Rebane's Ruminations
February 2026
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George Rebane

Gold finally crashed last Friday, dropping to $4,899 from its $5,615 high on Thursday (29jan26).  That’s a 12.75% plunge after starting its most recent run-up last November.  Looking at the price history, it occurred to me that this was no garden variety exponential growth pattern, but something special – super-exponential growth.  Exponentially growing processes reach infinity in infinite time, but super-exponentials reach infinity in a finite (critical) time that can be computed.  So I did a little noodling based on the work of Didier Sornette (2003) who pioneered research on such super-exponential processes that our universe does not support.  Putting in the gold prices since November, I calculated the critical time to be 30jan26, i.e. last Friday.  This prediction showed that Sornette’s theory nailed it.

The movie ‘Melania’, documenting the days leading up to President Trump’s second inauguration, opened to packed or empty theaters last Friday.  Overall the film was a roaring success with conservatives (99% approving and setting a cash office record for documentaries), and a complete bust for the TDS afflicted crowd (only 11% approving).  The First Lady is still persona non grata on the pages and broadcast outlets of the lamestream media.

[3feb26 update] “Nobody is illegal on stolen land.”  A current shibboleth of the lightly read radical Left.  In the enormous educational gaps of these ardent activists lies the fact that all lands on earth have always changed hands from weaker societies to the stronger ones.  In this sense all lands are ‘stolen’.  A dominant group takes land from someone else and establishes a defendable sovereignty over it for some period of time, until a stronger one comes along.  The Aztecs (and all other American tribes) constantly conquered their neighbors’ lands over the centuries.  In their turn the Spanish and Portuguese of the 16th century conquered most of what today is Latin America from the then indigenous tribes.  The Europeans in their turn did the same in North America.  It was ever thus, and will be until the sun becomes a red giant.

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6 responses to “Scattershots – 1feb26 (updated 3feb26)”

  1. Resurrected Hillbilly Avatar
    Resurrected Hillbilly

    Re: gold retreat…social media influencer, Punxsutawney Phil, predicted 6 more weeks of Winter and Social Media reacted…

    Like

  2. fish Avatar
    fish

    “Looking at the price history, it occurred to me that this was no garden variety exponential growth pattern, but something special – super-exponential growth.  Exponentially growing processes reach infinity in infinite time, but super-exponentials reach infinity in a finite (critical) time that can be computed.”

    Oooh….do AI valuations next!

    Like

  3. fish Avatar
    fish

    How News Literacy Week aims to help Nevadans spot misinformation

    Reading any American newspaper should be a dead giveaway that you’re being misinformed! Huge timesaver!

    Like

  4. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Well the Milania doc did not get the TDS set to love it, it still set records for doc openings sweet. As if we did not know it is all an effort/. from the stinking cauldron of the worst of the worst.https://www.foxnews.com/us/minneapolis-teachers-union-chief-admits-elected-officials-anti-ice-signal-chats

    Like

  5. Resurrected Hillbilly Avatar
    Resurrected Hillbilly

    When bitcoin crossed the $100,000 mark, Trump simply posted, “YOU’RE WELCOME!!!”
    Now that it around $69k, I say THANK YOU!!!

    Like

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