Rebane's Ruminations
December 2016
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George Rebane

Voice from behind the curtain – ‘Pay no attention to the correlation.’

Crime&Dems

[update]  A reader has pointed out that the above crime map is inaccurate and cites and article in the 16nov16 WaPo (here) that claims to present better data in the map below.  The article’s conclusion is italicized.

Crime&Dems2

The violent crime map shows clusters of counties with high rates in South Carolina, Florida, the Memphis area and New Mexico. Several of the clusters are in rural areas where a small number of crimes may generate a relatively high crime rate because there are few people living there. … The latest data available is from 2014. Reported crime rates for some large cities have gone up over the past two years. … The National Archive of Criminal Justice Data generates the county-level crime summaries from FBI data that is reported by police agencies.  In rural areas, a county may have one police agency. But large urban counties may have several cities with their own police departments, as well as county-wide agencies. And statewide police agencies may also handle reported crimes. The NACJD adjusts the data for agencies that only report for part of the year and distributes incidents from statewide agencies to local counties by population.

With this conclusion and upon closer examination of the WaPo map, I will let my opening statement stand.

Nevada County Voices has dropped RR from its community website listings.  Since its inception RR has enjoyed coverage by having its recent posts listed and linked in the site’s ‘Right Wing’ column.  The reason for the change is not apparent, especially since RR has always lauded this informative site edited by Dr Anna Haynes.  To be frank, the site and its editor are definitely of the Left persuasion – for example, there is no equivalent listing of ‘Left Wing’ sites.  Apparently all the remainder of the listed sites have no ideological slant or bias that is apparent to Dr Haynes.  Perhaps the removal of RR is part and parcel of the local Left’s perennial call to silence my public voice and involvement as part of their overall crusade to deny opposing opinions and viewpoints a place in the community forum.  In any case it was fun while it lasted, and we will continue featuring Nevada County Voices in the Our Links panel on the right.  [update]  Oops!  My tears flowed too soon; RR has been reinstated in its usual slot.  Now the only nit I have left to pick is my envy of fellow blogger Mr Todd Juvinall (Sierra Dragon’s Breath) who enjoys having the last ten of his posts being listed while the rest of us are limited to five max.  Oh well, Anna always did like Todd the best.

RoboVote – a new tool for capturing group preferences and making group decisions.  For years I have designed, purveyed, and used customized decision support systems, especially the kind that help extract useful information from groups of people engaged in some common pursuit.  Recently a team of AI researchers at Harvard released RoboVote (more here and here), a free AI-based, online tool to aid in performing such functions in an optimal manner.  I am recommending its consideration to organizations to which I belong.  Take a look at it and you will want to do the same.

[update]  The WSJ reports “U.S. Factories Are Working Again; Factory Workers, Not So Much.  Donald Trump plans to reignite industrial job growth, but many low-skilled former factory workers are frozen out.”  As has been reported here for years, the return of manufacturing to the US does not mean that an equivalent (to previous years) jobs will be returning.  Does no one understand the serious nature of growing systemic unemployment with the acceleration of technology?  Why is this always a surprise and a recent discovery by some maven or other?

[19dec16 update]  Today’s Union informs us that we now have a permanent group of local progressives organized to become the perennial protesters of the Republican controlled (but liberal bureaucratized) federal government.  They call themselves ‘Resistance U.S.’, formed to “promote progressive values and ideas”, and appear visibly uninformed about our Constitution and what happened last month.  For example, as a local embodiment of Moonbeam’s Minions, they seek to “Restore Democracy”, a form of government on these shores that never was and wisely was never intended.  We will revisit their demonstrations from time to time as they successfully illustrate what divides us. (more here)

[21dec16 update]

FakeNews

Posted in , , ,

284 responses to “Scattershots – 18dec16 (updated 21dec16)”

  1. fish Avatar
    fish

    Sorry to put you guys in such a tizzy.
    A “tizzy”….you’re kidding right?!
    I found last nights exchange immensely gratifying….watch a guy whose whole schtick online is running a low rent Columbo bit….…err….ah….just one more question please….demonstrate that he’s nearly incapable of answering one himself!
    Fabulous!

    Like

  2. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Merry Christmas Paul. You have made it a great Christmas Season and guareented to make it one fantastic New Year! Thanks for the laughs and entertainment you provide. You make this site delightful. Merry Christmas again, Mr. Paul, and thanks for making this the most joyous time of year….in many a year. You are one funny guy. Keep those laughs coming and keep spreading the cheer. So much to celebrate this year.
    We need to never lose the attitude of gratitude you provide to so many here.
    Life is indeed good and full of much needed hope after what our blessed nation has been through. I feel like doing an Irish jig. You are the giver of happy feet. Bless you. Celebrate, celebrate, dance to the music. Happy feet and the sun is shining. Never change, my brother, my fellow in arms against evil, corruption, and tyranny.

    Like

  3. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Since Paul Emery doesn’t celebrate Christmas, I will wish him a very Happy “boulder” dance at the Yuba River. Gaia and the gals. LOL!

    Like

  4. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Todd, it’s Ok to say Merry Christmas again. After all, Christmas is a national holiday recognized by our federal government and all government employee unions. It a wonderful time of the year…..albeit if feels both strange and liberating to greet someone with an unapologetic and cheerful “Merry Christmas” or Happy Hanukkah”. You can even say it without looking around and whispering. I almost forgot what it was like.
    Of course, Hanukkah starts Christmas Eve and last until Jan 1, so you get to say Happy Hanukkah a bunch of times until you say “Happy New Year.”
    Paul, Happy Druid Day whenever that comes and God Bless you, Tiny Tim. It’s magic time. A time of Hope.
    To our friends on the Far Left, I mean no offense. Communists do not celebrate any spiritual holidays, just wohip the State 365 days a year. It’s all good and I understand. Finding 3 wise and a virgin is an impossible task, so why bother? Happy May Day!

    Like

  5. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Yeah Todd I’m going to enjoy Druidmas with an all night log pounding at the river with a bevy of Sierra Wood Nymphs. I told them you were invited but they said no. Sorry my friend.

    Like

  6. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Todd
    word has it you are going to celebrate XMAS with your Republican friends doing a ceremonial blond hair dying and comb over as a bonding to your spiritual leader The Donald. Send a picture with your blond hair combover and I’ll share it with the wood nymphs. Perhaps they will change their minds.

    Like

  7. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Oh Paul Emery, I am already deadly handsome and in no need od any kind of makeover. My champions however is George Washington and Thomas Jefferson. Yours, Gary Johnson. A bigger loser than Hillary. I’ll send you a pic of just plain old me. And having seen your nymphs, I’ll just say, they are all yours. Yikes!

    Like

  8. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    You’ve never seen these nymphs Todd. they have never crossed the Yuba River.

    Like

  9. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Half woman half goat does not interest me. Talk to your buds the Arabs.

    Like

  10. George Rebane Avatar

    I see the dialogue here has reached its traditional heights. We are all impressed.

    Like

  11. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    LOL!

    Like

  12. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Actually just having a little fun George. Is that ok?

    Like

  13. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “You are having trouble understanding this? I think you just don’t want to answer the question. Weak dodge.
    You seem to be condoning our enemy interfering with our election by distributing stolen private correspondence to their desired political selection to effect the outcome. Am I wrong in that assessment?””
    -Paul Emery
    Paul, you’re reciting the Fake News that was generated by two conflated issues:
    1) the Russians were hacking into Democratic computers
    2) somebody gave files to Wikileaks
    Somebody(ies) in one or more intelligence services (that are politicized) made the decision that since Democratic dirt was in (2), it must be that the Russians wanted Trump to win. QED. Leaving out the undemonstrated link from 1) to 2).
    In parallel, the WikiLeaks people have been adamant that the files did not come from Russian sources, but insiders who had legal access to them. Sort of. Like Snowden had legal access to all the stuff he stole.
    Paul, you and the Democratic Party fake news sources want the Russians to be at fault for their Clinton losing. And that has not been determined; no, anonymous intelligence sources telling the NY Times that it might be so isn’t enough.
    You are jumping to conclusions that have not been established. Not by a long shot and in the minds of the anyone but Trump brigade, it has not only been established but of course, Trump and Putin are in cahoots. Madness.
    Trump won. People need to get over it.

    Like

  14. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Crickets since 2:57?
    Paul, I’m assuming you didn’t have such high regard for CIA guesses when LBJ was making South Vietnam look like the bottom of a Shake-n-Bake bag… why the change?

    Like

  15. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Silent Night. Wholly night.
    Except for the crickets.

    Like

  16. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    God Bless the Deplorables One and All! 😉

    Like

  17. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Crickets

    Like

  18. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Gregory | 23 December 2016 at 08:50 AM
    Step back mister….remember Uncle Paul asks the questions…….
    Oh and Steves annual Christmas Rant…..certainly a treasured holiday tradition of mine….is posted at the FUEs! Apparently Steve is a reformed secularist as opposed to Orthodox…..as he’s omitted references to the traditional anti semitism and substituted “attacks on people’s weight”. Personally I think it loses something with this change but to each his own!

    Like

  19. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Paul Emery never answers your questions. That is why he is a lousy conversationalist.

    Like

  20. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Now boys, there is a reason Paul does not celebrate Christmas.
    https://www.facebook.com/PatriotPost/photos/a.82108390913.80726.51560645913/10154294284605914/?type=3&theater
    About them Russians hurting My Gal’s chances of winning…… What does Uncle Shotgun Joe have to say about it?
    He recalled watching a Trump rally in Pennsylvania near where he grew up and thinking, “Son of a gun. We may lose this election.”
    Biden told the L.A. Times, “They’re all the people I grew up with. They’re their kids. And they’re not racist. They’re not sexist. But we didn’t talk to them.”
    Clinton took criticism during the campaign for at one point describing swaths of Trump voters as part of a “basket of deplorables,” remarks she later walked back. Biden reportedly argued that Democrats indeed created a false conflict between “progressive” values and those of the working class.
    “What are the arguments we’re hearing? ‘Well, we’ve got to be more progressive.’ But in the meantime, you can’t eat equality. You know?”
    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/12/23/biden-rips-democrats-elitism-faults-party-for-failing-to-reach-working-class.html
    Yep, Hillary lost because, like Paul, progressives talk at the people, not to the people.
    My Gal lost because of elitism…..and because the voters rejected progressive ideas.
    If the Russians were so good at influencing the election, how do you explain the fact that Hillary won the popular vote, a fact pointed to repeatidy by the Losers??

    Like

  21. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Posted by: Gregory | 22 December 2016 at 02:57 PM
    Continuing crickets, and PE is batting .000 on his prognostications over the past year.
    I find it amazing how quickly the fake news stories about Russians stealing the election faded once the Electoral College vote ended with Trump’s lead over Clinton increasing. Leads one to believe the whole story was to dry to induce a coup d’etat, subverting a legal election, doesn’t it? Didn’t work.

    Like

  22. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Emery?
    Emery?
    Emery?
    Emery?
    Emery?

    Like

  23. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Gregory
    Gregory
    I have been responding directly to Scott’s intelligent question. Throw one at me and I’ll give it a go. I’m in the mood. kinda of a Christmas thing.

    Like

  24. Walt Avatar

    I got one for ya’ Paul. It might apply to you soon enough.
    http://www.breitbart.com/2nd-amendment/2016/12/23/obama-administration-finalizes-social-security-gun-ban/
    ” The Los Angeles Times reported that the ban would be sweeping; that it would cover those who are unable to manage their own affairs for a multitude of reasons–from “subnormal intelligence or mental illness” to “incompetency,” an unspecified “condition,” or “disease.”
    Would just being a Progressive count as an “unspecified “condition,” or “disease.”?

    Like

  25. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Paul “someone please let me play” Mushmouth sez
    I didn’t vote for Hillary Todd so I have no comment. Trump is the one who is claiming the virtuous path and claims to be draining the swamp. Perhaps he should start with his family
    Posted by: Paul Emery | 21 December 2016 at 01:06 PM
    Nice, Paul, nice. Start with his family, eh? Like those two sodomites that verbally attacked Trump’s daughter and grandchildren yesterday??? Screaming at children? As they were sitting in coach and could not move??? A young mother with children??
    Paul, would you like me to make some calls to some very nasty pissed off anti-social types who owe me a couple favors and have them start with your family? Of course not. That is not who we on the sunny side of the street are. Maybe that is just who Druids are or something…people in the shadows. You are a real creepy dude. I will exercise some restraint and enjoy the rest of this fine day, creep.

    Like

  26. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Our intelligence services overwhelmingly believe The Russians interfered with our election This is established news not fake news Even Senator McConnell believes that as does John McCain and Lindsey Graham and many others You are very much in the minority to believe otherwise What else can I say ? My basic question is why are the Russians celebrating trumps victory if it wasn’t something they felt was good for them I think we just have to accept we have different views on this.

    Like

  27. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Bill
    Are you threatening me and my family? I don’t have a clue as to what you’re talking about ‘

    Like

  28. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    PE 459, cut it out, that’s just lame posturing. For our friends- Happy Hanukah start!

    Like

  29. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul, once again, your shallow naiveté has led you to believing the fake news of the day from folks who, 40 years ago, you wouldn’t have believed if they told you water was wet.
    The CIA isn’t on the record, and the FBI isn’t buying it. The whole thing has quieted down because the charade was to try to herd the Electoral College towards throwing the election.
    Didn’t work. Trump won fair and square. Get over it.

    Like

  30. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Paul, learn how to read. For once. Just once. It would be a start.
    Look, you are just wired differently being an artist type. You see an arrangement of notes as harmony and order and life. Dr. Rebane sees mathmatetics as harmony and order and how this world is operates, how everything is.
    I saw Trump from day one and know exactly how he operates. To me it’s no mystery at all. You see chaos and disorder and puzzlement. I see perfect execution.
    It’s just the way we are wired, each different. Left side, right side of the brain stuff.
    I must confess I don’t believe for 3 seconds that you are innocently asking questions to grasp an understanding. You have biased intentions to oppose Trump from the night of the election. You ask and want answers to events that have not come to pass, are hypothetical, and almost demand someone here to agree with you fears or defend themselves.That is they way you operate. You are of a double mind. You seek not understanding nor knowledge, you just want to argue and hit the same points over and over again until you get your desired rise out of someone.
    If you believe there are no absolutes, that in and of itself is an absolute statement and thus the foundation upon which you stand is on a false premise.
    I see you as manipulating and I suppose I may view you in a better light when you are in your music/pot realm. You are the sole voice of opposition. That is not a problem. You bring false motives, thus no integrity. You mind is already made up before you ever type a word.
    I could lay out the reasons Putin does what he does and why. I know that kind of man well and understand Russia’s global aspirations and domestic needs and the strong nationalism and pride of the people of Mother Russia. The need for a strong leader has been in their blood since the days the wayward tribes of Russia asked the Vikings to rule over them. You do not understand deep love of country…..nationalism.
    I understand Trump and can rattle off the top of my head 5 main reasons why Putin would prefer Trump anyway of the week. Putin sees the One Europe as the aggressor expanding more and more till they come smack dab against his borders under the guise of NATO, gobbling up even the tiniest of states, a true threat to the region,.his region, for the sole purpose to squeeze him. I could go on and on and hit the Middle East and the US as the aggressor and what’s really emerging there as it affects Russia and Obama’s policy of a big Arab State, economies of scale.. But why, it’s wasted breath.
    Same with what makes Trump tick. Too easy, too plain as the nose on your face. But, again, wasted breath. No answer would ever satisfy you because you vision is too narrow, too limited, too focused at looking at the crumbs on the floor and seeing only bad Trump. And you don’t want to learn. You won’t allow it to compute. So, remain in everlasting turmoil and frustration. Contempt prior to investigation. I could be wrong.
    There are no more victims anymore, just volunteers. Ya Paul, I threatened you and your family, if you have one. Rightttt. You are a regular Eisteen. Play the song over and over again and again in your head.

    Like

  31. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul, what are those ol’ basics of journalism?
    Who
    What
    When
    Where
    Why
    Be specific.
    I’ve got no problem with the McCain’s calling for an investigation. A good investigation will shed light, unlike unnamed sources chatting with the NY Times, a subsidiary of the Democratic Nat’l Committee.

    Like

  32. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Warming relations with Russia has been a US goal for 40 years. Even O tried the reset.
    “Steven Pifer, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, noted that it’s not yet clear how far Trump will go to accommodate Russia. The president-elect’s pick for defense secretary is James Mattis, a retired Marine general who views Moscow as a major threat. And Trump, who prides himself on his deal-making skills, may ultimately conclude that Russia has little to offer.”
    http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/trump-kissinger-russia-putin-232925

    Like

  33. Walt Avatar

    Good Christmas Morning one and all.
    Things must not be well next door. Yelling, cussing, knockdown dragout(literally drug out the door) fight, the sounds of glass breakage and such. So we sat on the frosted over porch chairs with coffee in had, and watched the show.

    Like

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