Rebane's Ruminations
April 2026
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George Rebane

The Dems path to power is to expand their voter base by taking, say, $500 from a maker and giving $100 to each of five takers, thereby losing one vote while gaining five.  In its various forms this paradigm defines the Democrats’ only reliable route to election victories since they have no other public policies that the voters will accept.

Democrats have long been the party that actively promotes government fraud, waste, and abuse.  Today they are focusing on defending frauds of various kind perpetrated by foreigners (e.g. Chinese nationals) and unassimilating foreign-born residents (e.g. Somalis).  Such fraudulent practices have been exposed by a few remaining investigative reporters, most visibly by Nick Shirley who has documented his work with videos.  In order to maintain such fraudulent schemes, California will now pass a law (AB2624, the ‘Stop Nick Shirley Act’) making it illegal for reporters to expose such practices.  Every day more evidence pours in that the Democrats are both anti-American and evil in their manner and methods.

The Trump administration may well have been duped again in their negotiations with Iran.  Today Iran’s regime is once more attacking commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, claiming that it is retaliating for America’s violating the terms negotiated so far by maintaining the embargo on Iranian shipping.  It is clear we don’t know with whom we are negotiating – which faction of ragheads have the power and the pencil.  The negotiating faction has agreed to open the strait while the cease fire holds, the guys with guns and missiles state that the strait remains closed until we lift the embargo.  All this continues to demonstrate that the only language Iran will understand is the naked use of force.  Trump would be well advised to launch the B-52s and start taking out the country’s transport and power infrastructure in the sequence I have described before.

[update] The media and administration are not paying much attention to the reclosing of Hormuz.  What’s odd is that all the other news they reported were on negotiations and global economics which depend on the open access of that strait.  So now we have the obvious situation that the administration does not know with whom it is negotiating, and it has again let Iran cross one of its ‘red lines’ unimpeded.  In this case IRGC fast gunboats approached in open water and fired at commercial vessels in the strait.  Fearless Leader assured us that such boats would be blown out of the water a la Venezuelan drug boats.  In reality – NOTHING.  You can determine yourself what kind of message this sends to international players.

[19apr26 update]  Systemic unemployment has already started.  Companies are laying off thousands of employees due to reconfigured operations based on AI.  For years these pages have predicted a 70% reduction in the required workforce due to the advent of the Singularity, which is happening now.  Confirming reports of this arrive daily.  As an informative example of the national dialogue on current job losses, see the 19apr26 WSJ article reporting CEOs’ “straight talk about AI and job losses”.  Those who pooh-pooh systemic unemployment also preach retraining workers for new jobs that they believe AI will give rise to as did the advent of previous new technologies.  But the new problem with this old shibboleth is that no one can think of what these laid off workers should be retrained to do in order to get back into the workforce.

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13 responses to “Scattershots – 18apr26 (updated 19apr26)”

  1. Resurrected Hillbilly Avatar
    Resurrected Hillbilly

    Yes, let’s give Iran $20 Billion so they can rebuild Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis…

    but Obama!

    Like

  2. Rebane Avatar

    Obama unfroze and released over $150B to Iran in 2016. Trump is planning to release $20B under agreement being currently negotiated.

    Like

  3. fish Avatar
    fish

    Democrats have long been the party that actively promotes government fraud, waste, and abuse.  Today they are focusing on defending frauds of various kind perpetrated by foreigners (e.g. Chinese nationals) and unassimilating foreign-born residents (e.g. Somalis).

    .

    ….They are also the party that bends itself into pretzel shapes to protect their new “voters” when they are caught doing things like this…..from cats in Italy to Swans in Ireland to god knows what will be roasted next in the US.

    .

    Fury As Nigerian Migrant Caught Cooking Cat In Public Park Next To Children’s Playground

    .

    I remember when Constipated said that these stories were just right wing propaganda…..that was awesome.

    Like

  4. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    As of today Trumps job approval polling has dritfted to an all time low of – 16.1. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating Even his longtime supporters like Tucker Carlson have bailed on him and are apologizing for supporting him.

    Like

  5. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    The numbers I gave you were consensus polls from RCP. They are now up tp 17.1 Here’s a link. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

    Like

  6. sierrafoothillsretort Avatar

    Yes, Punch, and what I gave back was one poll with a history of not jumping around.

    Like

  7. scenes Avatar
    scenes

    Fetching a clandestine cell phone from his prison wallet at the memory care center, psul frantically types:

    “The numbers I gave you were consensus polls from RCP. They are now up tp 17.1”

    Oddly, quoting Ballotpedia:

    “Trump’s approval rating for the 65th week of his second term was 40.9%. At this point during his first term, his approval rating was 41.7%. Biden’s approval rating at the same point in his term was 40.8%.”

    I can’t help but wonder that if they elected a random person off the street this number wouldn’t be roughly the same. Maybe it’s just more a function of the times and the point in the President’s term at work.

    I realize that the Unlimited Immigration and Buggery Party would rather have some composite of Gavin Newsom, AOC, Schumer, Jerry Nadler, and the body of Dianne Feinstein running matters, but psul would be better off spending his quality TDS time on something real and not a daily nudge on a poll.

    Like

  8. Resurrected Hillbilly Avatar
    Resurrected Hillbilly

    fish scours the internet and finally finds an example of a human who will eat a cat among 8 billion people. Congrats!

    Like

  9. Resurrected Hillbilly Avatar
    Resurrected Hillbilly

    The claim that the Obama administration “gave” $150 billion to Iran as part of the 2015 nuclear deal (JCPOA) is considered false or highly misleading by fact-checkers. The figure represents Iranian assets that were frozen in foreign banks, not cash from the U.S. treasury. 

    Key Facts Regarding the “$150 Billion” Claim:

    Frozen Assets, Not Gift: The funds belonged to Iran but were blocked from access by international sanctions. 

    Actual Amount Lower: While some estimates, sometimes cited by2015-era reports or interviews, mentioned $150 billion, U.S. officials and economists estimated the amount of truly accessible, “usable” funds was much lower—closer to $50–$60 billion. 

    Debts and Illiquid Assets: A significant portion of the total estimated assets was tied up in debts or in projects that could not be quickly liquidated. 

    International Agreement: The deal was between Iran and six other nations (China, France, Germany, Russia, UK) and the EU, not just the U.S.. 

    The $1.7 Billion Cash Payment:
    Separately, the Obama administration did make a $1.7 billion cash transfer to Iran in 2016, which is often confused with the $150 billion figure. This payment was for a settled 1970s arms deal (a $400 million principal payment plus $1.3 billion in interest) that was not completed before the Iranian revolution. Critics highlighted that this was delivered in cash and coincided with the release of American prisoners. 

    Like

  10. scenes Avatar
    scenes

    A quick search will show 1 million cats eaten in Vietnam and 4 million in China every year, so that human must be eating a heckuva lot of cats.

    It’s a funny moral issue. Pigs are smarter than cats, but are raised in insanely bad conditions. Horses outrank cattle. The Japanese eat 10k dolphins / year or more.

    Of course, the underlying issue is that if you import the 3rd World, you become the 3rd World. Xenophilia is a crazy drug.

    Like

  11. ScottO Avatar

    “if you import the 3rd World, you become the 3rd World”
    As long as the important people don’t have to look at it or deal with it first hand – it’s fine and they’ll have good feelz.

    Like

  12. scenes Avatar
    scenes

    GR: “Companies are laying off thousands of employees due to reconfigured operations based on AI. “

    Too simplistic. It’s a combination of…

    . Real advancements in productivity in AI (and probably less than you might think at this point).

    . Hoped-for advancements in AI because executives just love them their magic bullets.

    . ‘Right-sizing’ headcount under cover of AI. Overhiring and changes in WFH needed a correction.

    . Offshoring under cover of AI.

    Just wait until there’s a collapse in AI build-out, hardware obsolescence, AI stock valuations. Hoo-whee.

    It’ll take a while before the various sweet spots are found I think. For one thing, businesses will need to reconfigure to better suit AI. I think of it as similar to the changes in mechanical design you need to suit automated assembly lines.

    Like

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