Rebane's Ruminations
December 2016
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George Rebane

Voice from behind the curtain – ‘Pay no attention to the correlation.’

Crime&Dems

[update]  A reader has pointed out that the above crime map is inaccurate and cites and article in the 16nov16 WaPo (here) that claims to present better data in the map below.  The article’s conclusion is italicized.

Crime&Dems2

The violent crime map shows clusters of counties with high rates in South Carolina, Florida, the Memphis area and New Mexico. Several of the clusters are in rural areas where a small number of crimes may generate a relatively high crime rate because there are few people living there. … The latest data available is from 2014. Reported crime rates for some large cities have gone up over the past two years. … The National Archive of Criminal Justice Data generates the county-level crime summaries from FBI data that is reported by police agencies.  In rural areas, a county may have one police agency. But large urban counties may have several cities with their own police departments, as well as county-wide agencies. And statewide police agencies may also handle reported crimes. The NACJD adjusts the data for agencies that only report for part of the year and distributes incidents from statewide agencies to local counties by population.

With this conclusion and upon closer examination of the WaPo map, I will let my opening statement stand.

Nevada County Voices has dropped RR from its community website listings.  Since its inception RR has enjoyed coverage by having its recent posts listed and linked in the site’s ‘Right Wing’ column.  The reason for the change is not apparent, especially since RR has always lauded this informative site edited by Dr Anna Haynes.  To be frank, the site and its editor are definitely of the Left persuasion – for example, there is no equivalent listing of ‘Left Wing’ sites.  Apparently all the remainder of the listed sites have no ideological slant or bias that is apparent to Dr Haynes.  Perhaps the removal of RR is part and parcel of the local Left’s perennial call to silence my public voice and involvement as part of their overall crusade to deny opposing opinions and viewpoints a place in the community forum.  In any case it was fun while it lasted, and we will continue featuring Nevada County Voices in the Our Links panel on the right.  [update]  Oops!  My tears flowed too soon; RR has been reinstated in its usual slot.  Now the only nit I have left to pick is my envy of fellow blogger Mr Todd Juvinall (Sierra Dragon’s Breath) who enjoys having the last ten of his posts being listed while the rest of us are limited to five max.  Oh well, Anna always did like Todd the best.

RoboVote – a new tool for capturing group preferences and making group decisions.  For years I have designed, purveyed, and used customized decision support systems, especially the kind that help extract useful information from groups of people engaged in some common pursuit.  Recently a team of AI researchers at Harvard released RoboVote (more here and here), a free AI-based, online tool to aid in performing such functions in an optimal manner.  I am recommending its consideration to organizations to which I belong.  Take a look at it and you will want to do the same.

[update]  The WSJ reports “U.S. Factories Are Working Again; Factory Workers, Not So Much.  Donald Trump plans to reignite industrial job growth, but many low-skilled former factory workers are frozen out.”  As has been reported here for years, the return of manufacturing to the US does not mean that an equivalent (to previous years) jobs will be returning.  Does no one understand the serious nature of growing systemic unemployment with the acceleration of technology?  Why is this always a surprise and a recent discovery by some maven or other?

[19dec16 update]  Today’s Union informs us that we now have a permanent group of local progressives organized to become the perennial protesters of the Republican controlled (but liberal bureaucratized) federal government.  They call themselves ‘Resistance U.S.’, formed to “promote progressive values and ideas”, and appear visibly uninformed about our Constitution and what happened last month.  For example, as a local embodiment of Moonbeam’s Minions, they seek to “Restore Democracy”, a form of government on these shores that never was and wisely was never intended.  We will revisit their demonstrations from time to time as they successfully illustrate what divides us. (more here)

[21dec16 update]

FakeNews

Posted in , , ,

284 responses to “Scattershots – 18dec16 (updated 21dec16)”

  1. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul 1136
    That was a meaningless statement. Would you care to try again, using enough words to actually encapsulate a complete thought that would get at least a gentleman’s C- from your high school English or Social Studies teacher?
    At the moment, there is no solid evidence (including written statements, as opposed to “reliable sources say”, from US intelligence officials) that the Russians did anything that interfered with lawful elections. If you disagree, links please.
    Until there’s real evidence and not just rumors channeled through the WaPo, Times or HuffPo, you’re just trying to blow smoke up folks’ arses.

    Like

  2. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery, both links supplied by you have nothing that matches your claim of pay for play. And the latest news is there is no news. Never was from any trusted site and the boys withdrew before any money was raised. You are simply a comsriacty nut.
    You say you did not vote for Hillary but you defensd her diligently and always have. Why is that?
    Trumps family is now your target? You crack me up. The are wildly successful and attractive people. The brand in planetary. But hey even a KVMR partime DJ can claim he is better.

    Like

  3. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Paul Emery | 21 December 2016 at 01:06 PM
    Again I note that comment about Obama doing the same thing was not forthcoming…..

    Like

  4. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Gregory
    You are having trouble understanding this? I think you just don’t want to answer the question. Weak dodge.
    “You seem to be condoning our enemy interfering with our election by distributing stolen private correspondence to their desired political selection to effect the outcome. Am I wrong in that assessment?”

    Like

  5. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Clue: it was Mr. Green with the candelstick in the library.

    Like

  6. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul, perhaps you should get a grip on reality. Fantasy is fleeting, and you’ve been living in a fantasy world since the election season began.

    Like

  7. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Gregory
    What are you talking about?????

    Like

  8. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    So much for “draining the swamp” according to Newt. this Trump is little more than a carnival barker selling corn dogs. Can’t be trusted with a word he says.
    According to Newt
    “Now, just weeks before taking office, Trump has decided to sideline his pledge to “drain the swamp,” his ally Newt Gingrich said Wednesday.
    “I’m told he now just disclaims that,” Gingrich (R-Ga.) the former House speaker, told NPR’s “Morning Edition.” “He now says it was cute, but he doesn’t want to use it anymore.”
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-newt-gingrich-drain-the-swamp_us_585ab6d4e4b0d9a59456be74

    Like

  9. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    The plot gets thickens again, but you still have to wait til Christmas to open your present. Silly boy, we are not there yet. How many times do you have to ask? We will be at Grandma’s house soon.

    Like

  10. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery is really projecting now. Trump is not the President and PE can’t wait. LOL! By the time Obama check off at noon on 1-21-17, there will be few convicts left in the klink and land left to get our resources from.

    Like

  11. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Paul Emery | 21 December 2016 at 02:07 PM
    Now this may be a legitimate beef! We’ll see.
    Cabinet picks don’t seem particularly swampy….Mattis (been around DC for a while but certainly not from “State”) Tillerson, Pudzner not so much…….Why McConnells wife got the call……?? Mnuchin just looks bad from an optics standpoint…..I wouldn’t think that anyone interested in draining the swamp would even consider a Goldman Sachs alum?

    Like

  12. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Mitch’s wife is tactical. Munchkin is all about smart money. And he may surprose us . The rest, all good!

    Like

  13. fish Avatar
    fish

    Mitch’s wife is tactical. Munchkin is all about smart money. And he may surprose us . The rest, all good!
    How?…….and its the government….smart money need not apply unless they’re there for a handout.

    Like

  14. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Lower rates, less regulation, Dodd-Frank adios, much more. I am optimistic.

    Like

  15. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Todd Juvinall | 21 December 2016 at 03:00 PM
    None of which has anything to do with the question surrounding “draining the swamp” in DC.

    Like

  16. Walt Avatar

    Good riddance to one big swamp occupier. Harry Reid is going to be gone. Lying LIBS are OK in his book.

    Like

  17. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    The independent California wingnuts claim to have opened an ’embassy’ in Moscow. Will PE be the first ambassador?

    Like

  18. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Link Don or did you make this up

    Like

  19. Walt Avatar

    Uh,, NO he didn’t Paul. I read the story as well. Now do your own homework.
    Don. Maybe the ambassador position for the State of Jefferson. Unless Paul moves to Kalif.

    Like

  20. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    The independent CA crew should have a pharmaceutical agriculture attaché, that might be better for PE! 😉

    Like

  21. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Looks like Trump is entering office with the lowest approval rating in recorded history for an incoming President. That with losing the popular vote by 3 million makes him not a very popular date for the inaugural ball.
    positive 42 negative 55
    Gallop Poll Dec 7-11

    Like

  22. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Heck, I posted a link two days ago and Russ posted one yesterday about the embassy the People’s Republic of California claim have opened in Moscow. Another link can be found right now on the PC First! Google News.
    Paul, Google it or try the LA Times or Pravda.
    Walt was right. More the reason to join the State of Jefferson. I want to be an American first, not an free range egghead. Oh yeah, they said the CHP would defend them, lol.
    Even the States Rights fanatic Patrick Henry (who opposed the Continential Congress and later turned down an appointment to SCOTUS, Sec of State, and another Cabinet position)…..even that rascal Patrick Henry said “I may be a Virginian, but I am an American first”.
    Make America Great Again, fight the Republic of California. Call in the air strikes!
    https://www.facebook.com/MelaniaTrump1stLady/photos/a.426069800794341.100663.414672941934027/1329300327137946/?type=3&theater

    Like

  23. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Even Santa has problems when he goes to the People’s Democratic Republic of Kalifornia. Must be something to do with those Frisco Values.
    https://www.facebook.com/UncleSamsMisguidedChildren.Net/photos/a.169953786533962.1073741830.169676909894983/604000043129332/?type=3&theater
    Trump has 42% positives? Not bad considering what he (we) have been through. 42% positives and 100% of the office is a good place to start….in a month from now.

    Like

  24. Walt Avatar

    Give it a rest Paul. Only the butt-hurt give Trump negative numbers, and those looking for that info.
    Funny. Trump is already responsible for things making a turn for the better, and he’s not even sworn in yet. Look up the news Paul,, even Boeing has caved on the price for AF1.
    Uh,,, where is the DOW? And not a hint of corp. welfare to be had.
    Keep crying Paul….

    Like

  25. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    It is good to see that Paul is recovering from his Bush Derangement Syndrom, but troubling that he has replaced it with Trump Derangement Syndrom.

    Like

  26. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Speaking of 0’s legacy, he has hit the trifecta! The worst recovery since the depression, the worst position for elected dems since the depression and now the lowest population growth since 1936-37 .07%. Way to cement the biggest looser award there 0. It will look great next the peace prize! 😉

    Like

  27. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    So PE, will you accept the ambassador or attaché position if offered? Only 29 days to Trump Paul. 😉

    Like

  28. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Obama’s approval ratings are the highest of any President including Reagan at the end of his term. Currently he’s sitting at 57-39 Gallup approval rating. Even Fox News has him at 53-41 for a +12 positive Care to compare him to Bush who was at 29 at the end of his term. this is the mood of the public Trump is inheriting. Gonna to be lots of fun. You’ll hear a lot from me. I have many followers that get a great kick out of our conversations.

    Like

  29. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Well, take your high marks and hold them real tight because that is all that will remain of Obama’s 8 year legacy in the wilderness. Gone with the wind. You guys just refuse to accept the nation has rejected you. Yes, your world view has been rejected. Go ahead and jump in your little mud puddle you slosh around in. All you are doing is splashing your many followers, lol. You guys all look alike. Perhaps I can drop off a bar of soap and some clean towels. Time to give our babies a bath.

    Like

  30. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    PE 624- Go tell it to madam liar liar pantsuits on fire! The pols say, the pols say, we heard a lot of that in the last 18 months Paul! So if you go independent CA you would take MLLPOF’s 4 mill margin with you and trump would have won by a couple of mill in the raw vote. So what? 😉

    Like

  31. Walt Avatar

    Paul. “approval numbers”? LOL! When you know who to “poll” to get the desired results.
    Kinda like around here and in Reno. “Voted best”!!… I have never even seen a “voter ballot” for either. But you see the “results” plastered all over.
    I got your next poll,(or pole,, take your pick) “right here”.

    Like

  32. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Hey Paul, I forgot to tell you and your many granola brained followers that I am bringing playdough, hot cocoa, CD’s of My Little Pony, and coloring books. Oh yeah, about the coloring books. Try to stay within the lines. Only a suggestion, not a hard and fat rule. Keep trying until you get it right. Participation trophies for all the bedwetters!
    Hang on, Paul, hang in there. Mental Health Professionals are on their way. You will need them when you find out Trump is turning your Obamaphones into alarm clocks. Sweet dreamies, buttercups.

    Like

  33. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery, no one cares.

    Like

  34. fish Avatar
    fish

    Obama’s approval ratings are the highest of any President including Reagan at the end of his term. Currently he’s sitting at 57-39 Gallup approval rating. Even Fox News has him at 53-41 for a +12 positive Care to compare him to Bush who was at 29 at the end of his term.
    How fortuitous then since we’re on the topic of Presidential popularity….what a wonderful time for you to answer, for all your followers of course…..if you were as indignant at Obamas merchandising his inauguration as you are at Trump?
    Again for all those followers.
    …..this is the mood of the public Trump is inheriting. Gonna to be lots of fun. You’ll hear a lot from me. I have many followers that get a great kick out of our conversations.
    I think that you are quite likely to be proven correct Paul. After President Dunning Kruger doubled the national debt it’s going to be difficult to dig out from under. There probably isn’t much more money available to roll, roll, roll that debt over! Personally I hope you baby boomers are the ones that get fucked over the hardest!
    So you’re right……it’s going to be fun! Be sure to let those followers know just how much!

    Like

  35. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Remember, Paul did not vote for Obama in 2012…… he only acts like it, ROFLMFUEO

    Like

  36. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Bill Tozer | 21 December 2016 at 07:20 PM
    …..and hey as long as we’re discussing Nevada City douchenozzles who can’t be bothered to back up their claims……what the F’n F happened to Mr. “Mark the Tape”…..he promised us that the American people would never elect Trump!

    Like

  37. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Typo Alert, Typo Alert. They forgot the Q. A Freudian slip no doubt. Queeraphobes rear their ugly headss. Be afraid, be very afraid. This is not who we are.
    http://heatst.com/culture-wars/lgbt-groups-protest-fedex-over-nra-discount/

    Like

  38. Walt Avatar

    DAMN Fish!,, I sure don’t need it hard and dry. (I’m one of the last boomers to be born.)
    Kalif. is already picking up where “O” is leaving off. No more AR style weapons to be had after today. (too scary looking) The price gouging was real bad. Five grand for a 2500 dollar weapon. Good thing I bought a while back.
    Paul needs to help out here. how is Commie Kalif. (on the longshot chance it gets there)
    going to protect itself? Mexico is looking to retake that real estate. China will be looking for debt repayment as well. The stoned loons just haven’t thought this half baked idea through.
    But Paul might want to start saving for that 80% taxation that Kalif. will impose. Who will the Frisco deadbeats get their free stuff from?
    But HAY! They won’t have Trump to worry about… Oh. Wait.. That’s the first place they will go looking for handouts. How do you think that will go Paul?

    Like

  39. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    PE- What are you thoughts about the next dem leader rep. Keith Elision?

    Like

  40. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Let the in-fighting begin! Let’s get ready to rumbbbbbbblllllllleeeee.
    They didn’t mince words. “They fucking ignored us on all these [three] battleground states [while] we were sounding the alarm for months,” Sanders surrogate Nomiki Konst told the Daily Beast. “We kept saying to each other like, ‘What the fuck, why are they just blowing us off? They need these voters more than anybody.’”
    After Monday’s expected defeat, even allies have no more reason to tolerate Clinton’s self-pitying. But thanks to her lack of foresight, they — especially Sanders — can now claim an electoral vote for President.
    Gawd, Hillary has become the first Presidential Canidate to lose 3 times in 6 weeks. I just never grow tired of winning. Maybe someday, but that day is a long way off.
    http://heatst.com/politics/team-hillary-takes-aim-at-her-faithless-electors-after-she-loses-five-electoral-votes/

    Like

  41. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    That’s Elison, (#*$) auto correct.

    Like

  42. Walt Avatar

    Thanks Bill,, I will be using FEDEX a lot more.

    Like

  43. Walt Avatar

    Recall all those news stories where Trump supporters got fingered for “dastardly deeds”?
    Seems most if not all were inside jobs. Like this one.
    http://wreg.com/2016/12/21/mississippi-authorities-make-arrest-in-burning-of-african-american-church-spray-painted-with-vote-trump/
    The kind of guy that would give “O” high marks.

    Like

  44. George Rebane Avatar

    Since Obama’s approval ratings are so high, does anyone know what they are approving and why they didn’t want more of it?

    Like

  45. Walt Avatar

    Hummmm…… Got nuttn’….. That’s a question for the “jon”.

    Like

  46. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Well let’s see about those approval numbers for Barry. I think I’ll use the lamestream approach and say this. 43% of Americans oppose President Obama. Mainly they don’t like him. There, now that makes it right.

    Like

  47. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Dr. Rebane.
    Obama is a likeable fellow. So, people like him personally. They really like what he says.
    https://www.facebook.com/RowdyConservatives/photos/a.217983685002343.55586.217926015008110/980343875432983/?type=3&theater
    They like the idea that America is liked again…by France.and others.. Liked, but not respected, feared, or taken seriously, can’t be trusted to be a stand up ally, or even as good as her word. The Left can relate to that. It’s important to be liked. Even a jerk is instantly liked when he buys the house a round,
    They like what Obama says to the bitter end. Obama just said he is proud he kept America free of a terrorist attack on his watch. People like hearing that. Nevermind San Bernardino, the Boston Marathon, Fort Hood, the recruiting center, etc. Guess those unfortunate events were mental health issues, not Islamic terrorism.
    Obama just bragged his Administration has been scandal free. A remarkable accomplishment. That is good to hear. Obama did a great job of being free of scandals. Nevermind Fast & Furious, the IRS, the VA, Benghazi, etc.
    Obama promised the most transparent administration in US history. He even enlisted the Russians and Wikileaks to help facilitate this endeavor. Talk about transparency.
    Hillary is not liked so much, but she promised a 3rd term of Obama. Gotta feel sorry for Hillary. She spent 40 years working so very hard to become President only to lose out to a guy who picked up politics for a hobby.
    Do people want a third term of Obama? Nah, they would rather have their doctor back, their jobs back, their neighborhoods back, their slain police officers back, their hope back.

    Like

  48. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    You’re right. I didn’t vote for AObama ion “12. I think he was a pretty mediocre Presidebt wih a disastrous foreign policy. I’m only reporting what I see. What I do see is Trump is starting out with a dreadful approval rating so he has no room for error. The fun will begin in just a few weeks. Sorry to put you guys in such a tizzy. Good night.

    Like

  49. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to my friend Paul Emery! 🙂

    Like

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