Rebane's Ruminations
December 2016
S M T W T F S
 123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
25262728293031

ARCHIVES


OUR LINKS


YubaNet
White House Blog
Watts Up With That?
The Union
Sierra Thread
RL “Bob” Crabb
Barry Pruett Blog

George Rebane

Voice from behind the curtain – ‘Pay no attention to the correlation.’

Crime&Dems

[update]  A reader has pointed out that the above crime map is inaccurate and cites and article in the 16nov16 WaPo (here) that claims to present better data in the map below.  The article’s conclusion is italicized.

Crime&Dems2

The violent crime map shows clusters of counties with high rates in South Carolina, Florida, the Memphis area and New Mexico. Several of the clusters are in rural areas where a small number of crimes may generate a relatively high crime rate because there are few people living there. … The latest data available is from 2014. Reported crime rates for some large cities have gone up over the past two years. … The National Archive of Criminal Justice Data generates the county-level crime summaries from FBI data that is reported by police agencies.  In rural areas, a county may have one police agency. But large urban counties may have several cities with their own police departments, as well as county-wide agencies. And statewide police agencies may also handle reported crimes. The NACJD adjusts the data for agencies that only report for part of the year and distributes incidents from statewide agencies to local counties by population.

With this conclusion and upon closer examination of the WaPo map, I will let my opening statement stand.

Nevada County Voices has dropped RR from its community website listings.  Since its inception RR has enjoyed coverage by having its recent posts listed and linked in the site’s ‘Right Wing’ column.  The reason for the change is not apparent, especially since RR has always lauded this informative site edited by Dr Anna Haynes.  To be frank, the site and its editor are definitely of the Left persuasion – for example, there is no equivalent listing of ‘Left Wing’ sites.  Apparently all the remainder of the listed sites have no ideological slant or bias that is apparent to Dr Haynes.  Perhaps the removal of RR is part and parcel of the local Left’s perennial call to silence my public voice and involvement as part of their overall crusade to deny opposing opinions and viewpoints a place in the community forum.  In any case it was fun while it lasted, and we will continue featuring Nevada County Voices in the Our Links panel on the right.  [update]  Oops!  My tears flowed too soon; RR has been reinstated in its usual slot.  Now the only nit I have left to pick is my envy of fellow blogger Mr Todd Juvinall (Sierra Dragon’s Breath) who enjoys having the last ten of his posts being listed while the rest of us are limited to five max.  Oh well, Anna always did like Todd the best.

RoboVote – a new tool for capturing group preferences and making group decisions.  For years I have designed, purveyed, and used customized decision support systems, especially the kind that help extract useful information from groups of people engaged in some common pursuit.  Recently a team of AI researchers at Harvard released RoboVote (more here and here), a free AI-based, online tool to aid in performing such functions in an optimal manner.  I am recommending its consideration to organizations to which I belong.  Take a look at it and you will want to do the same.

[update]  The WSJ reports “U.S. Factories Are Working Again; Factory Workers, Not So Much.  Donald Trump plans to reignite industrial job growth, but many low-skilled former factory workers are frozen out.”  As has been reported here for years, the return of manufacturing to the US does not mean that an equivalent (to previous years) jobs will be returning.  Does no one understand the serious nature of growing systemic unemployment with the acceleration of technology?  Why is this always a surprise and a recent discovery by some maven or other?

[19dec16 update]  Today’s Union informs us that we now have a permanent group of local progressives organized to become the perennial protesters of the Republican controlled (but liberal bureaucratized) federal government.  They call themselves ‘Resistance U.S.’, formed to “promote progressive values and ideas”, and appear visibly uninformed about our Constitution and what happened last month.  For example, as a local embodiment of Moonbeam’s Minions, they seek to “Restore Democracy”, a form of government on these shores that never was and wisely was never intended.  We will revisit their demonstrations from time to time as they successfully illustrate what divides us. (more here)

[21dec16 update]

FakeNews

Posted in , , ,

284 responses to “Scattershots – 18dec16 (updated 21dec16)”

  1. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    My quote was that a bear does not shit in his own backyard-kinda of a poetic gesture Gregory.

    Like

  2. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Gregory
    The repercussions of ignoring global warming will be disastrous. You choose to believe what you will and so do I and there is no point in debating.

    Like

  3. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Nobody expects the Climate Inquisition.
    Paul, it isn’t an article of faith unless one lacks knowledge.

    Like

  4. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    In my view the body of knowledge overwhelmingly shows global warming is real and influenced by human activity. Not much doubt in my mind.

    Like

  5. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Looks like Trump is the only one l4eft that questions Russian interference in our elections except for a few RR participants. Now that’s what I call leadership
    Mitch McConnell
    “There’s no question that the Russians were messing around in our election. It is a matter of genuine concern and it needs to be investigated.”

    Like

  6. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    And how much of that knowledge do you understand, as opposed to being able to recite?
    “That’s a problem, but still I find that I have things to say and people do listen to me, and people have no particular complaints.
    It’s very sad that in this country, political opinion parted [people’s views on climate change]. I’m 100 per cent Democrat myself, and I like Obama. But he took the wrong side on this issue, and the Republicans took the right side.
    -Freeman Dyson

    Like

  7. George Rebane Avatar

    I am amused that ‘global warming’ (whatever the hell that means) is still debated as a scientific issue which, by any measure, it ceased being years ago.

    Like

  8. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    So Paul, did them Russkies fiddle more votes than the officials in Detroit whose vote totals were higher than the number of people who voted?
    Can you specify just what you think The Russians did and how you think it affected the vote?
    George, the quicker Global Warming can return to pre-post-modern science norms, the quicker people like Paul will let it go because real science bores most people even if there will be a quiz later.

    Like

  9. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Gregory | 20 December 2016 at 09:15 AM
    George, the quicker Global Warming can return to pre-post-modern science norms, the quicker people like Paul will let it go because real science bores most people even if there will be a quiz later.

    You’re not arguing science with Paul……you’re arguing faith! Which is why no matter how many times the model breaks or the prediction fails he’ll continue to genuflect before the “Scienticians”.

    Like

  10. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Greg
    There is an almost total consensus about Russian interference in our elections with McConnell now even agreeing. There is still debate about the effects but that is hard to quantify so there is no point in responding to your Detroit “question”.
    In my view there is little doubt that Putin intended to influence the vote by providing stolen email content that was not favorable towards Hillary. Can’t quantify the exact effect but that was the intent. What you really need to ask yourself is why Putin favors Trump over Hillary. We’ll see real soon when sanctions are lifted on the Rushkies as soon as our pro Exxon Sec of State is installed who was opposed to the sanctions from the start.
    ” Now that President-elect Donald J. Trump has chosen Rex W. Tillerson, the chief executive of Exxon Mobil, to be the next secretary of state, the giant oil company stands to make some major gains as well: It has billions of dollars in deals that can go forward only if the United States lifts sanctions against Russia.
    As head of America’s largest oil company, Mr. Tillerson has earned a friendship award from Russia and voiced skepticism about American sanctions that have halted some of Exxon Mobil’s biggest projects in the country.”
    http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/12/world/europe/rex-tillersons-company-exxon-has-billions-at-stake-over-russia-sanctions.html?_r=0

    Like

  11. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    You’re right George there is a consensus on Global Warming so it is no longer debated seriously.
    “Climate scientists overwhelmingly agree that humans are causing recent global warming. The consensus position is articulated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) statement that ‘human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century’ ”
    http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002

    Like

  12. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul,
    So, you think WikiLeaks revealed true and unadulterated emails revealing bad acts by Democrats from Brazile to Clinton, but WikiLeaks is lying when they say they didn’t get it from the Russians, that it was leaked to them by insiders. Does that pretty much sum it up?
    Paul, the language you are using for the certitude of Russian culpability for the loss by the worst Democratic candidate ever is remarkably similar to how you were describing the Presidential election for the past 6+ months. At what point do you readjust your sense of your own judgment?

    Like

  13. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 1028am – Paul, do you have any idea how many times the dominant science’s ‘consensus’ has been proven to be wrong over the centuries, and especially over the last couple of centuries?? Have we passed some mysterious milestone after which consensus errors no longer occur?

    Like

  14. Paul emery Avatar
    Paul emery

    George the consequence of getting this wrong are huge. Are you willing to live with the possibility you might be wrong on this and accept the consequences?

    Like

  15. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 1042am – Absolutely, as I do for a life-ending asteroid to strike earth, or an errant small black hole to gobble us up, or a neighboring star going super nova on us, or … .

    Like

  16. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    PE would have been on the side of the flat earthers telling Columbus he was going fall off the end of the earth. 😉

    Like

  17. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul, the sky is not falling and the people who have you frightened of the climate bogeyman (including John Cook of the wretchedly misnamed SkepticalScience website) have to date greatly overestimated the warming to date.
    Together, George and I have much more than twice the science education than Cook who, before he got his website going, was eking out a living drawing cartoons. The information for that paper was crowdsourced, “citizen scientists” without any proven scientific knowledge who read papers they misunderstood to classify the author’s belief in CO2 driven warming.
    They did that rather than poll the authors and ask. A number of prominent skeptics with PhD’s in physics were pegged as Believers, which shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone familiar with the methods of Cook, Oreskes, Lewendowsky et al.

    Like

  18. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Don Bessee | 20 December 2016 at 10:48 AM
    “The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”
    H. L. Mencken

    Like

  19. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “George the consequence of getting this wrong are huge. Are you willing to live with the possibility you might be wrong on this and accept the consequences?”
    Paul, this challenge of yours is but a restatement of Pascal’s Wager, meant to cajole non-believers to believe in GOD because of the consequence of getting it wrong is yuuuge.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal's_Wager

    Like

  20. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Well Gregory and George let’s just accept that we have different views onthis matter rather than going through the tedium of debating.
    Gregory one question I have of you is why did you vote for Gary Johnson and not Trump or Hillary? I have my reasons but I would include Steinin my pondering.

    Like

  21. Walt Avatar

    Winters are getting COLDER.. Blame it on “getting warmer.”

    Like

  22. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    Paul, The Consensus has been debunked. Go to this presentation by Lord Christopher Monckton: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dWLvquQjcd4
    At 1:13 into his presentation he goes through the scientific consensus issue line by line and explains how it was debunked.
    Cook etal reviewed:
    11,944 Abstracts were reviewed
    7,930 expressed no opinion on climate change
    3,896 agreed that some warming was occurring
    64 marked as stating humans were causing most of the warming.
    41 of the 64 actual stated humans were causing MOST of the warming
    9 marked as endorsing manmade catastrophe.
    99.7% of the 11,944 science papers did NOT say recent warming was mostly manmade. Only 0.3% did that is not a scientific consensus.
    Now if Lord Monckton is wrong, please let me know, so I can alert him that he made an error in his analysis and calculations.

    Like

  23. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Looks like the Trumps have taken lessons from the Clintons.
    A new Texas nonprofit led by Donald Trump’s grown sons is offering access to the freshly-minted president during inauguration weekend — all in exchange for million-dollar donations to unnamed “conservation” charities, according to interviews and documents reviewed by the Center for Public Integrity.
    And the donors’ identities may never be known…….
    https://www.publicintegrity.org/2016/12/19/20564/donald-trumps-sons-behind-nonprofit-selling-access-president-elect

    Like

  24. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul 11:39 for the same reason I voted for Johnson rather than Obama or Romney four years ago, or the reasons I voted for Clark and Koch over Reagan or Carter in ’80. Or the reason I accepted the invite of Dr. & Mrs. Leary to a reception for Ron Paul in ’88. Voted for him, too.
    You have a vision of Libertarianism unlike all self identified libertarians I have personally met, but I celebrate your vote noneless. Still, “green libertarians” embrace the personal freedoms OK but delight in coersion all too similarly to the Greens and Democrats for my liking. Coersive Utopians will probably never be at home with libertarians.

    Like

  25. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Green Libertarians believe in government only when absolutely necessary. We believe environmental concerns are universal in their impact and should be managed by an enlightened culture that appreciates those universal values. Then if essential matters such as clean air and water are not tended to we have to resort to governmental solutions. Bad air and water for example are equivalent to a bear shitting in his own back yard.
    Gregory
    can you refresh me about why you voted Libertarian rather than for Trump whom I assume would be your second choice.

    Like

  26. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Trump is a pretty good businessman it appears. Go Trump! and sons.

    Like

  27. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Regarding Paul Emery and AGW. The man dances naked on rocks at the Yuba River I hear. And all for the GAia. So that may explain things?

    Like

  28. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    So that was you Todd lurking in the bushes? Join us once the weather warms. I’ll give you the secret bonding code and special handshake.
    Don’t need any ganja. Old age is making me goofy enough.

    Like

  29. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery, it looks like you are suffering from “Trump Acceptance Resistant Disorder”. TARD. There is no need to talk to you any further unless you receive help. Same for global climate change.

    Like

  30. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Here’s the quote of the day from Ken Burns
    ““Asking this man (Trump) to assume the highest office in the land would be like asking a newly minted car driver to fly a 747,” he declared.
    “He is an insult to our history, “Do not be deceived by his momentary good behavior. It is only a spoiled, misbehaving child hoping somehow to still have dessert.”

    Like

  31. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Did you misread my “i hear” on the fact you are dancing naked on the boulders at the Yuba River? Please read more carefully. And I have no interest is seeing your naked figure scaring the hell out of the small animals and fish/

    Like

  32. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Is it just me, or did the Russian story kinda deflate after yesterday’s Electoral College vote? Off the front page. Hmmm. The Russian hacker story built and built and built up into a feverish 24/7 endless loop played by MSM and left leaning press since the election until….the let down yesterday. Call me skeptical, but it seemed the media was still in the campaign mode with the goal to stop Trump at any cost. Last chance to give it the ole college try.
    In all candor, I stopped following the hacker story. My sense is the Russians tried and tried, but probably were denied more often than not, to put it as kindly. The Russians are not that good at hacking and not anywhere in the league as the good hackers that attack our systems. Not to say the Russians were not as successful as others. With that said, here are open questions I have for anyone that is up on the issue:
    Has a link been established directly between Russia and Wikileaks …..yet?? Did the Russians hack any files outside of the Wikileaks documents that we know of? If Russia hacked non-Wikileaks material, what were they and who was the target??? Did Russia hack government docs found of Former Secretary of State Clinton’s privately owned server? And finally, what other Democrat Party documents were hacked/leaked outside of the DNC and the Clinton Campaign staff, or was it just the private entities of the campaign and the private institution DNC that was targeted?????
    Back to the first question for anyone. Has a direct link been established between the Russian State and Wikileaks??? Thanks for doing my homework for me. Bill.

    Like

  33. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Gonna to be lots of fun actually with the Trump. I’ll offer my daily commentary on this blog to warm your hearts.

    Like

  34. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    And we will destroy your points with logic and data.

    Like

  35. Paul emery Avatar
    Paul emery

    Good luck Todd. You’ve already given the OK for trumps family to do the same things that you were accusing the Clintons of. Good start. Pay to play

    Like

  36. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “Green Libertarians believe in government only when absolutely necessary. We believe environmental concerns are universal in their impact and should be managed by an enlightened culture that appreciates those universal values.”
    I think the Spanish Inquisitors thought much the same, they also believed they knew the important universal values.
    This is a recipe for authoritarians/totalitarians to take the reins because the rabble who are resisting the direction of the enlightened are not acting in the best interests of Gaia.
    The Constitution, which is actually rather easy to lawfully amend when there is broad consensus across all the States (you know, all those Red State hicks) for the amendment, constitutes the “consent of the governed” and the deal is, the Congress needs to conform to the restrictions as to their powers (they are Enumerated) and the basic rights of the people, as a whole and individually, as specified in the several Amendments.
    It isn’t about social justice or giving climate nazis power to stave off environmental disasters both real and imagined. It’s about limiting governments from top to bottom to the powers they have been granted by the People as a whole.
    I would have held my nose for Trump over Clinton only as a lesser of evils, and only if my vote would have a finite chance for making a difference, primarily to get a Scalia not another GInzberg or Sotomayor on the SCOTUS.

    Like

  37. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery, pay to play? I think you misunderstood what is happening. Apples and oranges.

    Like

  38. Walt Avatar

    LOL.. Paul is for less government? And yet lives in Ca.? What about all those draconian ECO laws Paul? The Commies in Sac. can’t pass those laws fast enough. Just a necessary satan Paul?

    Like

  39. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “What about all those draconian ECO laws Paul?”
    Perhaps he will pipe up and correct me if I’m wrong but it sounds like Paul thinks the “enlightened” among us, perhaps functionaries within the EPA, should have the power to regulate in the ECO sphere without oversight by the Congress. If the “enlightened” think we need draconian, they’ll give us draconian.
    Libertarians generally see that along the lines of “He has erected a multitude of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harass our people, and eat out their substance.” Jefferson sure could turn a phrase, couldn’t he?

    Like

  40. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Too many regs Gregory especially building codes. That’s largely a tight coalitionist between the the building industry known as the Universal Building Codes and the insurance companies that automatically adapt any of their regs so you have to incorporate them in your building plans or you can’t get insurance therefore no financing. that’s just a start. My friend is a barber who doesn’t have a shop because where he was workingt shut down. So he’s been making house calls for his clients but guess what? that’s illegal. You’ll get the barber cops after y ou and yes they do exist.
    That’s a couple of examples.
    Don’t know the details about the eco laws you refer to Gregory. Give me a little more substance to look at.

    Like

  41. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Todd or anyone else read this and follow the link and tell me why this isn’t pay to play much like the Clinton Foundation which I agree is a scam.
    “A new Texas nonprofit led by Donald Trump’s grown sons is offering access to the freshly-minted president during inauguration weekend — all in exchange for million-dollar donations to unnamed “conservation” charities, according to interviews and documents reviewed by the Center for Public Integrity.
    And the donors’ identities may never be known.
    “Prospective million-dollar donors to the “Opening Day 2017” event — slated for Jan. 21, the day after inauguration, at Washington, D.C.’s Walter E. Washington Convention Center — receive a “private reception and photo opportunity for 16 guests with President Donald J. Trump,” a “multi-day hunting and/or fishing excursion for 4 guests with Donald Trump, Jr. and/or Eric Trump, and team,” as well as tickets to other events and “autographed guitars by an Opening Day 2017 performer.”
    https://www.publicintegrity.org/2016/12/19/20564/donald-trumps-sons-behind-nonprofit-selling-access-president-elect

    Like

  42. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    I just heard that Trump will be taking a hard long look at the FCC. Seems many licenses on the further ends of the FM band will not be automatically renewed and sold to the highest bidder for much more money to be put in the people’s Treasury. Starting bids of the People’s Airwaves with be 10-20 times the current price of the licenses. FM only from Trump’s last tweet.
    Gotta think of the deficit. 🙂

    Like

  43. Walt Avatar

    Paul. Nice try. There are PLENTY of states that have no building codes. The same goes for building PERMITS.

    Like

  44. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Walt, you might know. You need a permit here to move a yard of dirt, or is that 3 wheelbarrows of dirt moved in the backyard that needs a permit?

    Like

  45. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Paul Emery | 20 December 2016 at 04:17 PM
    I’m sure you were every bit as indignant when Sugar Frosted Barry O’s did the same thing for his inauguration.
    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/president-obama-inauguration-planners-soliciting-1m-donations-article-1.1236317

    Like

  46. Walt Avatar

    That’s pretty close Bill. I’m surprised the county and State don’t have “sales officers” at just about every hardware store, and rental yard. ” Lets me zzeee that permit?”

    Like

  47. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery, the TV News just reported that what you claim for Trump and his sons is FAKE NEWS! Jeeze you fall for anything.

    Like

  48. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul, you were the one who claimed [green libertarians]”believe environmental concerns are universal in their impact and should be managed by an enlightened culture”… if you wouldn’t rely on an EPA Gone Wild! to do this, please do tell. The EPA we have is pretty much a power unto itself but then to really shut down the use of carbon based fuels will take the power of a virtual worldwide police state to enforce.
    Cold kills.
    Libertarian libertarians tend to craft environmental law based on property rights… ie you can’t pee in the stream your downstream neighbors drink from. How would Paul do it?

    Like

Leave a comment