Rebane's Ruminations
November 2026
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  • George Rebane

    SEIU This is the first Labor Day in which we celebrate/mourn that membership in public service employee unions now exceeds that in the private sector.  The Heritage Foundation reports here that –

    Collective bargaining, the anti-trust exemption at the heart the labor movement’s power, was created to help workers seize their “fair share” of business profits. But if a union ends up extracting a contract from a private firm that eats up too much of the profits, then that firm will be unable to reinvest those resources and will lose out to competitors. But when a union extracts a generous contract from a government, there is no check on that spending. Instead of being forced out by more efficient competitors, the government just raises taxes.

    The shift from private to public sector has fundamentally changed organized labor’s priorities. Unions used to support policies that would help their private sector employers grow. But now that they are largely dependent on the government, the only growth that unions are interested in is the growth of government. So unions push for tax increases across the country.

    Public service labor unions across the world continue to flex their muscles and cow governments in their demand for greater benefits and resistance to cost cutting in countries they have driven onto fiscal shoals.  Their oft demonstrated message is simple, ‘Pay us more, or we’ll shut you down.’  In America politicians and public service unions learned long how to do-si-do so that they can together pilfer our wallets while seemingly keeping the peace.  But that idyll will soon come to an end.

    Now go have a brew, put another shrimp on the barbie, and don’t think about it.

  • George Rebane

    Hawking2010 From multiple sources we hear that The Grand Design, the latest offering from Professors Stephen Hawking and Leonard Mlodinow, will appear a few days from now on 7 September 2010.  This is an essay on their most current theory of the cosmos – we recall that cosmology is science in the large about all existence.  The punch line of their findings is that they have finally cracked the code on ‘Why God Did Not Create the Universe’.  In the 4sep10 WSJ article of the same name, the noted scientists co-author an explanation for the rest of us as to why their main thesis must be true.

    Seeing the title, I got all excited as I usually do whenever the most recent and definitive attempt to usher God out of the picture is advertised.  Maybe this time they’ll finally go beyond the next step in ‘Sonny, it’s turtles all the way down!’  Sadly, I was disappointed.  In their latest effort, Hawking and Mlodinow take another turn around the same old barn, joining the many similarly motivated scientists all of whom continue to add another lap to this irresolvable race to evict any form of an overarching intelligent designer in the cosmos.  Some time ago I gave an accounting (‘Multiverses All the Way Down’) of this perennial effort in which the reader new to the cosmology circus will also find the ‘turtles all the way down’ story.

    Nevertheless, Hawking is one of my heroes (my definition, not the media’s), and I will read the book just to make sure I’m not speaking out of the wrong end on this latest attempt.  Before I continue, let’s take a look at the conclusion of their WSJ piece where they triumphantly serve their eviction notice.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    This was to be my bi-weekly KVMR commentary to be aired last night.  After recording it, I have asked Paul Emery to pull it because its inclusion of Steve Frisch by name could launch another round of ‘equal time’ broadcasts that threaten to subsume the important Prop23 issue into a seeming personal matter between Steve and me.  While I still intend to address Steve’s support of AB32 and opposition to Prop23 in detail (starting here), I consider the better venue for that is within the pages of RR and other blogs that care to participate in this debate.  I also consider Steve Frisch to be an erudite exemplar of the left’s efforts to remake California into a well-regulated socialist template, that by example can be replicated across this land.  And therefore addressing his arguments is important not only for setting the record straight, but also for understanding the progressive mind which may soon come to rule us all.

    In the greater context, this piece is another appeal to the Nevada County Supervisors to take a public stand on Prop23, and in the process explain to us all what they perceive the impact of AB32 on our local economy.  They are charged with understanding such measures to a greater degree than the rank and file voter who look to their political leadership for counsel on deciding how to vote on imporant matters such as Prop23.  The least we all deserve from our Supervisors is to know their sense of this issue – good or bad for us? or to admit that even they can’t figure what the hell is going on.  Whatever it is, we deserve more than the answer we would get from asking faces drawn on five two-by-fours.

    This morning John Spencer, Supervisor District #3, wrote a piece for The Union (here) laying out a pretty vanilla characterization of the AB32P23 situation.  It was so ‘balanced’ that it made no mention of the big government railroad that CARB has put AB32 implementation on by basing its regulations on the reports of a discredited ‘scholar’, ignoring California’s own Legislative Analyst's Office output, and then seeking concurrence from  the prestigious Charles River Associates.  When CRA also disagreed with CARB’s internal propaganda that would guarantee its growth and power, CARB simply ignored CRA and swept its damning conclusions under the rug.

    I count John Spencer among my friends and am an unabashed supporter of his.  But friends can disagree, and I do disagree with John’s uninspired position on this entire issue.  I continue to urge him and his colleagues on the Board to seriously reconsider the impact of their impending silence on Proposition 23.

    The transcript of this un-aired commentary follows –

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    My less than brilliant performance Wednesday night on KVMR should not be misconstrued as giving up on the attempt to delay if not defeat AB32, which I and many others believe to be the coup de grace to California’s economy.  The fight to promote passage of Prop23 will go on in these pages and elsewhere until November.  As I dust myself off, let me begin by saying that almost every statement that Steven Frisch made that night and in his 22aug10 KVMR commentary was in ‘error’.  I do recall that we agreed on the correct pronunciation of AB32 and Proposition 23.

    In an email I was reminded that I went up against an “expert” which I readily admit.  Although the correspondent and I may disagree on the area of the implied expertise.  More importantly, when the ongoing AB32P23 debate is re/viewed, it is critical to understand who it is that is arguing for what.  Claiming to stand for justice, equality, and the people, the left has long gotten away with characterizing the right as having the only moneyed interests in any debate that involves public policy – legislation, taxes, fees, regulations, power, … .  This is an ingenuous position and simply not true.  There are moneyed interests on both sides.  Many voters often overlook the financial benefits and sinecures gained by government bureaucrats and bureaus, NGOs, public service employee unions, and the inevitable capitalists and corporations seeking a less risky government paved path to profits.  In our discussion I attempted to point this out from the gitgo.

    In the remainder of this piece I will address three aspects of Prop23 to illustrate what the left is doing –

    • The Prop23 Naming Bamboozle,
    • The Legislative Analysts Office (LAO) summary of Prop23 impact,
    • The Charles River Associates report on AB32 impact (solicited by CARB)

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  • George Rebane

    There is no visible improvement in the economy of Nevada County as a result of any of the stimulus packages that Washington is supposed to be redistributing to us.  Our left wing continues to cite all kinds of millions that are cascading into the county’s economy.  Their invisibility to the rest of us is papered over with all the hyped jobs “saved” which no one outside the propaganda factories in the land knows how to count.

    Many hereabouts are also more than a bit confused about AB32 and Prop23 (search RR for more) – on one hand they hail the great benefit to our county from hoped for subsidized jobs, on the other hand they maintain that the legislation is not relevant to our community.  In either case they are sticking their heads in the sand or in the other place where the sun don’t shine.

    NCARRA100903 

    Russ Steele at NCMW has more details on the local economic outlook here and here.  Fix yourself a strong adult beverage before hitting these links.

  • George Rebane

    Tonight I ‘discussed’ Prop23 with Steven Frisch on KVMR-FM 89.5.  News director Paul Emery did his best to moderate the forty minute discussion which turned out to be something else.  Steve was in his element and smooth as silk.  I felt like I was pushing a car with three flat tires up a hill.  Paul’s questions were broad and general, each of which would require a considered dissection and response.  Wrong.  It required the recitation of a well-rehearsed litany of ‘facts’ that were anything but.

    But that doesn’t matter in a half-hour give-and-take with no clock on the respondents or systematic order of ‘but and rebut’.  To be fair, we were all trying out an unknown format in real time, and to an extent we were all finding our way.  But as a professional environmental lobbyist, Steve definitely appeared to fly a very familiar route.  I discovered that going second to a laundry list of practiced propaganda is a losing proposition.  Do you address each of the just stated ‘errors’, or just ignore what the other guy said and give your own pitch, regardless of the question?

    Doing the former is what my training and instincts compel, but that takes excess time because you have to first again state the other’s original error before you can refute it.  I could have just said ‘Bullcrap, none of that is true!’, but mom unfortunately taught me different rules for polite company.  Going first with your claims is definitely the preferable high ground.  Taking an independent tack would wind us up talking past each other with the listener having no way to actually evaluate the points advanced.  But listening to the Barbara Boxer – Carly Fiorina debate that followed, ‘damn the torpedos’ would definitely have been the correct order of the day.

    Afterward, as I was trying to screw my head back onto my shoulders, I was puzzling on how many times Steve actually does this every day or week.  My goodness, the man is truly a pro who spouts this stuff effortlessly.  And here I had prepared a ¾ inch stack of tabbed notes in my lap from which I tried to find the exact citation that would blow his last ‘glib’ right out of the water.  Sorry Rebane, this is not a well-tempered battle of reason and logic, but the recitation of quick lists that pass for facts – you lose. 

    Before yielding the field, I do want to point out that voting YES on Prop23 would do nothing to “roll back” our air quality laws as claimed by the left.  Everything we have in place, stays in place.  Also, the so-called 500K “clean tech” jobs and “12,000” companies that are supposed to be in danger of being lost if AB32 is not fully implemented, is beyond hogwash.  Those jobs exist now without all the new taxes and regulations, are already in place, and will remain at their profit making companies.  They were labeled ‘clean tech’ jobs through an arbitrary and politically dictated procedure that makes sausage stuffing look like assembling microchips in a clean room.  (more at NC Media Watch here and here.)

    No doubt about it Steve, you were slick: Frisch – 1, Rebane – 0.

  • George Rebane

    RR readers are very familiar with my thoughts on socialized medicine.  Here is a summary of how our friends on the left look at Obamacare.  This was forwarded by a correspondent and friend who views himself as a 'New Deal Democrat'.  I found the inclusion of Jesus Christ especially heartening.

    Ten Terrible Things are happening since the Obama health care overhaul!
     
    1. Most people will now have health care.
    2. The insurance companies can no longer [have a Death Panel] deny people health care.
    3. The insurance companies can no longer [have a Death Panel] cancel your insurance when you become ill.
    4. Parents can keep their dependent children on their health insurance policy until they are 26.
    5. Insurance companies will have to be accountable for increases in premiums.
    6. Ceilings on annual or lifetime benefits will be eliminated. Also, people will be able to take their coverage with them if they leave a job.
    7. Insurers will have to reveal how they spend premiums – how much is used to cover medical care vs. how much is spent on executive salaries and administration costs. They will have to pay at least 85% of individual plans on medical care.
    8. The doughnut hole in the part “D” Medicare drug plan will eventually close.
    9. We have always helped the people that don’t work or don’t want to work – now we will help the people who work and cannot afford to have health insurance.
    10. Jesus would most certainly be for health care for everybody. Jesus would help those who can’t afford health care and so should we!

    The insurance companies spent millions of dollars trying not to let this happen by advertising, spreading lies and buying off the GOP. It happened anyway and now we have to live with it. What is this world coming to? This is terrible?

  • George Rebane

    The picture of the deficits over the last eight years is a telling story.  The graphic shows the deficits with the cost of the Iraqi war broken out as tallied by the US government.  For those keeping up, we have to add the shown amounts to about another $3 trillion dollars to come up with the total federal budget.

    Federal Deficits 

    Looking at the histogram, the effect of the Bush tax cuts is pretty clear.  Note that the costs of the surge needed to tip the balance and ‘win’ the war grew in 07 and 08.  And also note the size that the non-war deficit had achieved just before the ‘let ‘em all buy houses’ recession hit in 08.

    The travesty of Obama’s non-stimulating stimulus programs in 09 and 10 are hard to miss (yes, some of 08 also included the TARP bailouts fashioned by the Democratic Congress and Bush).

    With the White House filled with innumerates who can’t add without taking off both shoes, we are now extending the time that the one out of six Americans (and who knows how many illegals) can suck on the federal tit.  (Thanks to former Sen Alan Simpson for introducing the next level of explicit discourse into the national lexicon.)  Under Obama the federal budget now commands up to 25% of the nation’s GDP of which under 1% has been the cost of Iraq.  Servicing the national debt will soon eat up 25% of the federal budget – note that’s just the annual bamboozle so that the Chinese and Japanese will continue lending us money; it doesn’t pay off a penny of the principal amount we owe our creditors.  Is anyone paying attention to this???

    Given the utter failure of the administration’s misplaced fiscal stimuli – during the ballyhooed ‘Summer of Recovery’ the unemployment rate will actually increase – the leftwing know-nothings are now talking about an even a bigger stimulus that is needed after ARRA and its recent add-ons run out.  ‘Hey, that was a pretty stupid thing we did, so let’s do it again.’  For a good cry in your beer, you can read ‘The Folly of Subsidizing Unemployment’ by Harvard’s Robert Barro.

    Their big strategy is to continue giving money to the hand-to-mouthers so that the Dems can bag their votes, all without doing anything to give relief and reduce risk to the business owners who could create the jobs for the same people.  There isn’t a brain in the bunch smart enough to ask, let alone answer the question of ‘what comes after they spend the money we have given them this year?’  Answer to the slow of wit – the same thing that happened when the last tranche ran out without raising anything except future expectations for more hand-outs.

    Something about giving someone a fish or getting a fishing job instead comes to mind.

  • George Rebane

    Another one of those delightful, disorganized, and sometimes disjointed discussions has erupted in the comments following ‘The Reverends Beck and Sharpton Hold Meetings’.  The topic area has migrated from that of the original post on the Beck/Sharpton rallies in Washington, to the related area of types of governance that were actually the underlying thrusts of both rallies.  In this piece I will attempt to address a couple of themes that have emerged from those comments.

    One theme is that totalitarian governments can result from overzealous implementation of both collectivist and conservative approaches to governance.  I have energetically, if not always elegantly, argued that, yes, such may indeed be the endpoint from both starting points.  But by their very nature collectivist intentions (e.g. as represented by, say, progressive socialism) are far more prone to lead to the public’s demand for an authoritarian ‘man on a white horse’.  The prime cause for this is that collectivist economies have always depended on setting up altruistic commonses (a la Hardin) that eventually collapse and cause wholesale limiting of liberty and widespread misery.  It was ever thus.

    While collectivist literature – from Marx to B.F Skinner (Walden Two) – has always extolled a social utopia at the end of the road, conservative/libertarians have never promised anything of the sort.  The most these so-called ‘right wingers’ promise the people is a fair run for the money and place in the sun, with no guarantees that any given person will find either.  But regardless, the argument continues that a strongly collective society will be the best that imperfect Man can deliver.  The Left promises ‘equal achievement’, and the Right strives for equal opportunity.  One side understands that freedom and equality are two sides of a see-saw, the other side promises to raise both ends without breaking the damn thing.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    This coming Wednesday from 6:20 to 7:00 pm KVMR-FM 89.5 will hold a moderated discussion of AB32, the attempt to suspend the remainder of the law through the passage of Proposition 23, and the relevance of the whole effort to us in Nevada County.  AB32 is also known as California’s ‘Global Warming Solutions Act’, ‘cap and trade’ law, ‘greenhouse gases act’, … .  This live program will be moderated by KVMR’s News Director Paul Emery.  The discussants will be Steven Frisch, President of the Sierra Business Council, and yours truly.

    A more than thorough background on AB32/P23 can be found on these pages and on NC Media Watch (use keywords ‘AB32’ and ‘Proposition 23’ in the blogs’ search boxes).  Both Paul and Steve are RR readers and well-armed critics of the socio-political worldview I espouse, and my subsequent commentaries on happenings here, there, and everywhere.  Regular readers will correctly anticipate that Mr Frisch will continue his opposition to Prop23 and for the complete implementation of AB32, as will I continue my opposition to AB32 and for its suspension through passage of Prop23.

    It should be an interesting exchange of point counter-point as Paul (who promises to be neutral) takes us through the hot-button factors that define this internationally followed energy and economy management legislation in which we find California again taking the ‘lead’.  KVMR welcomes pre-emailed questions from those planning to listen.  Paul asks that you kindly email them to kvmrnews@hotmail.com .  It would probably help the folks at the station if you use some pithy title like ‘AB32/P23 fracas’.

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