Rebane's Ruminations
August 2019
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George Rebane

In the lead-up to the 2020 election, our Left has marshalled their legion of liars to spread the word to the lightly read that Trump’s revamping of our economy to historical levels has not happened, and that only the top 1% derived any benefit from the tax cuts and regulation rollbacks.  This kind of concerted lying campaign does immeasurable harm to the lower half of the IQ curve, causing these folks to vote against their own self interests.  But that makes no never mind to our progressive Democrats; do whatever keeps and increases your power, and bamboozling the snuffies has always been part of the drill.

It’s instructive to take a look at the magnitude of this particular stream of lies from the Left that started back in Obama’s time when we were assured that a max of 2% annual growth was going to be “the new normal”.  And, of course, Team Obama demonstrated that dictum over his tenure which averaged growth under 2%.  These people pulled every trick in the book to stifle the economy and keep workers’ wage growth essentially flat, all the while lying that they were helping the little guy and middle class.  The little guys took it in the shorts also as the Dems boosted the minimum wage wherever possible so as to make the lower rungs of the economic ladder ever more inaccessible to our unskilled and youngest workers starting their careers.

Conservatives and capitalists have known for generations that a rising tide lifts all boats, in direct contradiction to the Left’s teaching that the only friend of the poor and unskilled is big and bigger government.  Here’s a graphic from the Bureau of Labor Statistics to demonstrate the difference between Obama and Trump (filched from the 5jul19 WSJ).

EconomiesObamaVTrump

By 2012 it was clear to most Americans that Obama was a socialist who had little interest in implementing demonstrated economic principles to recover the economy from its 2009 Great Recession lows.  I waxed eloquently on this in my ‘What Recovery?’ essay.  In that piece I presented a clear and concise systems flow diagram for how the GDP is calculated from its major components.  It even pointed out how and where the government just pisses away generated wealth.

Most of us don’t have a clue when talking about economic recovery and growth.  Recovery is in the eyes of the beholder, and economic growth is not experienced as a one size fits all – different sectors benefit differentially from any given level of quoted aggregate growth, as the following graphic illustrates.

RecoveriesAmerica’s economy has grown in a remarkably constant range of 3.3-3.4% annually from 1880 to 2008 on the eve of the Great Recession.  To explain the different recovery flavors, I indicated such an exponential growth as the green line in the above graph taken from ‘The Recovery Rigamarole’.  The arbitrary GDP amounts shown vary as a function of time, say, in years.  At year 40 a recession/depression occurs that takes the GDP from around 225 down to 135 over a ten year period.  At year 50 the economy begins to recover.  But from there several ‘recovery’ paths are possible, three of which (R1, R2, R3) are shown.  At this point it’s important to keep in mind that if the economy’s dip (red line) did not occur, then it would have continued growing at its long term (green line) rate – e.g. at year 50 it would have been about 265.

R1 is clearly a true recovery that regains the long-term growth curve.  R2 is a more tendentious recovery that does achieve the pre-recession growth rate, but perennially lags the sans recession GDP growth trend.  And finally, R3 is at best a propagandized faux recovery, achieving neither the pre-recession growth rate nor its long term trend.

The continuing dissemination of this Big Lie about Trump’s economy by the lamestream is one of the most visible pieces of evidence for the ongoing progressive propaganda onslaught through the auspices of fake news.

 

Posted in , , ,

47 responses to “Democrats’ Big Lie #3671 – America’s economy”

  1. Walt Avatar

    And look who tries to take credit for Trump’s roaring success.
    https://www.lifezette.com/2019/05/biden-tries-to-take-full-credit-for-trumps-economic-accomplishments/
    “Former Vice President and 2020 Democratic candidate Joe Biden took full credit on Saturday for the positive United States economy we’re currently experiencing.
    He even claimed President Donald Trump was “squandering” the success of “the Obama-Biden administration.”
    Biden made a passionate appeal for national unity on Saturday but also took aim at Trump, branding the president a “divider-in-chief” who must be ousted in 2020.”
    But I do believe people know better.

    Like

  2. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Walt | 10 August 2019 at 01:31 PM
    The campaigns internal polling must really be bad for him to go there….

    Like

  3. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    George
    If the economy is so great why is there a Trillion dollar a year deficit? Also in your view did the tax cut pay for itself with increased revenue as promised by Trump?

    Like

  4. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Why you keep a death grip on the title of the great pony tail of ignorance @ 255!
    😉

    Like

  5. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 255pm – the economy and govt deficits are largely decoupled. No, as we have previously circled this barn, the tax cut did result in increased revenues, but the deficits continued to increase beyond that. As a progressive, you should know exactly how that happens.

    Like

  6. Jig Wiggly Avatar
    Jig Wiggly

    P: did the tax cut pay for itself?
    G: the tax cut did result in increased revenues,
    Paul- Your question and its answer are largely decoupled

    Like

  7. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    So did Trump lie when he claimed the tax cuts would pay for themselves or was he merely incompetent or given bad advice?

    Like

  8. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    So whos flag is the pony tail of ignorance flying this election? Comrade Bernie or fauxcahantas??
    😉

    Like

  9. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    My 3:40 is meant for George.

    Like

  10. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    “My 3:40 is meant for George”
    How can it be meant for George when Don wrote the 3:40? Time for a nap in wrinkle village.

    Like

  11. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Bill
    I congratulate you, you finally said something true. My mistake. It was my 3:20 that was meant for George.

    Like

  12. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Bill Tozer | 13 August 2019 at 04:18 PM
    Time for a nap in wrinkle village.
    Ouch…..

    Like

  13. J. Barron Avatar
    J. Barron

    I thought RR was wrinkle village.

    Like

  14. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: J. Barron | 13 August 2019 at 05:10 PM
    I thought RR was wrinkle village.

    Oh it is J, it is…..much like The Union, NC Peeps and RL Crabbs page!
    Time to face reality “Quaintytown” is “Wrinkle Village”…..gods waiting room for fading west coast hippies and other assorted ne’er do wells!

    Like

  15. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 320pm – You’ve asked that question innumerable times, and I have answered it at least three times. Time to turn the page.

    Like

  16. Walt Avatar

    Don’t fret Emery,, you will never have to pay for it.

    Like

  17. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Re: recovery flavors.
    The r1-r3 lines are quite telling. Studies have shown that when someone enters the workforce during a recession, their lifetime earnings will be less than someone entering the workforce (even in the same field, even at the same job) during times of economic growth. Which may also explain in a small part why we are now seeing a generation of renters, tracing its roots back to the early days of the Great Recession.

    Like

  18. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    So why not write a post George and call it “Trumps big lie” ?

    Like

  19. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Why don’t you get your own blog or give Liberal Lament Land a try or even the Union. Somehow I would expect it to just be 750 words cut and pasted from talking points for lefties @ 614-
    😉

    Like

  20. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 614pm – I’ve already called Trump out on that slip of the lip in previous posts. I don’t want to make too big a deal out of it because 1) it is a garden variety campaign promise promised by all politicians (witness the bigger lies by Dems that the green economy will enrich rather than pauper our economy), and 2) because I am a partisan ideologue who favors Trump, warts and all, immeasurably over the socialist rascals from which the Democrats promise to pick their candidate for president. In the event it has escaped you, RR is a blatantly biased blog of the conservetarian hue that always invites criticism of its supporting credo and the tenets of what I modestly refer to as Rebane Doctrine.

    Like

  21. George Rebane Avatar

    BillT 614pm – Yes indeed Mr Tozer. Obama gave us a R3 ‘recovery’, and Trump has been able to convert it into an R2 economy. Sadly, I don’t think that our achieving R1 in the future is in the cards, no matter who is president.

    Like

  22. J. Barron Avatar
    J. Barron

    GR 6:39
    Well done. Refreshing post. I don’t mean that with any sarcasm what so ever. I wonder if Todd could ever write anything approaching that level of honesty.

    Like

  23. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Speaking of lying socialist dems, they can be entertaining but ya gotta love the fast response from the Trump campaign monetizing cnn’s fredo! –
    https://news.yahoo.com/trump-campaign-sells-fredo-unhinged-210606267.html
    😉

    Like

  24. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    “Slip of the lip” George ? The whole pitch on tax cuts was that they would more than pay for themselves and they would balance the budget and pay down the deficit. How is that different than Obama’s claim that you can keep your doctor under Obamacare?

    Like

  25. J. Barron Avatar
    J. Barron

    He lied, Paul. Trump’s tongue wriggles, it’s a lie in the making.
    Obama lied too, but at least he was honest about it.

    Like

  26. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Paul Emery | 13 August 2019 at 06:58 PM

    WAIT!!!! You didn’t vote for Obama…..

    Like

  27. Walt Avatar

    Desperation is setting in on the resident Commies.

    Like

  28. fish Avatar
    fish

    …..the second time!

    Like

  29. fish Avatar
    fish

    ….and thanks in advance.

    Like

  30. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Even the masters of the universe are in on the joke now, at lest the AI part! –
    https://www.breitbart.com/tech/2019/08/13/apple-siri-refers-to-cnns-chris-cuomo-as-fredo-in-apparent-glitch/
    😉

    Like

  31. Walt Avatar

    OK,, THIS might get some votes for crazy Burnie
    https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/09/us/bernie-sanders-aliens-trnd/index.html
    “Bernie Sanders says that if he’s elected, he’ll reveal whether aliens are real”
    And on the long shot chance he does,,,” You sure are a bunch of suckers!”

    Like

  32. Paul Emery Avatar

    Yes I didn’t vote for Obama the second time fish. Are you going to vote for Trump the second time??

    Like

  33. Walt Avatar

    Emery. ONCE was enough. And HELL YES we will vote for Trump.
    Which Commiecrat is your loser?

    Like

  34. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Walt 744pm
    It doesn’t matter who you vote for as there are two possible outcomes in Nov 2020:
    1) California gives up all of its electors for the Dem candidate, or
    2) California gives up all its electors to Trump but it doesn’t matter because of a McGovern style blowout… the election get’s called the moment the East coast states polls close.
    You might as well sell your vote for sexual favors. Choose a gender and have fun. Madonna might give the same deal in 2020 but I think there’s local talent that might and the Material Girl might be past her pull date.
    /sarc off

    Like

  35. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Paul Emery | 13 August 2019 at 07:40 PM
    Are you going to vote for Trump the second time??

    His second time?

    Like

  36. Walt Avatar

    Ya’ got a point G, Ca. is pretty much irrelevant.
    Yup,, lets see who’s wearing the kneepads this time around.
    Emery seems to be a Burner. Maybe just a whoever the wind is blowing for at the moment.
    As for Iowa,, the corn count is interesting. trump is only down by 12, against ALL the Commicrats.

    Like

  37. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Sounds like the Lefties want their tax cut back. No. No is a complete statement.
    Oh yeah, topic, the Right walks for less government and the Leftinistas march for more.
    Looks like none of us here could hold our noses and vote your Hildabeast. Fish, Gregory, Paul…nobody. No one here could ever sink so low and sell their souls. Bet the White popinjays’ Dream Team here is Biden-Minnesota Nice Amy. Bobbie loves Bernie.
    They said the reason why Biden wanted Mueller to testify because it would make Sleepy Joe look good by comparison. He is in the same position now as when Obama picked him, playing the role of the token old white guy.

    Like

  38. Walt Avatar

    Only Emery and half/jigger (“jon”) would vote to raise their taxes… Just out of spite. And Joe saying he will end those tax cuts? Yup,, that will get him in the W.H. Let’s bring the economy to a screeching halt. People back on unemployment and the gov. dole. That’s just where the elected Proggys want them.

    Like

  39. Jig Wiggly Avatar
    Jig Wiggly

    Walt 8:20
    You have the political aplomb of a starfish. If Trump isn’t on the California ballot, how many Pubbers will even bother to vote? Trump isn’t the only right winger on the ballot and his loss will be every progressive’s gain in the Golden State. It has nothing to do with tax returns and everything to do with encouraging Pubber apathy.

    Like

  40. Walt Avatar

    Nice try jiggered. The ballots haven’t even been printed yet.
    And the VERY pretty Gavin’s little scam to get his taxes is not going to fly.
    But keep blowing that unicorn.

    Like

  41. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Are you going to have some bree with that whine? @849?
    😉

    Like

  42. Jig Wiggly Avatar
    Jig Wiggly

    Walt 8:20
    ‘scuze me while I reprint your quip, ” Ca. is pretty much irrelevant.” Yup, eggzactly what we want all pubbers to say, say it again, and say it loud.
    Your little dust up about ballots not being printed and Gavin isn’t going to get his taxes, is nothing but hot air trying to cover up your admitted slip about pubber apathy. Have another pull of your Old Crow and tell the world how you really feel.

    Like

  43. Walt Avatar

    WOW!! Smoking crack AND meth at the same time half jigger?
    Forget Trump didn’t take Kalif. the last time?
    Better figure out how the voting process works.
    Your knowledge of election day is as messed up as your anti gun bullshit.

    Like

  44. Walt Avatar

    This will change jigger’s vote.
    https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2019/08/13/elizabeth-warren-affordable-gender-affirming-health-care/
    “Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) called for health care that is high-quality, affordable, and “gender-affirming” in a tweet posted Tuesday afternoon. However, she has not always held that position.
    Warren tweeted Tuesday that Americans are entitled to “high-quality, affordable, gender-affirming health care” and criticized the Trump administration for considering a proposal that would revise Obama-era protections for transgender adults, who make up 0.6 percent of the U.S. population, according to government data.”

    Like

  45. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    If you want to see apathy, go to a Biden rally or whoever the nominate the DNC pukes out onto the party, roflmao. We got all the enthusiasm on our side and we be a rocking and foot stomping and knee slapping and taking it to the House. We don’t need cheerleaders, we got the rhythm. The Lefties got angry faces with veins bulging out their necks and a whole boatload of negativity. Bet it’s a replay of Kerry in 2004 or Hildabeast in 2016. Apathy, stay home.
    The Dems are like no energy Jeb right now. Each time one of them opens their mouths, the phone is ringing to bring in another pitcher from the bullpen…the empty bullpen, lol.
    Looks like all they have is the JV team. Sleepy “oh, thats just Joe being Joe” Joe. The Dirty Cop that not even the blacks can get excited about. I don’t see one Dem voter doing one single cartwheel anywhere for any of that glum disgruntled lot. Them be as terminally disgruntled as a US Postal Worker. They have gone postal, but with half the energy. Implosion. Best they walk around and eat corn dogs at the Iowa State Fair. They might pick up some enthusiasm by osmosis. Mercy.

    Like

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