Rebane's Ruminations
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  • George Rebane

    ObamaChange4Republican contender Romney is overlooking a key and compelling message to the voters.  He and his are just getting up to speed on, ‘Since Obama did not come close to meeting his first term promises of hope and change, and we are still in economic dire straits; what makes you think that Obama can deliver on the same promises during his second term?’

    The real message that no one seems to be talking about in the pundit universe, and that has been totally absent in Romney’s copy is, ‘Since Obama did not come close to meeting his first term  promises of hope and change when his second term prospects still hung in balance; what makes you think that now in his second term he will keep those promises when he has no such requirement to deliver, and need let nothing stand in the way of implementing his twisted (aka ineffective, butt stupid, wrongheaded, socialist, …) ideology on America?’

    Wordsmith it as you will, the logic of it is overwhelming, and this message should be heard from Republicans at all levels to the widest possible audiences until we vote on 6 November 2012.

  • George Rebane

    The bad news about Obamacare just keeps getting worse.  In addition to recent reports that colleges are dropping higher costing student health plans prescribed under the law’s provisions, we now discover that Obamacare puts a new excise tax on one of the remaining areas of job creating and innovation in which we still lead the world – medical device manufacturing.  It’s one of the few industries left that contributes to the positive side of our trade balance, and provides over 400,000 direct jobs and about two million indirect support jobs.  Here I’m talking about CT scanners, pacemakers, blood pressure devices, and even the new robots used in surgery.

    In ‘Obamacare’s Killer Device Tax’ Dr Henry Miller writes that “the US leads the world in medical technology.  A punitive new excise levy jeopardizes jobs and innovation.”  Team Obama sees this industry as the next one it can attack in order to further disable American leadership in innovation and commerce.  Obamacare will impose a new add-on 2.3% excise tax on medical devices that kicks in next January.  This is a serious kick in the shorts because of the high regulatory cost of jumping through hoops, and the long accrual of sales revenues required before ROI becomes positive.  It isn’t that hard overseas.

    And what happened to this year's five million new citizens that became of age and didn't bump the number in the workforce?  Lots of possible answers, "Or are more of the long-term unemployed becoming the never-again employed?"  The labor market participation has increased since the 1940s, then leveled and started going down around 2000, causing a lot of people to look for reasons.  My money is also on the govt worker retirees whose outlandish pensions came due, and made it easy to drop out early. Meanwhile on the campaign trail the Big Lie machine about how our economy is creating jobs under the Messiah is in full swing.  Daily the real news belies every bit of his empty braggadocio.

    ‘Testing is not Teaching’ is the growing cry of parents of minority kids across the country.  The teachers unions like NEA are joining in and asking that Congress roll back testing mandates that started under Bush2’s No Child Left Behind and were picked up by Obama’s Race to the Top.  The charges against testing range from being unfair to teachers, having arbitrary scoring levels, being poorly designed, to stifling the more creative aspects of education.  Teachers are accused of teaching to the tests, and they are not doing a good job at it.  Meanwhile other school districts are saying that their teachers have not changed their curricula, are not teaching to the tests, and that their kids are doing quite well on such tests.

    I’m a proponent of standardized testing in core skill areas like reading, writing, and math.  Testing can also be useful in confirming what kids have learned in the hard sciences like physics and chemistry.  But things get squishier when you add in questions about sociology, literature, and even civics.  The opponents of testing don’t tell us about reliable alternatives for measuring how kids and teachers are doing in the learning and teaching of critical skills that underpin the ability to do well in all the other subjects, and in life.

    For reasons that I don’t understand, the cost of testing has also gone up, even with the introduction of computers and other technology.  And that is part and parcel of the overall cost of education that is sky rocketing, again for reasons that both academics and economists are attempting to discover.  Over the years why does it cost more and more to turn out Susies and Johnnies who know less than ever?

    And did you catch that some school children from LA are suing California for promoting a "statutory scheme" that keeps bad teachers in classrooms, especially classrooms in low-income schools.

    Climbing Sugar Mountain.  Mark Zuckerberg’s baby is going to hit the merciless markets on Friday, and no one really knows what it’s worth.  Why?  Well, Facebook’s market cap will be based on “finding ways to make money that haven’t been demonstrated or articulated yet.”  No one is sure that ads on the social medium work, and dealing in the vast amounts of collected user data is an uncertain minefield.  And young Mr Zuckerberg has not exactly been sending strong signals about his concern for profits and acumen in being CEO of a public company, one that will be under intense scrutiny by everyone.  But what the hell – got a hunch, bet a bunch – after all,  people are saying that out the gate Facebook will be worth ten times as much as Google was at its IPO.

  • George Rebane

    Social futurist(?!) Sara Robinson tells us the real meaning of Mother’s Day, and comes up with quite an analysis of men from both sides of the political spectrum.  Her ‘How the Ayn Rand-Loving Right Is Like a Bunch of Teen Boys Gone Crazy’ is a worthy sample of what sites like AlterNet.com and truthout.com are telling their own kind.  Again, it’s worth a read for our more conservative and libertarian readers to get a measure of the chasm, and also some perspective on the criticism from our more liberal readers clucking their tongues for merely being identified as collectivists or socialists or liberal or leftwing – all labels apparently of a pejorative nature when uttered in mixed company, and in the light of day.  H/T to a reader who definitely does not identify with the right, and yet is a bit embarrassed at the extremes her brethren and cistern (or is it sistern?) dish out.

  • George Rebane

    [In my long working career I was privileged and very lucky to have worked with and under some truly remarkable and very smart people.  One of these was an older systems engineer extraordinaire and a complete gentleman by the name of Skip Case.  I was technically his peer, but I never considered myself as such.  In a number of different ways Skip taught all of us who worked with him.  Those who also bothered to learn, benefitted from his wisdom.

    Skip died a few years back, a little before I started RR, and was then only occasionally posting on the SESF website.  When I heard the news, it hit me that over the decades I and several others had been profitably using a phrase that he taught us years ago.  To remember Skip, I wrote the following vignette and posted it on the SESF website.  My most recent use of the phrase in a comment recalled the vignette, and I retrieved it to share with RR readers.  You may also find it useful some day, especially in the heated discussions of complex issues we cover here.]

    Skip Case RIP

    George Rebane – 21 May 2007

    The conference room was crowded with the company’s elite engineering talent and top management for a very important system design review meeting.  The decision taken today would impact the company’s standing and future role as the nation’s leading nuclear submarine combat systems developer and manufacturer.  In 1968 as a young hotshot engineer I was privileged to be included in that tense gathering of greats in a very secretive industry critical to the country’s well-being, yet almost completely and purposefully unknown to the outside world. On board every operational fleet ballistic missile and attack submarine of our Navy, our company’s systems were the ones that would likely fire the opening salvos of WW3.

    One of the company’s senior project engineers had just completed a presentation of an important design concept on which the effectiveness of the new system would hinge.  He was a man in his late forties of small yet lithe stature and thinning neatly combed hair.  What especially distinguished Skip’s presence was his gaze – he had the most focused and level gaze which when turned on you established an intellectual connection that would bind like a taught rope.  Using the fewest words needed, Skip always spoke precisely and with a calm urgency that made the listener want to lean forward in his chair so as not to miss a single pearl.

    Engineering, as a demanding technical profession, is often a ruthless forum in which mistakes and errors are pounced upon by peers for ego gratification, reputation enhancement, and generally counting coup.  Such critiques are most often spontaneous but sometimes, especially when corporate management will be present, they are planned ambushes of great sophistication.  That morning a mid-level division manager with a short career as a practicing engineer rose to deliver a withering critique of the just concluded presentation.  It was obviously a long-planned critique that had still been in deep rehearsal while Skip was talking. And it was apparent to us all that he had not understood the very essence of the design approach.  As he concluded with a knowing glance to the company’s chief technical officer (Chief Engineer in those days), all eyes turned to Skip.

    Remaining seated with hands folded, Skip fixed his attacker in that signature gaze and, with incredible calm and no hint of sarcasm, said,
     
    “I’m sorry, I didn’t say it well enough for you to understand.”
     
    … and paused.  As the semantic impact of this simple sentence settled in our minds most of us were astounded.  I remember scrambling to record those words in my notebook and I wasn’t alone. The managerial upstart was dumbfounded, he didn’t know on whom those contrite words put blame or shame.  He wanted to strike back, but no obvious target had been presented.  While his would-be nemesis was so consternated, Skip proceeded to quickly correct the man’s error and the meeting went on to a productive conclusion.

    In his wisdom Skip Case settled a potentially contentious and divisive situation with a sentence that allowed everyone to draw their own distinct yet proper meaning of the occasion depending on their position and perspective.  All of us left the room with those words in mind.  I was fortunate to count Skip as one of my mentors and to sit at his knee during those early years.  And since that time I also have learned to apologize when I could not say it well enough for my respondent to understand – but still not as well as Skip.

  • Government at its best is a necessary evil, and at its worst, an intolerant one. – Thomas Paine

    George Rebane

    The contradictory, self-defeating, and citizen oppressing behavior by government at all levels just added two more battle ribbons of stupidity to their banners.

    The first is the latest outrage by the feds who deem marijuana consumption illegal across the country in contravention to 17 states which have pronounced it legal.  California is one of the 17, and Nevada County is currently in a white heat debate over its recently passed ordinance prescribing the cultivation of marijuana.

    The ordinance is quite draconian, with sufficient measures of all hues in it that 99.44% of the county’s growers can be busted at any time at the discretion of local authorities.  And, of course, they can be arrested and indicted by federal authorities regardless of what California and our county permits.  Our local supes assure us to not worry about the ordinance; that unless you’re really really bad, no one will enforce it.  No such guarantees can be given about the feds.

    Marijuana_Illegal
    Our congressman Tom McClintock joined with two other House members to introduce a bill that would remove funding for federal marijuana raids.  The bill failed miserably (262-163) with most Dems in favor, and only one in eight Repubs willing to back states’ rights (H/T to reader, more here).  Go figger, but don’t take too long, the problem is not that hard.  As I have long noted, the two cohorts in our society that would have the most to lose if marijuana progressed toward legalization are the drug traffickers and the drug enforcement authorities.  The trade is a cash cow for both, and neither wants the cops and crooks game to go unfunded and, God forbid, stop.  (History buffs will recall that for the same reasons the repeal of prohibition was equally opposed by the police and organized crime.)

    Here in California our Governor Moonbeam made the easily predicted announcement today that none of the state’s past tax/fee increases, regulatory additions, green industries, …, none have produced the projected revenues needed to balance California’s so-called budget.  In fact, revenues have plunged enough to increase the recently announced $9B deficit to its current level of $16B.  Enough people have bailed and continue to banzai out of here to make a bad situation worse.

    But the pullet pucky politicians in Sacramento are not done.  They have put their cross hairs on those wealth producers still here, and have decided that another round of tax increases is required to finally fix things.  Not having the character or courage to pass such an increase themselves, they have again thrown the measure into the referendum mill, hoping that we would be dumb enough to pass the increase this November.  One of the big lies, reported here before, is that some of the money will go to maintaining classroom services for our kids’ education.  Actually, the new tax money will go to shore up the egregious under funding of teachers’ union pension funds.  The kids will see no benefit.

    Anybody willing to do a little wager on the amount of revenue shortfall the new tax increase will create if it passes?

    So, dear reader, here is more conclusive proof that the fix-all remedy for government is simply to starve the beast while revising its legal code, abolishing rogue agencies, rewriting its tax code in toto, and returning rights to the states as exquisitely prescribed by our Founders.

  •  

    George Rebane

    Sheriff Joe Arpaio of Arizona’s Maricopa County is being sued by the Dept of Justice for discrimination through the use of profiling.  When ol’ Sheriff Joe stops a car for some traffic, licensing, or other safety violation, it seems that he puts the occupants through an immigration check nine times more frequently when they are Hispanics, than when they are not.  This to the feds and other soft heads is clear discrimination through profiling; is it not?  Let’s return to the sheriff after a couple of preliminaries.

    Most people who put their feelings on the back burner for a bit and revert to reason will agree that discrimination occurs when some benefit or sanction is directed toward a segment of population that is out of kilter with the proportion of the population having an attribute that legally deserves the benefit or sanction.

    Let’s say that 15% of county residences have a specific building code violation, and county winds up writing citations and fining 25% of residences for that violation.  It is clear that 10% of residences have been discriminated against since they can show that no violation existed on their properties.

    Also if a population of equally developmentally handicapped people were supposed to get a certain subsidy, and upon examination it was later found that payments went excessively to a subset of the handicapped that had another attribute (say, they were all tall) not contemplated in the law, then the subset without the secondary attribute (the short ones) suffered discrimination.

    It gets a little dicier when we start dealing with realworld uncertainties, and when we have to allocate scarce resources to achieve a certain objective.  And this brings us to some of Sheriff Joe’s problems.  So let’s get a few numbers under our belt (they may be off a bit, depending on your source, but I tried to get them all from the Census Bureau, so they should work for this discussion.)

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    [Correction: This is the submitted form of my column that appeared belatedly in the print edition of the 25may12 Union.  I was informed of the delay due to a rush of political columns and articles on the new marijuana ordnance.]

    In this election year all the weird stuff we’ve been hearing about seems to be coming at us more loudly and from every direction.  Each piece by itself sounds like a purposed effort to drive America deeper into a place that most of us don’t want it to go; each piece sounds like the revelation of another quiet conspiracy at work.  And when you gather all the pieces together, they don’t look like separate pieces at all, but to many they appear to fit into one big concerted effort from somewhere by some people who are working together.

    And what makes it even more curious is that the individual pieces have been promoted by people from all political parties – most certainly including Republicans and Democrats.  So we can’t just point our finger at one side and blame the whole thing on them.

    We start with the International Democrat Union (idu.org) founded in 1983 by the likes of Margaret Thatcher and Republican Party National Committee’s John Allen, and joined by VPOTUS George HW Bush.  It is a self-declared union of ‘centre and centre right’ parties with high sounding principles that include abiding by the anti-constitutional UN Universal Declaration of Human Rights, and calls for unspecified obligations between nations.  Who knows what the IDU does, but it meets every four years near the Republican Convention.

    FM 3-39.40Then we have the notorious UN Agenda21 initiative to which President GHW Bush signed us up (http://www.un.org/esa/dsd/agenda21/res_agenda21_00.shtml).  Reading its tenets and principles calls for a one world in which human activity is restricted to a fraction of the earth’s land surface, and everyone belongs to a wholesome, sustainable, inclusive, happy society of peacefully like-minded and sensitive people.  The progressive principles of this future UN-dominated world are being implemented through something called the ICLEI Global (iclei.org) which organizes “local governments for sustainability” and already has over 550 US cities as members.

    Next we come to the National Defense Authorization Act of 2012 with its draconian Title X, Subtitle D.  There its anti-terrorism provisions give the President powers to do all kinds of spooky and unconstitutional things like constructing a gulag of stalags in the US for forcibly interning thousands of US citizens when the need arises.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    [This is the transcript of my regular KVMR commentary that was broadcast on 11 May 2012.]

    It’s graduation season during a particularly intense election year while the economy is stuck in the mud, and technological advances still come pouring out the research universities and private industry.  Our educational system at all levels puts 4.3 million young people out into what you might think is America’s workforce.  A good fraction of these youth have not completed their education – they are either high school dropouts or leave college before earning some recognized certificate of completion.

    And when we look at our graduates – those who can boast a high school diploma, an AA degree, or a baccalaureate sheepskin – we discover that they are proudly educated in skills few can understand and employers cannot use.  The result is that an alarming fraction of these people cannot qualify for the fewer jobs that this economy is producing.  What’s more, they will not qualify for the kinds of jobs that a future job market will demand when the economy finally begins to recover.

    Most academics and writers who have studied this alarming shift in skills demographics continue to blame it on what and how our youngsters are taught in their schools.  First, teaching has long been devalued by policies which attract the lower tiers of college graduates into the profession.  And for years now the curriculum of essential skills has been watered down and in some cases eliminated altogether.

    I’m, of course, talking about subjects that motivate and prepare students to take science, technology, engineering, and math, the so-called STEM subjects, in high school and college.  For example, the latest and greatest federal program called ‘Race to the Top’ is redefining the top in its Common Core curriculum standards by calling for a delay from the 8th to the 9th grade in starting to teach algebra.  That removes 20% of the available math schedule for high schoolers.

    Apparently the little darlins are no longer ready to start algebra in the 8th grade because of what they didn’t learn in the previous seven years.  And that brings me to what the kids have actually been taught during those years, and will continue to learn until they walk out of school into the chill wind of the real world.  Today’s young people belong to something that the psychologists and demographers have labeled the 'Me Generation'.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    Last night after supper I spent several hours with a Nevada County high school teacher talking about the state of education here and across the country.  He told of how top students, some of them brilliant, appear directionless with no focus or fire to go and do some definite thing with their lives.  No desire to be the next whatever that would benefit society, or even make themselves wealthy.

    The college bound seem to care only about getting good grades, and therefore take the softer subjects.  Even their counselors understand that motivation and advise them to take this easier course vs that one so their GPA will be maximized.  This motivation extends to students who demonstrate abilities to master STEM (science, technology, engineering, math) courses and enter productive STEM careers.  Many (most?) who enter college as STEM majors quickly change direction into something like sociology, psychology, or English after their freshman encounter with a first real math class.

    OldGloryDistressTalking to them about a future with family, house, kids, … makes no dent.  The focus of the best of them is limited to getting into a better school and then looking around to discover how to graduate with the least work.  Telling them about the prospects of finding a job or what different jobs pay also makes little impact.  ‘$35K a year’s OK, I can live on that’ too often is their depth of planning ahead.  The dismal numbers on local college graduates coming back to live with their parents is replicated across the country.

    (more…)

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