George Rebane
Under the ‘Estonian Fox’ moniker, one of our east coast readers has been a regular on these comment streams. He emailed me his filled out electoral college predictions in the spreadsheet format that I developed and made available here. The first figure below shows his vote assignment per state at the various probability levels. His bottom line is that Trump’s expected electoral votes are 278 (270 required to win), and Biden’s expected is 260. This squeaker projects a 0.52 probability that Trump wins. In the second figure EFox assigned ones and zeros to the candidates who had the higher probability of taking each state from his first assessment. This kind of ‘all or nothing’ figuring give Trump 325 votes and Biden 213 – a clear Republican glory road. Well, from his mouth to God’s ear is all we can hope for.
rebanesruminations.com 
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