adage of ‘shirtsleeves to shirtsleeves in three generations’ – in other words, not so smart people don’t hang on to wealth very well.

    We will revisit this important class division in future commentaries, and examine in greater depth what Charles Murray and other students of the American transition have discovered.

    My name is Rebane, and I also expand on this and related themes on georgerebane.com where the transcript of this commentary is posted with an addendum and relevant links, and where such issues are debated extensively.  However my views are not necessarily shared by KVMR.  Thank you for listening.

    [Addendum]  In Coming Apart Charles Murray emphasizes that America has always been a classed society – the rich have always lived differently from the poor, and both have ‘stuck to their own kind’.  Of course, both classes have been dynamic in the sense that their memberships have been fluid in a land of freedom and entrepreneurship.

    But his focus is the “American project” (much discussed here as the Great Experiment) – as envisioned by the Founders was “to demonstrate that human beings can be left free as individuals and families to live their lives as they see fit, coming together voluntarily to solve their joint problems.  The polity based on that idea led to a civic culture that was seen as exceptional by all the world.  That culture was so widely shared among Americans that it amounted to a civil religion.  To be an American was to be different from other nationalities, in ways that Americans treasured.”  Murray's demonstrated thesis is that “that culture is unraveling.”

    In his dissertation Murray does “not make a case for America’s decline as a world power.  The economic dynamics that have produced the class society (he deplores) have, paradoxically, fostered the blossoming of America’s human capital.  Those dynamics will increase, not diminish, our competitiveness on the world stage in the years ahead.  Nor (does he) forecast a decline in America’s military and diplomatic supremacy.”

    The arguments to be made are that the transformed America will not be anything like the one we had fifty years ago when only 18 out of 100,000 were arrested for drug offenses (today that number is 1,284), and Jim Crow still ruled the South.  During this half century the poor did not get poorer, considering their total income, only that they also did not get any richer, and in the interval the first step onto the ladder of self-sufficiency was made more difficult.  And that systemic character of our society will not change as the cognitive elite continue to command the development and benefit of the new avenues of wealth they create.

    And why may we expect that kind of future as the alternative to a Mad Max dystopia?  Simply because (as we have argued) the hoi polloi are not and will not be able to command the cognitive and other types of capital to enable them to make such contributions in this age of accelerating technology and global intercourse.  This story unfolds in its data-rich details.

  • George Rebane

    CowardThis forum has highlighted Obamacare’s atrocities, visited and pending, since before it became law of the land.  Today there are serious rumblings of attempting to defund/delay Obamacare as part of the next continuing resolution Congress will take up on extending national debt.  The Republicans have been the leading rumblers who have received on a silver platter a way to oppose Obamacare that will attract bipartisan support.  But for reasons beyond my ken, they are not stepping up to the plate, and are instead hiding in the weeds with the other political sleazebags who dare not oppose the White House.

    The issue is the latest in the stream of exemptions that have become a hallmark of that putrid piece of legislation.  You’ll recall that Congress beseeched Obama to spare them and their staffs having to buy their healthcare policies through the dreaded insurance exchanges as the law specifically prescribes.  Such plaintive begging itself is outrageous since the Executive is supposed to enforce the laws as passed by Congress, and not modify them in their execution.  If Congress wants an exemption, it can pass a law to accomplish that.

    So the benevolent Obama showed mercy on his congressional lackeys, and had his Office of Personnel Management announce 1) Congress and staff would continue getting their now illegal subsidies, and 2) the members of Congress could define which of their staff will actually be covered by the law – both of these being illegal ‘remedies’.  All polls show that no one favors Congress getting such special bennies when the rest of us have to pony up to the added costs of this new “affordable care” (more here).

    The Republicans should have joined their voices in a loud chorus to denounce this as yet another constitutional end-run by our by now demonstrably rogue president.  This could have served as the basis for starting to unravel Obamacare by broadening the exemptions until the law is finally diluted into vapor.  Instead, here I sit with millions of other like-minded Americans, astounded that the oh so principled Republicans have chosen to let crickets lead their assault on Obamacare.

    I don’t know how our Tom McClintock, Doug Lamalfa, and Dan Logue feel about this.  But my recommendation is for them to loudly reject the White House handout, and then proceed from there.

  • George Rebane

    As we prepare to launch some sort of punishing strike against the Assad regime in Syria, the question of WMDs comes up again.  We recall that 1) no significant WMDs were found in Iraq after Gulf2, and 2) that our military reported large convoys of trucks headed to Syria in the weeks before Gulf2 started with its ‘shock and awe’.  Now we have evidence that Assad has used chemical WMDs – primarily the Sarin nerve gas – against both rebels and his own civilians.

    What has been absent in the lamestream's coverage is the entire issue of how and when did Assad get the reported 1,000 tons of chemical WMDs that he has squirreled away across Syria.  There have been no reports, especially by Israel, of such a massive infusion of these weapons from other suppliers since Gulf2.  All we have is clear historical evidence that numerous convoys of Iraqi military trucks were observed heading for Syria before hostilities started.

    The Left then gleefully reported the absence of Iraqi WMDs in their scourging of Bush2 for Gulf2.  In these pages (see comment stream here) we offered the reasonable conjecture that Saddam shipped his WMDs to fellow Baathists in Syria in the ample time he had before we started our last mid-east war.  Today this conjecture is again being picked up on sites like The Diplomad 2.0 (H/T to reader).

    So now we are within hours of launching strikes whose only clear purpose is to risk American lives to deliver an inconclusive slap on Assad’s wrist.  And the purpose of that slap?  I believe it is only to extract Obama’s foot from his red-lined mouth.  With the given assurances of no intended regime change, what other interest could this inanity possibly serve?


    (more…)

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