Rebane's Ruminations
November 2026
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  • George Rebane

    The memory of Treyvon Martin has now been honored by everyone from the President to the punks smashing windows and setting fires to demonstrate their outrage at the acquittal of George Zimmerman and the nation’s legal system.  In doing the latter I’m tempted to join them.

    TrayvonMartinAccording to our legal system as exercised in Sanford, the evidence showed that Martin was a young thug trying to bash the brains out of the man who finally shot him.  Since the shooting, both the press and the police have done their best to hide Martin’s past because he was a black minor.  Well, more than a minor.  As Zimmerman’s prosecutors characterized him, that evening Martin was an ‘apprehensive child’ trying to reach safety and the warmth of his home and family while suffering a ‘child’s worst fears’ by being ‘stalked in the night’.

    Since then, a bit more has come out on the background of that child pictured nearby.  The Miami-Dade police and school authorities had to jump through hoops not to arrest the young man for burglary and possession of stolen goods.  And there’s even more coming out that you will not see in the lamestream which has spent the last year calling for Zimmerman’s head, but this blog with appropriate links is as good a place to start as any. 

    So the Sanford court delivered its justice, and found that even lying down, with his head being pounded into a concrete sidewalk,  Zimmerman had every right to ‘stand’ his ground, draw his weapon, and kill Martin in order to save his own life.  But in our system of jurisprudence, one that used to eschew double jeopardy, this is not the end of it.  As we discovered in the OJ Simpson case, being acquitted of murder does not end your jeopardy.  You can be re-indicted on civil charges, just as if you had committed the act of which you were found innocent, and then be adjudicated into financial oblivion.

    AntonioSantiagoBut wait, there’s more.  With the Zimmerman case we have launched into the era of triple jeopardy.  Those ever stalwart men of God and minders of the plantation, the Revs Jackson and Sharpton, have joined with the NAACP to plan a very nasty future for George Zimmerman.  First they convince Holder’s DOJ to file criminal charges against Zimmerman for violating (seat belts please) Martin’s civil rights.  And then, whether that works or not, they will go after him in a civil lawsuit a la Simpson.  And on top of that, thanks to the lamestream’s ample coverage of the acquittal and follow-on demonstrations of rage, Zimmerman will wear a bullseye on his back for a very long time.

    In the meantime, Holder is pandering to the NAACP, promising to review the nation’s stand-your-ground laws as being the newly discovered basis for the (diminishing) gun violence in the land.  Oh yes, speaking of race, did anyone give a big rat’s ass for the ongoing stream of black-on-black murders in Chicago (46 blacks killed there during the trial) and other big cities in this interval.  Or did you notice all the demonstrations against the two Georgia black teen-agers who killed a baby by shooting him in the face and wounding his mother during a robbery?  Who honored the memory of 13-month-old Antonio Santiago?

    I don’t think we have to look too deeply through the progressive smoke screen to see real racism practiced daily in America.

    [21jul13 update – corrected]  As President Obama continues to fan the Zimmerman trial flames evident in dozens of cities across the nation, I definitely feel that he has a deeper agenda for which the trial’s verdict can serve as fuel.  Of the many statements in his “deeply personal” speech about the event that could have used a big dose of silence, he stated, “… if Trayvon Martin was of age and armed, could he have stood his ground on that sidewalk?  And do we actually think that he would have been justified in shooting Mr. Zimmerman who had followed him in a car because he felt threatened?  And if the answer to that question is at least ambiguous, then it seems to me that we might want to examine those kinds of laws.”

    That he introduced the potential justification of an armed Martin shooting Zimmerman for no more than following him in a neighborhood where Zimmerman was volunteering as a member of the neighborhood watch, raises more than eyebrows.   Asking us to consider the two acts as somehow being equivalent or having an “ambiguous” answer throws the entire issue of stand your ground into a cocked hat, and goes on to support the nationwide protests already rejecting the Zimmerman verdict and looking for all manner of hypotheticals to continue focusing on race and civil rights violations as being the cause of Martin’s being shot that now requires additional judicial action.

    The immediate beneficiaries of the President’s hypothetical are the attorneys for Dunn, who from his car gunned down a black teenager in another car, an unarmed teenager who had no physical contact with Dunn or made no move to threaten him (here).  Dunn’s defense before the President’s remarks was tenuous if it existed at all.  After that presidential demagoguery I can see Dunn’s attorneys dropping to their knees, raising their hands in gratitude, and shouting ‘Thank you, thank you Lord!!’

    The facts of the matter, that no one wants to address about Zimmerman’s actions or that of Jesse Jackson’s equivalent assessment, are that according to DoJ statistics –
    •    Blacks make up 13% of the population,
    •    Since 1975 blacks have committed more than half of ALL the nation’s murders;
    •    And 93% of murdered blacks were killed by blacks.

    Now I know that progressives have had more than a little trouble reasoning, especially when it involves elements of numeracy – that has been academically corroborated (more here and here).  I challenge a liberal to draw the Venn diagram for that situation without first going back to ding-dong school.  Of course a few rightwingers may also struggle 😉  But if you brought the teachings of the good Reverend Bayes to bear on these statistics, then it becomes apparent that beating the drums on the Zimmerman case is an ongoing smokescreen raised by the liberal elites to hide their massive failures in social policies (economic and educational) that for the last 40 years have been promoted to help the black population.  Their effect has been exactly the opposite, beginning with the destruction of the strong black family ethic in the 1960s.

    Now we holler and wail about ‘stereotyping’ and the injustice it causes.  It does no such thing when considered on an individual decision level.  As I have attempted to illuminate in these pages, stereotyping (intuiting the correct Bayesian conditional posterior probability) is one of the most powerful survival mechanisms that humans and ALL critters have evolved over the eons.  What we pejoratively label as stereotyping is fundamental to Bayesian decision making, which is demonstrably the most powerful and effective approach to dealing with problems in an uncertain environment.  And without going into the numerical weeds that surround the above quoted statistics, those numbers themselves advise an extra dose of caution when encountering a young black male on a lonely dark street, whether he be an opportunistic thug or a young neurosurgeon like Dr Ben Carson (by his own report).

    Were you asked to bet you assets on the intentions of such a black man, you would wisely vote with the Rev Jesse Jackson.  Were you instead asked to bet your ass, you would definitely make a run for it before seeking any more edifying information.  And starting with the numbers, that sad state of affairs is what underlies the entire problem of racist stereotyping.  The real crime is that the national black leadership refuses to address the existential problem of the behavior of young black men staring them in the face for the last several decades.   (I was heartened to again hear Jason Riley of WSJ eloquently agree with these conclusions.)

    [26jul13 update]  Bill Whittle of PJMedia presents an excellent summary of the Trayvon Martin case in this video, and contrasts it with the reprehensible ‘coverage’ given in the lamestream.

  • A nation ignorant and free, that never was and never shall be.  Thomas Jefferson

    George Rebane

    Here’s a notion that should set progressive hearts palpitating, perhaps even inducing a case or two of apoplexy.  Should citizens deemed mentally (not physically) incapable of caring for themselves be granted a full franchise in a republican democracy?

    In these pages this notion has risen implicitly over the years, and most recently occurred to me again during a thread on food stamps that developed in the comment stream of ‘Mindbending Marijuana’.  There I was asked whether I supported foodstamps, the 80% hidden component that has historically been included in past farm bills, and that was recently excised from the current House version going through Congress.  I repeat an edited version of my reply.


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  • George Rebane

    The new sport in Washington played by Congress, unions, and big corporations is chipping away at Obamacare – causing chaos in the small business sector.  Everyone wants to hide from the crap coming off the fan, and leave the other guy fully exposed.  Already eight components of it have been delayed or canceled. And the liberals are still keeping a stiff public upper lip.  Reason aside, as always.

    Meanwhile, the Big O is asking Americans not to be so “cynical about our government”.  Giving lie to that statement before inhaling, the President then promised to do a major overhaul to improve the efficiency of the federal government – a plan for "smarter government".  Seat belts please.  Abandoning any pretense of humility, he is going to make it run like the well-oiled machine that was his campaign (pick either one).  Well there’s one part that he has already integrated beyond extraction, and that is Chicago style politics, starting with the Big Lie and the Bypass Congress two-step.  The rest of the makeover will be harder, because in his campaign organization he could can those who couldn’t.

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  • George Rebane

    Breaking Bread Edition #4 on Climate Change will be recorded this Monday at the NCTV studios.  The issues discussion program will be hosted by Eric Tombs and I will be one of Eric’s guests.  Climate change is, of course, today’s more acceptable term for global warming, specifically man-made or anthropogenic GW, specifically correctable AGW, and specifically ‘We just gotta do SOMETHING!!!’ AGW.  We had a pre-taping session the other day during which the strong argument of the true believers was again presented – consensus science.  When it was pointed out that 1) there is no consensus science on AGW, and 2) consensus science should send up red flags and wailing sirens whenever it is cited, things got a little heated.

    What really nudged me to post on this was Matt Ridley’s Mind and Matter column in the 6jul13 WSJ titled ‘Science is about Evidence NOT Consensus’.  (Sadly, this is Dr Ridley’s last regular column for the WSJ.  The distinguished author and member of the House of Lords is returning to his many other pursuits.  I shall miss him.)  Ridley uses climate change as his example to teach how scientific propositions should be evaluated.  RR readers are well aware of his arguments which have made not a dent in some commenters beliefs on the matter.

    Well, at our BB4 meeting it became clear that ‘Consensus Über Alles’ will be the one and only redoubt from which the adherents of climate change will sally forth.  The format of BB properly prohibits participants launching ad homonyms against their opposite numbers.  It is a forum where ideas are explained, and where ideas may then contend on their own merits.  However, today this topic is so asymmetrically supported by reason that it was suggested there should be no attempt to discredit consensus science if that is all one could muster to support energetic public policies to combat AGW.  The short of it was that opinions based on warm fuzzies should weigh equally with those more formidably armed – after all, are we not all equal?  But not to worry dear reader, the proposal did not carry.

    Matt Ridley’s swansong admonitions are worthy recounting as we prepare for the 2,047,619th ‘discussion’ on climate change.

    …the "consensus" about climate change only extends to the propositions that it has been happening and is partly man-made, both of which I readily agree with. Forecasts show huge uncertainty.

    …science does not respect consensus. There was once widespread agreement about phlogiston (a nonexistent element said to be a crucial part of combustion), eugenics, the impossibility of continental drift, the idea that genes were made of protein (not DNA) and stomach ulcers were caused by stress, and so forth—all of which proved false. Science, Richard Feynman once said, is "the belief in the ignorance of experts."

    So, yes, it is the evidence that persuades me whether a theory is right or wrong, and no, I could not care less what the "consensus" says.

    The article is too short, but well worth the read.

    [11jul13 update]  We taped BB4 last Monday (8jul13) evening at NCTV, and apparently it has already been aired, and will be again.  For the next showings please visit NCTV here.  It will soon be available for online viewing on the Breaking Bread website.

    [19jul13 update] Remaining BB4 broadcast from NCTV are:

    Thursday 7/18/2013, 6:00 PM, Channel 11

    Sunday 7/21/2013, 5:00 PM, Channel 11

    Monday 7/22/2013, 9:30 AM, Channel 11

    No word yet on when it will appear on line.

    [26jul13 update]  The video of BB4 is archived and can be found on this page of the NCTV website filed under 18 July programs – or you can simply search the page (Ctrl F) with 'Breaking Bread'.

     

  • George Rebane

    We are all familiar with the ineptness and incompetence with which government operates programs that were sold with the familiar refrain ‘we’re from the government, and we’re here to help.’  The news on the ability of government to do anything right, beyond its constitutional mandate of protecting the nation, just keeps getting worse.  To much of all this we have developed a tin ear, and at least half of us don’t even know what’s going on.

    Fox News revisited the growing debacle of benefits for wounded veterans.  Seatbelts on?  Upon discharge from military hospitals veterans must apply for continuing benefits.  On the average, a disabled veteran must fill out 613 separate forms from 18 different (and overalapping) agencies to get the process going.  Every year these applications take 43,000,000 hours to process by government workers (I expect that at $100 per burdened hour). Today the broken system has an 833,000 claim backlog in which claims take an average of 260 days to work through, and some up to three years.

    TrainWreckOnto such demonstrated bureaucratic incompetence our IRS has been mandated by Obamacare to administer this legislative late-term abortion.  And it’s clear that no one really knows what to do to implement the core function of the law which is comprised of the employer and individual mandates to purchase state-designated health insurance.  The approaching Obamacare “train wreck” has now become so obvious that it is necessary to grant exceptions, deferrals, and delay its implementation part by noxious part.  The employer mandate has been quietly pushed back from its legislated start of 2014 to 2015, after the mid-term elections.  The administration scumbags don’t want to saddle the entire Democratic party with the inevitable bad news that will become a torrent during an election year as application of the mandate is attempted.

    Meanwhile businesses have already begun insulating themselves the best they can.  The so-called ‘49ers’ are jumping through hoops by not hiring, reducing jobs, sharing jobs, etc to keep under the 50 FTE threshold where fines get levied and extra reporting kicks in if they don’t provide government prescribed healthcare to their workers.  (All businesses must still file a new monthly report to the IRS on the hourly breakdown of each employee’s work.)

    But the real screamer is that the feds (Treasury Department) are neither ready nor have a clue about how to process the claims and information that will roll in from America’s 5.7 million businesses – their data management systems are not up to handling the work, and the actual processes to shuffle the reports etc are beyond their ken.  Montana senator Max Baucus, an author of this legislative cow pie, knew of what he spoke when he uttered the now famous assessment of what is coming at us down the rails.  The only thing working without a hitch is the big Lie Factory at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue that has now perfected the Congressional End-run as it fundamentally transforms the nation.

    [update]  To make the impact of the described train wreck more clear, we should also take a closer look at this year’s job reports that are making a thrill go down the legs of the people at National Propaganda Radio.  The up reports culminated with the Labor Dept dubious report that in June employers increased the total non-farm payrolls by 195K.   Most people just take this number as the number of regular jobs added.  But the jobs report is another squirrely statistic that comes out of the Beltway (details here http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm ).  In what we consider normal full time jobs, the 195K is reduced considerably.  Overall, June’s contribution brings the year’s total to 687K jobs added in 2013.


    But all jobs are not created equal, and even less equal when the feds declare that they have lowered the full time work week to 30 hours from the usual accounting of 35 hours or more.  When we break down the year’s total new jobs, we find that only 130K full time jobs have been created this year.  The remaining 557K jobs are part time, and mostly in the hospitality industry – ‘… and would like fries with that?’  When the June job situation is examined more closely (see graphic from Zero Hedge), we find that according to the June Household Survey the full time job count actually plunged.  The positive report was made up by a sizeable part time hiring as employers attempt to minimize Obamacare damage to their businesses by attempting to game their employee counts as the fed’s wallow in indecision, misinformation, and just plain incompetence in getting this version of nationalized healthcare going.

  • George Rebane

    [This is the transcript of my regular KVMR commentary broadcast on 5 July 2013.]

    For years I straddled the fence on the legalization of drug use, especially seemingly benign versions like marijuana.  Then I finally got off the fence in favor of making the whole catalog of drugs legal since the war on drugs was not being won, and the collateral damage from the conflict took a horrendous toll on lives and freedoms (more here).  I cast my lot with those who counseled legalizing drugs, controlling their distribution at prices that made no one rich, and mopping up the human detritus pretty much as we already do with alcohol and illegal drug use.

    The idea is to get the criminal element out of the business, and thereby greatly reduce the layers of well-funded law enforcement agencies that benefitted from the other side of that sorry business.  But that’s easier said than done since both the drug cartels and dealers agree with the feds that narcotics should remain on the wrong side of the law.  Today the promoters of marijuana use have made contentious inroads in several states to legalize both recreational and medicinal use of that dear little weed.  The resulting dust-ups have even reached the local levels such as we are witnessing here in Nevada County where one jurisdiction gives their approval for smoking pot under certain conditions, and another jurisdiction is adamant in saying ‘no way Jose’.

    So far the main point of pot proponents has been that smoking it gives rise to no significant health risks and does serve to ease certain aches and pains in addition to soothing the savage breast.  But now reports have appeared in prestigious medical journals like Lancet and the Journal of Psychiatry announcing that “medical research shows a clear link between marijuana and mental illness.”  Well, I didn’t know that.

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  • George Rebane

    On this hot muggy 4th of July my thoughts turn to the road this country has traveled since the turn of the last century.  I have joined that trek for the last sixty-four years, have partaken in its happy ascent, enjoyed its lofty summit, and now protest the precipitous descent.  Nevertheless, no matter what may come, my generation has already banked the country’s good years.  Our lament is for our kids, grandkids, and, for fortunates like me, our great-grandkids.

    Our main failure was raising a generation of children whom we taught to be educated, well-mannered, industrious, and to mind their own business.  They have fulfilled our expectations.  But in doing so, they invited and permitted the rule of those whose aim was to mind everyone else’s business.  And in that, we and they are reaping what has been sown.

    IAOToday we wake up in a country where there is no longer the notion of ‘this is my business, and my business alone.’  In the quest for security and facility we have put paid to a comprehensively monitored society under a government that has and knows no limits in its ability to collect, analyze, and record EVERYTHING we do.  And how much they actually do and will collect is up to the resident regime in Washington.  Because trust has been extinguished between the governing and governed – neither trusts the other – we may safely assume, that for all intents and purposes, the stored record of our behaviors is comprehensive and everlasting.

    Under a growing avalanche of largely unknown and impenetrable laws, regulations, codes, … any resident regime will be able to indict and arrest any individual or any group for one or more infractions simply by the selective and arbitrary enforcement of what is already on the books.  And all the while claiming that we are still a nation of laws and not of men.  Yesterday’s liberties have become today’s latent liabilities.

    RR reader and a friend of a more liberal persuasion and I discuss such matters on a regular basis.  He recalled a post-9/11 Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency program that kicked into high gear the development and integration of technologies to make possible our practical interment in today’s post-privacy society.  The Total Information Awareness program was put under the newly established Information Awareness Office – its revealing seal is shown nearby.  Upon review, the IAO was found to be so repugnant that Congress and Bush2 shut it down in 2003 (more here).  However, all of its constituent technology toolkit programs have continued and expanded under hazier and hidden auspices.  After all, we must be kept secure, and above all secure from ourselves.

  • George Rebane

    Last weekend Jo Ann and I attended an international gathering in San Francisco that celebrated the historical role of a culture over the last two centuries.  This event is held every five years in a different part of the world, and its nearby venue this year made attendance convenient for us.  People from all quarters of the globe gathered at the Grand Hyatt where seminars on the various functions and expressions of the culture were conducted.  The event opened at the magnificent Palace of Fine Arts with a gala performance featuring entertainments ranging from poetry to ballet.  Other prominent venues during the weekend featured folk dancing, a huge songfest with orchestra and multiple choirs, and individual performers with various ethnic offerings, both traditional and contemporary.

    The whole affair was a unifying experience connecting a revered and honored past with the present, and making explicit the ties that bind the older generations to the young.  It is these young people who during such occasions see that they are a part of something bigger than themselves, something of worth that has survived centuries of assault through dedication, persistence, and courage of their ancestors.

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  • George Rebane

    Texas legislature’s attempt to pass a women’s health bill was disrupted by an “unruly mob” of  liberals.  Gov Perry vows to push it through in a later session with more security present.  The bill would 1) ban abortions after 20 weeks, 2) Require abortion clinics to upgrade to “ambulatory surgical centers”, and “require (abortion) doctors to have admitting privileges at a hospital within 30 miles”.  Given the Gosnell experience in Philadelphia, these sound like totally reasonable requirements for facilities in which women seek walk-in/walk-out abortions which sometimes go very wrong.  Opposing them makes clear that pro-abortionists who advertise themselves as ‘women’s health’ proponents don’t give a big rat’s ass about women’s health.

    A couple of days ago we saw a very sad interview with Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.  Gen Martin Dempsey who stated his requirements before committing troops to battle in the nation’s interests as determined by its civilian leadership.  The good general said that “I’d like to understand the plan to make peace before starting a war.”  As a GI I wasn’t aware that my understanding of the aftermath of battle was a prerequisite for me to follow lawful orders to get in there and fight as I was trained to do.  I don’t recall Generals Eisenhower, Bradley, Patton, MacArthur, … putting forth such demands before committing troops.  I think that was because in the old days waging peace was beyond their pay grade.


    Did you see that Seattle has to remove wanted posters in buses that feature pictures of 17 terrorists wanted by the US government.  The reason being that it may hurt the feelings of Muslims riding on the bus, even though all of the wanted terrorists are not Muslims. Rep McDermott (D-WA) wants the State Dept issued posters to be taken down because they may “encourage religious and racial profiling”.  And that pretty much underlines the progressive priorities when it comes to America’s security.

  • George Rebane

    Automation and advanced digital technologies are eliminating the need for people in a growing number of jobs.  We’ve survived severe technological change before but this time it might be different: are we facing a future of dismal job opportunities, stagnant income, and worsening inequality?  Are we headed for chronic unemployment?  So asks ‘How Technology is Destroying Jobs’ by David Rotman in the Jul/Aug issue of MIT Technology Review.

    RR welcomes MIT’s Sloan School of Management into the discussion of what arguably is the most critical issue facing America and the developed world.  Pursuing what took them so long to raise this on their radar is out of scope here, but acknowledging the problem is a large step forward since their trumpet is a mite larger than mine.

    Please understand that this longtime, no-brainer conclusion is not uniformly accepted at that august institution.  Rotman cites several economists there who are still convinced that nothing really has changed in these pre-Singularity years – all we’re having is a little slowness in the workplace expanding to catch up with technology, but nothing materially different from what happened in the 19th century, etc, etc.


    The observables for this economic disruption became obvious at the Great Doubling of the world’s workforce in the mid-1990s, and were confirmed after experiencing the dotcom bubble around 2000, at which time US productivity and job growth became decoupled.  Not surprisingly, MIT professors Brynjolfsson and McAfee call this the Great Decoupling (see figure from article).
     
    What our progressive brethren have missed during this decoupling is the causal contributions of technology to the polarization of the workforce, the ‘hollowing out’ of the middle class, and the resulting growth of inequality of wealth and incomes.  Their analysis has been simple – it’s the fault of the dirty capitalists and their conservative chorus – and their solutions even simpler (minded?) – increase government size and its involvement in all sectors of society, and handout more free money (aka transfer payments).  Well, as we have been saying here for years, it turns out that the problem is much bigger than saying it was all the Republicans’ fault.

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211 comments on “… honor the memory of Treyvon Martin.” (updated 26jul13)