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November 2018
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The saddest aspect of life right now is that science gathers knowledge faster than society gathers wisdom.  Isaac Asimov

George Rebane

The combined body count of the Camp and Woolsey Canyon fires has topped 100 with an additional 1,000 missing.  Perusing the lamestream media without second thought, one comes away with the understanding that, at best, the fires are one of the regular unpreventable disasters that regularly visit California’s wild lands due to natural causes out of our control.  At worst, we learn that the fires are really due to global warming which now has created the conditions for these inevitable holocausts.  Moreover, they could be prevented were we only to implement the prescribed surefire policies to stop, or even roll back, global warming.

As a lifelong (60+ years) California resident and a student of its land, weather, and horticulture, I join with those who have a radically different view of the state’s regular wildfires and public policies that can greatly reduce their frequency, magnitude, and cost to life and property.

The state’s weather record shows two centuries of periodic droughts which have dried the forests, given rise to infestations by various critters, and to wildfires mostly caused by lightning strikes.  The fall ‘Santa Ana’ winds have always done their best to spread the fires, but with limited success until modern times.  Why?  Over the ages our forests evolved not only to survive fires, but actually require their regular occurrence to continue their life cycles.  The major characteristics of the age-old forests was the irregular density of trees (into copses) that prevented long distance/perimeter burns and which densities were maintained by the burns that did occur.  A little technical reflection quickly explains why such configurations became the survivable ‘steady state’ configuration of the forests.  (A more detailed look at the changes in the Sierra forests is documented by George E. Gruell in the rather pricey Sierra Nevada Forests: A Photographic Interpretation of Ecological Change Since 1849.)

SierraForests

Then arrived the hubristic Regulatus Californicus who knew better than the established natural order.  Starting in the 1960s and building on Smokey the Bear (born in 1944), this rapidly evolving breed of humanity quickly latched on to ‘saving the ecology’ as their raison d’etre for launching an unheard level of regulatory controls over peoples lives and property, enforced by an ever-enlarging Leviathan in Sacramento.  In the 1970s they discovered catastrophic climate change to add to their causus belli on the rest of us Californians.  They initially took the wrong tack and argued ‘global cooling’ with the advent of a new ice age, caused by CO2 and other atmospheric gases linked to humans that were supposed to be reflecting too much sunlight.

But even with the state’s growing dumbth, it was hard to harness cooling as an adequate basis for enlarging the regulatory state.  So it was time to reverse the role of these gases from reflecting sunlight to retaining earth’s build-up of heat, and the great greenhouse gas gambit was born with CO2 now starring in its new role.  Some scientists quickly pointed out that we knew very little about earth’s carbon cycle and even less about long-term climate modeling, and most certainly not enough to reliably calculate (aka blame) any temperature changes on CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere.  These scientists were quickly shouted down, and their grant monies to study the carbon cycle dried up.  And that has been their fate as the UN’s IPCC gathered the willing technocrats under its well-funded umbrella and became the voice of preventable man-made global warming.

The ‘true believers’ aka fanatical ecological nutcases, or simply econuts, now had a real arrow in their quiver – consensus science interpreted through selective faith-based lenses.  And they have been off to the races ever since 1995 when the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change published its first report – an evolving set of documents that now have had to be redacted, rewritten, revised, and re-issued many times over the years so as to keep the desired narrative in line with the vagaries of uncooperative weather patterns.

In the interval, the nation’s politically imperious progressive wave continued to grow as reflected in the staffs of federal regulatory agencies and, more importantly, in all elements of California governments ranging from Sacramento down to local leftwing NGOs funded to propagandize, monitor, and report on the state’s progress toward becoming ‘green’.  And that, of course, included prohibiting any intervention, save heroic fire prevention and suppression efforts, in fostering the growth of high-density forests complete with huge ground level accumulations of duff and slash (“organic waste”).  All this has been done in the name of preserving the econuts’ vision of the natural order of fauna and flora on government lands, while in reality doing exactly the opposite as they created a wholesale unnatural order of wildland preservation never before seen on this earth.

And the bittersweet comedy continues unabated, as our progressive elites, in California and elsewhere, continue to blame the current spate of wildfires on climate change, even as they begin to evince micro-epiphanies, albeit sub-rosa, about the reality that decades of unnatural forest fuels build-ups is actually the dominant contributive cause of the devastations we have witnessed in recent years.  However, these leftwing central planners have yet to develop a public-ready narrative to effectively deflect the raw truth so that Californians – econuts and their voting legions of double dummy compliant constituents – can discover the cause of these holocausts by simply looking into a mirror.

(The Rebanes’ up-close and personal experience with California wildfires was reported here, here, and here.)

Posted in , , , ,

88 responses to “California Wildfires – Some Reflections”

  1. Walt Avatar

    Spending some time on the Frisco paper’s site,, the ill informed “down there” are all bent out of shape because “natural disaster” is being used.
    They must not know the diff between an arsonist or a tree branch which took down a power line.
    Mamma Nature can never be held responsible when Frisco values come into play.

    Like

  2. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    How Misguided Environmentalism Is To Blame For California’s Wildfires
    The saddest part about these fires in California is that they are self inflicted. Californians should not allow such mismanagement to continue.
    Krystina Skurk in the Federalist
    [. . .]
    Despite scientific evidence, the federal government continues spending more money on fire suppression than prescribed burns. The Forest Service has performed prescribed burns on an average of 2,187,64 2 acres a year for the past ten years, according to the National Interagency Fire Center.
    This means the Forest Service has only performed prescribed burns on 11.3 percent of the land they manage. When explaining to Mother Jones why the California Wine Country fires were so bad last October, fire ecologist Sasha Berleman said, “We have 100 years of fire suppression that has led to this huge accumulation of fuel loads.”
    The policy of fire suppression has created what insurance companies call “mega catastrophes,” a term that describes disasters that result in insured losses of more than $1 billion. Mega catastrophes are becoming the norm in California. In 2017, there were 5,906 fires on state and private land, Kathleen Schori, an assistant chief at CAL FIRE, said in a phone interview. “Extreme fire behavior has become more commonplace,” says the Forest Service.

    [. . . ]
    According to a Reason Foundation study, another flaw in forest management is a systematic reduction in timber removal. This began in 1990 when the spotted owl was listed as threatened under the Endangered Species Act. In response, the Forest Service placed restrictions on timber harvests. Additionally, President Bill Clinton introduced a rule that restricted the construction of new roads on 49 million acres of national forest. This limited the ability of the Forest Service from thinning trees. In 1993, 1,797,574 acres of wildlands burned, but in 2017 this number jumped to 10,026,086 acres.
    From 1960 to 1990, 10.3 billion board feet of timber were removed from federal forest land each year. From 1991 to 2000 that numbered dropped to 2.1 billion board feet of timber per year.

    [. . .]
    Ironically, these ill-conceived environmental policies designed to ward off climate change have been the source of massive amounts of carbon dioxide pollution. A forest fire’s initial blaze releases 5.2. million metric tons of greenhouse gas emissions, according to Forest Service ecologist Leland Tarnay. This is equivalent to the amount of emissions from 1.1 million passenger cars in a year.
    Full text is here: http://thefederalist.com/2018/11/16/misguided-environmentalism-blame-californias-wildfires/
    It appears that “what if” thinking seems to escape environmentalist.

    Like

  3. Paul Emery Avatar

    George
    I read with fascination your recollection of the fire that nearly took your home. How did your former home do in the current Malibu fires last week?

    Like

  4. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    California Governor: “In Less than Five Years, Even the Worst Skeptics Will Be Believers”
    Governor Jerry Brown of California thinks coming climate disasters will convert even the “worst” skeptics in five years, though in a surprisingly moderate interview (for Brown) he also admitted that forest management might be playing a part in California’s wildfires.
    Video Here: https://youtu.be/p9ZWiFKyOcU
    Since we are in a solar minimum and will be for the next five years, it is going to be hard to see any anthropogenic temperature increases. Historically solar minimums result in cooler temperatures.

    Like

  5. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 507pm – Fortunately, this fire through the Santa Monica Mtns came through about ten miles to the west of our former house on Saddlepeak Rd.

    Like

  6. Paul Emery Avatar

    We can have Tuesday 1/29 and Tuesday 2/5 for town Hall meetings at the Theatre, Pick one for the schools and I’ll use the other for Suicide Prevention.
    See you tomorrow
    Meanwhile we will reserve Tuesday 1/29 pending confirmation, and Tuesday 2/5 confirmed for KVMR Town Hall Forums.

    Like

  7. Bonnie McGuire Avatar

    Thanks GR, Russ and Todd for your observations and experience regarding the timber industry. We were in the trucking business and hauled logs many years. Got around to many areas. The gov has always been in control requiring whatever. It even had an ad in a San Francisco newspaper promising a paid vacation for anyone who would come to the Sierra to demonstrate against logging. It worked. As for SPI in Quincy. They donated to Environmentalists in order to survive. During our travel in Canada we noticed timber growing farms on the mountainsides. You could see the different stages of growth just like most agriculture farms. A woman in Line at a grocery store told me that most people didn’t understand their climate was perfect for growing trees must faster than other places. Unfortunately, only those experienced in the business know what it involves. Lots of political manipulation destroyed the industry for most that were in it. Television even conducted a poll as to whether people were for the loggers, or the endangered spotted owl because of logging. Naturally, the city dwellers voted for the owls. Years later, after all was said and done, it was revealed that a larger owl was preying on the spotted owl, not logging.
    http://www.mcguiresplace.net/Blind%20Man's%20Bluff

    Like

  8. Paul Emery Avatar

    Sorry for the irrelevant 6:07, I miss pasted a note about KVMR Town Halls in Feb

    Like

  9. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Sorry for the irrelevant 6:07, @651
    Well that’s nothing new!
    😉

    Like

  10. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Miss Bonnie.
    Blind Man’s Bluff? Good one. You got some spunk and fortitude. I hope you did not lose to many night’s sleep worried about hurting the poor man’s feelings. Maybe he learned something….or maybe not. Look before you leap, still water runs deep. 🙂

    Like

  11. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    My younger sister checked the Butte County list of the missing and found my mother’s old friends on it. Here is the link.
    http://www.buttecounty.net/Portals/24/pdf/11-16-18%20Unaccounted%20Persons2.pdf?ver=2018-11-17-084346-493&fbclid=IwAR2OsrTz632xh6DRklLUBUg9yX8Zck_tjaX7mVTOZ1s-qGP5H_eRramcfCM

    Like

  12. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    When I worked for Sierra Insulation we were up in the subdivision at South Lake Tahoe where 250 plus homes were burned up. The people living there told us they were forbidden by the TRPA of raking their pine needles. Great government eh?

    Like

  13. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    “M” you are truly a moron.

    Like

  14. '''M''' Avatar
    ”’M”’

    ,,,who is the moron Todd,,,
    “I have a strong opinion,” trumpski said. “I want great climate, we are going to have that and we are going to have forests that are very safe.”
    ,,,you don’t really see what’s going on until you come here. And what we saw at Pleasure, what a name right now, but what we just saw, we just left Pleasure…”
    Pleasure???

    Like

  15. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Oh “M” you are just a gutless troll who likes to see his worthless yapping opinions on this blog. Get some cajones and tell us who you really are. Otherwise, the readers see what gutless trolls of the left really are.

    Like

  16. ***M*** Avatar
    ***M***

    ,,,Mad Todd,,,we are going to need Caravans of rakers,,,
    https://tinyurl.com/y8ggeceb

    Like

  17. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Troll

    Like

  18. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    Gov. Jerry Brown Quietly Admits Trump Was Right, Eases California Logging Rules
    California Gov. Jerry Brown appears to have quietly admitted President Donald Trump’s suggestion about improving California forestry was correct and is now urging state lawmakers to loosen restrictive logging regulations put in place to appease environmentalists.
    https://www.dailywire.com/news/38520/gov-jerry-brown-quietly-admits-trump-was-right-emily-zanotti

    Like

  19. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Unless the let the individual landowners loose to thin the trees then it will be fruitless. THP’s down to a single tree keep people from thinning.

    Like

  20. ***M*** Avatar
    ***M***

    ,,,Russ,,,check the date on your DailyWire echochamber,,,
    Now check the date on this article,,,
    https://www.santacruzsentinel.com/2018/08/23/gov-jerry-brown-proposes-easing-logging-rules-to-thin-forests/
    been there,,,did that months ago,,,

    Like

  21. Tricky McClean Avatar
    Tricky McClean

    Looks to me like Nazis all the way down.

    Like

  22. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Tricky McClean | 19 November 2018 at 07:40 PM
    Moron

    Like

  23. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    There is a concerted effort to embarrass Trump about the comments made about “raking” the forest. I went back and listened to the video and of course, Trump never said that is what he recommends. He said the Finnish President told him they do that. But the fake news and the Trump haters are saying that Trump said it. More BS no wonder it is fruitless to trust them and if people can’t hear the same words and what they mean then we truly have morons galore.

    Like

  24. Tricky McClean Avatar
    Tricky McClean

    Looks to me like morons all the way down.

    Like

  25. ***M*** Avatar
    ***M***

    ,,,yes Todd,,, RakeGate is a conspiracy of epic proportions ,,,
    https://tinyurl.com/y9mzm2a8
    make that laughing stock of the world!!!

    Like

  26. Paul Emery Avatar

    Todd
    I guess you missed it but the Finnish President claims he never said that. Fake news from Trump???
    The president of Finland has said he doesn’t recall discussing raking leaves with Donald Trump in regards to the management of forests – which is awkward for Trump, because he’s said exactly that. quote:
    ““We take care of our forests,” but couldn’t recall raking coming up.”
    “I was with the president of Finland and he called it a forest nation, and they spend a lot of time on raking and cleaning and doing things and they don’t have any problem.”
    Trump quote

    Like

  27. '''M''' Avatar
    ”’M”’

    ,,,yes Paul,,,not surprising Trump made it up,,,residents of Pleasure would agree.

    Like

  28. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    So Paul Emery you would take the word of the Finnish President over your own President. OK, got it.

    Like

  29. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Pleasure is in one of Obama’s 57 states but I still can’t find it.

    Like

  30. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: M | 20 November 2018 at 11:06 AM
    ……make that laughing stock of the world!!!

    Says the man with the poopy pants!

    Like

  31. ***M*** Avatar
    ***M***

    ,,,no Todd,,, The Finnish President raked his brain trying to figure out what Trump was talking about,,,
    #Internationa Laughing Stock
    https://twitter.com/pyryluminen/status/1064159712919334917/photo/1

    Like

  32. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Still looking for those 7 states Obama said we have. The Finnish President is just trying to save his own ass. Why in hell would Trump make something like that up? For goodness sake he builds billion dollar buildings and that takes a lot of smarts.

    Like

  33. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    It’s time to get the shovels ready boys, and get Dr. Rebane busy designing some sub terranian domiciles for us or, at a minimum, some of dirt and sod covered abodes to rest our weary bones. Scenes, Jerry Brown, and I are all on the same page. Just give Dr. Rebane some burgers and beers and he will have them designed in an hour. 🙂
    “If you’re going to live this close to the forest, if the climate is going to keep changing, you’re going to have to build some kind of underground shelters,” Brown said. “So that you can go in and protect yourself.” Governor Edmond Brown, Nov. 18, 2018.

    Like

  34. George Rebane Avatar

    BillT 526pm – Interesting that you bring this up Mr Tozer. Jo Ann and I again revisited the construction of both earth-ladened homes and underground shelters from tornadoes, destructive winds, and, of course, wildfires. Shelters to save lives from wind and fires are amazingly cheap to construct, and extremely effective. To dig an 8-foot cube into the ground that will shelter, say, four people for up to 24hrs is both inexpensive and can be built by someone semi-handy with framing carpentry skills. The most expensive part of the structure is a strong non-flammable door that has some peep/air hole in it for longer stays.
    The shelter would be provisioned with some non-perishable food items, water, first-aid kit, illumination,…, and two bunk beds to comfortably sleep four people. (Throw in an oxygen bottle if that gives you some extra comfort, but a volume that size will easily supply four people for 15-30 minutes.)
    Consider that for a wildfire, the sheltered period need not be over 30 minutes, and usually less than that as the fire sweeps over your location. This is corroborated by firefighters and my own observations. The main thing is to get and stay out of the heat blast as the fire approaches and sweeps over your location. A covered and provisioned hole in the ground is just what this Dr ordered.
    Mr Bronson can tell us what it would cost to dig the appropriate hole and then cover it after construction of the innards is finished. And BTW, none of this is new, people on the Great Plains have used their semi-buried root cellars, ice houses, basement rooms, etc for over 150 years to protect life and limb from tornadoes and prairie fires. Someone could probably make a good business building these shelters for those of us who insist on living in the high fire danger foothills.
    What do you say Walt?

    Like

  35. ***M*** Avatar
    ***M***

    ,,,it is not rocket science,,,I imagine many burned structures were build with soffit and ridge vents,,,
    http://osfm.fire.ca.gov/codedevelopment/wildfireprotectionbuildingconstruction

    Like

  36. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    Was Global Warming A Significant Factor in California’s Camp Fire? The Answer is Clearly No.
    Cliff Mass
    [. . .]
    Furthermore, there is no reason to expect that Diablo winds will increase under global warming; in fact, the opposite is the case. Global warming preferentially warms the interior of the continent compared to the eastern Pacific. Thus, human-caused warming would tend to weaken the interior high pressure, thus lessening a key driving force of the Diablo winds. There are several studies in the peer-reviewed scientific literature (e.g., this one) that show that global warming should weaken southern California’s Santa Ana winds, which are also driven by the pressure difference between the western interior and the coast.
    There is strong evidence that that Camp Fire was caused by failure of PG&E powerlines, not by any natural causes that could be linked to global warming. In fact, nearly all wildfires in California are caused by human error or arson. Increased population in California would clearly lead to more human fire initiation. Thus, global warming is not a factor in fire initiation.

    http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/11/was-global-warming-significant-factor.html

    Like

  37. Maxon Avatar
    Maxon

    And the $500 million in the Farm Bill for fire prevention Trump touted, yet nobody on the hill has seen or ever heard of it? Still waiting to hear more news regarding Trump’s announcement of the “across the board 10% tax cut for the middle class”. Another miscommunication? Oh yeah Todd, he didn’t say rake the forest, maybe it was rape the forest?? Trump has a way with words and when he doesn’t, you have a way of listening and spinning.

    Like

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