[This is your Happy Valentine's Day sandbox in which we may pursue all the divers love affairs that ended badly with sexual harassment and abuse and … which are now the newly preferred weapon in the armory assembled to destroy President Trump's administration. I'm sure when this has run its course, a new one will already be fashioned and ready to deploy. gjr]

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George Rebane
Today we celebrate the closing of the National Hotel’s escrow. Owner Tom Coleman is a longtime Rebane family friend and poker buddy (developer of the notorious Coleman Shuffle, the Coleman Deal, and, of course, the ever-reliable Coleman Dollar bet). Tom called yesterday to tell me to get my butt down to the hotel for a last chance to haul some libations out of his inventory. Saturday night along with another couple of Tom’s friends, we spent an evening with him and his son (up here to help dad close up) in the Hoover Restaurant & Bar’s dining room toasting the old place, and being regaled with stories about the fabled hotel which Tom has owned now going on 40 years. Jo Ann and I wish Tom and Ernie the best of a retirement that has been too long in coming. Nevertheless, I promise to continue doing my best to assault Tom’s wallet during our longstanding monthly poker parties.
As I write, the Dow is up 2.22% (537 points) on its rocky recovery from attempting to scale an unsustainable super-exponential growth pattern. As Dr Didier Sornette of the ETHZürich has taught us, super-exponentials attempt to grow to infinity in a finite time. Our universe does not support those kinds of enterprises, and promises each such attempt a bruising correction. In the current correction I again smile at the naifs reporting on the markets – ‘Investors were bailing out of stocks today due to … .’ No they weren’t. Who the hell do you think was then doing the buying, the tooth fairy? For interested readers on why and when markets crash, I recommend perusing the good professor’s writings and the Financial Crisis Observatory website. And as you study today’s market charts, always remember – buy low, sell high.
The DC investigations memo wars are at a high fever pitch. RR readers from all sides of the political landscape have a fascinating weeks-long debate going (with citations galore) about what all the memos portend about Trump’s political future and this year’s midterm elections. (See comment streams here, here, and here.) Predictably the two major sides are trading ripostes from their separate universes which apparently have very few points of connection, most certainly not in what the facts are nor how we arrived at the current locations in our respective universes. By any measure, this dialogue (multi-logue?) is the most unprofitable exchange of words that the country has experienced in living memory, perhaps ever.
[14feb18 update] It now turns out that what all of us have been reporting about the Schiff memo was absolutely true – Adam Schiff and Pelosi lied when they claimed that President Trump gratuitously refused to declassify their rebuttal to the Nunes memo. It turns out that the lying SOSs purposely inserted sources and methods into their memo so it could not be released, and they could claim on national media that Trump was playing a political cover-up to his own wrongdoings in the memo wars. All lies, and lies that count.
And it turns out that what I reported as the dictionary's and RR’s definitions of ‘collusion’ also turn out to be correct. Collusion does not automatically mean a conspiracy to do something illegal, as the lamestream and the lesser lights have been hyper-ventilating about lately. From the horse’s mouth (or is it the other end?) we have that, “(Congressman Schiff) also somewhat backtracked on the Trump-Russia collusion issue, saying the Democrats’ definition of collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia was much lower than potential criminal acts being reviewed by special counsel Robert Mueller. Collusion is not a crime under the federal statutes.” (more here)
[15feb18 update] Obama’s economic adviser speaks with forked tongue (here). We all know how the Left denigrates stock market performance and puu-puuhs its economic effect on anyone who is not in their currently designated wealthy class. But suddenly when it serves their narrative or can be used to excuse past poor professional performance, then suddenly the lower and middle classes become shareholders whose economic behavior is immediately stimulated by the “wealth effect” of a rising stock market. This is how Harvard biz school professor Jason Furman attributes the cause of last year’s breakout GDP growth – it was demand driven by the broad population of consumers who mysteriously became the beneficiaries of their appreciating, but heretofore non-existent, portfolios and went on a buying splurge. This is the same professor who was Obama’s chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers (2013-17), and one of the prime architects of the historically post-recession stagnant growth we enjoyed during his time in government. Wonder what he’s now teaching the next crop of MBAs – oh yes, it's "hoping for 3% or more (annual growth) is folly. The fundamentals—people and productivity—seem unlikely to provide it."
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29 comments on Scattershots – 12feb18 (updated 15feb18) -
George Rebane
We take a look at the most recent lopsided lamestream reporting and actions by the Deep State – short version: the beat goes on.
Hillary Clinton is an existential criminal as corroborated by abundant evidence released to the public and more that must still be classified. An available paper trail, including money changing hands, proves that she and the Dems commissioned and colluded with the Russians to have third parties develop and disseminate a damning dossier to torpedo Trump’s presidential campaign. She spread US government secrets worldwide through her emails and a personal illegal server. During campaigning she colluded with the DNC to pop the Bernie bubble. She and husband Bubba took bag money from the Russians to facilitate the sale of America’s critically needed uranium.
This litany can go on and on. But the bottom line is that she is home free, cleared of all offenses, and daily held up by the lamestream as the hapless victim of the 2016 election. It appears that no one, most certainly not Special Prosecutor Mueller, dares investigate Hillary. On the other hand, President Trump is the subject of an investigation whose clear charter is that it will continue until some evidence of his colluding with Russia to throw the election is found. (Meanwhile Mueller's is casting his net wide on unrelated waters, hoping to catch something, anything to show for having been hired.) Now with two years and counting, and not a shred of collusion evidence yet found, the lamestream daily lambasts the President with newly minted allegations distributed to the dull-witted as more evidence of his guilt. No major media outlet, not even Fox News, raises a finger at this new pinnacle of yellow journalism.
And then there’s the treatment of the Nunes vs the Schiff memos. The Nunes memo revealing the top management sleaze at the FBI and DoJ was vetted and wordsmithed for months to make sure that it contained only documentable facts, and did not reveal national security compromising sources and methods. After an atrocious blizzard of pre-release accusations led by Rep Schiff claiming exactly the opposite, even after having been read by the entire House, the Nunes memo was released and found to be as advertised – no security compromises, and only facts of how the various parties at DoJ and FBI colluded to present an informationally deficient and fraudulent FISA application so that members of Team Trump could be surveilled during the campaign. More evidence on that issues daily (here).
In response Schiff and the Intelligence Committee Dems concocted a rebuttal memo purposely laced with security compromising information that they knew President Trump could not release. (more here) The president sent it to the DoJ and other national security offices for vetting and any necessary redaction. At the same time Trump told the Dems and the country that he wants the Dems’ memo released so that he and the Intelligence Committee would not be shown to violate what had been charged of the GOP memo. The lamestream's response? President Trump is obviously trying to hide something big; another allegation put out there to the double dummies as ‘evidence’ of Team Trump’s wrongdoings. Nobody seems to be picking up that the White House is not doing anything to modify Schiff’s memo, and if it gets a clean bill of health from the security vetters, it will be released as is. Reporting that would not fit the months-long narrative which holds that the only reason damning evidence of collusion has not emerged is that Team Trump and the GOP have waged a successful campaign to both hide it from Mueller and suppress it through some vast rightwing conspiracy. And again: the beat goes on.
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[Don Bessee is a leading opponent of bringing legalized marijuana into Nevada County and specifically into its residential communities. He is the regional director of Smart Approaches to Marijuana (SAM), and sits on its board. Project SAM, founded by congressmen Patrick Kennedy and Kevin Sibet, is a national, non-partisan organization that coordinates opposition to the legalization of marijuana. Recently Mr Bessee sat on Nevada County’s Community Advisory Group (CAG) that was formed by the county to advise its Board of Supervisors on the adoption of a new marijuana ordinance. This is an invited byline to allow Mr Bessee (pictured below) to openly express his views after CAG was disbanded. It is posted as received. gjr]
Don Bessee
We have been having a long conversation about commercial marijuana’s impacts on communities and neighborhoods. During the prop 64 lead up and campaign there were some very interesting conversations and warnings.I set up a press conference in late oct. 2016 in the heart of the financial district in SF where SAM stood with leaders of the medical marijuana community. We were there to put a spotlight on the tricks in prop 64. That brought a very diverse group together to voice an area of significant agreement. All of us there took heat for it.
We warned that the supermajority clause made the rest meaningless and that SAM’s long warned Big Tabaco 2.0 would come to Cali. So did UCSF addiction researchers. We were right. We were right on so many levels.
I warned of the law enforcement street view from states that went commercial medical and commercial party pot before us. The urban and small town homeless magnet issues in CO. The quality of life crime increases and public drug use. Then there was the wanton abuse of the hard rules. As time went on the tax money got gobbled up by administration of the commercial track and tax system. A system that did nothing to decrease the black market. It only empowered it. Take for example the hide in plain sight criminal gang activity where they set up pot shops without licenses. It’s a whack a mole without any real enforcement ability, just like LA now.
We were promised by Newsom et al. that all the problems would go away when we legalized.
It has been very interesting to watch all the moves since the passage of 64 in Nov. 2016, very interesting.
Let’s look at the facts on the ground right now. As it sits there are all of 17 Counties that are commercial. 1 allows deliveries. That means that all the other Counties are not commercial. Yes, the vast majority of Cali is non-commercial.
The reality on the ground across the state of California it that things are not better on any level, they are worse and getting worse.
It was gratifying that the head of the State pot growers sued the state recently for doing exactly what we warned about. It is said that imitation is the sincerest form of flattery, if that’s the case, thanks Hez.
According to Hezekiah Allen, executive director of the California Growers Association, which filed the suit in Sacramento County Superior Court, the farm-size caps are essential to stop the industry from becoming “Big Tobacco 2.0”
Last week I was at another press conference in SF. I was standing shoulder to shoulder with the Catholic Archdiocese of SF, the head of the Congress On Racial Equality (CORE) and The Pacific Justice Foundation among others. The event was held in a very special location.
We were in the magnificent Chinese Episcopal Church on Noriega in SF. A Church that has a full day care and all day long bi-lingual tutoring. The planning commission in SF had made the egregious decision to allow a pot shop across the street in violation of prop 64. The worst part is it was a politically connected former mayor of Oakland that got the ok. The righteous uproar forced even the SF Board of Supervisors to grant the appeal to protect the neighborhood. A neighborhood of color.
The facts are that most liquor stores and pot shops are in neighborhoods of color.
I spoke about the facts in NorCal.
We have had elected officials in Truckee threatened when the community wisely rejected commercial weed.
Nevada County has too many stories of abused neighborhoods like Wolf Dr. Do any of you feel safer in your neighborhood? I hear NO in a big way every day.
The audit of the commercial pot shops in Sac. City showed they were selling black market weed, lying, cheating and even refusing entry to auditors even though the license required it. On Kathleen Ave in Sac the city is not protecting homeowners who are getting harassed for opposing a license applicant who is running without a license.
We were promised that things would get better, have they for your neighborhood?
What I hear from people who failed in other states in the weed business and locals who have no idea about what real world business plans are is that we MUST make what they want to do legal here everywhere. Do we really? I think we need to see an enforcement model in CA that works first.
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George Rebane
The perennial healthcare debate didn’t get any more clear with the latest release of US life expectancy data by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the British Medical Journal. Our life expectancy is 1.5 years lower than the average in OECD countries, and it decreased by another 0.1 year to 78.6 in the most recent (2016) calculation. The single-payer (nationalized healthcare) advocates always jump to this stat to argue that we should adopt the highly propagandized and unsustainable socialized system like Canada’s or the British National Healthcare Service. But such simple thinking behind single-payer neither discovers the causal factors of longevity, nor points to a workable reform of our healthcare system.
As cited in the BMJ and by the CDC, the US death rate, hence life expectancy, is almost completely determined by our wealth and culture, and not by how healthcare is delivered and consumed in America. We have the money and the cultural support to continue killing ourselves early with everything from illegal drugs, prescribed opioids, horrible diets, sedentary lifestyles, growing suicide rates (mostly among rural whites), …, in short, activities that less wealthy and more traditional populations don’t value or have the time, wherewithal, or interest to raise to lethal levels. (more here)
But all that makes no never mind to our central planners for whom nationalizing healthcare is just one of many steps they prescribe to fundamentally transform America into a second world country in which government is the gentle giant and end-all in people’s lives. The issue recently rose to prominence when President Trump called the British NHS “broke and not working” (here) This accurate assessment, of course, caused the usual anti-Trump uproar, especially from British politicians who have been unsuccessfully wrestling with attempting to make the NHS work for several decades. Today the system’s shortages in physicians, hospital beds, and diagnostic facilities (e.g. CT scanners) is critical as reported in the British press (here and here). NHS waiting times have always been long, both for scheduled treatment and daily in the waiting rooms (often exceeding 12 hours). Recently these have “spiked” even higher, driving ever more people to seek private healthcare services both in and out of country.
The problem with the NHS and ALL other nationalized healthcare systems is lack of sustainability. Their costs are constantly overrunning the nationally budgeted funding levels which also increase year-over-year. But more importantly, the healthcare budgets are commanding ever greater percentages of the countries' GDPs and government budgets – the litmus tests of unsustainable enterprises. The socialists' only answer to all such undertakings diving for the mud is that ‘well, it ain’t crashed yet’. And while the rush to collapse continues, the daily solution to the problems entails ever more rationing, and simply doing without (which is also what lengthening waiting times constructively do).
In the US and elsewhere, none of this information must be allowed to concern our already neurodiverse fellow citizens. ‘Neurodiverse’, ‘neurotypical’, ‘neurodivergent’, … ?? We’ll soon be hearing more about these new ways to look at and describe our neighbors and co-workers, whether we like it or not. Stay tuned.
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George Rebane
Lots of pot businesses coming to Nevada City. In the 5feb18 Union our George Boardman documents (here) the lament he shares with many of the town’s locals and most certainly many other county residents. Now I’m a longtime proponent of legalizing MJ (to avoid Einsteinian insanity), but I’m not yet smart enough to know how best to do it. My advice has been for our little community not to spearhead bringing in multiple dispenseries and processing facilities – let some others do it first and let’s see what we can learn from them before making our county the state’s Marijuana Mecca. We need to heed Mr Boardman’s call for more citizens to get involved in debating this on councils and boards. (See also Don Bessee's related byline here.)
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[We'll keep the 2feb18 sandbox open for some residual Nunes memo discussion until an update post on the now dueling memos. Mea culpa for not have a general purpose sandbox open during this interval. gjr]
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George Rebane
Capitalism’s cancer is corporatism, when corporations grow so large that they need government to stifle their competition and in the process kill capitalism.
As we witness the massive lamestream and Democrat pushback on the Nunes memo (more here, here, and here), thoughts turn to how Deep State has survived and thrived over the years and how it operates – specifically how it defends itself and deflects the occasional foray against it such as is currently being attempted. A little reflection reveals that the Deep State has baked in some pretty impressive and longstanding defenses; I would even argue that they are natural defenses in the sense of being intrinsic to such an institution.The case for Deep State’s (DS’s) natural defenses can be summarized in the following points –
- The DS is necessarily political. To believe that its cadre hew to some ideological middle is beyond naïve. As a minimum, DS always seeks to endear itself to the political faction which provides its current succor and assures its longest survival. This DS attribute is now organic in our penultimately polarized republic.
- DS as a hierarchically structured bureaucracy is also intrinsically survivalist regardless of its ideological cast or that of its political sponsors. This is a well-known and documented aspect of all bureaucracies going back to biblical times.
- The career staff manning the various DS units has been and continues to be politically biased. In the lower levels its workers know that their job security depends on pleasing their department bosses and minimally, if at all, on how they satisfy their ‘client’ needs. They also know that they will not be able to command their current benefits if forced to seek employment in the private sector. For lower level staffs having government employment on your resume puts you at a distinct disadvantage. Therefore, these workers are fiercely loyal to forces and initiatives that promulgate large government.
- An extremely powerful natural ally of DS is the practice and growth of corporatism – the state of private/public sector collusion wherein government and corporations benefit each other through trading market protections (against competition foreign and domestic) for campaign contributions, direct ‘bag money’, and lucrative post-public service employment. Corporatism serves both the elected and the higher echelons of the DS.
- The DS is always prepared and extremely compliant to being weaponized by their political favorites to launch attacks against designated political, commercial, and private citizen cohort targets. This is more so when the DS units are directed against targets they perceive as being inimical to their survival if the power balances should shift.
- Natural political allies of the DS are parties and movements that promote the versions of collectivist governance, since for those ideologies the growth of government and its bureaucracies is endemic, being marbled in their social values and various objectives leading to the eventual fundamental transformation of America.
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George Rebane
In a republic the only government oversight the people have is through their elected representatives, and that is necessarily political.
The 2feb18 release of the Nunes memo underscores a serious concern that has arisen among most Americans since the Obama era national elections, and now heightened by the suspicious goings on during and after the 2016 presidential campaign and election. Major federal agencies such as the IRS, EPA, VA, NLRB, CFPB, FBI, and DoJ have all been exposed as behaving in the interest of its bureaucrat managers, and against the interests of Americans whom they were established to serve. It is not necessary to go through the litany of the specific corruptions both revealed, alleged, and buried. Anyone can resurrect them by just typing in the agency’s initials along with ‘corruption’ to get a laundry list of historical and current malfeasances.
The barely visible and totally invisible machinations of the federal departments we now label as happening in the ‘Deep State’. And most Americans understand from the news and government reports that the Deep State may best be viewed as the secretive and mostly hidden fourth branch of government that is nowhere called for in our founding documents, but, putatively under the President, is supposed to implement the laws, regulations, executive orders, and rulings handed down from the three constitutional federal government arms. Of the three, Congress has the additional job of oversight, to make sure that these bureaus, departments, and agencies are acting according to the intent and prescriptions of their enabling legislation.
One can argue that the Deep State has always been with us, because it comes alive naturally when growing organizations spawn departments whose continued existence, growth, and influence does not depend on the quality of service they provide their designated clients. But its existence becomes toxic when it comes to be used as a tool for meting out rewards and punishments to satisfy the needs of their sponsors. In government these sponsors are its politically controlled branches and sub-branches – e.g. Congress and its various committees.
Before the days of radically polarized political parties, oversight of the Deep State had a chance of working because its operating units had a more unified direction, and operating according to its rule book was the safest route for Deep State managers – both parties wanted more or less of the same future for the country. Such a common vision has now been eroding for the last fifty years, and today our political factions have publicly declared their diametrically opposite futures for America. As political scientists and historians have concluded, today the two major parties are really in mortal combat, each seeking advantage to completely destroy their opponent.
With this mindset, the party in power naturally resorts to weaponizing the Deep State against the party out of power. In this enterprise the Left has had a distinct and demonstrated advantage, since its goal is to establish a national collective based on central planning and control by the elites, which fosters the sustenance and growth of government as embodied in the components of its Deep State. In short, the Deep State is already staffed and operating with the mindset that fosters one party’s objectives and modus operandi.
It is then not a large step from the installation of people such as Hillary Clinton, Eric Holder, Loretta Lynch, John Koskinen, … under whom the likes of ‘career managers’ like James Comey, Lois Lerner, Bruce Ohr, and Andrew McCabe were inspired to initiate and carry out actions that were definitely in the agenda-driven and often intentionally illegal service of their political betters.
When the inevitable scandals do emerge and there is opportunity to shed light and hold accountable those responsible, then it is always the political beneficiaries of the Deep State who leap to the defense and seek to seal the shutters. They use scurrilous exhortations against the truth seekers, such as transforming the investigation of the rotten managements into unwarranted attacks against the department’s “thousands of hardworking men and women”, when there is no intent or evidence of the investigation or its reporting to impugn their labors. Such responses are nothing short of political lies intended to pluck the heartstrings of the ignorant and unread. This kind of lie is often accompanied by more direct and easily detectable lies. In the Nunes memo case, some opponents of its release told the nation that the memo’s contents would reveal highly secret sources and methods which would compromise our nation’s security. As is now evident even for the fourth-grade level reader, the memo contains no such revelations.
The fundamental arguments for the release of sanitized reports of investigations into the corrupt activities of the Deep State all rest on the necessary prerequisite, that if we as a people are to govern ourselves, in the manner of The Great Experiment bequeathed by our Founders, then we must see things for ourselves to the maximum extent possible. And for the part that prudent maintenance of national security – and only national security – requires, then there we must trust the reports and decisions of our elected representatives since we are not a democracy with oversight by the national committee of the whole.
My representatives argued persuasively for the release of this memo to shed light on some of the most recent perversions of the Deep State, and I am grateful that they had the courage to follow through and give us the appropriate information. I only trust that this is not the only burst of sanitizing sunshine that we see during the coming months, because clearly there is more, much more.
[3feb18 update] A better example of Deep State’s rogue roots than Hillary’s corrupt international escapades is hard to find. And even there we must limit our attention to only one of her many – space and time don’t allow a full discussion that is better suited for a large volume or perhaps an anthology. Here I want us to focus on her uranium dealings with Russia as a real example of collusion corrosive to our nation. Investigative journalist Anne Williamson has assembled this story – ‘Beyond Imagination: Uranium One’ – in the Jan2018 issue of Chronicles. I suggest reading it to get a better perspective on our Deep State’s international tentacles, and what yet could and should come out from both Mueller’s investigative wanderings, and in subsequent House Intelligence Committee memos. -
[The Nunes memo is out and may be read here on Politico and other sites. I've added a link to download Kim Strassel's 2feb18 WSJ column 'Memo Reading for Nonpartisans' here - Download Memo Reading for Nonpartisans. Lots to consider and discuss. gjr]
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