Rebane's Ruminations
June 2017
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George Rebane

The Left predicted that yesterday's elections would be a referendum on Trump – well, it turns out they were right.

Yesterday was a disaster for the Democrats, and today everyone from their media mentors to their grassroots minions are scrambling to put enough lipstick on last night’s election results to distract the distractable.  CNN’s Eric Bradner writes, “Democrats tried an inoffensive moderate message in Georgia.  They ran a banjo-strumming populist in Montana.  They called in the cavalry in South Carolina and tried to catch their foe sleeping through a long-shot in Kansas.  None of it worked. … Now party officials, strategists and candidates are pondering what went wrong – how can they turn it around in time for the 2018 midterm elections.  … Seth Moulton (D, MA) tweeted ‘… better be a wake-up call for Democrats.’" (more here)

As another example of the reliability of political polling, the Georgia race was supposed to be a neck-to-neck race into which Dems poured tens of millions of out-of-state money to finally derail the Trump train.  Instead, Republican Karen Handel walked away from her Democrat challenger Jon Ossof with an almost six-point lead – a landslide in any political contest.  But that makes no never mind to those policy-poor liberals who, for over a year now, have put their faith in polls while voters continue to pay no attention to these futile exercises in propagandized political prognostication.

Locally we see this pattern replicated by progressives who have long since abandoned embarrassment as the usual response to being so consistently wrong for so long with ceaseless citing of their favorite poll results – ‘Never mind the election results, keep looking at how much Trump’s approval rating dropped since last week.’

These desperate loyalists have now surpassed their calamitous climate change comrades, some of whom are starting to admit in the media that their temperature predictions are in gross error and that we really have no reliable way to tell whether preventable manmade global warming is really occurring.  Scientists sensing a funding sea change under Trump are coming out of the woodwork to reveal that the General Circulation Models IPCC used for their catastrophe calculations are terribly flawed.  (Something that the rest of us familiar with the technology have known for years.)

So what to do?  Well, the Russia affair still provides some traction, so let's go back to Allegation Alley and see whom we can mug next.

Posted in , , , ,

151 responses to “Elections or Polls – take your pick”

  1. ScenesFromTheApocalypse Avatar
    ScenesFromTheApocalypse

    ““We assess with high confidence that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered an influence campaign in 2016”
    Of course they did. Propaganda campaigns are part and parcel of state politics since the days of Hammurabi.
    Good God man, I haven’t seen a turnip truck lately, but people must be falling out of them right and left (well, mostly left).

    Like

  2. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Scenes writes about the Russians that they are ” currently just something of a minor rival.”
    Are you willing to offer that assessment to the people that live in the Baltics, including Estonia?

    Like

  3. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery | 22 June 2017 at 04:59 PM
    You are insane.

    Like

  4. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 507pm – “…Russians intended to disrupt our election and that they favored Trump over Clinton.” We’ve circled this barn before, but it remains your favorite. What do admitted Russian intentions to disrupt and favor have anything to do with anything???? United States has done that with other countries pro forma for generations, and so have all other countries with the means to do so.

    Like

  5. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    George
    Just quoting from the assessment. WQhy do you think they favored Trump over Clinton?

    Like

  6. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Ruminations readers… Todd Juvinall is attempting to make a statement here by questioning my sanity. Todd is one who very clearly believes the Democrats to be a greater threat to our freedom than the Russians. He hints that he might run for Supervisor again. No doubt that grand quote will be used against him.
    For recent residents Todd was once a District 1 supervisor back in the day before he became a failed developer and was slapped back by voters in his feeble attempts at further political ambition.

    Like

  7. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Man this smells like a sandbox full of borscht bits, pass the stoli. 😉

    Like

  8. Walt Avatar

    Paul. There is a wise saying you should take to heart. ” Better to keep one’s yap shut and be thought an idiot, than to spew forth BS, and remove all doubt.” Too bad that donkey has left the barn.
    But keep it up. The more you bark, the more people will be inclined to vote against a loony LIB. Your our best salesman.

    Like

  9. ScenesFromTheApocalypse Avatar
    ScenesFromTheApocalypse

    “Are you willing to offer that assessment to the people that live in the Baltics, including Estonia?”
    If I were Estonian living in Estonia (shades of Dilbert!) I’d worry about the Russians or perhaps even the Swedes given the changing ownership of the place. You could say the same for Finland or Poland. There’s a center of gravity that larger powers exert on their neighbors.
    Heck, strictly speaking, Russia used to be part of Ukraine.
    As a US citizen, I find the problems of the Estonians less important than you might think. If I were a member of the War Party, which the Green Libertarians appear to have embraced, then running the affairs of the rest of the world might make more sense.
    Say hello to Sen McCain to me. There’s bombs to drop.

    Like

  10. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “Why do you think they favored Trump over Clinton”
    “Why did the “assessment” come to that conclusion” is the better question, Paul. You just keep parroting that guess, which was (altogether now) because “russians” got into the DNC computers and not the GOP computers. But we also now know (thanx and a hat tip to Trey Gowdy’s questioning) the DNC didn’t actually provide their computers to US intelligence services for inspection to find the traces of the intrusions.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fFZpJr0Kqcs

    Like

  11. Walt Avatar

    A taste of Paul’s “harmless” Left.
    http://dailycaller.com/2017/06/22/campus-closes-and-prof-flees-state-after-he-posts-letthemfdie-about-whites/
    Warning. Real bad words from this Progressive.
    Yes Paul,, this line of LIB thinking is getting dangerous. Forget the unhinged anti Trumper that went on a shooting spree?

    Like

  12. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery | 22 June 2017 at 05:37 PM
    Honestly your are truly insane. And you look like a nutcase here. You really need help.

    Like

  13. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    As per GeorgeR’s requests I will not engage you on your slurs.

    Like

  14. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    I have no desire to talk with Todd directly however I may address his comments if I choose to do so.

    Like

  15. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    A pouty po’ ol’ PE is terrible thing watch. Someone get the party parrot a ken doll with a man bun to play with in his safe space. 😉

    Like

  16. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery | 22 June 2017 at 07:18 PM
    Good, thank GOD! Please don’t. You are unhinged.

    Like

  17. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    I did a little ditty on my blog to expose the truth about PE. What a hoot!

    Like

  18. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Don Bessee | 22 June 2017 at 07:39 PM
    Now that’s funny!!

    Like

  19. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Todd is writing songs about me. Yahoo-makes me a folk hero

    Like

  20. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Too bad it’s on his blog, no one will ever read it. He should publish it here.

    Like

  21. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    I was just reading an account of former FBI director Comey and his wife entering the NYT building today. In a sweltering hot day the leaker was in a dark blue suit and both him and his wife were wearing dark glasses. Its hard to be incognito anymore, well his being 6-8 means it takes a lot more than dark glasses.
    Its rumored that Comey said the DNC servers are being held in secret by a druid, radio fakenews personality on the west coast who has ties to Russia. 😉

    Like

  22. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Oh I get a lot of views. You really are uninformed. And it is not a song. As far as a folk hero. Matbe with the potnecks on the ridge.

    Like

  23. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    I thought you said it was a ditty Todd.

    Like

  24. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    You can sing it to nanatchka po’ ol’ PE. 😉

    Like

  25. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul, you missed one…
    “Why do you think they favored Trump over Clinton”
    “Why did the “assessment” come to that conclusion” is the better question, Paul.

    Like

  26. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Bill and Hillary attended a MAYDAY in the old USSR in Moscow. Maybe they littered.

    Like

  27. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    @ 8:17 pm
    Todd, remember who you are dealing with. They are a most miserable lot, each and every one of them. They are blinded by hate and pride. Very immature as well. Just look at the anger, the chanting F U Trump at the CA State Dem Convention, the vitriol, the shouting down of opposing views, the exploding heads, the blocking of highways, the smashing of things, the silent treatment, the banishment of anything with a whiff of Righty or conservatism, the pounding of spoons, the throwing of food, the lack of thinking clearly, the temper tantrums………..these are what toddlers do when they don’t get their way. And nobody has seen such appalling behavior in 30 years! No agrument here.
    They are like delinquent school children turning over the desks and writing obscene things on the chalkboard when the adult teacher is called out of the classroom. Shades of “The Clockwork Orange” in 2017.
    1). “You have to look very hard — and you have to spend a long time looking — to find a genuinely happy or content left-wing political person. … The bottom line is: You just don’t encounter happy, laughing liberals. Even their comedians are consumed by hatred. The Democrat Party’s become the largest hate group in this country. Even their comedians are angry and enraged, and that suffices as comedy. I think it’s one of the reasons why left-wing comics have become primary sources of news for other left-wing liberals.” —Rush Limbaugh
    2) “I think if Democrats learn a lesson from this election, it’s that the euphoria that they felt for the last several months as Donald Trump has fallen in the polls and they began to believe that this would be not easy but doable to take over the House of Representatives and eventually replace Donald Trump, that euphoria is gone and it’s replaced with reality. And the reality is, it’s going to be a long twilight struggle.” —UVA professor Larry Sabato
    Todd, thank you lucky stars you are not as bitter, angry, blaming, anti-social and plumb miserable as they are. Like Milo said, they reason they become Social Justice Warriors is because they are soo unfun that nobody else wants to be around them. A picture is word a thousand words. No wonder they are unhinged. Things just are not going the way they wanted them to…er…demanded them to be…..or were told how things would be.
    https://www.facebook.com/jakelikesonions/photos/a.1705730299707165.1073741828.1704653189814876/1935004120113114/?type=3&theater
    https://www.facebook.com/RowdyConservatives/photos/a.217983685002343.55586.217926015008110/1113394905461212/?type=3&theater
    “Democrats are looking almost incapable of translating the energy of their core supporters into actual election wins.” —Associated Press
    Elections or Polls? Is that a trick question? Elections or polls? You are joking, right?

    Like

  28. ScenesFromTheApocalypse Avatar
    ScenesFromTheApocalypse

    re DB@8:33
    http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2017/06/james-comey-spotted-entering-new-york-times-office/
    Oh well. At least this kind of thing makes it easier to form up sides.

    Like

  29. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    It will take some some time for Trumps poor poll numbers to have an effect. The last three special elections were in very strong Repub districts all in double digits in the recent past. The gap is closing for sure
    As Todd pointed out Clintons poll numbers were dismal at this stage and the result was the Dems lost both the house and senate in the midterms. When Bush’s poll #s tanked he also lost the HOuse and Senate so Repub strategists are looking at the polls with a wary eye as is Trump. Same with Obama’s numbers early on and he lost both as well.

    Like

  30. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Finally that pest PE is gone. Peace returns.

    Like

  31. ScenesFromTheApocalypse Avatar
    ScenesFromTheApocalypse

    re: PE@10:01
    I wouldn’t bother prognosticating based on past trends. It seems to me that the basic definitions of ‘Democrat’ and ‘Republican’ are quickly changing. One result will be a shift in geographical strongholds and policy issues.

    Like

  32. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Who knew the po’ ol’ fakenewsman was so close to Republican strategists, as if. 😉

    Like

  33. Walt Avatar

    Well, THIS tape surfaced, and kiss another LIB goodbye.
    http://dailycaller.com/2017/06/23/nebraska-democratic-party-official-fired-after-saying-he-wished-steve-scalise-had-died-audio/
    And what a potty mouth. Well, we see how some LIBS REALLY feel. And good money says there are plenty more just like him.

    Like

  34. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Rebane Readers Don B is a true expert when it comes to political strategy. He was the main person behind Measure W that lost 40-60 in last years election. He sure knows how to judge public opinion. Cost the taxpayers around $80,000 for that gobbler.

    Like

  35. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    But Paul Emery, did you not lose a sure election with Jim Weir? Yes you did. So we all have some wins and some losses. And DonB is no different. Look at your huge losses last year and all those specials this year. If anyone is a loser it is you.

    Like

  36. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Didn’t have much to do with Weir Todd. Yes he did lose a close one. I was deeply involved in the Peter Van Zant campaign and we solidly won twice in Districh 1. In the first campaign our campaign slogan was “Remember Glenbrook” I guess this is an appropriate time to thank you Todd for giving us your failed development as an example to use in our campaign of poor development projects.

    Like

  37. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    rewrite “campaign against poor development projects.

    Like

  38. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    As Dr. Rebane pointed out, the Dems have to win in R districts to retake Congress, but impeachment verdicts are decided on in the US Senate, if anyone cares.
    Now, it is interesting to define what is an R district is nowadays. Does it mean the R Congressperson won in a district that went for Hillary? Does it mean that Trump won in a district that keeps sending its incumbent D back to Congress decade in and decade out? Interesting.
    Heard yesterday Michael Savage spout another “interesting” concept on the traditional meaning of political phrases in these times of shifting labels and definitions (see Scenes’s 10:14 am). M. Savage said in this polarized climate with each side pretty much evenly motivated and divided, a 4% win is indeed a landslide in today’s elections. Food for thought.
    2018? Dems are getting closer, edging closer. Prognostics? No way. In the Year of the Reckoning (as well as looking over a mutual fund prospectus), past performance does not guarantee future results.

    Like

  39. George Rebane Avatar

    The Democrats vs Russia as the greatest existential danger to the American Republic has enormous currency in today’s happenings. Its discussion should be continued under ‘Democrats or Russians – which to fear most?’
    http://rebaneruminations.typepad.com/rebanes_ruminations/2017/06/democrats-or-russians-which-to-fear-most.html

    Like

  40. Walt Avatar

    Well my good Doc, I submit this.
    http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/06/22/pamela-geller-the-coming-civil-war/
    The radial domestic enemy may be a bigger danger, if not a close second.
    “Political violence became an essential and successful means of leftist warfare in the 60’s, the decade of destruction. The success of the violent “student rebellion” in 1964 and the so-called Free Speech Movement has set the table for the left’s warmongering and treason. It was clear from the outset that the “student revolution” violently ushered in at Berkeley in the mid-sixties would come to this. The left is evil, and they mean to destroy our way of life, our freedom and us. It took decades to norm their anti-Americanism, their hatred of freedom and individual rights, but they have reached their tipping point. And the long beaten and battered among us have had it.”
    Paul has yet to denounce his ANTIFA friends.

    Like

  41. George Rebane Avatar

    Walt 1118am – Mr Branson, you may consider reposting this under ‘Democrats or Russians …’ since you are still talking about the danger of domestic enemies. Thanks.

    Like

  42. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Again the po’ ol’ pollhead changes uncomfortable subjects. The issue was HIS connections with republican strategists moreover his lack of connections. Lame is as lame does. 😉

    Like

  43. ScenesFromTheApocalypse Avatar
    ScenesFromTheApocalypse

    For Mr. Tozer, a nice puff piece on his gal.
    http://freebeacon.com/politics/hillary-the-warden-clinton-smells-bad/

    Like

  44. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Mushroom cloud fallout from Rainy Night in Georgia expands.
    You could see this one coming . They are turning inward now. A redoubling of efforts by the Leftiest Lefties going after the Lefty Old Guard and they are beginning to call for Nancy da Botox Queen’s melon to be placed in the guillotine post haste. Oh, the Bernie lubbers can stomp their feet and they want, but they don’t have Da Power just quite yet. Patience, Grapphoppers, patience. Soon, everything will be yours….after you get them out of there. The Old Guard. Nancy and Co. They are the reason Trump is president and a quick fix ain’t working. Trump is still around and the old folks that run the Dem party are the reason they keep swinging at the piñata and missing. 0-5? You are going down, Old Guard, down! They will go after John Lewis sooner or later.
    Love it when they eat their own.
    Now people are just tuning out Russiagate and the whole story. It’s just human nature. Gotta do or think of something else. The shine has lost its luster. Go to the river, maybe get the grill ready to go, mind starts drifting off to the 4th of July and summer mini vactions or stay-cations….life goes on. Don’t matter where on the political spectrum you call home or how interested you are about endless Trump Collusion Treason Blackmail Russia hookers pissing on the sheets yarn, all good things must come to an end. Get this. Today it’s Trump intimated a witness (Comey) blah, blah, blah, you just get tired of Russia, Russia, Russia! being shouted at ya everyday. Everyday.
    Every person, from the full blown card carrying Marxist to the cowgirl miles from nowhere that can shoot straighter and meaner than any man (as she is wearing her MAGA hat and a crisp clean red, white, and blue bandana around her neck), to all in between, we were ALL promised one big bombshell after another and the time frame to deliver is passing. The window of opportunity is closing fast, if not closed already. This movie is getting old, what else is on?
    Well, you take away Russia, see Trump ain’t going nowhere for awhile, and all that is left to gander at is 0-5. 0 wins. Looks like a doughnut…er….a stone ground winter wheat bagel.
    Trump still standing. People across the spectrum coming to their own conclusions that there is no there there. As the new further Left turn their eyes on focus on why 5 straight loses and all they see now is targets: The Clintonista Wing, The Walking Corspe Queen Nancy (money bought her love for a long time, but not no more). The Establishment, DNC, Tom Perez; the problem is Da Man….and it’s time for the Buttercups to stick it to the Dem Man, Da Man. Yuck, tastes like dry overlooked old bird.
    Oh yeah, they have their sights set on CNN for some reason. Maybe for flaming the fires of the ‘sitting on the edge of your seat watching Russia HACKED da Election thriller’ week in, week out, month in, mouth out……taking everybody’s eye off the ball while the Deplorables and Irredeemables and that gawd awful Trump (oh, I just can’t even talk about him, makes me want to throw up) are raking in chips like Grant took Richmond. There is blood on their hands too! For some reason, the dome of protection at Fakesnews is starting to mysterious have holes in it, and somebody is lobing stink bombs on the roof and some are making their way in. Gotta smoke em out.
    CNN promised the Bombshell, The Mother of all Bombshells, but it was one big cow that did not give milk. It was a milk dud, an udder disgrace. Well, at least they still have their pussy hats. Always a silver lining.

    Like

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