Rebane's Ruminations
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  • George Rebane

    In the figure below we present a grid representing the two-dimensional space over a defined range of governance, and a range of collectivistic social orders.  The governance (G) range encompasses a continuum starting with anarchy at G = 0, and progressing all the way to one world global government at G = 10.  The collectivistic (C) range starts with comprehensive privatization at C = 0 where nothing is owned collectively – everything is private property to be disposed of as its owner wills.  At the other extreme of the collectivistic range is communism at C = 10 in which the collective owns everything and private property has disappeared.G-C chart

    In the G-dimension we start with a Mad Max world of anarchy, there is no higher authority to enforce any codes of conduct or contract law.  Peace and tranquility in such a region can only obtain through comprehensive altruism in which it is the individual who has and implements his notions of the common good.  Or, of course, the opposite where raw might is right.

    From there we move to versions of the Westphalian order (q.v.) in which various territories have regional sovereignty based on various forms of shared attributes such as race, ethnicity, language, common history, … .  Westphalianism per se can encompass more structured forms of governance that are restricted to within the boundaries of mutually recognized and respected sovereign nation-states that agree to maintain existing borders and not interfere in the internal affairs of their neighbor states.

    More encompassing forms of governance can subsume larger land areas in which formerly independent jurisdictions join in various forms of confederation to achieve, say, economic and/or security benefits.  The European Union is an example of such a regional confederation of states.  From there we come to an overarching global government that achieves the one-world objective of seeking peace, harmony, and sharing among all the earth’s peoples.  The United Nations considers itself as prepared to assume this role under the aegis of its Agenda 21 protocols.

    The intermediate stages of collectivism include various forms of proto-capitalism where sufficient contract law exists and is honored so as to permit establishing enterprises of shared ownership that seek profit through collective action.  Capitalism can progress into more formal forms in which it depends on an overarching government to enforce contract law and lay down regulations that create various economic environments favorable to this or that sector of industry and commerce.  The ultimate format of capitalistic collectivism morphs into corporatism in which government and corporations work hand-in-glove to guarantee both conducive environments for sustaining each.

    It is a relatively short step from corporatism to socialism in its various forms that engender “social ownership and democratic control” of various means of production and the (re)distribution of wealth.  As such collective ownership and control becomes more comprehensive, we arrive at communism in which everything is jointly owned and all decisions are made democratically by the collective (or a small troupe of professional elites who discharge their duties to promote the common good).

    It is clear from the looking at the G-C grid that proceeding upwards takes one into more organized and authoritarian social orders, and proceeding downward promotes more individual freedoms and brings us to worlds that are least organized and predictable.  And please note that not all places (coordinates) on this chart are necessarily stable, and one could argue that there may be some that are not even achievable.

    So where are you on the G-C grid, what are your desired coordinates and where do you think is the US and/or any other country in the world?  My own preference is to live near a (G,C) = (4,3) environment, and according to my lights America is now transiting through (5,6) on its way to (7,8) arriving there well before 2040.  Of course, if the Singularity arrives before that date, then all bets are off.  (See also the Nolan Chart here.)

  • George Rebane

    President Trump will stop subsidizing insurance companies – i.e. stop the Treasury from making ‘cost sharing reductions’ (CSRs) that allow the health insurers to reduce premium and deductible costs required to slow down the capsizing of the ACA (aka Obamacare).  The CSRs were instituted by Obama’s executive order in 2011 as one of several hastily cobbled together band aids after the ACA predictably started diving for the mud.  The problem was that the CSRs are not constitutional, therefore not legal, as subsequently confirmed by a federal court.  The President cannot bypass Congress’s power of the purse and start draining the Treasury with EOs at his whim.  Obama appealed the ruling while the CSRs continued.  Now the Dems are putting Alinsky Allegation into gear and volubly accusing Trump of violating the law which never existed. (I swear, you can’t make this stuff up.)  But aided by the lamestream – e.g. NPR’s 12oct17 Weekend Edition – the national Left is screaming outrage to their mini-minded constituents and other lightly read folks, implying that the CSR payments went directly to needy consumers, and that Trump is sabotaging the critical components of the ACA (which the CSR never was), thereby he and the Republicans are the cause of ACA’s catastrophes.  (See also Bob Crabb's contribution to the cacophony here.) Instead, President Trump is putting the entire issue back into Congress, which is where it still belongs. (more here)

    Socialism is and always has been a sorry and sordid means to organize society, no matter how altruistic its proponents have been at the outset of every attempt ever tried.  The Israeli kibbutzim have been a poster child of such attempts.  After independence in 1948 the kibbutzim thrived and played an important part in the new nation’s economy.  Why?  Because they were heavily subsidized with other people’s money and borrowing, and their products were protected by Israel’s high tariff walls.  As the world and Israel liberalized and capitalism again became the acknowledged approach to generating wealth and allocating its use, the kibbutzim came on hard times and all the weaknesses of collectivism started showing their true colors.  The alternative was to start introducing privatization in profits, products, and property.  The first crack was that workers could keep their own wages which represented their individual abilities and skill sets instead of putting them into the public pot to be divided equally among the kibbutzniks.  Now Israel is a dynamic country that invites and promotes free enterprise, and trades with the world.  Fewer than 13% of Israelis consider themselves to be leftwing, and less than 2% are kibbutzniks. (more here)  While the rest of the world develops and grows by incorporating free enterprise and expanding personal liberties, the progressives of America are doing all they can to take us back to the days of failed collective autocracies with their very effective tool of co-opted public education playing at a school district near you.

    [16oct17 update]  Has Israel become more capitalistic while shedding socialist policies in the process?  This threatened to become a comment thread on RL Crabb’s blog (here) where Bob celebrated the Israeli state-run healthcare.  I threw a bit of water on that celebration which brought in Steve Frisch, our local defender and promoter of everything collectivist.  After reprising Israel’s socialistic inception (which is not it dispute), Frisch ends with his piece de resistance –

    Under the LIkud rule since 1977 Israel has seen the same rise in income inequality and a narrowng of its middle class, which was growing under the socilaist (sic) labor parties before the rise of the Likud. In addition Israel has one of the highest proportions of debt to revenue in the developed world…meaning they may say they are capitalists, but they sure have a ton of debt. … So although it is popular to parrot the Likud line that Israel has moved from socialism to capitalism, they have not, and their capitalist economic policies have increased debt and reduced economic opportunity. (emphasis mine)

    I have no idea how such arguments support or are even relevant to his conclusion that Israel has not seen a major shift from socialism to capitalism, literally along almost every dimension of its enterprise intensive economy.  The entire world has witnessed this significant migration in a very visible and prominent nation-state – here is just one report on that from Forbes.  But for a real snootful on this change, just google ‘israel from socialism to capitalism’.  Meanwhile our local misinformed continue their desperate fabrication of the never-ending glories of socialism.

    Europe’s multi-kulti problems compound with Germans joining other EU countries now starting to realize at the grass roots level what their feel-good leadership has done.  Towns that openly catered to the Islamic refugees from the Mideast and Africa wonder how they will live together with newcomers who are not joining the workforce, are putting a heavy burden on their welfare programs, degrading community safety, and have no propensity to assimilate with the culture of their new home countries – German towns filled with refugees ask, ‘Who is integrating whom?’.  And Austria’s recent election brought two populist parties with anti-immigrant agendas into power and prominence, and will give that country its youngest chancellor, the 31-year-old Sebastian Kurz.  In spite of the suppressed news about Europe’s experience with the masses of migrants they have admitted, all of them are beginning to rethink what their uncritically welcoming stance will have on their own citizens and culture.  To the extent that our lamestream permits, Americans should pay close attention to what’s happening over there as we debate our own immigration and border control policies. (more here and here)  Whoulda thought?

  • George Rebane

    MIT’s Max Tegmark just released Life 3.0 – Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence, which I bought immediately and dove right in last night.  In his prelude Tegmark takes us through a scenario of a developing AI super-intelligence and its human ‘handlers’ that includes treatment of rampantly systemic unemployment addressed through an institutional approach very similar to the Non-profit Service Corporations which I have proposed in these pages (here).  The book promises an education of how the current pre-Singularity years will unfold – check it out, Tegmark writes good stuff.

    The Boy Scouts of America have decided to start admitting real girls, and I guess that means going beyond just boys who wake up feeling like they have been issued the wrong plumbing.  The move seems to be motivated by more than political correctness in these gender-confused times.  According to the Girl Scouts of America it really has to do with the BSA needing more funds, and thereby raiding the GSA membership is a reasonable plan forward.  The resulting dust-up will continue between what were two of America’s iconic institutions, as the times they are a’changin’.  (more here)

    I have always viewed Kaspersky’s popular antivirus software with a gimlet eye.  I guess that I just don’t trust Russian companies, given the kleptocratic regime under which they all operate, and therefore are all instruments of the state in one way or another.  So why would I want to install Kaspersky on my company’s in-house computer systems, especially if I develop high tech stuff or have other valuable intellectual property that keeps me in business?  Well, now it turns out that ‘Russia Has Turned Kaspersky Software Into Tool for Spying’ – whouda thought?

    [update]  Implicit Bias, another flat-earth pseudo-science lapped up by the liberal legions turns out to be bullshit.  Few academic ideas have been as eagerly absorbed into public discourse lately as “implicit bias.” Embraced by Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and most of the press, implicit bias has spawned a multimillion-dollar consulting industry, along with a movement to remove the concept of individual agency from the law. Yet its scientific basis is crumbling.  (the hilarity of it all continues here)

    Wanna see another liberal shibboleth bite the dust?  Take a look at ‘A Flawed Study Depicts Drug Companies as Profiteers’.  And then corroborate that with the share price histories of the big pharmas.

    The ‘Casting Couch’ has been a Hollywood staple for over 80 years.  And since most of show biz folks have been historical proto-communists, the Left has left the sexual abuses of young sweet things under the rug where they have always had a home.  Now ol’ sleazebag Harvey Weinstein finally gets exposed, and our lamestream is making it out as if they have found the only bad apple in their barrel.  Another demonstration that they don’t give a crap about women save what political advantage they can wring out of our fair sex.  I’d love to see a clean sweep of the overwhelmingly leftwing entertainment industry to expose what aspiring women have really had to put out or up with to succeed.  It didn’t all happen in corporate offices of other industries that have a tilt to the right.

  • George Rebane

    The private sector is running into a problem marketing products and services to the millennials, specifically those in the most populous 24-27 age bracket.  They know so little and have been sheltered and/or diverted from the normal course of ‘adulting’.  An example of this problem is the one Scotts Miracle-Gro is having selling its plant growth products to these young adults getting started in their first homes.  Let’s make that real easy – these simple people don’t even know that it takes sunlight to grow plants, and that puts companies like Scotts into a quandary.  How do you tell these self-designated geniuses that they’re dumber than doorknobs and still get them to spring for your product.

    This newly discovered deficit in the millennials is putting a companies into a bind attempting to revamp both products and advertisements so that they can be understood.  That this is a first in the annals of marketing and merchandizing is explained by Ellen Byron in the 10oct17 WSJ who notes (here) that “This age bracket, bigger than any other, is pushing companies to revamp marketing and products, including a lot of remedial education.”  Moreover –

    Companies looking to grab a piece of that business, however, have run into a problem. This generation, with its over-scheduled childhoods, tech-dependent lifestyles and delayed adulthood, is radically different from previous ones. They’re so different, in fact, that companies are developing new products, overhauling marketing and launching educational programs—all with the goal of luring the archetypal 26-year-old.

    Note here that we’re talking about the aggregate behaviors and practical knowledge that typify the 93 million Americans born between 1980 and 2000.  These are the victims of our educational system and progressive parenting.  Of course, there are the inevitable outliers (on the upper side) in whom we can still put our hopes.  The rest, … I dunno, maybe guaranteed national income?

  • [Cleaning up the FUE-related off-topic comments was a chore.  Please try not to rile the gentleman with ad hominems relating to his appearance, education, career, etc – there is enough topic matter to highlight re his editorial policy, political ideology, and morality lectures to fill volumes.  And I propose that even these would be better suited for other blogs.  However, I do appreciate that RR sandboxes may be the only venues-of-response available to those readers who are gratuitously impugned on the FUE's website, since there he does not permit such reciprocity.  But do try to keep it to a dull roar on matters of substance, and eschew delving into comparative cosmetics, character, and morals.  Much grass.  gjr]

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  • George Rebane

    Dropping fire suppressants from fixed and rotary wing aircraft is an extremely effective way to fight wildfires.  Living in the southern California mountains we annually witnessed how air attack kept little fires from becoming big, and big fires from going into populated areas.  In the 1993 Malibu fire, it was five or six heavy lift helicopters with big buckets that saved the community of Topanga with 8,000 housing units.  The demonstrated airmanship was awesome to behold as an orbit was established with the heavy lifters dropping sea water on the ridge where we lived that separated Topanga Canyon from Tuna Canyon as the four-day-old fire returned to consume the last few houses on the Tuna Cyn side as it tried to breach the ridge.  The heavy lifters soaked our ridge, climbing up Los Flores Cyn, dropping their loads (our cars got sea water rinses) with pinpoint accuracy, and then diving down through the narrow Tuna Cyn gorge with rock walls within a hundred feet of their rotors to the ocean to fill up and repeat the cycle.  With their skill and courage, those airmen saved an entire town (our ridge-top house included) in the Santa Monica Mtns.

    Witnessing year after year how effective were the aircraft, many of us wondered why the operations had to shut down after sunset, and sometimes even when the smoke got too thick.  The answer given was always flight crew safety, it was not possible to fly when you couldn’t see the terrain.  But by the 1990s a lot of technology had already been developed that might mitigate that concern, and today that definitely appears to be the case.

    So, I raised the question about 24/7 flight ops again to my professional aviator friends.  And to make sure that I don’t get anyone’s undies in a knot, I am not impugning the skill and courage of the flight crews, nor do I want them to take any more risks than they are already taking.  (For the techies, I don’t want them to undertake missions in which their probability of accident is any greater than it is today.)  But I am questioning the policies under which our wildfire air attack operations are designed, prepared, and executed.  And I am perfectly willing to be educated and accept any reasonable answer.

    (more…)

  • George Rebane

    The news media, including Fox News, are confounding the latest buzz about the SecDef and the President being at odds about the Iran agreement.  Trump has called the Iran deal “the worst ever” for the US, while Mattis along with the JCoS chair testified that Iran appears to be living up to the agreement.  To the pea-brains who pass for journalists these days, this is a stand-off in the making within the administration.  No one seems to understand that the two assessments are totally independent.  Yes, Virginia, it is possible for the Iranians to be living up to the letter of the worst agreement ever that Obama negotiated with Iran.

    With all the latest histrionics about ‘gun violence’ and ‘police brutality’ witnessed at entertainment venues across the land, it is clear from just the raw data about gun deaths that neither the blacks nor the Democrats believe that ‘Black Lives Matter’.  Given the stats from longstanding Dem-controlled urban areas, it is clear that no such concerns exist about the overwhelming proportion of black-on-black murders committed there every month, year after year, numbers that also overwhelm the carnage in Las Vegas.  But all those whites killed by a white man, now there’s “a disaster that must not be wasted” to give government control over more of our lives.

    Control over our lives is governed by regulations that actually implement laws passed by elected legislatures; regulations that more often than not overextend what was intended in law.  Here is the latest from the Mercatus Center of George Mason University on ‘Regulatory Accumulation: The Problem and Solutions’.  Note the vertical scale of the graph below.

    RegAccumulation_2016Regulations are created one by one. By design, each new regulation contains obligations or prohibitions—regulatory restrictions that policymakers hope will deliver benefits that justify their costs. Over time, however, the buildup of more and more regulatory restrictions distorts and deters the business investments that drive innovation and economic growth. These dynamic effects of regulatory accumulation can hinder economic growth considerably, on top of the many other consequences often associated with regulations, such as higher unemployment, higher prices, and lower wages, particularly for low-income households

    Here is a quick look at the “gobbledygook” in which the nation’s gerrymandering problem is now mired and argued in the SCOTUS (more here).  According to my lights, the solution to gerrymandering seems to me an easy one.  Set an upper threshold on the ratio of area to perimeter of the district to be gerrymandered to such a value that keeps the defined regions reasonably compact.  The ratio would have to be defined in terms of a specific unit of length (e.g. mile, meter, kilometer, furlong, …) since the ratio or fraction of area divided by perimeter will be in units of length given that perimeter is a length and area is in length squared.  So if we pick ‘mile’ as the unit of length, we can set a lower threshold like, say, ‘2 miles’.  For a rectangle that means that L*W/(2*L+2*W) must more than or equal to T = 2 miles.  This will keep everyone from coming up with these thin tangled regions with very wiggly boundaries.  The geometers among you will realize that the most compact region is a circle with its area/perimeter = radius/2.

  • George Rebane

    [This is the addended transcript of my regular KVMR commentary broadcast on 4 October 2017.]

    Amid an ongoing parade of mass demonstrations against racism, massive calamities by mother nature, and mass shootings at public venues, we have another ongoing, more insidious, and little-known crisis that directly impacts our community, and will continue to do so far beyond these massive disruptions for at least a generation to come.  The crisis is in our lamentable public K-12 education system, and it continues as highlighted in the recent report (here) from the California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress that now includes test results of students taught the controversial Common Core curriculum.

    California’s national standing in education is in a sorry state – 10th from the last to be exact, according to a battery of metrics compiled by Education News. (more here)  And in the above cited California assessment report we learn that in ‘English Language Arts/Literacy’ more than half of K-12 students fail to meet the state standard, and in mathematics more than two out of three students fail to meet standards.  And this is happening in our nation’s largest state that considers itself the mecca of high tech, and draws most of its revenues from STEM companies and the millionaires it has spawned.

    In Nevada County, where we attempt to halt the departure of our tech and manufacturing companies and attract new ones, our schools are not helping, save for an outlier, the exemplary but very selective Ghidotti Early College High School.  For example, Nevada Union High School students’ performance in mathematics, critical for all STEM related careers in technology and manufacturing, 70% did not meet standards.  In English literacy, two out of five performed below standard.  The Bear River High School students scored better with one out of six failing to meet the literacy standard, but still had half of their students unable to meet the math standard.

    No matter how much we like to pat ourselves on the back about our teachers and schools, the bottom line is how well our students are prepared for college, where they will learn their workplace skills.  A recent National Public Radio report stated that “the vast majority of public two- and four-year colleges report enrolling students – more than half a million of them–who are not ready for college-level work, …  The numbers reveal a glaring gap in the nation’s education system: A high school diploma, no matter how recently earned, doesn’t guarantee that students are prepared for college courses.” 

    For some decades there has been an obvious tension between parents and teachers who want schools to educate students, and the entrenched teachers unions whose overarching objective is to maintain the status quo and maximize union memberships by lowering the bar for educators at all levels.  To do this requires dumbing down the curriculum, opposing revealing tests for both teachers and students, suppressing the publication of existing test results, and actively supporting compliant politicians in state legislatures with money and votes.

    In light of all this, many of our progressive neighbors in Nevada County do not condone disseminating this information on our students’ performance, and have a record of dunning anyone, myself included, who sheds light on this issue.  But the naked truth is that sweeping such education performance results under the rug, while celebrating outlier and/or irrelevant occasions of student achievements, is what got us to this sorry state of affairs.

    Given our heavy funding of education, it is clear that the dollars are being misspent – too much is going to extraneous and irrelevant government mandated programs and staffing, and not enough is going to classrooms where we educate the mainstream youngsters who make up the lion’s share of our student populations and subsequently the nation’s workforce.  My advice to parents is to take an extraordinary interest in your children’s education, and become active within their schools and elected school boards.

    My name is Rebane, and I also expand on this and related themes on Rebane’s Ruminations where the addended transcript of this commentary is posted with relevant links, and where such issues are debated extensively.  However, my views are not necessarily shared by KVMR.  Thank you for listening.

    [Addendum]  First I’d like to thank a regular reader who alerted me to the published test results and Nevada County’s performance.

    I anticipate that these test results will be spun in a much more salutary manner by the Left in order to keep people distracted during the downward spiral of our K-12 system toward a cosseted, compliant, and politically correct cohort of emerging graduates.  What’s left out in these commentaries is the increasing threshold of academic performance and/or intellectual acumen (which the tests measure) required by the new jobs created through technology’s ‘creative destruction’ of old jobs.  Doing well by yesterday’s measure does not mean that you’re doing well today.  I attempted to make this graphically clear in ‘edX meets the workforce’ several years ago.

    The outstanding performance of the Ghidotti Early College High School in the CASPP report is worth highlighting.  As usual, it’s the underlying numbers that provide the necessary perspective and tell the tale.  In 2016 Nevada County’s K-12 enrollment was 11,607 students.  Of these 2,995 were enrolled in our high schools.  You have to be an especially talented kid to get into Ghidotti (applications for the next school year will start being accepted in November), and, reflecting that, the entire school’s attendance is 162 students of whom only the 45 juniors were tested.  That goes a long way to explain why they were ranked first in the state on the reported assessment tests on which all of them met or exceeded the required performance standards.

  • [I suppose there are still other issues beyond Puerto Rico and Las Vegas that need to be recognized and resolved in our own inimitable manner.  Apologies for not having an open sandbox for the last couple of days. gjr]

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  • George Rebane

    With the Las Vegas massacre still fresh in the news, and memories of previous such shootings indelibly burned into our collective memories, the ongoing debate in these pages about preventing children from accidentally shooting themselves or others assumes a heightened focus and an inevitably extended scope.  We are all standing by for the new spate of progressive platitudes and proposed proscriptions of the lawful ownership and possession of guns guaranteed by the Second Amendment.  This guarantee is not recognized by many of our newly educated citizens, most leftwing politicians, and all lamestream journalists.  But the only guarantee we have is that when the dust of the latest tragedy settles, and it will settle, this next chapter of the debate will leave us more separated than ever – the Great Divide ratchet turneth.

    So, back to preventing accidental gun deaths.  I wonder what would happen to current statistics if children were taught about gun safety in kindergarten and/or first grade.  Today concerned parents have no hope of denying their child’s knowledge of the existence and, yes, the romance of guns since the world’s cultures glorify their existence as objects of power, adventure, status, justice, crime, coming of age, … .  Today all of this is drummed into the heads of the little darlins through immensely popular and engaging shoot-‘em-up computer games, realistic movies, and TV/online videos available 24/7 on the youngsters’ phones and pads.  And the more such parents attempt to keep children from having early ‘gun experiences’, the more attractive guns become to kids as the forbidden fruit that when serendipitously discovered, must immediately be handled, explored, surreptitiously shared, etc.

    As a youngster (and child war veteran) in 1950s middle America, I was as interested in guns as were any of my friends.  In those days fathers (mine included) put guns into the hands of their sons (and many daughters) when they were, by today’s standards, very young.  I got my Red Ryder Daisy BB gun when ten, and my first 22 mag-fed bolt action rifle when thirteen.  (One of my grandsons now has it.)  I taught my children and grandchildren about guns and gun safety before they were five, and to shoot before they were eight.

    Before the age of political correctness it was rare to hear of a youngster tragically discharging a found firearm.  Although kids did have their share of hunting accidents when improperly handling their firearms.  But then such accidents were not political or politicized events, no one became hysterical as a result and started militating for some new draconian laws or regulations that proscribed or constructively denied the then legal ownership and disposition of guns.  Overall, these were viewed as childhood accidents similar to when a kid seriously injured himself on a swing or other playground equipment, or riding his bicycle, swimming, climbing trees, or … .  These were simply tragic accidents the solution to which was more/better safety training.  We recognized that life lived to the fullest has inherent dangers, and their attempted eradication would also eliminate other unintended desiderata that contributed to our quality of life – in sum, the overzealous quest for safety itself has a price, as we see all around us today.

    Are we really a better society as a result of fifty years of social histrionics wherein we have sought to impress each other with our social consciousness and caring that today mandates almost everything that we do, say, or think.  How many mass shootings did we have when young people knew more about guns and had easier access to them?

3 comments on The G-C Grid