George Rebane
‘Birthing people’ is yet the latest addition to the Democrats’ newspeak, in their ongoing and evil intent to reduce the information carrying capacity of English. Birthing people replaces the use of ‘mother’ and ‘woman’ in describing a human capable of giving birth to a baby. It ambiguates the meaning of the referent, and requires the use of 15 ASCII characters vs the 6 or 7 characters needed for the shorter and more precise terms. (See also 'Democrats' Newspeak – 13jan22')
The ending of the Russo-Ukraine War is a growing issue in today’s diplomatic and political deliberations regarding aid to Ukraine and Russia’s reaction to such aid. Talking heads and experts are predicting that the war will go on for at least a month and no longer than three months. Reasonably assuming that the war is a minimally known process, what is the probability that the war will actually end in the oft-cited two-month period. Well, R-G theory (here) has an answer for such questions. Using today’s duration of the war (which began 24feb22) as 38 days, the desired probability computes to about 0.26 or one out of four. Additionally, 0.45 is the probability that the war ends in the next 31 days, and 0.29 is the probability that it continues past 92 days. Place your bets.
[4apr22 update] Putin’s future looks less than dim, no matter the course he now takes. If he continues his totally useless and failed aggression in Ukraine, he will probably get a bullet in the head from the nomenklatura. If he withdraws from Ukraine under some bullshit bravado, he’ll get a bullet or be sent to the Hague for war crimes. Most likely a bullet since his definitive removal will be a condition for the lifting of sanctions and normalization of Russia’s relations – the sanctions are devastating the country both economically and socially. If he pops a nuke, he’ll definitely get a bullet and/or be hog-tied and shipped to the Hague in a packing crate. There are too many powerful and rich people in Russia who cannot countenance Putin’s disaster taking away their stash and trashing Mother Russia. And I think Putin knows all this.
[5apr22 update] The 5apr22 Union reports of a useful idiots gathering (here) to remind us that America is still woefully short on civil rights, and that voting is difficult in many/most states. Here we’re told of our guilt as being the “whitest county in California”, and “it’s also one of the more conservative counties in California,” so “it’s important for folks in this county to know that our privilege and easy access to voting is not universal across the United States.” This hot flash comes from a cohort of the most under-informed leftwing activists in the country.
rebanesruminations.com 
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