Rebane's Ruminations
January 2013
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George Rebane

Never confuse effort with achievement.

Inauguration2013The country is in shambles, and it’s time to think of historical legacies.  Fortunately, as Barack Obama formally starts his second term, the President can salve both through implementing the same set of policies.

Over the last four years these pages have detailed the mistakes of this administration which have accelerated the country on the path to fiscal ruin, domestic polarization, and international ineffectiveness (even The Economist and The Heritage Foundation agree on these).  And though he regained the presidency, most Americans still believe that the country is headed in the wrong direction.  What should the President do to assure his place in history as a leader who, after recovering from first-term missteps, was able to turn the country around and regain America’s promise in the 21st century?

According to my lights he should do as much of the following as possible –

1.    Launch a massive deregulation of America and American life that includes the consolidation and/or elimination of federal departments such as Energy, Education, EPA, Commerce, … .
2.    Develop a new tax code that is simple, as flat as possible, and eliminates the convolutions of federal favoritism, behavior modifications, and inhibitions to re-enter the workforce.
3.    Reduce federal taxes to historical 18% levels of GDP, and balance the federal budget.
4.    Recognize Singularity’s advent and the new labor markets that it will mandate, including the generation of wealth by fewer people using ever more productive technology.
5.    Revamp public education to benefit America’s youth instead of those who run the ‘public teaching industry’.
6.    Eliminate all public service unions in governments and public education.
7.    Eliminate corporate and agricultural welfare (not needed under new tax code).
8.    Restructure Obamacare from the unintended and poorly conceived burden that it will now be, to newly formed open, state run markets that invite more competition at the levels and practice of healthcare providers, insurance, and pharma.  This includes a revision of the tort laws that promote litigiousness.
9.    Restructure entitlements so that their funding is converted to benefit from more private sector investment than untenable taxes which inhibit economic growth.
10.    Become a net energy exporter by developing America’s abundant energy resources, especially gas.
11.    Engage with our international trading partners – China, EU, South America, Russia, … – to the maximum extent possible to assure that only goods, not armies, cross the world’s borders.
12.    Declare a climate change holiday to reevaluate the entire proposition of AGW and its alternative, global cooling on the basis of science and not international politics.
13.    Acknowledge the existence of Islamic terror and its demonstrated anti-western objectives, and work toward a quick two state solution with Israel and Palestine.  This includes promoting strategically located Gaza to become the world’s most productive and prosperous free port – i.e. get the Palestinians into commerce big time, and invite the Israelis to join them with the long term leasing of adjacent real estate needed for expansion – it is only through business and commercial growth that a sustainable peace will be achieved in the near and mid-east.
14.    Revamp our military to project power with air, naval, and space systems that use ground troops in sparing and short engagements.  Use the goal of normalizing Iran and parity with China in the Pacific as the design standard for a new force structure.
15.    Encourage private sector space enterprises, and give NASA a new inspiring objective that invites international co-operation to achieve man’s next great step on its way to the stars.
16.    Honor American citizenship by securing our borders and legitimizing our resident illegal aliens onto acceptable paths to residency, repatriation, or citizenship.
17.    Re-establish the constitutional intent of states’ rights, and encourage states to resume their role as competitive laboratories of liberty and prosperity.

[Addendum]  After some reflection I want to add some ruminations on President Obama’s second inaugural speech.  To me it was an extremely ideological speech – an impression corroborated tonight by talking heads of both persuasions – that underlined what I have been interpreting about this man’s belief system since his 2008 stump speeches.  The liberal Washington Post opined that it was “a speech that challenges the other side”, but was primarily targeted to his base.  He no longer needs to pander to us all.

His parade contained no acknowledgement of our European legacy – no units with costumed Pilgrims, no Revolutionary War patriots, no nod to the entrepreneurs of our industrial revolution, no recognition of our great westward movement that formed what today is America, no nod to the faith that saw our forebears through unimaginable difficulties.  Instead he was entertained by a bunch of hoaky Indians dancing in Hollywood-like costumes in an ensemble that included women to satisfy politically correct gender equality dicta.  I was surprised that no obviously gay couples were included in the spectacle; perhaps I missed them.

One of my maxims has been to “Never confuse effort with accomplishment.”  President Obama left no doubt that in his America both should be equated and equally rewarded.  And he let us know that he is proud of his ideology, which means that he will do everything that he can to implement it during the first, say, eighteen months before he becomes a certified lame duck.

Today he gave no quarter to his political opponents; he sought no reconciliation between the country’s ideological poles.  His legacy will be that of the leftmost ideologue of all American presidents.  He made it clear that he was not acknowledging the many paths up the historical mountain of America’s common future of achievement; instead he told us that he would lead us up a different mountain altogether (and there’s more to be said about that).

In the large view, he wants to be remembered as perhaps the co-equal of MLK as America’s preeminent civil rights leader.  Of one thing we can be certain, in our history his regime will be more than merely noteworthy.

Posted in , ,

119 responses to “This President’s Second Term (addended)”

  1. TheMikeyMcD Avatar
    TheMikeyMcD

    Regarding the global warming, I mean climate change…
    Capitalism has blessed us with a lifestyle upon the top tier of Maslow’s Hierarchy… the impending economic crisis will knock us down a few levels and one day we will laugh at the climate change notion.
    To focus on a boogie monster when a real crisis is breathing down your neck is foolish.
    The ignorant are herded via fear, global warming… sorry, I mean climate change is that fear.
    If someone puts climate change on the top 25 problems facing the world my opinion of them (intellectually) drops precipitously.

    Like

  2. Russ Steele Avatar

    Paul,
    Here is the link to Hansen’s data tampering, per Greg’s request
    http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/data-tampering-at-ushcngiss/
    Data Tampering At USHCN/GISS
    The measured USHCN daily temperature data shows a decline in US temperatures since the 1930s.  But before they release it to the public,  they put it thorough a series of adjustments which change it from a cooling trend to a warming trend.
    Be sure to scroll down the page to the blink comparator that shows changes in the US temperature record from GISS. It alternates between their 1999 graph and the 2012 version of the same graph. The past is cooled and the present is warmed.
    There is more examples on the page that demonstrates the tampering.

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  3. George Rebane Avatar

    re Russ’ 411pm, I want to re-emphasize my considered opinion that the generation of the infamous ‘hockey stick’ and it extrapolation has required both the rigging (scrubbing and conditioning) of the data, and the purposive tweaking (selecting the appropriate feedback gains otherwise known as the “forcing functions”) of the general circulation models. In short, the AGW ‘science’ was bought and paid for, and the checks have yet to stop.

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  4. Walt Avatar

    And thanks to all this “green” BS ( and damned near at gun point)
    by pushing ” green tech”, The taxpayers get hit twice every time
    “green” fails. First in tax dollars that got pissed away, then in the
    private business end that takes the hit.
    The latest victim is Boeing. They are now stuck with an airplane no one
    dares fly. That new “dream” liner is now a nightmare.
    Those “high tech” lithium ion batts. are a major fire hazard.
    The lithium ion batt. is from the start a toxic waste maker. And we thought
    solar panels were bad?
    Lithium batts. may be fine for a cell phone, but that’s about it.
    Then there is that little problem of those bird blenders. If snuffing a few endangered tweety birds isn’t bad enough, they are vary expensive to operate.
    No,, they are far from being “cheap” sources of power.
    It must have been a good, swift kick the family jewels when the EPA got caught
    conspiring with Radical ECO groups through bogus email accounts.
    Ms. Lee fled like a thief in the night when she got exposed. I bet you can’t wait for the other shoe to drop on that matter.
    Yup, your state sponsored house of worship is now heavily damaged goods,
    and can’t be trusted.( we never trusted them in the first place. And you wonder why.)

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  5. Joe Koyote Avatar
    Joe Koyote

    I would say that the changes in the percentage of those who see human cause in the climate change issue are primarily due to two things: 1) the massive propaganda campaigns put on the by energy industry over the last three decades. 2) Economically depressed people are more worried about food than climate. Remember Kyoto? It was 1997 when thirty-seven industrialized nations plus the entire European community formally recognized climate change and acknowledged the role of human endeavor. In America there still “seems” to be a debate on the legitimacy of that claim.
    If the media is a tool of the liberal agenda and has been blaming all of the weird weather issues on human effect all of this time, how could people’s opinion swing back and forth in the face of all of the bizarre weather events? How can it be that in the face of all that liberal coverage that there is still even any debate at all? During the GW Bush administration, talk of climate change pretty much centered on denial. It is well known that they routinely suppressed climate research and were science bashers, to be expected from oil people with so much to lose. So for those eight years the public perception of the issue went down. Now it is on the rise again as recent weather events have brought the issue back into public consciousness.
    Damage control strategy goal #1 in a public relations campaign is to delay any decision on the issue as long as possible. The purpose is to buy time and delay any negative repercussions as long as possible. The easiest and best way to accomplish this is to create reasonable doubt. When in doubt, people say no. Doubt is created by swamping the information system with facts, figures, studies, and the like that either confuse the issue or condemn the source. Hundreds of studies confirm that talk radio, cable and network political talk shows are dominated by conservative hosts and guests, even on PBS. What people say on these shows then becomes nightly news and is talked about and editorialized across the nation and around the world. It’s called a shitstorm and its intended purpose is to confuse the public.
    The larger question is why are politicians who formerly were on the side of denial now switching sides and calling for action? Are they just being politicians trying to go with the flow and get re-elected, or, in light of their knowledge of the issues and a modicum of moral integrity, are they coming out of the closet, so-to-speak?

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  6. Douglas Keachie Avatar
    Douglas Keachie

    Doubt Boeing did anything other than try to produce a plane that would fly more passengers cheaper. They just didn’t design the lithium batteries properly.
    Youdon’t see too many Prius’s going down in flames on the roadways. The batteries? In 2012, Lithium.
    http://priuschat.com/threads/lithium-ion-battery-safety-concerns.120989/
    Now on the subject of Walt’s brain overheating…..

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  7. TheMikeyMcD Avatar
    TheMikeyMcD

    “Nature will find a way” -Jurassic Park (paraphrase)
    Michael Crichton

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  8. Ryan Mount Avatar

    Ben-
    I love that book. It helped me come to terms with my hatred, now resolve, of Boomers. I think it should be required reading.
    Greg-
    I was indeed to harsh on the Middle Ages. I was once told that the re-discovery of Aristotle was a key milestone in the Middle Ages. Not to mention the things you brought up like architecture and music.

    Like

  9. Walt Avatar

    Nice try Doug, Boeing doesn’t make them.
    Someone else does.
    What gets me is that the plane operates at 1.5 megawatts.
    I will leave the math to the highly educated. It seems to me
    that it burns more fuel generating power, than it does to
    produce cruising speed thrust.
    Newer doesn’t mean better. It does mean extremely more expensive.
    Ya’ still can’t beat the good old incandescent light bulb,
    and ” tired,old technology,past it’s prime, model 1911 GOV .45..
    They went to the 9mm. Today, they want that .45 back.

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  10. Gregory Avatar

    Russ, thanks for digging that out, I looked and came up short. I would like to say (once again) I don’t see it as a con; never sell the human mind short in it’s ability, including if in the head of’scientists’, to see what the owner wants to see.
    With luck, Paul is working on reconciling the James Hansen of last summer with the James Hansen of today. It should be mentioned that the problem of mixing all those instrumental records into ‘one’ number requires one to fudge things so that adding in a cold station, or dropping a hot one, doesn’t screw up the average. The problem with the NASA-GISS ‘corrections’ is that they aren’t random… it’s relentlessly in one direction. Does that mean they’re lying? I wouldn’t go that far, as to me, it’s more likely that they’re so damn sure what the right answer is that they have gotten great at carving away at the pile of manure to reveal the pony they’re sure must be hiding there.
    Ryan, glad you’re thinking better about the Medieval. Except for the lack of novocaine and modern dentistry, it would be a fine time to be living, at least before the Black Death came around. BTW Aristotle was wrong, and set science back centuries. It wasn’t until the scientific method replaced authoritative pronouncements a’la Aristotle (think of the Holy Grail, “if she weighs as much as a duck she’s made of wood and therefore a witch” parody of Aristotelian inquiry) that mankind began to move forward.
    Koyote, virtually every fact you relied on at 6:08 isn’t so, starting with the flood of mythical Oil money fighting AGW, which, while it exists in very small quantities, is absolutely dwarfed by the $80+ billion that has been spent trying to prove cAGW is a reality, and all the free supporting press and character assassinations aimed at anyone daring to go against the tide, until recently.
    The IPCC was formed to find out how bad CO2 was and negotiate treaties to shake money out of the 1st world and ship it to the 2nd and 3rd world… a 20th century return of Aristotelian scientific inquiry driven by greed. It virtually shut down open scientific inquiry until recently, but that is rapidly getting turned around, helped by the fact that even the Climategaters now accept, that there’s been no statistically significant warming for the past 16 years.

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  11. Douglas Keachie Avatar
    Douglas Keachie

    In terms of lumins produced for watts expended, you most certainly can beat the incandescent bulb. In terms of pleasant ranges of apparent colors produced, not so much so. Boeing was the main contractor, and chose to contract out the batteries? So what? Boeing was the main contractor and designer.

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  12. Russ Steele Avatar

    Hey Paul,
    Climate change beliefs of independent voters shift with the weather, another study finds.
    “New research from the University of New Hampshire finds that the climate change beliefs of independent voters are dramatically swayed by short-term weather conditions. The research was conducted by Lawrence Hamilton, professor of sociology and senior fellow at the Carsey Institute, and Mary Stampone, assistant professor of geography and the New Hampshire state climatologist. The research is presented in the article “Blowin’ in the Wind: Short-Term Weather and Belief in Anthropogenic Climate Change” in the American Meteorological Society journal Weather, Climate, and Society. “We find that over 10 surveys, Republicans and Democrats remain far apart and firm in their beliefs about climate change. Independents fall in between these extremes, but their beliefs appear weakly held—literally blowing in the wind.”
    ooo
    “Independent voters were less likely to believe that climate change was caused by humans on unseasonably cool days and more likely to believe that climate change was caused by humans on unseasonably warm days. The shift was dramatic. On the coolest days, belief in human-caused climate change dropped below 40 percent among independents. On the hottest days, it increased above 70 percent,” Hamilton says.
    Read more at: http://phys.org/news/2013-01-climate-beliefs-independent-voters-shift.html#jCp

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  13. Brad Croul Avatar
    Brad Croul

    Union membership is now the lowest since the 1930s;
    people seeking unemployment benefits is at 5 year lows;
    building permit requests are at about 4 1/2 year highs;
    home sales are up to near 5 year highs;
    the inventory of homes for sale has dropped to 12 year lows;
    mortgage interest rates are the lowest in 65 years;
    the S&P 500 is at near all time highs;
    yet this post leads with, “The country is in shambles…”.
    The last time the US was a net exporter of energy was in 1949 – the same year that the overhead valve V-8 engine debuted. But, the U.S. exported more oil-based fuels than it imported in the first nine months of 2011.
    A new rule allows immigrants to stay with US citizen family members…
    The good news just keeps on coming…

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  14. Paul Emery Avatar

    Gregory
    For the sake of argument let’s assume that the science behind global warming is wrong and the government has bought into actions based on false information. That is not an unusual situation. Look at the false information that led to the belief that Iraq had WMD’s for example. We went to war over that one and are still paying for it.
    Right now the “warmers” are winning the public opinion contest and you can look for wider acceptance from the Republicans in ’14. There is no way the media machine and government research that most people respond to will change that fast.

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  15. TheMikeyMcD Avatar

    Brad, ignorance is bliss.
    The state of our economy can be summed up in one question: Why are interest rates (set by the FED) at emergency levels (ZERO %)? A.) the economy is booming and all is well or B.)the “economy is in shambles”
    Answer: B, “the economy is in shambles”
    Today, about one out of every 6.5 Americans is on food stamps (That number has increased by more than 50 percent over the past four years). Right now, more than 100 million Americans are enrolled in at least one welfare program run by the federal government. And that does not even count Social Security or Medicare. Surely you are aware that the true unemployment rate is north of 15% (once you factor in The Labor Participation Rate which is at 31 Year Lows, underemployment,etc), the US Dollar value is down 20% since Obama’s 1st election, savers are receiving a NEGATIVE yield on their savings, health care premiums are skyrocketing thanks to Obamacare, gasoline is almost $4/gallon, ….

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  16. Gregory Avatar

    Paul, governments across the planet have been the ones buying the one-sided research, just another facet of “let no crisis go to waste”. Or, as Eisenhower warned in his farewell address,
    “The prospect of domination of the nation’s scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present – and is gravely to be regarded.
    Yet, in holding scientific research and discovery in respect, as we should, we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite.”
    Eisenhower got that one right.
    Regarding public opinion polls, warmers win when it’s hot, lose when it’s cold, and there’s fresh research quantifying it in a press release dated, umm, today:
    http://www.unh.edu/news/releases/2013/jan/lw24climate.cfm
    In short, people don’t realize that climate isn’t weather. The high temp in Cambridge, Mass., yesterday was 16F; bad day to poll people asking about Global Warming if you’re looking for justification to raise their cost of energy to heat their homes and businesses a few fold.
    In other words, the swing voters can turn on a dime. (looks like Russ beat me to this one, but I’ll leave it in).
    Brad C, all the housing stats you’re seeing as good news are compared to the collapse after the Fannie & Freddie sponsored meltdown of the housing industry, and the exporting of energy is due to our own industries being so sluggish, fewer miles are being driven, and the fact we’re now up to our asses in fossil fuels due to fracking, which, IIRC, isn’t something you’re happy with.

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  17. Paul Emery Avatar

    Well Gregory time will tell on this one. Let’s revisit this in a fwe months and see where things are headed.

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  18. George Rebane Avatar

    BradC 858am – Innumeracy is a cruel burden. When percents are computed as recoveries from historic baseline lows, they tend to be dramatic even if they never reach their pre-recession levels. And when the elites point these percentage gains out to the sheeple, they are most impressed. Not to worry, I will do a more extensive tutorial on this effect so that those who understand will never again be taken in by the hokum. In the meantime Mikey’s and Greg’s comments should help.
    PaulE 1225pm – it appears that you again ignored my explanation as if I was talking to a 2×4 with a face painted on it. Are such one-sided ‘dialogues’ productive?

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