Rebane's Ruminations
October 2026
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  • George Rebane

    DC crime rate is low and not impacted by Trump’s federalizing crime suppression in the District – so claim the city's socialist leaders.  Well now.  The long term average DC murder rate is three per week, and since the police were augmented by the feds They’ve gone 11 days without a murder, that kind of hiatus would occur only with probability of 0.009,  Therefore the most likely explanation is that Trump’s actions significantly brought down the city’s murder rate.  The real problem comes when the feds withdraw and DC goes back to business as usual – i.e. it’s all about culture change.

    Have you noticed that all lamestream reporting of weather events – too hot or cold, hurricanes, tornadoes, windblown wildfires, floods, … – strongly implies that it’s all due to preventable manmade climate change?  To make everything peaceful and quiet again all that is needed are more well-funded green programs operating in an environment of ever more economically burdensome regulations and laws.  Never mind, as Bjorn Lomborg continues to point out, that there is no evidence to support that leftwing hysteria.

    [31aug25 update] Does Trump really want to adopt Beijing’s state-directed model?  It sure looks like it.  The administration intends to take a stake in Intel, to nationalize Lockheed Martin, to receive golden shares of Nippon Steel, to claim a piece of the action from Nvidia and AMD, and to garner royalties from research patents.

  • [Latest news on new home building.  It seems that today more and more houses are built without separate dining rooms.  This allows the house to be smaller and cheaper.  But eliminating the dining room also indicates a culture shift in the young buyers.  Fewer people today require a room in which the entire entourage of guests can gather for a meal and conversation that involves everyone.  Such conversations require the participants’ shared knowledge bases, real time critical thinking, and the art of expressing oneself in a civil and sensitive manner that does not put people off and feeds their interest in what you have to say – social skills on the wane among the young.  gjr]

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  • [This piece by regular Union columnist Terry McLaughlin was rejected by its editorial mavens for being too politically biased and containing claims that the Left considers patently false and/or unsubstantiated.  I invite RR readers to compare Ms McLaughlin’s op-ed – posted here with permission – with those from leftwing authors that appear daily in the newspaper.   I too have suffered similar rejections.  gjr]

    Terry McLaughlin

    Are we seeing the end of corporate journalism?  Do readers and viewers trust major media sources such as CNN and the New York Times or Washington Post any longer?   

    There are only so many times the public can be lied to or misled before reality starts to set in, leaving everyone wondering what is true, what is bias, what is blatantly false?  Who can we trust?

    Two sensational stories appeared before us in July – and most major media sources cannot seem to admit that they were either completely wrong or complicit in promoting these untruths.

    Steven Colbert was informed that CBS’s “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” would be ending next May. Major media sources rushed to inform the public that Paramount, which owns CBS, fired Colbert because he publicly expressed criticism for their settlement of a lawsuit with President Trump.  They also promoted the idea that Paramount got rid of Colbert in order to curry favor with the administration’s FCC because of an upcoming merger.

    The reality?  Colbert’s agent publicly explained he was informed of the cancellation of the show two weeks earlier, while Colbert was on vacation.  He opted not to share the bad news with Colbert until his return.  The cancellation occurred prior to Paramount’s settlement of Trump’s lawsuit, or Colbert’s on-camera criticism of CBS and Paramount for that settlement. Once the cancellation was made public, we learned that Colbert’s show cost the company $100 million per year to produce, with a return of around $60 million on that investment.  A $40 million annual loss seems like reasonable motivation for canceling a show with declining viewership.  It’s just simple math.

    Not only Colbert personally, but The Late Show, which has been on the air for 30 years, is being cancelled in its entirety in May.  Since that cancellation was announced, Paramount signed a deal with the creators of South Park to pay them $1.5 billion for their next season.  The fact that one of the first episodes of the new season depicts Donald Trump quite negatively in a homosexual relationship with the devil defies the idea that either censorship or pressure from the Trump administration played any part in Paramount’s decision-making.

     Which brings us to the other big story, which most of the media is either ignoring completely or misrepresenting.  Despite what some local contributors to this newspaper are claiming, actual evidence has now been revealed that former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, former CIA Director John Brennan, and former FBI Director James Comey manipulated intelligence and then disseminated a false story to a compliant media in order to build the case that Donald Trump had conspired with Russia to win the 2016 presidential election.   If you are unaware of this evidence, it is because many in the media, rather than admitting their errors or correcting their previous reporting, are covering themselves by simply not reporting this news.

     What has also been revealed in recent releases of declassified intelligence is that relevant information was actively suppressed. The initial intelligence assessments of any interference by Russia in the 2016 election found no evidence of “collusion” between Trump and Russia, but had concluded that Russia had gotten a hold of internal Democrat communications characterizing Hillary Clinton’s mental state as “intensified psycho-emotional problems, including uncontrolled fits of anger, aggression and cheerfulness,” and other physical and mental health details that had Democrat insiders concerned about how that information might influence the voters.

    The intelligence shows that Russia had this information in October, and whether it was true or not, could have used it to ruin Clinton’s election prospects.  If Putin was “colluding” with Trump and wanted him to be elected, why would it not have been leaked or released in the fall of 2016?

    Even more recently released information discovered from John Durham’s investigation’s “burn bag” (hidden and intended to be destroyed) includes messages sent among DNC and Clinton campaign staffers and operatives prior to any investigation having begun: “HRC (Clinton) approved Julie’s (Clinton Campaign Advisor) idea about Trump and Russian hackers hampering U.S. elections. . .. This should distract people from her own missing email.” “The FBI will put more oil into the fire.”  So much more declassified information is now becoming public that it is hard to keep up with, unless you are intentionally ignoring it.

    So after spending nearly ten years and tens of millions of dollars covering the “Russia collusion” story, now that it has imploded, will any of the major media outlets apologize? Will they give back their Pulitzer Prizes?  The likely answer can be summed up by CNN’s Chief National Affairs Correspondent Jeff Zeleny: “This is hardly information we should be repeating and spending much more time on.”  The truth is not worth reporting.

    Who got these stories right?  While major media sources insisted we look the other way, nearly every story of consequence within the last ten years has been honestly reported by non-celebrity, low-paid journalists at independent outlets.  From the origins of COVID to the legitimacy of Hunter Biden’s laptop, to the “mostly peaceful” protests erupting around the country, to the flood of illegal border crossings, to questions about the health of Joe Biden, it was independent media who asked the questions and persisted in learning and reporting the facts. 

    None of the complicit major media outlets will ever apologize for their role in the incalculable harm wrought upon this country by the destructive storm of misinformation, disinformation, and outright lies presented to a naïve and trusting public. 

  • George Rebane

    The ongoing situation in Ukraine is totally asymmetrical – Russia intensifies its bombing and battlefield assaults while the West jawbones and regurgitates threats that don’t materialize.  Meanwhile Trump is basking in the revised and reconstructed interpretation of the disastrous Anchorage outcome – talk about lipstick on a pig.  He now believes his own press clippings and claims that he always wanted to skip a cease fire and go immediately into negotiating a peace treaty to end the war.

    This is an obvious page out of Putin’s much publicized playbook.  There is ample evidence of Trump’s pre-Anchorage demands for an immediate ceasefire, which if not agreed to by Putin would result in immediate implementation of secondary economy crippling sanctions on Russia and the upgrading of Ukraine’s military with EU purchased US weapons.

    In the meantime Putin repeats his prerequisites for peace, demanding he keeps conquered lands, get additional relinquished strategic territory, prevents Ukraine from maintaining an effective military, and prohibits Ukraine from ever joining NATO.  His intentions during such a hiatus is to rebuild/refurbish the Russian army, and then complete the conquest of Ukraine either physically or politically as a satrap a la Belorussia.

    To put a bow on Putin’s contempt for western leaders and the West’s initiatives was unmistakably shown last night when he bombed an American built and operated factory in Ukraine.

    Trump allowing this asymmetry to continue indicates that he is again (still?) unclear on Putin’s goals and MO for achieving them.  All he can tell his devoted audiences is that he is “very unhappy” with Putin’s response and the lack of progress toward a trilateral meeting with Zelinsky in attendance, followed by a bilateral meeting during which Zelinsky has only a knife to bring to a gunfight.

    To their credit, there are a few reputable commentators on FN and FB who are echoing the above sentiments.  But it all seems to be water off the Donald’s back.

    [Later]  Just out is WSJ’s 22aug25 editorial on the matter (here).  It agrees with my harangue above and points out, “The question now is how quickly Mr. Trump concludes he’s being played again, and the evidence is mixed.”  (emphasis mine re Anchorage)

    In criticizing the former president, “Mr. Biden, or whoever was running his Ukraine policy, had no strategy for victory. But Mr. Trump has also been reluctant to open up U.S. weapons stores and give Ukraine a real long-range missile arsenal and the freedom to use it.”

    WSJ concludes that “All the happy smiles of diplomacy won’t make a difference unless Mr. Putin thinks that the cost to him of continuing the war is higher than the risk of ending it. … It’s past time for Mr. Trump to apply secondary sanctions on countries that buy Russian oil and gas. That might get China’s attention. Here’s another idea: Confiscate each week a portion of the $300 billion in Russian reserves frozen in the West as long as the bombing continues. The hard truth is that a durable peace in Ukraine isn’t likely without a much harder policy from Mr. Trump.”

  • George Rebane

    As President Trump meets with Ukraine’s Zelinsky and select NATO leaders at the White House to discuss a strategic response to Putin’s peace treaty demands, it is good to review what the Russian thug has in mind as supported by overwhelming evidence (see below) of his behavior on the world scene.  The main points to keep in mind are that (1) Russia’s economy is on its ass, and (2) Putin’s physical wellbeing depends on his success in prosecuting his many declarations of reclaiming Russia’s destiny as the dominant European cum world power.

    Preceded by Lenin, Stalin, et al, the Russians of the former USSR and now Putin have yet to existentially keep any promises they have made since the 1917 Bolshevik revolution.  Russia’s current activities along their eastern border with NATO countries are ongoing testimony to Putin’s plans for future conquests – e.g. cross border transgressions, vandalizing European communication and energy pipelines, massing of troops on the borders of Finland, Estonia, Latvia, and, of course, the ongoing conquest of Ukraine.

    Putin has put himself into a no-win situation with his military’s high command and Russia’s corps of corrupt oligarchs.  He can no longer retreat to a normalized stance in which he renounces foreign adventures and convinces everyone that he will now play nice and work to re-establish Russia as well-behaved trading nation participating in international commerce.  A fundamental, but seldom mentioned, cultural trait of Slavic Russians is that they have never believed in win-win relationships.  Their fundamental worldview is that of a zero sum game.  There are now too many divergent interests to satisfy, all of whom see Putin as a one-tune band to bring riches through conquest and military power or we’ll invite you to enjoy a wonderful view of Moscow from a nearby window.

    The wiser heads in our corner will see Putin for what he has amply demonstrated to be.  And any upcoming agreements with him will have to be backed by short-fuse and terminal economic sanctions along with the positioning of ample tripwire NATO forces in the Ukraine matching those now in Finland, Estonia, Latvia, and Poland.  The bottom line is that Putin has been and continues to be a lying sumbich.  I document the compiled history of his broken promises in Download PutinsBrokenPromises which concludes with –

    Putin’s history of broken promises in international agreements is extensive, spanning the Budapest Memorandum (1994), Minsk Agreements (2014–2015), arms control treaties (INF, Open Skies, New START), and numerous ceasefires. Violations began early in his tenure (e.g., Istanbul Document, 1999) and escalated with aggressive actions in Georgia (2008) and Ukraine (2014, 2022). Partial compliance, such as in prisoner exchanges or the Black Sea Grain Initiative, was short-lived and driven by self-interest. Russia’s actions reflect a strategy of using agreements as tools for delay or leverage, eroding trust in its commitments. Any future agreements would require robust enforcement to counter this track record.

  • "Peace in our time!"  Prime Minister Neville Chamberlin, 1938

    George Rebane

    Well hell, President Trump did not pull that one off in Anchorage.  With all the talking heads on Fox doing their best to put a good face on it, there’s no denying that Trump got nothing out of this abbreviated summit that he previewed the world as his goal.  Putin got everything – a global stage on which to show his equivalence to Trump, and a chance to rope-a-dope the west from the embarrassing post-summit podium that turned out to be an aborted joint press conference.  Trump just stood there and took it, when he should have been on AF1 headed back to Andrews.  Neither leader wanted to answer any spontaneous questions from a press corps that knew there would be no cease fire in Ukraine.  Both quickly got on their planes and outta there.

    To add insult to injury, everyone now expects that there will be an embarrassing follow-on meeting after Putin has ample time to continue bombing the crap out of the Ukrainians and reoutfitting his forces for the next push to grab the four-city defensive line west of Donbas.

    What I hope that we’ll hear out of our Fearless Leader, after he gathers his wits, is that the secondary sanctions on Russia will immediately go into effect, and that the EU/NATO leaders will immediately start shipping Zelinsky the promised weapons they will by from America.  Oh yes, and encourage the Ukrainians to start deep strikes into Russia, primarily Moscow and St Petersburg.  If Trump does nothing but talk about a second meeting during which this time he really, really will get Putin to behave, then this summit may well go down as Trump’s own Afghanistan debacle.

    I will be the happiest if I have to eat these words.

    [16aug25 update]  Seems that my sentiments about Anchorage are being widely shared today by usually Trump-favoring outlets like the WSJ.  The lamestream’s responses were preprogrammed regardless of the summit’s outcome.  The 16aug25 WSJ news coverage (here) concludes with, “In contrast to the handshakes and smiles that characterized the start of their meeting on the taxiway at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson, Putin and Trump looked stone-faced during much of the news conference. Putin spoke for roughly eight minutes. Trump then spoke for three minutes, before they both left.” 

    The outcome was more harshly covered in the op-ed pages (here).  “… the Russian achieved one of his major goals from the summit, which is the start of his rehabilitation as a world leader. The summit ended his isolation from the West, and he gave up nothing for it. He also appears to have gained more time to continue bombing Ukrainian cities and slowly taking more territory.”

  • [This piece was composed with significant research from xAI's Grok; it summarizes the years of posts under what I characterize as Rebane Doctrine.]

    George Rebane

    Why do collectivist governments with central planning and control not work?

    Collective governments with central control—typically referring to systems like command or centrally planned economies where the state directs resource allocation, production, and distribution—have been critiqued extensively for their inefficiencies and historical shortcomings. While proponents argue they can promote equity and rapid industrialization (as seen in the early Soviet Union), they often struggle due to fundamental structural issues. Below, I'll outline the main reasons they tend not to work effectively, drawing from economic theory, historical examples, and analyses. These are not absolute failures in every case, but common patterns observed in implementations like the Soviet Union, Cuba, and North Korea.

    1. Lack of Price Signals and Economic Calculation Problems

    Central planners cannot efficiently allocate resources without market-driven prices, which naturally reflect supply, demand, and consumer preferences. Without these signals, it's impossible to accurately forecast needs, leading to shortages, surpluses, and misallocation. For instance, planners might overproduce unwanted goods while underproducing essentials. This issue, known as the "economic calculation problem," was famously articulated by economists like Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek, who argued that no central authority can process the vast, dispersed knowledge held by individuals in a society.

    1. Overwhelming Complexity and Data Challenges

    Economies are too complex for central authorities to manage effectively, involving billions of data points on production, consumption, and preferences. Planners often deal with incomplete, inaccurate, or outdated information, making informed decisions impossible. In the Soviet Union, for example, delays in processing data led to persistent inefficiencies.

    1. Perverse Incentives and Malicious Compliance

    Without personal profit motives or competition, workers and managers prioritize meeting quotas over quality or efficiency, often leading to absurd outcomes. A classic Soviet anecdote illustrates this: when nail production was measured by quantity, factories made millions of tiny, useless nails; when switched to weight, they produced massive spikes instead. This "malicious compliance" also appeared in over-whaling or running empty trains to hit targets, resulting in waste and environmental harm.

    1. Absence of Innovation and Entrepreneurship

    Central control stifles creativity by eliminating entrepreneurs who could identify and solve problems quickly. With no private initiative or risk-reward system, innovations lag—Soviet products like cars remained stagnant for decades compared to Western competitors. Issues like chronic shortages (e.g., toilet paper in the USSR) persisted because only state entities could act, delaying solutions.

    1. Lack of Competition and Monopolies

    State monopolies lead to poor quality and inefficiency, as there's no pressure to improve or cut costs. Unlike market economies where failing firms go bankrupt, state enterprises survive regardless of performance, draining resources. This contributed to the Soviet Union's technological backwardness and consumer dissatisfaction.

    1. Concentration of Power and Corruption Risks

    Central planning requires a large bureaucracy, which can become a de facto ruling class prone to corruption, self-interest, and poor decisions by non-experts. Power struggles (e.g., under Stalin) led to arbitrary allocations, like sending inappropriate equipment abroad. Historically, this has suppressed individual freedoms and led to authoritarianism.

    1. Inflexibility and Inability to Adapt

    Fixed prices and rigid plans prevent quick responses to changes, causing ongoing shortages or surpluses. Equity goals often fail too, with poor-quality goods and inefficiencies harming overall welfare. Many centrally planned systems, like those in Eastern Europe post-WWII, collapsed or transitioned to market models in the 1980s and 1990s due to these issues.

    In summary, while central control can achieve short-term goals like mobilization during crises, it generally falters under the weight of human knowledge limits, incentive misalignments, and complexity. Most modern economies succeed as mixed systems, blending planning with market mechanisms for better outcomes.

    Which political party promotes centralized control and planning?

    The Democratic Party in the United States is often associated with promoting centralized control and planning, particularly through policies that emphasize government intervention in the economy, social programs, and regulatory frameworks. Democrats typically advocate for federal initiatives like universal healthcare, environmental regulations, and wealth redistribution, which involve centralized decision-making to achieve broader societal goals. For example, policies like the Affordable Care Act or proposals for a Green New Deal reflect a preference for coordinated, government-led planning.

    In contrast, the Republican Party generally leans toward decentralized approaches, favoring free-market principles, limited government, and individual state autonomy, though there are exceptions depending on specific issues or leadership. Both parties can support centralized measures in certain contexts, but Democrats are more consistently aligned with centralized planning as a core ideological stance.

     

  • George Rebane

    Trump and Putin without Zelinsky will provide us a new perspective on pissing in the wind.  Don’t know why The Donald is setting himself up for a failure in Alaska.  Putin can’t back-off giving back conquered Ukrainian territory, and the West can’t afford to have Putin have another success in restoring USSR’s boundaries.  And any agreement for a temporary unresolved cease fire will only allow the thug to refit and refurbish his troops for the next push deeper into Ukraine.  Rebane Doctrine calls for massive new sanctions and the arming of Ukraine with weapons that can reach deep into Russia (e.g. Moscow and St Petersburg) along with strong public encouragement from the US and our allies to use that weaponry to make the war very expensive for Putin.  To communicate with him, we have to speak his language.

    Trump plans to tax US exports – what?!!  Have no idea how this harebrained idea has gotten purchase in the White House.  Tax Rule #1 – when you tax something more, you get less of it.  In this case we have Nvidia initially being told not to sell its chips to China for national security reasons.  Then Trump tells Nvidia that our national security will be served with such exports as long as the feds get 15% tax off the top line.  And all along we’ve been told that we want our importers to pay us tariffs, and we want the US to be the top exporter in the world.  Well, Mr President, taxing exports is not exactly how to pull that off.  BTW, has anyone heard who all pays what share of our import tariffs?  Me neither.

    Trump is not winning the federalizing urban law enforcement argument.  Our leftwing politicians and media are howling that all that is an unnecessary autocratic takeover of local governance.  Why?  Well, because the data shows decreasing crime rates.  This no matter that crime levels are still too high and decreasing too slowly.  No one on the Right seems to understand and correctly counter with the important difference between levels and rates (i.e. time rates of change of levels).  For example the DC murders/100K population is second in the nation for equivalent size cities.  Led by Fox News, without a countering argument, the rightwing media just replays the video clips of the Left repeatedly pointing out that no special law enforcement intervention is necessary since “crime rates are coming down”  (itself a nonsensical statement).

  • [NYC’s Mamdani is a communist in socialist’s clothing.  He is now polling at the 40+% level and sure to be the city’s next mayor.  On his current Hate Trump tour he is telling his double dummies that he’s willing to work with Trump as long as the president is ready to federally subsidize his ‘affordability’ projects like free city transit rides and cheap food from city-owned grocery stores.  Gerald Baker in the 12aug25 WSJ (here) posits that Mamdani may herald a new kind of class struggle – “It’s the overeducated elites, not laborers or the masses, who are getting behind socialism today.” gjr]

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  • [This commentary was also published in the 15aug25 edition of The Union (here)]

    George Rebane

    As President Trump prepares to welcome Putin to Alaska, where he won’t be arrested, the meeting draws much attention and has little chance of producing anything useful because President Zelinsky of Ukraine remains uninvited.  All anticipatory reports of the coming proceedings have Trump willing to cede parts of Russian conquered Ukraine – e.g. Donbas et al – to Putin without Zelinsky having much say in the matter.

    Putin has convinced his own population and many in the West (see Barry Pruett’s ‘Report from Moscow’) that Russia had to invade Ukraine in order to guarantee the rights and safety of ethnic Russians who concentrate in eastern Ukraine bordering Russia.  The students of history, a diminishing population, will see the stark similarities between Putin in 2022 and Hitler in 1938 when the latter annexed Czechoslovakia’s bohemian territories, called Sudetenland by the heavily populated ethnic Germans who were treated as second class citizens by the Czech regime.

    Both dictators did their deeds for the same reason – lebensraum.  However, Hitler’s ante-bellum conquest was highly criticized worldwide, save for a klatch of British appeasers led by Chamberlain of ‘Peace in our time’ fame.  Today we don’t hear much about Putin having to withdraw from conquered Ukrainian territories.  The new realpolitik is that we have to give him anything he wants in order “to stop the killing”.  Hitler used the post-annex hiatus to prepare for the invasion of Poland which included the complete takeover of Czechoslovakia.  Putin’s plans are identical.  He needs a respite to rebuild and refurbish the Russian Army so that he can continue his avowed historical destiny to restore Russia to its Czarist/USSR borders.

    The gambit of invading neighbors to protect the rights of your ethnic and cultural relatives living there is an old one.  Stalin spent his entire tenure exporting Slavic Russians to inhabit conquered borderlands ranging from Kazakhstan to Estonia.  At the same time he stationed Red Army units reciprocally from diametric locales in order to suppress any uprisings.  He figured correctly that Kazakhstanis would have no problem firing on Estonians, and vice versa.

    So why don’t we hear some of these talking heads on the media comparing Donbas and Sudetenland in their analyses of the coming peace negotiations to end the Russo-Ukrainian war?  Shouldn’t there be some comparison made between the goose and the gander?

60 comments on Scattershots – 25aug25 (updated 31aug25)