Rebane's Ruminations
August 2026
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  • George Rebane

    California sucks as a place to live and do business.  According to ongoing polling – e.g. latest USNWR poll – the state is the worst state in the Union in which to do business.  It also ranks in the bottom three in essentially all other categories such as cost of living, crime, homelessness, K-12 education, illegal aliens, welfare recipients, taxes, regulations, level of government fraud, maintained infrastructure, … .  The reason for this is clear since the state’s voters are among the dumbest in the nation, returning corrupt and incompetent politicians to office decade after decade.

    Intellectually America’s adults rank below average in literacy, numeracy, and adaptive problem solving among the world’s top 30 OECD countries.  Thus reports the longtime international metric PIAAC (Program for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies) that does the testing.  (US = 754, OECD ave = 773)  This is the result of our teachers’ union dominated K-12 public education system and our academe handing out garbage degrees of socialist ideologies providing graduates with worthless skillsets.  All of this is the result of the country spiraling into the grip of collectivist governance and public policies.

    President Trump continues to prevaricate in the Iranian war.  At least now the conservative media outlets have started criticizing his “patience” with the ragheads, and continuing to attempt negotiating with the non-negotiators.  As he picks around the edges, attacking missile launchers and storage facilities, Iran attacks its neighbors with missiles accurately targeting their energy and power infrastructures, and also lobbing a few into the personnel quarters of US military bases.  All of Trump’s supporters know that there is nothing to negotiate, only to affect regime change by taking out their leadership and attacking their infrastructure.

    The lamestream media is ever the handmaiden of our socialists cum communists by lying to their intellectually deficient audiences that since our wealthiest 1% own 40% of our wealth, that 40% comes directly from the pockets of our middle class.  The bastards do their best to hide all benefits of free market capitalism, most certainly by not telling their minions that the 40% is the munificent marginal wealth created by the 1% that then gets reinvested to create jobs and build the country for all of us.  It does not get stuffed away and hoarded in mattresses.

    All the bad stuff in the country comes from Democrat policies and under their governance.  This may sound a bit simplistic, but I challenge readers to identify social problems that are the direct result of rightwing policies and governance.  While some examples may be found, the comparison of the scale and amounts of such problems is in no way close to equal.  Collectivists continue to be and have always caused the diverse miseries suffered by societies since the French Revolution.

    [30jul26 update] “U.S. forces carried out a “heavy wave” of strikes, attacking dozens of targets, including military command centers, missile and drone facilities, coastal surveillance and defense sites, and maritime capabilities, said U.S. Central Command after the strikes were completed. “The strikes aimed to further diminish threats posed by Iran and its proxies to American forces, commercial shipping, and neighboring Gulf countries,” the command said.”  (29ul26 WSJ) This is what one more Trump nothing-burger looks like.  Such military responses have not reduced Iran’s ability to strike American bases, neighboring countries’ infrastructure, and commercial shipping, nor will they promise any future impact.  As long as Iran’s infrastructure – transportation, power, communications, energy – remains intact, the regime will not be impacted as it adroitly insures its survival and increases political pressure on the Republicans with the approaching elections.

  • [Of the over 250K illegal aliens on CA, NJ, NV, PA voter rolls, DHS reports nearly 200K of them are on California voter rolls. (H/T to reader)  It would boggle the mind to deny that thousands of these people vote in our elections when there are no ID requirements to vote in the large blue states.  To illustrate how dumb are California voters, they cannot connect the dots between their overwhelming opposition to the state’s high fuel and electricity prices and their concurrent support of insane climate policies which raise the prices of everything.  Stupid is forever.  gjr]

  • George Rebane

    [This post was published in the op-ed pages of the 23jul26 Union]

    On 20 June last The Union published my short piece ‘The MOU to nowhere’ in which I criticized President Trump’s continued attempt to negotiate with Iran’s murderous regime, which has vowed the destruction of Israel, the United States, and through nuclearization has promoted the global spread of Shia Islam for almost the last half century.  During that time the regime has sponsored the deaths of thousands of Americans, Jews and fellow Muslims, and killed hundreds of thousands of its own citizens.  Practicing their scripturally mandated taqiyah, they have never negotiated in good faith, nor have they ever kept a single promise they have made.

    In the 18 July edition of The Union local socialist Pauli Halstead took my piece to task in a most curious manner in which she demonstrated the sweep of national ignorance, especially as it afflicts the radical Left and the Democratic Socialists of America, both cohorts of which she most certainly qualifies as a member.  She attacked my four points, all absent in the MOU, with arguments that clearly indicated that Iran, as a sovereign nation state, was equivalent to Switzerland as it fights for its claimed regional rights and promotes its geo-strategic objectives.

    Specifically, she claims the mullahs have the right to continue enriching weapons grade uranium for their internal energy needs.  Since we attacked them with missiles, they have every right to continue their production of long-range missiles and use them against their neighbors.  They have every right to sponsor terrorist organizations like Hamas, Hezbollah, and Houthis since the US has also sponsored Israel and anti-communist rebels to liberate their own countries.  And finally, she claims that “the Strait of Hormuz is within the territory of Iran (and) Iran will maintain control.”

    The latter really illustrates the depth of her general knowledge.  Nowhere in the world are narrow straights, bordered by two or more sovereign nation-states, considered to be a territory in the control of one country.  Such straits as those of Gibraltar, Mandab, Taiwan, Malacca, Bering, English Channel, …, and most certainly Hormuz have always been unrestricted waterways open to international commerce.

    In the end Ms Halstead’s critique supports Iran’s continued program of developing a nuclear weapon and its long-range missile delivery system.  She does not know that the theocratic thugs will only respond to overwhelming force, which today must include the decimation of elements of their transportation, power generation/distribution, communication, and energy production infrastructures.  Voters like Halstead are ignorant of Iran’s 40-plus year practice of breaking every agreement they have claimed to negotiate in good faith.  This was demonstrated most recently by Obama’s sophomoric attempt with his Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) that generously funded Iran’s ongoing nuclear weapon program and support of terrorist organizations.

    If any negotiated peace short of the current regime’s removal from power is accepted, President Trump and the civilized world will have lost both politically and existentially to the gathered forces of global evil, which our children will inevitably have to face.  As a disciple of Marx, Ms Halstead and her ilk understand none of this.

  • George Rebane

    Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) died last night.  He was a good man and an effective legislator who was able to work with both sides of the aisle.  This because he was a Bayesian – getting new information often allowed him to change/improve his position on issues.  As an influential supporter of Israel, Ukraine, and US alliance, his 20+ year involvement, leadership, and wisdom contributed much to the workings of our foreign policy under both Republican and Democrat presidents.  May he rest in peace.

    The Democratic Socialists of America are proto-communists whose ideological tenets unify around anti-capitalism, labor organizing, anti-imperialism, and strong support for Palestinian rights. (platform.dsausa.org).  They are now updating their programs to further restructure US institutions to include eliminating the US Senate, making POTUS and SCOTUS subordinate to Congress, and abolishing various “carceral forces” along with defunding major parts of the military.  DSA’s “carceral forces of the capitalist state” include prisons and police and related coercive practices of the entire punitive apparatus seen as upholding capitalist inequality.  Such is the clearest understanding to date of the political rot that is now eating away at our constitutional republic.  Democrat know-nothings continue to erroneously maintain that their party’s socialists are not the nation’s greatest threat.  We recall that communism/socialism was established in Russia, China, Germany, Cuba, Venezuela, … through political transformations carried out internally, and not through external invasion – with our voters with two generations of Leninist education under their belts, the DSA wants to put us on the same path.

    We are now on a slow and tentative path toward regime change in Iran.  The ridiculous cease fire is over, the blockade is being re-established (hopefully), Hormuz is mostly open for safe and free passage, and we are beginning to destroy their infrastructure – bridges, railroads, energy facilities.  It’s taken this administration a while to finally understand with whom they have been attempting to make a deal, when the answer all along has been ‘No deal, just unconditional surrender with verifying inspections.’

    [13jul26 update]  The politics of socialist envy.  SpaceX going public created a crop of new millionaires to billionaires numbering almost 5,000.  Anthropic’s anticipated IPO will create more thousands of new millionaires, deca-millionaires, centi-millionaires, and billionaires.  The proto-communist Democrats are decrying the creation of this new wealth as an example of how wealth is inequitably divided under capitalism and concentrated among the select few.  Their double dummy constituents lap this crap up hook, line, and sinker.  The truth is that such events are another example of how capitalism creates new wealth and distributes it among the working class.  This truth cannot be handled by our evil party that knows only how to redistribute existing wealth, and so the lies and their destructive consumption goes on.

    [14jul26 update]  VDH supports Rebane Doctrine (e.g. here) for use of military force in Iran.  All communications with the murderous theocrats should be conducted on the background of our continuing strikes to take out their income generating infrastructure in a manner visible to the average Iranian.  There should be no negotiations for any agreement, only a statement of demands for unconditional surrender.  In the end, it is Iran’s citizens who must detect the weakened state of the regime and rise up to oust it.  We are told that the CIA and the Mossad are quietly organizing and supplying arms for such an uprising.  But the people must first see evidence of the growing helplessness of the mullahs and the Republican Guards.  Victor Davis Hansen’s recent arguments are in his ‘The US Needs to Hit Iran Harder to End the War’.

    The two ICE shootings in the last week could have been avoided.  When ICE identifies an address and/or facility in and around which illegal aliens gather or inhabit, they always seal off the street so that they can inspect the occupants of any cars that desire to leave the restricted area.  It is in the attempt to stop such traffic with on-foot ICE agents that lead to the shootings.  The illegal alien behind the wheel will just attempt to drive right through the blocking agent.  My approach is for ICE to always seal off the desired area with tire-flattening strips or road spikes that are standard equipment in every police and highway patrol car.  The departing cars would then be halted, inspected, and released as appropriate.  Escaping cars would not get very far with flattened tires.

  • [As repeatedly predicted in these pages, you don’t seek win-win agreements with tyrants who only understand zero sum (win-lose) relationships.  The proper tactic for bringing Iran’s mullahs to heel is to keep up a systematic sequence of destroying their infrastructure – transportation, communications, power grid, and finally energy – while the negotiations are ongoing.  Therefore the longer they continue recalcitrant, the weaker they become and more vulnerable to a general uprising, which must remain our goal.  There should be no hopeful reports of ‘agreements’ with the thugs, only accounts of their succumbing to verifying inspections.  Any other approach just enables their delaying tactics to weaken our political resolve.  gjr]

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  • George Rebane

    In the pre-dawn hours of 4 May 1949 the WW2 troopship USS General Harry Taylor (pictured) slowly made its way past the Statue of Liberty, headed for its assigned berth in the Brooklyn Navy Yard.  Aboard, packed into bunks seven deep for the voyage, were over 3,000 European refugees who had spent the last five years in various displaced persons camps spread across then West Germany.  This morning the bunks were empty, everyone was topside crowding its port rails and cargo deck to catch a glimpse of Lady Liberty as we sailed past – the ship had a noticeable portside list.  Among them was a 9-year-old boy looking over the top rail of a very packed deck of people all excitedly chattering in every imaginable east European language and dialect.

    I was the 9-year-old pressed against the rail with my father.  We had arrived in an unknown promised land, with little more than we could carry, and not knowing a word of English.  But America’s reputation was known to all as the land of freedom and unlimited (yes, unlimited) possibilities.  We would all become Americans. (more here)

    Today, on the 250th birthday of America, I think back on the wild and wonderful ride that the last 77 years have been.  As a landed refugee and immigrant, from an obscure northeastern country of Europe, whose parents were born under the regime of Czar Nicholas II, I count myself among the poster-children of what America is all about.  Mom, dad, and I arrived here with nothing but our European culture, and in less than a decade we were naturalized citizens, totally assimilated, acculturated, and visibly proud members of America’s prosperous middle class.

    I went on to get one the best educations the land could offer, serve in America’s military, work for some of the country’s top corporations, teach what I have learned, co-found businesses that fulfilled the American dream, and am now able to share its rewards with my family and community.  And all this made possible in one generation from stepping off the boat into the most magnificently free and bountiful nation that humanity has yet to produce.  E pluribus unum indeed!

    But during our celebrations we must not ignore the darkening clouds on the horizon.  In the lifespan of nation-states we are now on the threshold of what historians view as the downturn in the ‘Fate of Empires’ (cf. A.F. Tyler and Sir John Glubb).  The cycles of democracy follow a predictable series of phases –

    • The Age of Pioneers (Outburst): A small, tough, and highly aggressive group overthrows an older, decaying power. They are marked by high energy, courage, and a lack of refinement.
    • The Age of Conquests: The new nation expands its borders rapidly. Military prowess is highly valued, and the society is unified by a sense of duty and shared purpose.
    • The Age of Commerce: With secure borders, the nation turns its immense energy toward trade, infrastructure, and wealth creation. The merchant replaces the soldier as the society’s primary hero.
    • The Age of Affluence: Wealth reaches unprecedented levels. Money becomes the primary measure of success and the main goal of the populace. The wealthy class increasingly uses its money to buy political influence.
    • The Age of Intellect: The vast wealth of the nation allows its citizens to shift their focus from practical pursuits to intellectualism, philosophy, and the arts. While science and education flourish, endless debate often replaces decisive action.
    • The Age of Decadence and Decline: The nation rots from the inside out. This final stage is characterized by intense political polarization, a sprawling welfare state, the decline of religion or shared moral frameworks, frivolity (where celebrities and athletes are idolized over leaders or thinkers), and a pervasive sense of pessimism. The empire eventually collapses under its own weight or is easily conquered by a younger, more vigorous power.

    We are somewhere near the end of the Age of Intellect, toying with a discredited ideology and a new order that has historically delivered nothing but decadence, decay, and decline.  We have implemented a prescription for the conquest of communism attributed to Lenin wherein he declared, ‘Give me just one generation of youth, and I’ll transform the whole world.’  Today in America we have delivered him more than one generation.

    The Democratic Socialists of America are sweeping the Democratic Party while its flaccid leadership vacillates between silence and throwing in with their now radical leftwing.  In the meanwhile the fatuous Republicans are prematurely congratulating themselves on an anticipated victory from an ignored electorate, for surely the country will never go socialist cum communist.  The polling of the millions of mis-educated young tell a less hopeful and foreboding story.

    As history records, great powers consistently last for about 250 years (or roughly ten generations) and pass through a remarkably similar sequence of eras as outlined above.  We best not let today’s celebrations and fireworks divert us from what looms ever closer as November approaches.  Let all who understand this work to prevent the advancing scourge, and continue building toward even better years ahead.

  • George Rebane

    The Left wants to redistribute the wealth they can neither create nor understand.

    Gavin Newsom, a true socialist who has California in the toilet, wants the rest of the United States to replicate the state’s existential catastrophe in governance.  All the country’s outspoken socialists are calling for repressive taxes on the wealthy – i.e. those whose companies produce our goods, create jobs, and invest in risky ventures, some of which succeed to the benefit of us all, and those top 1% earners who pay over 40% of ALL federal taxes.  (Compare to the bottom 50% of earners who pay only 3% of federal taxes.)

    Newsom’s specific gripe is that if California continues to lead in imposing new wealth limitation and redistribution diktats, then the productive and the wealthy will leave.  So the perpetual solution of socialists is always to make their countries equitably miserable.  In Europe this has caused mass migrations of entrepreneurs and the well-to-do.  As a result, every European country that implemented a state socialist (Marxist-Leninist) command economy during the 20th century has since transitioned back toward a capitalist, market-based economy. Today, there are no completely socialist states left in Europe.

    The UK, France, Sweden, and Estonia are the poster children of turnarounds from socialist governance.  In the UK the socialist experiment lasted from 1945 to 1979 when Prime Minister Thacher engineered a capitalist reversal to rescue the country from its never-ending economic doldrums.  France’s experiment with socialism lasted only two years (1981-1983 under Mitterrand) before it changed to a meandering course back toward capitalism.  The most noteworthy and least understood capitalist reversal occurred in Sweden which started its experiment with socialism in the 1970s and ended it after the USSR collapsed in the 1990s.  Estonia was a conquered communist vassal state under the Soviet heel from 1940 to 1991 when it regained its freedom as a sovereign nation-state.

    It’s most useful to compare Sweden and Estonia’s return paths to free market capitalism.  For Estonia socialism was not a choice; it was imposed by the Soviet occupation. It was a strict Marxist-Leninist communist economy. Private property was outlawed, industries and farms were forcefully collectivized, and production was dictated by central planners in Moscow. The result was severe economic stagnation, consumer shortages, and a total loss of political and economic freedom.

    Sweden remained a wealthy, free democracy, but in the 1970s, its labor movement attempted a democratic transition from a mixed economy into actual socialism. Beyond building a massive welfare state, they introduced the Meidner Plan—a system of “wage-earner funds.” The government heavily taxed corporate profits and used the money to buy company shares on behalf of trade unions. The explicit goal was to slowly strip ownership from private capitalists and peacefully socialize the Swedish economy.

    By the early 1990s, both systems had reached a breaking point, forcing both nations to pivot hard toward free-market capitalism.  When the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, Estonia was left with a ruined economy. Under Prime Minister Mart Laar, the country instituted radical “shock therapy.” They aggressively privatized state-owned companies, slashed trade tariffs to zero, and rooted out corruption. Most famously, Estonia introduced the world’s first flat income tax in 1994. They rejected the heavy welfare state in favor of rapid, unrestricted market growth.

    Sweden’s attempt at democratic socialism triggered massive capital flight and a severe banking crisis in the early 1990s. In response, a coalition government abandoned the socialist project entirely. They abolished the wage-earner funds, deregulated the banking and telecom sectors, privatized state assets, and introduced school vouchers. They saved their universal welfare state by paying for it with a fiercely deregulated, business-friendly capitalist engine.

    Both countries adopted capitalism along these unique paths.  Sweden applies a standard flat corporate rate. Estonia features a unique system where profits are taxed at 20% ONLY when distributed as dividends, incentivizing reinvestment with a 0% rate on retained earnings.  Notwithstanding Sweden’s failed experiment with Islamic multi-culturalism, both countries are now considered as leading socio-economic models in the global community of developed nations.  By any measure both countries are more capitalistic than the United States.

    So why are we seriously toying with the idea that from sea to shining sea socialism should be given a try? The simple and correct answer is that overall we have evolved a dreadfully ignorant electorate from two successive generations of progressive (Marxist) public education.  We Americans consider an interest in and the practice of politics to be something that polite company looks down upon.  On the contrary, our Founders knew and advised us to never abandon politics in our daily round, for it is the impetus and foundation for the public debate which keeps us involved in the necessary business of maintaining the democratic republic bequeathed us.  Never let your politics be handled by others, let alone by parties unknown and distant.

    But that is exactly what most of us have done in recent decades.  And now we are divided with each right/left group having their own and wildly different facts, histories, values, logics, and ways of reasoning.  Consider that recent polls (primarily from Gallup, Pew Research, and the AP-NORC) show that two of three Democrats (Left) have a “positive view” of socialism, and only one in five have such a view of capitalism.  Compare that to three of four Republicans (Right) who have a “positive view” of capitalism, and only one of seven who share that view of socialism.  (Yes, there are also some Republican double dummies.)  This ideological profile of our country is the fundamental motivation for scumbag politicians like Newsom to attempt to spread misery across the land.

  • [“Normativity is about to make a comeback”, so writes Georffrey Ingersoll in his blog (here).  He provides us with some relevant data on the socialist uprising in New York and other places, and gives compelling arguments that these socialists are really double dummies – ignorant, incompetent, and on the government tit.  But what concerns me is his conclusion that these people seeking to destroy what is normal in our country are about to be smothered by the ‘normies’ making a comeback.  I don’t see such a comeback happening; in fact, it seems to me that exactly the opposite is going on – the Bolsheviks are increasing in number.  Does anyone else agree with my view?  gjr]

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  • George Rebane

    The central thesis of this article is that capitalism finds robust support in scientific principles governing complex systems, whereas collectivism lacks comparable empirical or theoretical backing. This fundamental differences with observable natural processes underlie many of the societal divisions we observe today. A clearer public understanding of this would help bridge divides and inform more effective governance.

    Capitalism is defined as an economic and social system characterized by private ownership of the means of production, voluntary exchange, and decentralized decision-making driven by market signals such as prices, profits, and losses. It emphasizes individual initiative, property rights, and the coordination of economic activity through competition and cooperation in free markets.

    Collectivism, in contrast, refers to systems in which the means of production are owned or tightly controlled by the collective (typically the state or a central authority), with economic activity directed through centralized planning, coercion, or communal mandates that subordinate individual preferences to group goals.

    The contention between these systems continues to polarize societies. Yet the electorate often fails to grasp the deeper, science-informed reasons for their incompatibility, confusing corporatism with capitalism and focusing instead on surface-level outcomes or ideological appeals.

    Capitalism aligns closely with how complex adaptive systems function in nature. It relies on distributed knowledge and control, allowing beneficial outcomes to emerge from the interactions of numerous independent agents without requiring a central authority to possess comprehensive information or exert total oversight.

    In nature, complex systems with sophisticated and often unpredictable capabilities arise from the interactions of simpler subsystems. Examples abound: ecosystems, organisms, and even social structures. In human societies, these subsystems can take the form of socio-economic jurisdictions—counties, municipalities, firms, or households—that interact for mutual benefit while retaining significant autonomy.  Capitalism explicitly embraces this model. It empowers smaller subunits with maximum local autonomy, minimizing the need for the larger collective to hold exhaustive knowledge or impose detailed control. A single leaf on a tree or an individual bee in a hive illustrates the principle: each operates with local information and rules, contributing to the robust emergent functionality of the whole.

    The optimal size of such subunits is determined by the feasibility of effective local control. This, in turn, depends on accessible knowledge of key input/output relationships that govern the subunit’s performance. Quantitative parameters –  such as GDP, population, tax rates, workforce size, education levels, and infrastructure quality—collectively characterize the subunit’s condition.

    For effective governance, decision-makers must understand the so-called transfer functions of these systems. the input/output or causal relationships that map inputs (e.g., policy changes, investments, regulations) to outputs (e.g., growth, employment, innovation). Without reliable transfer functions, rational policy formulation becomes impossible.  In large-scale economies—nations, states, or even large cities—these transfer functions are either entirely unknown or characterized by extreme variability, long and uncertain response times, and nonlinear dynamics. Centralized planners face insurmountable information and computational challenges, as famously analyzed by economists such as Friedrich Hayek in his work on the knowledge problem.

    Consequently, the most comprehensible and efficient socio-economic order applies governance at the smallest feasible jurisdictions where transfer functions are most observable and controllable. Local experimentation, feedback through market prices and electoral accountability, and the ability to copy successful models (or abandon failures) enable rapid adaptation and innovation.  This bottom-up, evolutionary approach mirrors natural biological and physical systems governed by principles of self-organization, emergence, and selection. Capitalism harnesses human ingenuity and local knowledge far more effectively than top-down alternatives, historically producing sustained prosperity, technological progress, and adaptability.

    Collectivism, by centralizing control and suppressing decentralized decision-making, runs counter to the science of complex systems. Central authorities cannot aggregate or process the dispersed, tacit knowledge held by millions of individuals – knowledge that is often context-specific, rapidly changing, and difficult to articulate.

    Attempts at comprehensive central planning encounter the same limitations observed in large-scale natural systems: sensitivity to initial conditions, unintended consequences, and the impossibility of predicting or directing emergent behaviors with precision. Historical implementations of collectivist systems have consistently demonstrated economic stagnation, misallocation of resources, and reduced individual welfare, consistent with theoretical predictions from systems science and information theory.  While collectivism may appeal to notions of equity or coordination, it lacks a supporting framework in the dynamics of complex adaptive systems. Nature does not scale successful outcomes through ever-larger centralized control; it scales through modularity, redundancy, and local optimization.

    Therefore, recognizing capitalism’s scientific foundations encourages policies that devolve authority, protect property rights, foster competition, and preserve price signals. It supports federalism and subsidiarity – the principle that decisions should be made at the lowest competent level of governance.  Conversely, expanding centralized control amplifies the very information and incentive problems that undermine system performance. Public discourse would benefit from greater inclusion of these empirical and theoretical insights rather than purely politically motivated historical narratives.

    In sum, capitalism is not merely a historical accident or ideological preference; it is aligned with the scientific understanding of how complex systems self-organize and thrive. Collectivism, lacking equivalent support, imposes structures at odds with natural principles of distributed intelligence and emergence. A better-informed electorate, grounded in this perspective, stands a stronger chance of sustaining the institutions that have delivered unprecedented human flourishing.

7 comments on Scattershots – 29jul26 (updated 30jul26)