Rebane's Ruminations
April 2022
S M T W T F S
 12
3456789
10111213141516
17181920212223
24252627282930

ARCHIVES


OUR LINKS


YubaNet
White House Blog
Watts Up With That?
The Union
Sierra Thread
RL “Bob” Crabb
Barry Pruett Blog

George Rebane

Contrary to common wisdom, in addition to your opinions you can also have your own facts, history, science, logic, sense of justice, fairness, equity, evil, beauty, and, of course, truth.  Rebane Doctrine

Two friends of ours tackled the notion of ‘truth’ in recent issues of The Union.  Jan Tannarome (‘Facts vs Beliefs’) and Terry McLaughlin (‘What is truth, exactly?’) in which each argued the existence of propositions that are universally and unambiguously assessed as being true.  Ms Tannarome leans to the left, and Ms McLaughlin is a conservative.

Tannarome harbors the pejorative view of ‘belief’ as being inimical to a kind and just society.  She writes, “And no matter who is using belief as a weapon or as a shield, this is unforgivable. It is unforgivable on a scale of such magnitude that I can’t think of anything worse at this juncture in our human evolution. I will borrow a phrase from a frequent contributor to this newspaper’s pages and say that using belief as a shield or a weapon is the mother dog of all political mischief, all social and cultural malfeasance, all justification for hatred and its many offspring.”

McLaughlin, while never actually defining ‘absolute truth’, believes it to exist and goes through a litany of misguided notions about truth ranging from relativism, through pluralism, to beliefs.  She writes, “Why is it important to embrace the concept of absolute truth? Because life has consequences for being wrong. … Today, many people seem to fear publicly and honestly stating facts and truth. … If we wish to heal the present divides within our country, our neighborhoods, even our families, we must be willing to share in truthful and honest discourse.”

From my perch (see also my credo) I join with those who have a more precise and, perhaps, technical understanding and definition of belief.  The commonly accepted definition of ‘belief’ is a faith-based proposition.  (Here a proposition is a statement or assertion that expresses a judgment or assessment.)  As such, a belief requires no reasonable basis.

A more nuanced, and technically correct definition, holds that there are two kinds of beliefs – faith-based and falsifiable.  In that sense a person’s worldview or ontology consists of a set of propositions or beliefs which may all be falsifiable or also include some that are faith-based and beyond the pale of reason.  Over the years RR readers who have followed my sermons on Bayesian inference and non-monotonic reasoning know that I and most people of my ilk and background embrace an ontology that consists wholly of potentially falsifiable beliefs.

For the more technical/philosophical reader, the Bayesian measure of verity of a proposition is its probability of being verifiably true.  This measure ranges between zero (impossible proposition) and one (axiomatically true).  Verity measures between zero and one may be updated (by Bayes theorem) with the introduction of new evidence.  Faith-based verity measures at zero and one are immune to new evidence and the ministrations of Bayes.  (more here, here, and here)

Unfortunately, as beauty is in the eye of the beholder, so is belief in the mind (heart?) of the believer.  The pithy shibboleth at the top summarizes the realworld basis for our nation’s polarization, and its negligible prospects for restoring e pluribus unum.  IMHO too many of us paint our views of the world with faith-based colors.  Such people believe in absolute truths beyond those immediately subject to multi-party verification.

An example of such an absolute truth is the proposition that 2+2=4 which can be immediately verified during an ongoing discourse by everyone present who can count.  Claimed absolute truths that are limited to citations of past third-party verifications are immediately open to contention which cannot be resolved in the moment, and therefore give rise to the above pithy shibboleth.  And it is in the moment, that is ripe for taking decisions, that one must accept or reject available paths forward when multiple contending truths (beliefs) do battle – absolute truths have no place is such arenas.  It was ever thus.

With this understanding one can appreciate why appeals based on Rodney King’s ‘Why can’t we all just get along?’ fail to unite us.

A better course to resolve disputes would be to admit the pithy shibboleth and focus on discovering common aspects in the differing utilities held by contending factions.  Without such a basis for dispute resolution expect no light, only heat. (more here and here)

Posted in , , , ,

62 responses to “What is truth?”

  1. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    7:53 am
    Must has been written, much more will be written. The nagging question is why did the NYT and the Wa Compost pick up the story now? Or, take a second look at some Russian disinformation hoax? Why, why, why? Yes, the Wa Po omitted key and crucial details in their coming clean story, but why now?
    The ‘experts’ all say it is to get ahead of the story to control the narrative…as evidenced by our popinjay (an antiquated word for parrot). So, someone knows that indictments are ready to be dropped and gotta throw Hunter under the bus to save the Big Guy. A parting of the ways, if you will. Perhaps a distraction is in order.
    Two wrongs don’t make a right.
    DISINFORMATION, AMERICAN STYLE (5)
    https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2022/04/disinformation-american-style-5.php
    Time will tell. This stuff is not for the impatient. Takes years for these investigations to wrap up and disappear from memory. Which may be the point. No instant gratification for the popinjays, but Bush did it too!
    PS: I have not heard the term ‘slimeball’ since the Trump Tower Collission Day. Slime ball is spelt slime ball, btw. Lushness is a slime ball…or was that Trump Jr? Slime balls one and all….except the guy in the mirror.
    REMEMBER: Creepy Joe said that he has NEVER discussed Hunter’s business dealing with his son. Never.
    Helpful hint: Never say never.

    Like

  2. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Darn typos. Hey, others commit typos too! Covfefe (/koʊˈfɛfi/ koh-FEH-fee) is a misspelling, widely presumed to be a typo, that Donald Trump used in a viral tweet when he was U.S. President. See, Trump did it too!!!!
    Edit time.
    Much has been written….Slimeball is spelt slime ball…..Kushner is a slimeball, or was that Trump Jr? (Or was that greaser?)
    Where the heck did ‘lushness’ come from? I blame an update that must have turned auto-fill back on. Certainly one (moi) cannot blame it on not proof reading. :’

    Like

  3. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Scott @ 7:53 am
    As we all wait in eager anticipation with bated breath for Paul to give us the update to this most interesting story, how about a little filler to pass the time?
    THE DEM MIDTERM WIPEOUT WATCH (1)
    https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2022/04/the-dem-midterm-wipeout-watch-1.php
    The state houses are where the action is. Closer to the stink.

    Like

  4. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Scott O | 12 April 2022 at 07:53 AM
    I think that in his more reflective moments Psul gives quiet thanks to Trump for giving him something to live for.

    Like

  5. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 415pm – “How can you ever reach any kind of agreement or understanding on anything with those you consider to be evil?” That possibility ranges between very very difficult and impossible – make no decision or policy that is based on ever achieving such agreement. And that has been my argument for years and for which evidence continues to build year after year. We are past the tipping point, there is no common ground for even beginning a rapprochement between the polarized sides – read my discussion with VDH.

    Like

  6. Scott O Avatar

    Tomorrow ends in about 4.5 hrs. Psul PROMISED more about the dastardly deed a Trump-related person did with a POC Psul calls a “slimeball”.
    Psul wouldn’t lie, would he?
    C,mon, man!

    Like

  7. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Oh Scott, we are on Pacific Daylight Time out here. Besides, if any bombshell breaks or has broken, Psul is usually 6 hours behind and Mr. Cross is usually 24 hours plus behind. If you like, I will give you a heads up, put I prefer not. Just skimming Psul’s go-to TDS sites always leaves me feeling dirty and needing a shower to get the yuck off me….not to mention a headache. But, I will abuse myself and take one for the team if need be…but I honestly prefer not. Please say “not”.
    Psul promised? Then that settles everything. Nothing to see here….literally.
    What is truth? More will be revealed.

    Like

  8. Scott O Avatar

    BT “Oh Scott, we are on Pacific Daylight Time out here”
    But we are on planet earth.
    There are no time zones in the outer reaches where Psul inhabits.
    So – his ‘tomorrow’ is a nebulous thing of an intangible framework of chronology.

    Like

  9. Scott O Avatar

    So – is this true?
    “At a press conference, Gov. Kathy Hochul (D-NY) said, “The entire state of New York stands with the people of the city, this community, and we say no more. No more mass shootings. No more disrupting lives. No more creating heartbreak for people just trying to live their lives as normal New Yorkers. It has to end. It ends now.””
    “It” ends now.
    But we all know “it” doesn’t.
    There will be no more heartbreak, but apparently this will only apply for “normal” New Yorkers.
    You weirdos and creeps have to take your lumps.
    And you folks in Joycie – fo git about it!
    At least I didn’t hear her say there are “too many people dying” cause I’m still waiting to find out the proper number of folks that need killing.
    What is it about these kinds of tragedies that brings out the most superficial nonsense from our so-called leaders?
    Why can’t we have a mayor that says something like:
    “An evil man has committed an atrocious act and we will find him and lock him up and if convicted, be put in prison at hard labor for the rest of his life. And we will follow the 2nd Amendment and allow law abiding citizens to carry firearms on the subway and be allowed to shoot dead people who would emulate this idiot.”
    Naw.
    Never happen.

    Like

  10. Scott O Avatar

    The witching hour approacheth and I must post the linguistic equivalent of the emoji of the downcast face.
    The most moral Psul, who is highest among all humans in honesty, promised an update on the financial dealings of a POC who Psul referred to as a: “slimeball”. Possibly this is code for the fabled ‘cornpop’ who has been mentioned in various fables by our president, but one never knows.
    Farewell til the morrow, as hope springs yet anew.

    Like

  11. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Scott O, @ 10:24 pm (PDT)
    ‘Sciutto Blames Southern Gun Laws For Brooklyn Shooting’
    Passing gun control laws to restrict the freedom of people in the South because someone shot up a subway station in New York. This is CNN.
    https://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/alex-christy/2022/04/12/sciutto-blames-southern-gun-laws-brooklyn-shooting
    —————-
    @ 10:47 pm
    Maybe Psul’s walker kicked out from under him and he took a tumble. Let’s wait and see. Oh, some wack job leftinista ‘journalist’ promised yesterday he will reveal tomorrow how Melania screwed Donald Trump over at the Jan 6 hearings. Tomorrow would be today….came and went, EST.
    The fabled corn pop? Let’s not forget that our President was a truck driving man, a story he repeated yet again recently. One would think that 18 Wheeler Joe would have had more sympathy for the Canadian truck drivers knowing what they go through. But, noooo. Looks like Lunchbox Joe forgot where he came from. 🙂
    The common man will be remembered no more.

    Like

  12. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    NYT Columnist Admits Schools Are Grooming Children Into LGBT Identities
    https://thefederalist.com/2022/04/13/nyt-columnist-admits-schools-are-grooming-children-into-lgbt-identities/

    Like

Leave a comment