Rebane's Ruminations
December 2017
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George Rebane

[This is the transcript of my regular KVMR commentary broadcast on 13 December 2017.  As noted below this commentary was erecognized by KVMR last night during its annual awards ceremony held at the Miners Foundry.]

‘In these commentaries we have examined major trends like systemic unemployment, income inequality, and the notion of a Great Divide that may rend America across one of its ideological faults.’  This was the opening line of my KVMR commentary a little over four years ago (here).  In that piece we looked at the emergence of the new ‘cognitive class’ in America as studied and reported by renown sociologist and author Charles Murray in his book Coming Apart, published in 2013.  Much has happened in the interval as it affects our views of ourselves.  Today, we definitely have more than one picture of who we are and how we are composed.

The main take away from that analysis was that since WW2 we have generated a new and enduring merit-based upper class of people sharing educational achievements and an understanding of the world.  And for some odd reason, such people wanted to hang around with others like themselves, a process called homogamy.  They tended to live together, socialize, and do business with each other.  Through their hard work, they also wound up being financially more successful than the rest of the country.  And as their wealth grew they began to be noticed by those with political ambitions and careers representing the not so wealthy.

Economists, sociologists, and others of the bureaucratic bent in academe and government began to boost their own fortunes by pointing out that this cognitive class was enjoying the fruits of unjust inequality, while the rest of the country had to make do with the scraps that trickled down from them.  Something had to be done to restore social justice to the land, and government was just the agency to fashion public policies that would bring these people back to heel.  The underlying theory then, and still being promoted, was that these folks – now called the ‘1%’ – are a greedy bunch who were using underhanded loopholes to take money from the poor and middle class to fatten their wallets.  After all, everyone was taught in school that capitalism was no longer the engine of wealth creation, but the vehicle of greed and the foundation of the great zero-sum game – if they got more than you, then they must have taken some of what should rightly have been yours.

In the same year 2013, French economist Thomas Piketty wrote Capital in the Twenty-first Century, which became the most successful academic treatise in modern times and landed on the NYT best seller list.  Piketty argued that capitalism by its very nature causes inequality, and is a danger to democracy which only government can cure through massive reform.  The lynchpin of his argument was that ‘patrimonial capitalism’ – wealth garnered through inheritance – was the bogeyman that had to be exorcised through what Bastiat called ‘legal plunder’.  The collectivist world cheered, but perhaps a bit too soon, because by 2014 Picketty’s theory began to unravel as more economic and demographic data was analyzed.

Over these intervening years of re-evaluating Picketty, we now come to A Century of Wealth in America, the just released magnus opus of left-leaning NYU economics professor Edward Wolff, an expert in wealth and wealth disparity.  His treatise presents an in-depth analysis of how wealth is really generated and transferred from generation to generation.  For our socialist contingent, Dr Wolff’s inconvenient bottom line is that “in the US more than ¾ of all wealth is created anew in each generation, and the ‘1%’ is an overwhelmingly self-made group.”  There is much more to learn in Dr Wolff’s massive 865-page tome, but before diving in, you may first want to catch the high hard ones by reading the excellent review by UC Davis economist Gregory Clark, the link (here) to which is included in this commentary’s online transcript.

My name is Rebane, and I also expand on this and related themes on Rebane’s Ruminations where the transcript of this commentary is expanded and posted with relevant links, and where such issues are debated extensively.  However, my views are not necessarily shared by KVMR.  But I do thank KVMR and its News Director Paul Emery for recognizing this commentary, now in its eighth year, with a ‘Certificate of Excellence’, awarded last night at the annual holiday dinner for the station’s staff and volunteers.  And during this holy season Jo Ann and I wish all of you a Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah.  Thank you for listening.

[Addendum]  It’s hard to include everything you want to say on a topic as complex as wealth dynamics in an economy in a 4-5 minute radio commentary.  My big concern with Wolff’s research is that the large cohort of impressionable lightly-read voters will either not get the message about the ‘1%’, or not understand the import of ¾ of all their wealth is created anew in each generation.  But the most important and untold part of this story involves how this new wealth is created, and then how it is managed by the 1% (we’ll use that label for the wealthier Americans).

For every dollar that accrues to the 1%, that dollar is the leftover profit from the founding of countless businesses that created thousands of jobs and supplied products and services demanded by countless other people across the country and the world.  Other sources of such profits came from properly allocating capital to enterprises (buying equities and making loans) in which it was most valuable and useful.  And these risky activities continue as a matter of course in the management of the 1%’s portfolios, none of which get converted into ‘stuff’ (e.g. gold bars) and un productively hidden under a mattress.  Wolff’s analysis demonstrates that more often than not much of this wealth is lost by last generation’s 1%, and dispersed into the economy to be gathered and assembled again for new enterprises.  It is the nature of the capitalistic system that wealth is a dynamic resource that is constantly recycled for the betterment of all, and that includes those who are not able or willing to actively partake in growing the economy.

As a coda to these observations, no one should expect the progressive (i.e. collectivist) faction of our society to understand and/or accept any of this, since doing so would utterly destroy their ideological narrative with which they seek an anti-capitalist alternative future for all of us.

Posted in , ,

65 responses to “Who Are America’s Vilified ‘1%’? (Addended)”

  1. jon smith Avatar
    jon smith

    Scott 12:27-
    “The bottom 5% in America are a hell of a lot better off than most of the 3rd World’s 90%.”
    That wasn’t jon smith’s point.
    Actually Scott, that is EXACTLY my point.

    Like

  2. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    As well as it should be. I am happy the 5% are doing so well. The supply the money and knowledge and energy to improve the planet. I don’t care if others don’t have the same amounts. They can get off their asses and work for it. Or change their governments and ideologies to match ours. We Americans give away billions every year and what do we get for our charity? Derision from ingrates. So screw them.

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  3. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    j smith at 12:33 – apparently the cough syrup has messed with your brain.
    If that was your point, why didn’t you just say so? What’s with all the white male stuff? You seem to be confused.

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  4. jon smith Avatar
    jon smith

    Scott- If you were going to be born tomorrow and wanted the best chance in life to succeed, how would you answer these three questions:
    In which country would you choose to be born?
    What race would you choose be?
    What sex would you choose to be?
    My answers would be American, Caucasian and male. I’m not the slightest bit confused and think the reasons are self evident. Apparently, you would choose a different path?

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  5. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    jon, you would flunk any essay test I’ve ever taken. Every time you say that something is your main point, it changes. At this point, I don’t know or care what your main point is, but to answer your question – China, Chinese and in that country, obviously, a male. They are going to run the world in a decade or so. Unless they mess up, which is always a possibility. The Chinese are expanding or encroaching in contested areas all around their current borders. They have swallowed up neighboring countries and no one seems to know or care. They are gobbling up the rights or full access to all sorts of crucial ores and minerals worldwide. They will tolerate pollution and ecological damage to a far greater degree than most anywhere else in the world. Jack Ma – unless he stumbles – will be one of if not the most powerful private businessman on earth in short order.
    Some folks say “better learn Spanish so you can talk to your care giver”.
    I say “better learn Chinese so you can maybe pick up a few dollars when they take over”.

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  6. jon smith Avatar
    jon smith

    Scott- Interesting. Thank you for a very thoughtful reply. I can’t argue or find fault with any of what you said.

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  7. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    Yeah – and I’m not happy with those facts.
    As they say – “it is what it is”.

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  8. Bonnie McGuire Avatar

    Scott…Interesting comments about the Chinese. They’ve always been hard workers and pioneers.
    Bill Tozer, your SA travels sound interesting. I’ve had a great time exploring what explorers explored…haha
    http://www.mcguiresplace.net/An%20Ancient%20Amazon%20Explorer's%20Manuscript

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  9. Scenes from the Apocalypse Avatar
    Scenes from the Apocalypse

    rcross: “”Why is the NBA mostly African descent gentlemen?” Maybe it is because of those wonderful capitalists who engaged in the slave trade, buying and selling humans as if they were livestock. Maybe it’s because the capitalist slave traders kidnapped the biggest and strongest and threw them into the hold of a ship in chains where the only the strongest of the strong survived the horrid conditions.”

    Huh. So they were able to breed a superior human in only 150 years or so? I thought that races were all identical. Go figure, although it’s interesting to run into someone pushing the value of eugenics. Perhaps you could expand on the types of humans and their special abilities.

    jsmith:
    “In which country would you choose to be born?
    What race would you choose be?
    What sex would you choose to be?”
    You know, anywhere in the Anglosphere, minus Rhodesia or South Africa given the likely end game, would have been fine. Let’s say Australia just for fun.
    In terms of gender it seems to me that if I were an attractive woman, I’d never have to leave the house, so there is that.
    It looks to me like the Chinese, regardless of some innate advantages (higher average intelligence, self-interested behavior, large population, more homogeneous than the West has decided to become), will have some stumbling blocks on the way to hegemony. They simply haven’t had enough time to work out all the problems baked into their cake, and I expect some sort of big (by definition) civil problems there at some point. Probably best to avoid for now.

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  10. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    “…and I expect some sort of big (by definition) civil problems there at some point.”
    You mean like Tiananmen Square?
    The ChiComs had that swept under the rug in nothing flat. Big civil problems? Bigger crackdown. Chop chop.
    Mao murdered tens of millions and he still slides in somewhere below any KKK member or certainly any Republican on the top baddest guys in the world list.
    Please check out what is going on in western China. Some are claiming a higher govt thug to citizen rate than even East Germany during the reign of the Stasi.
    People there are still just disappearing.
    These aren’t nice people and they will soon eat our lunch. But, but, but we have transgender troops! Oh hooray!

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  11. Bill Tozer Avatar

    Thank you Bonnie. Great read.
    It was one thing to wander regions of the (primitive) birthplace of what became the Incan empire, but quite another to find ruins of a civilization that preceded the forefathers bof what evolved into Incas by a millennium…….by accident or coincidence….or just being in the right place at the right time. Coincidently, there was a people whose name translated means “Children of the Sun.” Today we call that area Spokane, Wa….also in the Western Hemisphere. Thanks again. Some regions hundreds of miles east of the Andes are still basically unexplored. Rare sub-species of fresh water (river) pink dolphins is not something you see everyday.
    . Thank you again. Now I will be up all night thinking about the ole crossroads and dreaming wonders of awe and of civilizations so rich in silver and precious stones that silver plates, bowls, and utensils were used but once and discarded onto the silver littered streets, silver being so common and plentiful .Must have been the ancestors of the 1%, to stay on topic. 🙂
    Oh to be young again. Got it all safety locked away….in the backroads of my mind.

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  12. Scenes from the Apocalypse Avatar
    Scenes from the Apocalypse

    “You mean like Tiananmen Square?”
    It’s impossible for me to guess when or where, but if I were a betting man I’d vote big civil problems on the horizon. Tension between countryside and city. Large scale unemployment due to automation. A history of civil war. A country closer to carrying capacity than most. Surplus males. A number of markets (banking, real estate, stock) which could do a nasty fandango in any given moment combined with a tendency for the population to gamble. Maybe one of the minority populations in the west cutting up rough.
    None of this is political and like most problems arises from demographics and economic cycles. Like most civil wars, include our current cold one, scarcely anyone will see it coming but it will be obvious to one of those story-spinnin’ historians in 100 years.
    OTOH, there’s quite a strong regulatory upper-class already in place which has embraced technology for keeping a lid on the pressure cooker. Surveillance societies (like Mr Emery’s beloved 17 intelligence agencies) have made it easier to more cheaply keep an eye on matters, no Hausbuchbeauftragter needed, so perhaps I’m utterly wrong, but my gut sez trouble.

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  13. Scenes from the Apocalypse Avatar
    Scenes from the Apocalypse

    re: The Evil 1%’ers.
    You can certainly make an argument, not airtight, but an argument, that higher wealth gradients make for problems.
    If you’re a person, the tendency is to become powerful without a mandate, but it isn’t like the truly rich can eat 1,000,000 ham sammiches or own 1,000 houses and thus de-house and de-ham sammich the masses…although corporate CEO’s do a pretty good job of being important without the wealth oft times. (as a side note, it’s hard to imagine an oil company prez as stupid as Maxine Waters, so a vote doesn’t necessarily equal a desirable result).
    If you’re a group, you have to build up stronger in-group ties and build up whatever defenses you can. The alternative is to be swept away over time.
    If you’re a country, the neighboring poor will always want to move in. Economic osmosis is real and ongoing as the fortunate magic soil needs to have it’s wealth shared.
    If the politically active are actually interested in cutting rich people down to size, rather than merely virtue signalling and/or achieving importance themselves, I’m always surprised how strong the need is to just show up with cops and ransack the 1%er estates via tax policy or physical action. There seems to be almost a visceral joy to the whole thing. You’d think there’d be longer lasting results with fewer side effects by understanding why wealth pools up and removing some of those possibilities. My own guess is that you are mostly seeing broken marketplaces. The power of the wealthy to write rules in their favor, regulations, IP law evolved to suit perpetual money mining rather than merely the promotion of “the progress of science and useful arts”, etc.
    Of course, the end of the drama is always that the pigs end up running the farm.

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  14. Walt Avatar

    There is NO making LIBS happy.Now it’s
    “The rich will be hurt!!”
    “California Senator Dianne Feinstein, the ranking Democrat on the powerful Senate Judiciary Committee, is not happy with the tax cut bill Republicans in the House and Senate have agreed to. However, unlike most Democrats, Feinstein isn’t engaging in the usual attack her party unleashed on tax cut — that it will only help the rich — instead, she’s complaining that the bill would harm some of the wealthiest Californians.”
    http://dailycaller.com/2017/12/17/powerful-democratic-senator-complains-gop-tax-bill-harms-the-rich/

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  15. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    Scenes: “The power of the wealthy to write rules in their favor, regulations, IP law evolved to suit perpetual money mining rather than merely the promotion of “the progress of science and useful arts”, etc.”
    The wealthy and powerful do have easy access to the rules makers, but ultimately the masses have the vote. And since most of the poor in this country are poor due to poor decisions, they vote against their own interests. The bigger and more powerful the govt gets, the easier it is to concentrate wealth in fewer hands.
    Folks like Ford, Gates and Bezos are the outliers, but there again, it was (and is) the popular vote of the wallet of ‘the people’ that made them so wealthy.

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