Rebane's Ruminations
February 2018
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‘Remember, the government cannot give anything to anyone that they have not first taken away from someone else.’ Anonymous

George Rebane

The Democratic Party’s sharp move to the left during the last ten years is now visible to all save only the most politically myopic among us.  Daily dunnings of fellow Democrats (especially in California) for not being sufficiently progressive or socialistic are now common.  The dismal dumbth of Millennials has given impetus to the Left’s elites to strike now before life’s experiences start creating doubts in those numbed minds.  This ideological migration has caused the so-called middle to also move leftward. (more here)

California has already started implementing the Great Divide as our vanguard proto-socialist 'nation' that today exercises its newfound sovereignty by choosing which federal laws to follow.  According to the one-party legislature in Sacramento, there are more initiatives on the way to maintain the state’s headlong rush into collectivism.  It is has been clear for years that in Sacramento, the interests of Republicans and conservatives in general have not been represented, and today are being actively rolled back as fast as the state's bureaucracies can act.

Echoing RR, William McGurn in the 27feb18 WSJ writes in ‘Our Childish Gun Debate’ – “… the public debate about how Congress ought to respond to this latest mass shooting is guided by two broad principles. Dubious on their own, they are even more witless when combined. The first is the idea that the most important thing is to 'do something'. The second is that we ought to look to high-schoolers for the answer.”

Hillary and Barack are fawning acolytes of Saul Alinsky, the communist who is finally recognized as the father of America’s political schism that has now morphed into the country writhing with tectonic tenets like the Great Divide.

On the tenth anniversary of W.F. Buckley’s death (27 February 2008), we remember that he “wanted American institutions to affirm capitalism on the grounds that it created more wealth and higher civilization than any alternative. He wanted them to acknowledge that not all cultures were equal and that the Judeo-Christian creed was superior because it recognized that man was created in the image of God. That premise, he held, was the source of all liberty, justice and law.” (more here)

[update]  Snowstorm of the century or not is expected to start tomorrow night.  The meleagris manning our weather guessing agencies are all over the map.  As opposed to forecasting 2-4 ft of snow at 3,000 ft, we have others guessing that it will be only rain and slush.  I guess diversity has struck the meteorological industry, today you can select the forecast most commensurate with your needs.  I’m worried about how all this diversity will affect people’s decisions to attend Friday night’s MIM Amaral Center concert at the fairgrounds featuring the Sacramento Philharmonic (more here).

Speaking of weather predictions that feature probabilities from 0% to 100%, all of them effectively insane (in the technical sense) and changing daily, RR is willing to hold a seminar for the more mindful meleagris currently engaged in such futile pursuits – they know not what they know not.  During the seminar we will cover the correct way to analyze and report probabilistic events yet to emerge from complex stochastic processes.  As a sidebar and to inject some levity into an otherwise technically intense presentation, we will also discuss the hubristic aspects of general circulation models as used to predict water levels and temperatures a century from now.

Festung Academe – governors are planning to fortify their states’ schools with barbed wire, metal detector entry points, steel doors, bullet-proof glass, and armed sworn LE officers, but all of these worthies are against any trained teachers and staff with CCWs.  That is supposed to send a wrong message to kids who will also be encouraged to show up in Kevlar vests and helmets.  Even Florida governor and Republican Rick Scott has had a generous draught of that Kool-Aid.

The nation’s critical thinkers have concluded that the NRA was responsible for Parkland and all the other school shootings.  In the next phase of the nation’s schism companies will declare themselves either conservative or liberal by their silence or vociferous opposition to and severing ties with the NRA.  It seems that the fault really lies with all of us millions of NRA members who need an extra layer of public punishment, such as Delta’s decision to discontinue giving NRA members discounted fares they also give to many other affinity groups and organization members.  I’m not sure that these businesses want to jump into politics with both feet.

[1mar18 update]  Gag orders.  Are there any legal mavens around here who could explain to us the origin of gag orders and their legal basis for suppressing the First Amendment rights of people who have not been convicted of anything, and whose subsequent speech would not affect national security.  I can't find any support for gag orders in the US Constitution; where is it hiding?

[3mar18 update]  How do we evaluate the wisdom of California’s public opinion polls on new public policies given that almost 40% of the state’s residents depend on a government check to maintain their quality of life?  I throw this out as another point of discussion in light of the last such enquiry (above) to our RR readership having gone over like a turd in the punchbowl.  I guess circling familiar barns is a lot more fun.

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17 responses to “Ruminations – 27feb18 (updated 3mar18)”

  1. Xeno Avatar
    Xeno

    As the WSJ article alluded to, the Great Divide was previously implemented via the hard right Tea Party.
    Talk about progressive, Georgia’s Senate blocked a tax deal that would have benefited Delta airlines because Delta cut ties with the NRA.
    Delta and the NRA are both private companies. So why do progressive Republican legislators rush to defend the NRA?
    I guess Georgia legislators are fawning acolytes of the NRA,
    Definition of fawn
    intransitive verb
    1 : to court favor by a cringing or flattering manner courtiers fawning on the king
    2 : to show affection —used especially of a dog The dog was fawning on its master.

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  2. Scenes Avatar
    Scenes

    “hard right Tea Party”
    lol. Not very hard right I’d say. A bunch of older, well-meaning folks with signs. I do think they had their hearts in the right place. I’d say that the new right wing that is brewing is more muscular and somewhat younger.
    Also, ‘acolyte’ isn’t quite the right word here, there’s probably a better term for the oomph a powerful (both money and votes) lobbying organization brings. I’ll think on it.
    Interestingly, the only person I can think of who regularly uses the phrase ‘hard right’ needs to attach a sponge to a stick for sanitary purposes. Funny thing.

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  3. Scenes Avatar
    Scenes

    re: The OP:
    “California has already started implementing the Great Divide”
    I’ve mentioned this before, but I find it absolutely laughable what a failure California is given the single party nature of the government. There’s absolutely no reason at all that gigantic welfare systems, free college, single-payer healthcare, etc. couldn’t be implemented in this state. Why not? Perhaps it’s just that the emperor is naked. So why should you listen to the emperor’s apologists?
    What California has is the beach and a few good natural harbors. Liberals like to live next to the ocean. The fact that they are incapable of building a utopia is something of an ongoing lesson in civics.

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  4. George Rebane Avatar

    Xeno 1109am – Correct, but the Right made little progress in that direction, until the Left has now taken over and given it a whole new momentum on both sides. Long live the People’s Republic of Kalifornia.

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  5. Robert Cross Avatar
    Robert Cross

    Dubious 1: ” The first is the idea that the most important thing is to ‘do something’.–absolutely correct..instead let’s all sit around with our fingers up our butts until some one kills your child or grandchild.. then do something. In the meantime ‘happiness is a warm gun’
    Dubious 2: “The second is that we ought to look to high-schoolers for the answer.”– Hey they are the ones getting killed…the future politic of America.. why pay any attention to them. We want old white guys whose minds still occupy the Cold War and prefer to have their AR15 assault rifles pried from their dead hands, to make all of the decisions.. because since after al, they’re the same morons whose laws or lack thereof, created this mess own the first place.

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  6. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Bobby 1246
    Bobby 1… Don’t just do something, stand there!
    Our Constitution designed a central government that requires a consensus over time. It’s hard to steer it over a cliff. Australia, in contrast, is a Parliamentary system that can turn on a dime. If you want a Parliament, vote with your feet and put a shrimp on the barbie for us.
    Bobby 2
    Again… the AR-15 ain’t an assault rifle, at most it’s an “assault weapon”, a disputed label invented by a Handgun Control, Inc. functionary to confuse voters who thought they were voting against machine guns. It only looks like an M16 just as an SKS only looks like an AK-47.
    The kids from Broward getting the airtime have been devoid of understanding of the subject of guns and politics, repeating a mantro of ‘mommy, make it stop’, not knowing we are where we are because a long list of actions since the first Valentine’s Day Massacre, when four Italian mobsters carrying two submachine guns and two shotguns killed seven Irish mobsters over turf in Chicagoland. That begat the National Firearms Act in the 1930s. The Gun Control Act of 1968, a response to the assassination of JFK, made it much harder to buy rifles like that bolt action rifle used to kill a popular President. A nutcase with a semiauto version of an AK-47 shot up a Stockton schoolyard (he had carved “Hezbollah” into the stock) begat the Gun Free School Zone Act in 1990, thanks to smilin’ Joe Biden and George HW Bush who signed it into law.
    Banning the category of “assault weapons” in the 90’s was an experiment that lasted ten years, and it didn’t do nuthin’. IIRC both DiFi and Hillary C complained manufacturers were just making superficial changes to exempt their products from the regulation, and they were right… it was a superficial law.
    Now we have the Tide Pod Eater generation alarmed that the gun free zone that was their school wasn’t so gun free as a Disney movie, after all. No gun law law will strip the country of the 160 million or so of semiautomatic rifles and pistols that are owned by people who really think the Constitution is as Scalia and the Supremes wrote in D.C. v. Heller, and that Chief Justice Taney and six others who signed the Dred Scott decision in part because they couldn’t accept a country where freed black slaves could do everything a white citizen could do, including (specifically) carry their gun wherever they went.
    Bobby, this gun prohibition push will not work out well for you.

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  7. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Another benefit of the socialists in Sac. Much like locusts they clean out everything they can.
    https://knco.com/squatters-arrested-on-burglary-and-theft-charges/
    😉

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  8. Bill Tozer Avatar

    What scares the pants off of me is that politicians and politicians turned judges will decide what constitutes mental illness in gun banning or confiscation.. Got ADHD? How about OCD? Are you or have you ever had a rough patch and took meds for depression. Suicidal is not homicidal, IMHO. How about PTSD….after being robbed?
    Who decides who is mentally ill? Your ex-wife? Your bro-in-law, mother-in-law? A neighbor you are having a property line dispute with? A MD who prescribes you sedatives cause you can’t sleep and you later find out the same drug is used for treating schizophrenia, with helping one sleep as a side effect? Is being eccentric a mental illness?
    I am ok with non-adjudicated temporary confiscation of guns in cases where tempers and violence flares up, like in domestic violence situations. Temporary. But how does one get one’s guns back? Even the dude who gets 51-50ed for a 72 hour observation and then gets released and declared “all better now, no threat to himself or others” ….who deems him too crazy to possess a gun for months after or even years?
    To me, I smell a backdoor to real “gun control”. I smell abuse, and money spent on lawyers to prove you ain’t off your rocker. Like getting off a no-fly list…it takes an act of Congress.
    Janet Nappy-Pooh already set the stage as Homeland Security Chief when she declared conservatives, Christians, gun owners, and vets as domestic terrorists…or potential domestic terrorists. One will have to crazier than a loon to let “terrorists” possess a firearm, right?

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  9. Russ Steele Avatar

    Much-needed Sierra Nevada snowfall on the way! But a Miracle March? Not so fast.
    From the California Weather Blog
    The Sierra Nevada will be the biggest beneficiary–and may see 1-2+ feet of new snowfall from this storm (which means that the highest peaks could see as much as 3+ feet of pretty dry powder, derived from 1-3 inches of liquid equivalent, by the time all is said and done). There is still some inter-model disagreement between the GFS and ECMWF regarding how much rain makes it to SoCal with this second storm. Earlier solutions suggested the potential for a major rain event, but that now appears rather unlikely. Instead, I would expect to see some light-to-moderate accumulations over most of SoCal, but with some significant boom/bust potential. Why? This is not anticipated to be a particularly strong or moist system from a dynamical perspective; its greatest asset will be the very cold air aloft associated with it. Storms such as these sometimes “fizzle” south of Point Conception, and it’s possible that happens this week. Still, this will likely be the most significant precipitation event across most of the state over the past 6-7 weeks.
    Joe Bastardi at Weather Bell is predicting this storm will be like March of 1962 on the East Coast. In Nevada City, in March 1962 the snowfall total was 6.5 inches.
    The Local TV is over hyping this storm. As a Caltrans Transportation Engineer once said, “Local TV forecasters are known for their ability to turn a few random snowflakes into a raging blizzard, and the next time forecast a few raindrops when it is a real blizzard.”
    Cross-posted at Sierra Foothills Commentary

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  10. George Rebane Avatar

    Russ 909pm – I continue to hear on lamestream media reports that droughts and heat waves are increasing in frequency due to ‘climate change’, as if it were a received truth from Mt Sinai. Do you have or can you point me to the latest data that the Left uses to generate those reports?

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  11. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Did someone see where Dick’s actually stopped selling the AR015 six years ago? Seems the left is trying to do a ropa-dope that they got them to stop after Parkland.

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  12. Russ Steele Avatar

    George@ 08:42 am
    In the Sierra there is a lot of emphasis on stream flow and early melt of the snow pack caused by increased NOAA land based temperatures. Adjusted NOAA temperature are questionable. The hottest year ever claim are for tenths of a degree over previous years with no error bars, as the reported increase is smaller than the accuracy of the instrument taking the reading.
    Here are some of the drought data sources:
    https://ca.water.usgs.gov/data/drought/
    https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/news/us-drought-monitor-update-april-25-2017
    Here is some examples of the hysteria.
    https://www.ucsusa.org/global-warming/science-and-impacts/impacts/infographic-wildfires-climate-change.html
    https://www.climaterealityproject.org/blog/facts-about-climate-change-and-drought
    I am currently reading The Politically Incorrect Guide to Climate Change by Marc Morano. Not yet to the section on drought, will share when I arrive.

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  13. Bill Tozer Avatar

    Re: Saul Alinsky Obama, and Hillary.
    Service learning combined the teaching theories of socialists John Dewey and Paul Freire, who emphasized learning through doing. The service learning model also incorporated the Open-Door Schooling movement of Mao’s Communist China. Under Mao, schools sent children, as part of their education, into factories and fields to learn socialism from workers and peasants. In addition, the ideas of Saul Alinsky, most notably community organizing (or organizing against the government) entered higher education through the service-learning method.
    https://patriotpost.us/articles/54471-when-activism-replaces-education-the-rise-of-new-civics

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  14. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Dick’s Sporting Goods is still selling AR’s! Specifically, the AR-7… a fearsome semi-automatic rifle with detachable magazines!!! As many as 25 shots.
    If I were the usual suspects I’d be livid that stopping the AR is just being given lip service.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ArmaLite_AR-7

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