Rebane's Ruminations
November 2026
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  • George Rebane

    Well, maybe I deserved it.  I was taken to task by some strong comments appended to Jeff Pelline’s Union article on emergency preparedness.  This upbraiding is for what, even to me, was a lengthy presentation of my bonafides before giving some input during the recent county economic development summit at the Miner’s Foundry.  I apologize for the amount of wind it took me to say it.

    That afternoon the audience was filled with all the usual representatives from the county’s legion of non-profits and activists and special interest groups.  There was little evidence of many for-profit employers in attendance, they must have been minding their stores/shops.  So before I gave my distinctly politically incorrect input, I wanted to make sure people knew it didn’t come from someone who had never been there nor done that.  But if summarizing one’s business experience – garnered over 45 years – makes people think that you might know something, then I take the “smart” appellation as a compliment, no matter by which side of the hand it was delivered.  Nevertheless I do wish I could have said it shorter and was happy to see that the solicited comments from the audience petered out way before the clock did.  Everyone who wanted to speak had more than ample opportunity to do so.

    However, the criticism from the left about my representing the “rich” retired people is expected but misdirected.  I was talking about the thousands of us in Nevada County who are retired and own our own home.  We demand very few services, put down a gentle footprint, like to and do shop locally, and generously support local charities.  For the simple reason that we are empty nesters and employment is no longer an issue, we are able to move very easily if the environment here turns bad.  It is a reality that is often forgotten in this county with double the average percentage of older folks – we are pandered by the local social engineers, but otherwise ignored.  However, to the class warriors at the meeting, anyone who is retired and owns their home is instantly a member of the benighted rich living off the backs of the poor.  As such, the content of our words can be dismissed by simple attribution as a discredited source. 

    And so our community again makes a show of promoting economic development guided by those for whom profit and its pursuit is misunderstood, foreign, and distasteful.

    (PS – Most of us whose public comments are made over our own names continue to decry the futility of dialogue with people who hide behind the veil of anonymity.  In such cases it is hard to tell whether they are sincere in their statements or use the veil to vent some mood of the day so that they will not be burdened by consistency or coherence in their diatribes.  Most disconcerting is that some profiles of the pen names (e.g. “General J”) used by these worthies are not even registered by The Union as required by their stated policy.  How could they get around doing that without some inside connection to the newspaper?  But then again, I guess "yellowdog" says it all.)

       

  • George Rebane

    Yesterday we heard reports about Vallejo’s financial problems and that it may soon declare bankruptcy.  Groups of city emergency services employees are resigning early so as to save their pensions.  These dire straits are reported in other media markets (see here), our local media have yet to see a reason to report or comment on the matter.  For a more complete discussion of this situation as it may apply to local governments in Nevada County, read the piece by Mike McDaniel, Executive Director of SESF. 

    To this observer, Vallejo’s problem seems to be the same ol’ same ol’ of government taking care of its employees.  The typical scenario goes something like this.  Since government deals with other people’s money (OPM) that it has the imprimatur to collect by force if necessary, there is little feedback between performance and pay.  To get along, everyone goes along and ratchets employee wages and benefits at every opportunity.  These become fixed obligations in the budget.  The rest of the stuff, like services and infrastructure maintenance, is done with what’s left over. And if there is not enough left over to cover such needs, then they are deferred – e.g. the potholes are not fixed again this year.  Soon such deferments pile up until a critical point is reached the solution to which is always the need for more government income through either higher taxes or more borrowing (which leads to higher taxes, a result of the TINFL Law).

    What to do?  Easy, manufacture a very visible crisis by shutting/slowing down a widely appreciated or critical government service or function – say, close the municipal swimming pool – and then pitch the need for higher taxes or a new bond issue.  This process can be pulled a number of times before the voters catch on.  But, hey, what can we do?  We need our water, sanitation, parks, fire, and police.

    We in Nevada County are lucky that our city and county governments are not up to any such shenanigans.  Just recently the county declared itself fiscally fit as a fiddle, and since there is no peep from the cities (or alarms from our ever watchful media) they must be doing OK also.  As opposed to the folks in Vallejo – and a lot of other cities eyeing how Vallejo wiggles out of this one – we here in the mountains are truly blessed.

    TINFL? – pronounced ‘tinfel’ – is the old ‘there is no free lunch’ maxim.

  • George Rebane

    A letter from today’s WSJ –

    I teach eighth-graders about Karl Marx’s "take from each according to their means and give to each according to their needs."  The teacher takes away 20 points on a test from those who got 95 and gives those points to those who had 55.  Therefore everybody now has 75.  OK class, will the 55 students study for the next test?  No!  Why bother studying (working) if it will be given to you.  And what will the 95 students do?  The same thing.  Why bother working (studying) when it will be taken away.  What will happen to the class average (the standard of living) on future tests?  The average will go down.  Eighth-graders understand this.

    George Cull
    Peninsula, Ohio

    And this from a correspondent in the Wachington DC area on catching wild pigs:

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    “Read with Caution” is the warning label on the column of blogs to which RR is consigned on Nevada County Voices.  And so is the website of the non-partisan SESF (of which I am the Director of Research.)  Of continuing interest are the left-liberals who deny vehemently that self-declared progressives, who overwhelmingly make up the content providers in the mainstream media, can create an industry that has no political bias.  However, if a conservative or libertarian contributes a non-partisan piece to a non-partisan information outlet that by law must remain so, that outlet is still labeled right-wing regardless of the lack of any supporting evidence.  In short, the lefties can control themselves to be non-partisan.  But the righties, not similarly blessed, are condemned forever to spew forth only partisan output from which the unsuspecting readers must be protected with warnings and other proscriptions.

    The actual political spectrum is a bit more complicated than the linear left-to-right or liberal-to-conservative.  The two major dimensions of socio-political thought involve personal freedom and Nolanchart economic freedom.  The modern left-liberals are thought to occupy the space where personal freedoms are high (moral relativism, et.al.) and economic freedoms are low (central control of wealth and its distribution).  The conservative right is ascribed a region near high economic freedoms and low personal freedoms (rules for bedroom and abortion).  People of the libertarian persuasion claim the area that maximizes both personal and economic freedoms.  Finally the manipulated populist is the citizen stupid (not ignorant) enough to be persuaded that s/he will do best under an appropriately configured authoritarian regime providing little personal and economic freedom.  The Nolan Chart here shows how these political belief systems relate to one another.  A short quiz here lets you place a dot at the coordinates of your socio-political orientation.

  • George Rebane

    In The Union a gentleman commenting on Jeff Ackerman’s 12feb08 column ‘We need to hang together, or just plain hang’ posted the following remarks.

    Let’s Cut Back on Spending, by Corps, in the Form of Dividends
    Now there where there might be some real savings. If the corporations weren’t pumping out all the excess profits as dividends, it might be easier to say, "hey, that’s unreasonable, and ought to be taxed." Corporations buy themselves all kinds of perks by paying dividends, including hiding where the money is going.

    It’s funny that 50% of teachers quit within 5 years, but CEO’s don’t step down until asked. Do you suppose the high wages might be a motivator for staying on? That excuse is used to justify paying thm high wages in the first place when they are hired. The rest of the world is never motivated by high wages, just the CEO’s. Why if you paid those teachers who a quitting, a million dollars a year, they’d still walk off the job.
    by Keachie on Tue, 12 Feb 2008 13:42:27 PST

    This worthy is an example of America’s “dumbth” (as characterized by the late Steve Allen) by an individual who most likely takes his wisdom regularly into the voting booth.  He can identify the level at which profits become “excessive”; he doesn’t know that dividends are already taxed; he thinks corporate “perks” come out of paying dividends to shareholders; and then figures that corporate earnings can be hidden through the declared and recorded payment of dividends.

    A further peek into his curious store of knowledge reveals that only corporate CEOs are motivated by high wages.  And alas, he then goes merrily sailing off the cliff of reason in a jumble of words attempting to characterize the financial behavior of teachers.  The unhailed benefits of a pluralistic democracy, oh my.

    Lawyers Embrace U.S. Climate Practice at $700 an Hour – First create a swamp, then force everyone to wade through it, and finally, count the leaches that cover the bodies of those who are able climb out on the other side – not all will have enough blood left to make it.

  • George Rebane

    A new batch of Darwin Awards were claimed in Accokeek, Maryland this weekend.  The candidates were required to report to a straight stretch of in-service highway in the wee hours of the morning.  Darwinawards There they had to assemble on either side of the road to watch two cretins in over-powered vehicles drag race.  As the cars took off down the road in a cloud of burning rubber and exhaust, the applicants then had to quickly fill in behind the cars on the road all facing away from oncoming traffic in the direction of the departed racers.  This would create a solid phalanx of human bodies into which the next unsuspecting vehicle driving at normal highway speed would plow.  Eight of the participants received the terminal Darwin Award, thereby dutifully removing themselves from the gene pool.  At least five others received honorable mention about which they will hear as soon as some semblance of consciousness returns and the hospital permits visitors.

  • George Rebane

    The following came in an email from a learned friend and regular RR visitor who lives in New Hampshire.  I think these thoughts frame so well the complexities and unknowns of the anthropogenic global warming and climate change issues that I wanted to share them in their entirety.  My responses to specific points/questions follow.

    ====================================================

    Morning, George,  Your summary dismissal from The Union blog sounds egregious and ignominious, though it certainly reflects the times, and obviously your “diverse viewpoints” did not at all fit-their-bill,  and I could not tell if condolences were in order.  If so, please accept them.  Or locally is there an aspect of the wounded warrior here? We loved your “local dust devil on main street”. 

    I read your earlier writings on climate and had some  chuckles at some of the responses … man, you get’m all upset, even if they don’t understand you … and was  impressed by some good arguments by others.  I am sending along here some of my own thoughts. Non-scientific.  Sorry.  And before I forget, what is utility & decision theory?
    **************************

    Rubric:  Your Sisyphean Task.
    Global climate change is not a “yes” or a “no”, not a “true” or a “false”.  It is the natural, perpetual condition of what we call the earth’s “weather”, and our existence depends on it.  But the phrases climate change and global warming have become “memes” and taken on lives of their own, so now when I hear people refer to either, I know they are referring to changes and warmings which they believe are the result of human activity and which are different from what is considered normal.  I also know that they are referring to anthropogenic changes and warmings which they believe are nudging the parameters of our planet’s climate toward ever more extreme conditions and even out to the edges of those conditions that sustain life on earth.  And, finally, I know that they are referring to anthropogenic pollution as the cause.  Whether-or-not that is the case we don’t know, but I think it’s irrelevant.

    It does appear that the debate is over, but I do not believe it’s over because the science is right or that an age of enlightenment is upon us but because climate change and global warming have become inextricably linked in peoples’ minds to pollution.  It no longer matters whether CO2 and mercury and all their little brothers-and-sisters have anything to do with global warming.  Most people believe they do. Plus, the pollution here on the ground is nasty.  If there is a link or no-link, so be it.  Even if a very high wall could be built between pollution and climate, even if it turns out we are dealing with normal global climate fluctuations, the clean-up needs to happen.

    So the contestants can parse and deconstruct the terms and the science until the cloned and genetically modified cows come home, and they should, and someday many scientists may have egg on their faces, but in the end, sooner better than later, we will have a lot of good science, a lot of good technology, and maybe a lot of good fresh fish back in the seas. 

    I think at this juncture we would all do well to be reminded of Emmanuel Kant and of those wondrous hours we spent years ago trying to make sense of his categories of mind and of being humbled, and somewhat annoyed, to discover that our capacity to think and to know is not quite as infinite as we thought and that the terms of the analysis alter the outcome and that just because we can think in a certain way does not mean that we should or that it does us any good. That’s about as close as Kant ever got to humour.

    So, George, I hope that this gives you a sense of where I am at on all this. Some days I am very pessimistic, and others I can see some light.  My (wife), who is even more ferocious on this than I, is even more pessimistic:  that our entire society and economic model are dependent on excessive consumption which in turn results in excessive energy needs which result in more and more pollution here and around the world.  We do believe, however, that technology is one of the things man does well and agree with you that somewhere in the next 100 yrs, we’ll get a handle on it.   A nip of trouble awaits us, however, between now and then, and even possibly an unforeseen thing or two. 

    Hope this finds you well and ever embroiled.  Ne perds pas la foi. 

    ============================================ gjr reply follows

    Re my dismissal from The Union’s blog – thanks to friends and readers like you, I am in no sense the “wounded warrior”.  I hold the hope that after some period of purgatory, I will again be admitted into their dominion of light – but there is, of course, no guarantee since I’m not sure that they have yet properly assessed and digested all my sins.  The newspaper is going through a difficult transition, and we independent bloggers are definitely seen as loose cannons, no matter which way our muzzles may point.  I have kept a civil tongue in hopes that such contrite behavior will bear on their better natures.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    This used to be the bawdy definition of ‘divorce’, but now, alas, it will have to do double duty for Social Security as well.  For those of you not yet retired or close to retirement and paying in to Social Security, be prepared for (drum roll please) The Entitlements Meltdown.  TEM is a certainty since to maintain promised payout levels we would all have to be taxed at rates between 50% to 80% according to Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff. 

    If you consider this to be a slim chance, then Plan B is for the US Government to say ‘just kidding’ to you younger workers by citing the 1960 Fleming v. Nestor decision of the Supreme Court, to wit – the government has no legal obligation to pay the worker because the worker has no legal right to Social Security – entitlements are not a contractual obligation like other government securities.

    Add to all this the fact that, as David Brooks of the NYT recently reported, “the U.S. government has $43 trillion in unfunded liabilities, or $350,000 for every taxpayer. Standard & Poor’s projects that in 2012, the U.S. will lose its AAA bond rating.” , then you begin to get the right perspective here. 

    I say ‘begin’ because the unfunded liabilities story doesn’t end there.  States have an additional layer of unfunded liabilities waiting for future taxpayers, and then we have your local county and city.  Our Nevada County governments currently have visible unfunded liabilities in the order of $50M for just government worker pension benefits.  (For an up-to-date report on this visit SESF.)  Other layers are waiting to be added.

    Recall that the federal government gets money only through taxation, borrowing, and printing the stuff (called fiat currency) – the latter two go to make up the ‘invisible tax’of inflation.  From here on out your dollars are going to be protected only to the degree that they are backed by a healthy and growing economy abetted by a fiscal (taxing and spending) policy that keeps investors investing.  When investment stops, then look out below because Santa Claus resigned some time ago.

  • George Rebane

    • Super Tuesday in Nevada County – Take Two
    • For Your Offline Friends
    • Bill Gates’ ‘Creative Capitalism’

    Super Tuesday in Nevada County – Take Two  On 7 February 2008 The Union published a glowing piece on Mr. Gregory Diaz, County Clerk-Recorder, and how smoothly and competently the county’s election was conducted.  This is available here.  Hints of an alternative view began to emerge almost immediately.  The YubaNet had a reporter at the Rood Center and filed this report on YubaNet.com.  Hopefully we learned a lot this time around so that when reporting the June election we will see The Union and YubaNet flying in a tighter formation.  (For the record – Mr. Diaz’s daughter Angela Diaz is an employee of The Union.)

    For Your Offline Friends – Remember those who scoffed at putting a telephone into their house and thought the tin lizzies were a passing fad.  Well, neither do I.  But I recently read and now cannot find a short little thought that went something like this –

    Those with no access the internet wake up every morning into a world with yet another light turned off.

    ‘Creative Capitalism’ was proposed at Davos by Bill Gates who intensely dislikes (I hate the word ‘hate’) Bill Easterly’s ‘White Man’s Burden’ on the follies of western aid to the third world.  Like Soros and Buffett, Gates has now joined the enlightened billionaires club, and seeks to remake the world into a place where people get to their levels of wealth only through the power of the bayonet.  In a 7feb08 WSJ article New York University economics professor and former World Bank economist Easterly writes –

    The number of poor people who can’t afford food for their children is a lot smaller than it used to be — thanks to capitalism. Capitalism didn’t create malnutrition, it reduced it. The globalization of capitalism from 1950 to the present has increased annual average income in the world to $7,000 from $2,000. Contrary to popular legend, poor countries grew at about the same rate as the rich ones. This growth gave us the greatest mass exit from poverty in world history.

    The parts of the world that are still poor are suffering from too little capitalism. Foreign direct investment in Africa today, although rising, amounts to only 1% of global flows. That’s because the environment for private business in Africa is still hostile. There are some industry and country success stories in Africa, but not enough.

    And in response to the state being the central planner of human economic activity –

    Much research suggests that "picking winners" through government industrial policy hasn’t worked. Winners are too unpredictable to be discovered by government bureaucrats, much less by outside philanthropists. Why did Egypt capture 94% of Italy’s import market for bathroom ceramics? Why did India, an economy with scarce skilled labor, become a giant in skill-intensive IT and outsourcing? Why did Kenya capture 39% of the European market in cut flowers? Why did tiny Lesotho become a major textile exporter to the U.S.? Why did the Philippines take over 72% of the world market in electronic integrated circuits? Because for-profit capitalists embarked on a decentralized search for success.

  • George Rebane

    • Older Americans vs Illegal Aliens
    • Thomson preparing to leave Nevada County?

    •  This from a correspondent.  Hard to believe that this will actually become a reality, but stranger things have happened.

    “5 million of our older Americans have not signed up yet for their Medicare, Part D, drug plan——they are old and confused.

    We are NOT going to grant them an extension.

    However, 12 million illegal aliens are in our country and we are going to allow them to stay, protest, procreate, receive support monies, attend schools, avoid paying income taxes, have our teachers take 300 hours of ESL(English as a Second Language) training at our expense, etc.”

    •  Thomson is selling the GV tech center site as reported in the breaking story from Russ Steele’s NC Media Watch.  While other reasons are possible, our political leadership should take the most likely interpretation that Thomson is preparing to pull stakes.  This is a bad time to be selling any real estate, and if leaving is not a viable alternative being considered, then there would be no reason not to hold on until the market improves.  Thomson is a multi-national electronics giant for whom cash from a crash sale should not be a critical part of their plan forward.  There should be a full court press on the county’s part to discover the true reasons for this and consider them seriously as we go forward (some day) with our own economic development plan.  Stay tuned to Russ as he ferrets out the substance here.

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