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June 2026
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[This post was also published in the 20jun26 edition of The Union.]

George Rebane

The much touted memorandum of understanding is an exhibit of Trump’s weakest and desperate attempt to get some kind, any kind, of an agreement with the perennially recalcitrant Iranian thugs to get Hormuz to some semblance of ‘open’.  Unabashedly our president is giving up much while claiming progress toward a lasting mid-east peace.  Instead, as I’ve stated before, he is snatching defeat from the jaws of victory by refusing to start the systematically staged destruction of Iran’s infrastructure – IMHO the only path to a true solution and victory over the mullahs.  Here is a summary of how the MOU falls short of its celebrated PR campaign.

Based on the details surrounding the June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between the United States and Iran, several key provisions demanded by President Trump and his administration were notably excluded or deferred.

While the announced framework focuses on ending direct hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, here are the key demands that will not be explicitly enforced in the MOU:

  • Immediate Surrender of Highly Enriched Uranium: Trump explicitly demanded that the MOU include concrete steps for the U.S. to immediately secure Iran’s highly enriched uranium and impose a complete moratorium on its nuclear program. Instead, the agreement defers these issues to a 60-day window for further technical negotiations.
  • Limits on the Ballistic Missile Program: The administration heavily pushed for strict curbs on Iran’s missile development capabilities. According to leaked details from Iranian state-affiliated media, the missile program is explicitly excluded from the scope of the MOU and any future negotiations.
  • Cessation of Support for Regional Proxies: The U.S. sought to include a binding commitment from Iran to stop funding, arming, and supporting its allied armed groups across the Middle East. Like the missile program, this has reportedly been left off the negotiation agenda entirely.
  • Concrete Mechanisms for Securing the Strait of Hormuz: Trump asked for tightened, non-negotiable language guaranteeing the U.S. terms for reopening the strait. However, the final text reportedly leaves the reopening subject to “Iranian arrangements,” falling short of the strict U.S.-controlled guarantees initially demanded.

Both sides are currently racing to control the narrative of the agreement, but the text ultimately defers the most contentious nuclear issues and entirely sidesteps Iran’s broader regional military network.  That is what political surrender looks like.

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7 responses to “The MOU to nowhere”

  1. fish Avatar
    fish

    The strait is the least important as every regional player is scurrying to find other avenues to move petroleum and receive goods (camels maybe….)! Pretty disappointing that Trump eventually paid tribute just like Obama.

    .

    The kind of geopolitical embarrassment that happens when you let yourself be led around by the nose by the Israelis!

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  2. Resurrected Hillbilly Avatar
    Resurrected Hillbilly

    In addition to moving petroleum, countries are moving away from petroleum. China hasn’t been needing as much oil because they have invested so much in solar and electric vehicles.

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  3. ScottO Avatar

    “China hasn’t been needing as much oil because they have invested so much in solar and electric vehicles.”

    Totally false. China needs more petro than ever. Their need for coal is also greater than ever. And the need will continue to grow.

    But you also believe Biden is sharp as a tack and that men can become pregnant – so have fun out there in Fantasy land!

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  4. Resurrected Hillbilly Avatar
    Resurrected Hillbilly

    Scotto, the coal fires the electric generators, get it?

    The point you refuse to acknowledge is that countries are trying to become more energy independent as far as petroleum goes.

    I know you boys hate windmills and solar panels because MAGA tells you too, but…

    Inside China’s Clean Energy Surge: Record Wind, Solar and EV Exports Redefine Global Energy Security and Oil Markets https://share.google/guTJy7G4PRRwYnBhB

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  5. scenes Avatar
    scenes

    “The point you refuse to acknowledge is that countries are trying to become more energy independent as far as petroleum goes.”

    If China was filled with oil wells, they’d use that. It’s not any kind of moral decision. At least they haven’t made Donald Trump and/or men-in-dresses and unlimited immigration their entire political philosophy. I just assume that China is a strange combination of reality-based decisions and crazy grift.

    I have to admit that there’s something to be said for mass-production of industrial and consumer goods as opposed to surveillance capitalism and HOA-adjacent government employment. I doubt they spend much time adding girl jobs.

    In terms of solar, it’s all good. Just don’t subsidize it or view it as a solution in search of a problem. Until power storage is really cracked as an issue it sucks for baseload power, the stuff that matters. We could stand to fill government jobs with civil and electrical engineers as opposed to ‘activists’ and HR Karens, but that’s life in places like Pride Town.

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  6. ScottO Avatar

    “Scotto, the coal fires the electric generators, get it?”

    I got “it” long ago, chum. China’s relatively small investment in solar and wind electrical generation is a pathetic attempt to cover for their huge and growing reliance on coal for electron pressure while they continue to pimp their panels on sucker western countries trying to be ecologically-moral prigs. They know damn well that wind and solar will (and has) lead to the ruin of western economies. A path they push for others but of course, not for themselves. That link was about China’s exporting of products for western suckers, not about the relatively small amount of installations in China.

    Also – “I know you boys hate windmills and solar panels…”

    Please, RH – could you pull your head out of your ass for at least a few minutes to actually listen to a different point of view?

    Every time you claim we hate, you are projecting. I could ask you to provide one single bit of evidence that I hate windmills and solar panels but facts and evidence (as well as logic and reason) seem to exist in a dimension outside of the one you inhabit.

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