[Happy Spring! If Trump is indicted and his trial starts going badly toward conviction, would that induce other Repubs not to throw their hats in the ring? If so, Trump would be the hands down favorite for Republican nominee. So if the Dems really want to run against Trump, would they not, as a tactic, want throw their case against Trump under the bus? gjr]

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George Rebane
David Stockman writes a comprehensive and worthy critique of the current banking crisis and it portents regardless of the bullshit that the government is trying to bake into its ‘solution’ – well worth the read here. (H/T to reader.)
[26mar23 update] TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chewgave the lamest excuse to a congressional committee this week about how the company handles data collected from US citizens. He told the outraged panel that “I have seen no evidence that the CCP has sought or received such US data.” However, none of the congress critters nor the media mavens were smart enough to point out that such advanced evidence need not be forthcoming from the CCP. They can get TikTok data within the hour by simply demanding its transmission, or else people will disappear.
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6 comments on Scattershots – 17mar23 (updated 26mar23) -
George Rebane
In ‘The political ideology of conversational AI: Converging evidence on ChatGPT’s pro-environmental, left-libertarian orientation’ three German academicians – Jochen Hartmann, Jasper Schwenzow, and Maximilian Witte – publish the result of an early milestone study that confirms what many ChatGPT users have already experienced. To give you more than an idea of its contents, here is the paper’s opening abstract in its entirety.
Conversational artificial intelligence (AI) disrupts how humans interact with technology. Recently, OpenAI introduced ChatGPT, a state-of-the-art dialogue model that can converse with its human counterparts with unprecedented capabilities. ChatGPT has witnessed tremendous attention from the media, academia, industry, and the general public, attracting more than a million users within days of its release. However, its explosive adoption for information search and as an automated decision aid underscores the importance to understand its limitations and biases. This paper focuses on one of democratic society’s most important decision-making processes: political elections. Prompting ChatGPT with 630 political statements from two leading voting advice applications and the nation-agnostic political compass test in three pre-registered experiments, we uncover ChatGPT’s pro-environmental, left-libertarian ideology. For example, ChatGPT would impose taxes on flights, restrict rent increases, and legalize abortion. In the 2021 elections, it would have voted most likely for the Greens both in Germany (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen) and in the Netherlands (GroenLinks). Our findings are robust when negating the prompts, reversing the order of the statements, varying prompt formality, and across languages (English, German, Dutch, and Spanish). We conclude by discussing the implications of politically biased conversational AI on society.
In the paper’s conclusions the authors state –
As political elections are one of the most consequential decision-making processes of democratic societies, our findings have important ramifications. Moreover, the “partisan content” that ChatGPT automatically generates at unprecedented scales may attract users who share similar beliefs. In turn, the feedback that OpenAI actively solicits from its user base to improve its model outputs may amplify and perpetuate this ideological bias in a vicious circle. As automated chatbots have the potential to influence user behavior, it is crucial to raise awareness about these breakthrough systems’ flaws and biases.
Thet then point out the meticulous care that was taken to ‘fine tune’ ChatGPT which included mediation by humans in the attempt to remove ideological bias. The obvious inference here is that there exist unbiased humans with demonstrated processes that can politically sanitize (neutralize?) right/left tilts. To my knowledge no such individuals have yet to be identified who are acknowledged by both sides to possess such neutral attributes and the talents to apply them. If we can’t find genuine middle-roaders among ourselves, what chance to we have of training politically vanilla chatbots to advise us with such problems as public policies and elections?
From my perch during these pre-Singularity years, I recommend taking the ideological opinions and political advice of AIs in the same manner as one accept that from any other intelligent and selectively informed being.
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[Apologies for the delay of new sand. My malady is definitely slowing things down on RR, and I appreciate your continued hearty participation and patience. gjr]
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George Rebane
Here on Hind Tit Road our power went out on 27 March for the second time and has been out since. I scheduled an immediate delivery with Amerigas when it first went out on 21 March and was promised delivery during the next two days – nothing. Numerous calls to their call center allowed me to talk to a bunch of east Asians who had been taught carefully to lie to their customers – all the way up from the supervisors to their ‘Dispute Resolution Center’, and all of them were expert at bullshitting their customers. The entire company appears to be fashioned on ignoring customer fulfillment needs, and responds only to internal convenience. Finally, yesterday as heavy snow again began falling, a marginally competent Amerigas driver shows up with our propane delivery. He goes on to make difficult the simple job of pulling up next to the tanks and filling them. But now we have several more 24/7 days of running our faithful 24KW Generac. Time order more tomorrow, and install another 500gal capacity when the snows stop.
Meanwhile, PG&E makes spam calls to their customers claiming to inform on latest estimates of power restoration while saying nothing of the sort – we have been totally in the dark, figuratively and literally, as to when a semblance of normalcy will return. Rumor has it may be tomorrow. This what passes for meritorious and competent service in today’s big corporation America.
[6mar23 update] Central control of everything by teams of experts. The Pacific Legal Foundation has released the documentary video ‘Trust Us’ that takes America through the history of bureaucratic control during the administrations Teddy Roosevelt all the way to the present day. It makes clear that FDR did nothing to shorten the Great Depression – he lengthened it and made it more severe – and that LBJ’s Great Society spawned a scourge that is still with us and has worsened all of our lives.
There is nothing in this telling that will be understandable to today’s progressives, especially of the woke-bent. These people are terminally ignorant willing believers, ready to hand their fates, fortunes, and futures to the administrative state run by faceless technicians claiming expertise of which they have none. But then again, there’s the off chance that watching the video …
[8mar23 update] Power finally came back on today at 1530. It went out at 2350 on 23 February, and the Generac has been running 24/7 ever since, consuming 2-2.5gal/hr from a 500 gal tank that was topped with 186 gal refill in the interval. Turns out the break came from one of our old oaks falling across the power line on our neighbor’s property on the other side of the fence that separates us – of course it took out a section of the fence. Several other trees also came down in our forest. Time to buck them and stack them by the splitter ready for another season or two of firewood. It ain’t cheap.
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[Here's an interesting backlash from the more conservative faction of our nation's youth reacting to the nation's woke tsunami. (here) "'Asbury Revival' marathon worship enters 10th day, similar services grow on other college campuse." And then take a look at what is happening with the recertification kerfuffle of the University of North Caroling, Chapel Hill as the school attempts to augment its curriculum with actual mainline courses that the Left opposes. (here) Light at the end of the tunnel? gjr]
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George Rebane
The initiative to launch part of California as a new state, provided for by a number of treaties, agreements, and founding documents, has begun (here). No matter how legal and above board the effort to liberate at least part of the golden state from its mire of tyranny, this effort will be opposed by all the usual political, monied, and anti-American institutions in the land. However, our interest should be peaked in this kind of initiative because it shows that the desire for a return to constitutional liberties and governance is not yet dead and buried.
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George Rebane
Robert Summa, the new minder and regional editor of The Union, is a functional idiot. Gold Hill California Media, the new owner of the newspaper, is on a rampage buying up small town newspapers all over the west with the aim of introducing neo-Marxism to the heretofore conservative hinterlands in laying the groundwork for the advent of Agenda30 (aka Agenda21).
Certain of his emails censoring reader letters discussing CRT and Wokeism (here) have been made available to me. The man refuses to publish such communications on the basis that he is not aware of what wokeism is beyond a rightwing dog whistle that denigrates progressive ideas. Really, he is so auto-insular that he has never heard the Left use or discuss the notion and concepts of wokeism (here) that have swept the land from academe to the military, of which he will “not continue to platform conspiracy theories and disingenuous arguments that lead to violence or is purposefully spreading misinformation or disinformation to harm others …”.
His ignorance binds him so tightly that he has not even heard of the multi-edition, best-selling leftwing manual to promote wokeism – Don’t Think of an Elephant – and its author, nationally celebrated progressive philosopher George Lakoff (here). Nor is he aware of the massive response from the country’s Right to counter wokeism – e.g. Counter Wokecraft. In this sense, in addition to ignorant, we must add ‘stupid’ to his assemblage of professional attributes.
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George Rebane
Chinese spy balloon. One of the more intriguing and scary test purposes for the balloon could easily have been to see how easy it would be to float EMP nuclear devices over the American mainland. The published altitude range for effective EMP explosions is about 60K-80Kft. Such considerations make it even more important to immediately shoot down these incursions as soon as they enter US air space into payload recoverable territory. I suppose then if an EMP device or test package was found, it could be considered an act of war. But in such a contingency things would immediately get very complicated with the introduction of a lot of other factors. The news about today’s underwater recovery results are guaranteed to be lies and propaganda; we should not tell the Chicoms what we found or didn’t.
[7feb23 update] Microsoft to integrate ChatGPT into Bing in today’s announcement (here). ChatGPT is the ‘complete natural language’ response system that represents the latest quantum leap in advanced deep learning systems and has already demonstrated how the new generation of smart machines will converse with users on a rapidly expanding base of human knowledge. My son-in-law who does advanced AI research at Microsoft Research tells me to “stay tuned, this could be history in the making.”
[12feb23 update] From post-SOTUS media reports, Democrats finally admit that Republicans have a totally opposite direction they want to take the country, and that neither side believes in each other’s facts. Given such terminal incongruity, what could then be the purpose of pursuing common goals for returning to or going forward to seek an unhappy state of America’s reunification. Isn’t it past time to start negotiating a peaceful Great Divide?
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[About time for fresh sand. Please note the new Trump post for things Trump related. Thanks. gjr]
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