Rebane's Ruminations
September 2016
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George Rebane

Well boys and girls, the candidates went after each other in a most civil manner tonight.  The ad hominems were at an absolute minimum.  Hillary's health was not an issue; the lady stood up to the rigors of the evening in a commendable manner.  Both gave presidential level performances, and if anything, I would have to give Hillary a slight edge in her demeanor and how her messages impacted the undecideds.  If I divide 100 points, Hillary would get 53 and Trump 47.  More to say about the whole affair, but it's late and time for readers to weigh in.

[28sep16 update]  The most cogent analysis of the debate's national impact on our body politic comes from Newt Gingrich who writes 'The Intellectual Yet Idiot Class Gets the Debate Wrong (Again!)'.  From his report I extract some of the remarkable scores of the debate that have been generated and collected by various publications.  (H/T to reader)

Time: Trump 55 Clinton 45

Fortune: Trump 53, Clinton 47

N.J.com (New Jersey): Trump 57.5, Clinton 37.78

CNBC: Trump 68, Clinton 32

WCPO Cincinnati: Trump 57, Clinton 37

Variety: Trump 58.12, Clinton 41.88

Slate: Trump 55.18, Clinton 44.82

WKRN Nashville: Trump 64.58, Clinton 35.42

Las Vegas Sun: Trump 82, Clinton 18

Fox5 San Diego: Trump 61.45, Clinton 33.69

San Diego Tribune: Trump 65, Clinton 35

Posted in , ,

119 responses to “Dump Trump and Pillory Hillary – 26sep16 (updated 28sep16)”

  1. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    How Trump won over a bar full of undecideds and Democrats
    Kady Letoksy, a paralegal by day, a waitress and bartender at night at the Tin Lizzy, sat beside him. At 28, she has never voted before, and she is now thinking it might be a good idea to start.
    Letosky entered the evening undecided in a town that is heavily Democratic in registration. Her sister and father are on opposite sides of the political aisle. Donald โ€œTrump had the upper hand this evening,โ€ she said, citing his command of the back-and-forth between him and Hillary Clinton.
    Reed, 35, is a registered Democrat and small businessman. โ€œBy the end of the debate, Clinton never said a thing to persuade me that she had anything to offer me or my family or my community,โ€ he said, sitting at the same bar that has boasted local icons as regulars, such as the late Fred Rogers, and Arnold Palmer, who had his own stash of PM Whiskey hidden behind newer bottles of whiskey for his regular visits.

    http://nypost.com/2016/09/26/the-best-debate-takes-come-from-inside-the-bar/

    Like

  2. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    Online Polls at Drudge, CNN and Time Magazine have Trump leading by 2/3s at the time I looked.

    Like

  3. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    For debating style, I would say Hillary won. More polished, and this is Trump’s first time. Missed opportunities abound, but style and direct answers is not what last night was about. It was about selling themselves. Instead of focusing on how Hiilary looked after 90 minutes of standing up, the real focus (because Trump is the underdog) is how did Trump look after 90 minutes with the seasoned slippery Hillary. Trump was still standing at the end, so that is great news. He learned a lot last night and will use that experience in Rounds 2 and 3.
    Hillary won on style. Trump won by responding more than reacting. Next time the gloves come off a wee bit more.

    Like

  4. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    I agree her style is more political than Trump’s. But I think his strategy is to drop the bombs of emails and Foundation and other issues on the last debate. More effecting the outcome.

    Like

  5. George Rebane Avatar

    re ToddJ’s 1019am – Given the revelations so far, any predictions on what the ‘October Surprise(s)’ will be from the various quarters?

    Like

  6. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Online polls are next to meaningless.
    I expect Trump made it over the “can enough voters imagine this guy as President” bar and that was his win.
    The newsreader doing the moderation did his part “fact checking” Trump and Trump was right… in post debate coverage I saw both Hannity and former Clintonista poll expert Pat Caddell verify that Trump was arguing against resuming the Iraq war before Bush II went in.

    Like

  7. fish Avatar
    fish

    Apparently some local sockpuppets subscribe to the Woody Allen aphorism that 90% of life is merely showing up…..

    Wanda says:
    September 27, 2016 at 10:03 am
    Neither of them disappointed. Hillary is the most experienced candidate for president than anyone in our history. Americans raised her. Sheโ€™s been educated, and tried and tested and practiced with every possibility. Sheโ€™s been tested and tried more than any man. Those of us who appreciate her are justified. Those who do not? Wellโ€ฆ..
    Trump is the least of any who ran before. It is ironic that the most experienced faces the least but the reflection they provide of the character of Americans is astonishing but not surprising given a century of unreason.

    Cogent analysis from well worn footwear!

    Like

  8. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    George Rebane | 27 September 2016 at 10:25 AM
    Nope

    Like

  9. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “Sheโ€™s been educated, and tried and tested and practiced with every possibility”
    She sat for and failed the Washington D.C. bar exam, then kept the failure a secret for three decades.

    Like

  10. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    Who won or lost depends on the point of view:
    Sierra Club Statement on the First Presidential Debate
    NEW YORK, NY – Tonight, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump engaged in the first Presidential debate of the general election. During the debate, Secretary Clinton spoke about the profound economic opportunity posed by clean energy, while Donald Trump denied calling climate change a โ€œhoaxโ€ despite using exactly that word on many occasions.
    In response, Sierra Club Executive Director Michael Brune released the following statement:
    โ€œTonightโ€™s debate made it even more clear that Hillary Clinton is the only candidate in this race qualified and prepared to lead our nation, and Donald Trump proved who and what he is: a small-minded man who denies climate science and uses race and bluster to divide this country.
    โ€œThe evidence started from the first sentence, when Hillary Clinton spoke of her commitment to grow the clean energy economy. It was only a few moments later that Trump lied about his own climate denial. Donald Trump is a fraud, and you donโ€™t need to look further than his misguided attempts to deny the climate crisis and then cover his own dirty tracks.
    โ€œItโ€™s not just that Hillary Clinton is running on the strongest climate platform in history and Trump is running on the worst. Its that Trump is the worst, most unstable candidate ever nominated and Clinton is the most qualified, and most prepared to ever be on the ballot.โ€

    As expected! What else would they say?

    Like

  11. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Russ | 27 September 2016 at 11:57 AM
    As expected! What else would they say?

    C’mon Russ give the man a break…..that begging bowl isn’t going to shake itself!

    Like

  12. Walt Avatar

    What? no “jon” claiming Hillary won? More polls than not give it to Trump.
    OK,, that’s my 1.5 cents,, now back to work…

    Like

  13. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Wasn’t Lester Holt the guy who said the Muslim terrorist in Washibgton State over the weekend a “Hispanic male”? The media called the mass murderer a Hispanic. Where is the outrage from the Latino community? Why is no one but one one talking about this horrific act of Islamic terrorism on US soil?
    I knew that no Hispanic would be involved…..er…no Hispanic affiliated with a drug cartel would do that. I did not expect Hillary to say anything about it because she can’t even say the words “Islamic terrorism.”
    https://www.facebook.com/426883867374699/photos/a.539274122802339.1073741824.426883867374699/1199088430154235/?type=3&theater

    Like

  14. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Nowadays, the Left is being extremely tribal, and the singly most solid Identification Friend or Foe issue they have is Anthropogenic Global Warming/Climate Change/Irritable Climate Syndrome. ISIS has “name Mohammed’s mother”, the “Progressive” left has “do you deny climate change”, and “the climate has always been changing” isn’t the answer that means they’ll accept you as a sentient human being worthy of basic rights.
    I know of one spouse of a Tour of Nevada City bike shop employee who trashed the moderate owner up and down during the recent County Super election because he accepted a campaign donation… from a DENIER! Didn’t matter as much that the DENIER was also a Tea Party type, he should have known to throw the donation back. And when I dared to pipe up and defend the skeptic/scoffer point of view, they told me to shut up (literally) so they wouldn’t have to think ill of me.
    I didn’t shut up. Imagine that. No, I don’t think that person ever took a science class beyond a “Your Friend, the Amoeba” life-science-lite to fill a general ed requirement in either high school or JC and has not an inkling of how thin alarmist science actually is.

    Like

  15. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Regarding the October surprise, I’m halfway expecting emails deleted after the congressional subpoena that show duplicity over Benghazi. Or some variation showing contempt of congress and/or lying without shame.
    Time will tell.

    Like

  16. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Scott “Dilbert” Adams blogs about the debate
    http://blog.dilbert.com/post/151007796236/i-score-the-first-debate
    In short, Hill won the debate on points, Donald wins the election.

    Like

  17. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    Bill T @01:24pm
    Interesting photo. Look at this photo on the right side where her neck joins her shoulder, there appears to be a microphone on a thin flesh colored cable the disappears down her back. Your thoughts?
    http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/photos/F/f4f4677b399841038197f78206cd9c76_1.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

    Like

  18. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    Gregory@01:24pm
    I agree, the “October Surprise” will be the smoking gun email that everyone has been looking for. My guess is that Trump knows what is coming and is holding his email accusations for a more appropriate time, to reenforce the smoking gun charge. We will have to wait for the mail to drop. Revealed too soon and the impact will be lost. Needs to be two weeks before the election, even though voting is taking place now in some states.

    Like

  19. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Russ
    How do you suppose Trump would know details of the so called email dump? Perhaps he might be in contact with his Russian buddies.

    Like

  20. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Paul Emery | 27 September 2016 at 03:20 PM
    My…that’s rather “conspiracy theoristy” of you Paul. Thought the cool, rational, and measured left was above that sort of thing. In any case it’s probably much more likely that somebody within federal law enforcement has had a bellyful of the “Chicago Way” currently holding sway in the Justice Department and is making the more damning info available in dribs and drabs to interested parties.
    What do you care anyway…..you’re voting for Johnson?

    Like

  21. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul, there have been multiple rumblings the NSA has everything… I’d bet there are plenty of spooks in the Puzzle Palace that don’t want Clinton as their liar in chief.
    In short, Clinton had amateurs running her email server part time. Most everyone who was serious who wanted in probably did get in.

    Like

  22. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Russ 139
    You got to be kidding… why would someone want Hillary to wear a wire… when everything being said on stage was being repeated worldwide in real time?
    I think you’ve identified her necklace.

    Like

  23. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    Posted by: Paul Emery | 27 September 2016 at 03:20 PM
    Most likely it was a heads-up from Wikileaks. Trump’s advisor with the Russian contacts was fired. That said, I have to agree with fish, it was more likely was a government insider. Many of the DNC IT Staff have been killed. I wonder why? Some shot in the back as they walked down the street.

    Like

  24. Walt Avatar

    Gotta love Hillary demanding fact checking of Trump. Now that the fact checkers have been busy, it’s now showing that she is the one full of donkey shit.

    Like

  25. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Russ @ 1:39 pm: I don’t rightly know for sure. To be fair to all, I plumb do not know what it is. Could be a wrinkle cornrow. The close up photos of her free hand clutching the podium last night was kinda weird. Boy, she sure has bony fingers when she does “the claw”. And when she got surprised by the reporter 2 days ago wearing that full body green jacket during the day in NYC, she put her hand against a big lump around the belly area as she got in the SUV. She looked like she had a piss bag or something under her coat. I don’t about you, but when I bend over to get in a vehicle, my first reaction is not to put my hand on the side of my belly when climbing in. Her other hand was doing the boney fingered claw. Probably nothing, but it would be fitting for her to be walking around on the campaign trail with the ever present bag of piss or bodily fluids and drain tubes from a IV bag doing the drip, drip, drip to keep her stamina up, lol.
    Ok, back to reality.
    https://www.facebook.com/DonaldTrump/photos/a.488852220724.393301.153080620724/10157779138880725/?type=3&theater
    https://www.facebook.com/UncleSamsMisguidedChildren.Net/photos/a.169953786533962.1073741830.169676909894983/558530634342940/?type=3&theater

    Like

  26. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Your link to Newt’s article was very helpful. He always has a good read. Trump won, Hillary lost.,

    Like

  27. fish Avatar
    fish

    I tell you Hillary should be contacting her lawyers now to sue her circle of advisors for malpractice with Robby Mook as the lead defendant.

    “Cooper also asked Machado about reports that she was accused of driving a getaway car from a murder scene soon after the โ€œMiss Universeโ€ pageant.
    โ€œThere are reports that Trump surrogates tonight have been referencing and been pointing to โ€ฆ about an incident in 1998 in Venezuela where you were accused of driving a getaway car from a murder scene. You were never charged with this. The judge in the case also said you threatened to kill him after he indicted your boyfriend for the attempted murder. I just want to give you a chance to respond these reports,โ€ Cooper said.
    Machado responded: โ€œHe can say whatever he wants to say. I donโ€™t care. You know, I have my past, of course everybody has a past. And Iโ€™m no saint girl. But that is not the point now โ€ฆ (Trump) was really rude with me, he tried to destroy my self esteem. And now Iโ€™m a voice in the Latin community. Iโ€™m in a great moment in my life and I have a very clear life.

    Yeah, don’t concern yourself with the attempted murder and all those pornos I made…..we need to discuss my self esteem!
    Hats off to her….she is as vapid and shallow as most Americans…..she’ll do well in the U.S..
    http://www.unz.com/isteve/pro-hillary-beauty-queen-allegation-of-my-involvement-in-attempted-murder-is-not-the-point-now/

    Like

  28. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Rush exposed a lot of this from Breibart. She did not deny she was involved in a murder attempt and a threat against a Judge. Her broken English is also interesting as Hillary has said the woman is more articulate than Trump. She gained 60 pounds after the title and looked very plump. Trump said she looked like Miss Piggy. Same thing. And her porn career will now be boosted as we get to see a Hugo Chavez Miss Piggy getting it on with a rarely available loaf of bread in a Venezuelan super-market.

    Like

  29. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Last two posts (Mr. Fish and Mr Todd): And she is on the Hillary campaign staff now, lol. In crazy related news, pop star Madonda said she will strip for the camera to show support for Hillary. Ah. It’s a bit too late Madonna. 1st, Clinton has lots of other people’s money already and doesn’t need the cash. 2nd, by the time Madonna turned 50, there remained only a handful of souls on the entire planet that haven’t seen Madonna’s exposed breasts. She should have left something for imagination. Too late to put that genie back in the bottle.
    I’ll pass.

    Like

  30. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Todays Reuters poll shows Clinton +4. Last week it was Trump +2. Six percent gain for Clinton after the debate. No need to comment further about who won the debate. Nuff said.
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/

    Like

  31. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    So {Paul, you just blow but the post above? Trump won. On this one he is up 4.
    http://cesrusc.org/election/

    Like

  32. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    The latest National polls since the debate, Reuters, shows Clinton up 6% from the last pre debate polls. Nuff said about who won the debate.

    Like

  33. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    The LA link has always shown Trump in the lead. Be Careful Todd, you will jinx the election. It was you who had Romney up by 6 on election day and he lost by 5. You are not a reliable source.
    Sorry for the double up on my comment. I thought the original didn’t register

    Like

  34. fish Avatar
    fish

    It will be okay Paul…..given the overall (and increasing) nitwittery shown by the citizenry I’m sure there will be a politician occupying the White House in January.

    Like

  35. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Yup Fish. I’m hoping it’s Gary Johnson. There will be a last minute epiphany and we’ll vote Libertarian and scrap the major parties once and for all.

    Like

  36. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Major upswing for Clinton on Nate Silver. Scroll down and you’ll see the upswing since the Debate.
    George, all indications are that Trump dropped a stinky one on Monday night big time. I’m sure tomorrow’s polls will verify the poop.
    This will seal the deal for Clinton in Virginia.
    ” Former Republican Sen. John Warner endorsed Hillary Clinton on Wednesday, calling her โ€œprepared to be a world leader and the United States president.โ€
    The longtime Virginia senator cast the choice between Clinton and Donald Trump as a dire one for world security, saying he felt โ€œdistressed by some of the commentsโ€ made by Trump, though he did not speak Trumpโ€™s name until the end of his speech, when he said: โ€œLoose lips sink ships. You got that Trump?โ€
    Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/john-warner-hillary-clinton-228819#ixzz4LbSnzHvi
    Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook

    Like

  37. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Nate Silver Link-Scroll down for a closer look at the Clinton Surge
    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now

    Like

  38. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 616pm – From your mouth to God’s ear. We have an exciting five weeks ahead for all of us. Not being as astute as you about these things, you will have to excuse that I have not made any such knowledgeable predictions ๐Ÿ˜‰

    Like

  39. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    PAul Emery, the LATimes poll had Hillary up until a couple of weeks ago.
    Nate Silver is up and down. Now I think he has lost his touch.
    Reuters has always had Hillary in the lead.

    Like

  40. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    On 9/10/2015 LATimes had Hillary up 4. So maybe Paul is not looking too close to the polls?

    Like

  41. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Who cares if John Warner endorses her? Nobody. He is part of the problem and Paul emery loves those DC political endorsements. What a hoot.

    Like

  42. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Paul Emery, wow, the debate set Trump back to his poll position at 538 as of Sept 25. How can he ever gain that ground back? The day before the day before yesterday. Ancient history.
    Well, it also turns out Miss Piggy was under contract to keep her figure as it was on the day of the Miss Universe win for her year as Miss Universe (she didn’t, hence the Piggy tag), and has something of a career in hard core porn in the time since, in addition to threatening judges and district attorneys. Hillary needs to pick better Pollyannas.

    Like

  43. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    More important, the USC/LA Times Daybreak poll issued this AM has Trump rising again and Hillary flat. They have a mild bump for Trump and nothing for Hillary.
    http://cesrusc.org/election/
    Tomorrow may be different. That poll gets updated a few minutes after midnight.

    Like

  44. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Madam liar liar pantsuits on fire is the gift that keeps on giving. NY POST- State dept. claims in court it missed the pre debate document release because the State Dept. lawyer did not know out to send an attachment on his new smart phone. Was it one of MLLPF’s missing 18?
    Subjects of the emails in question? THEY SHOW WETHER CLINTON AND HER AIDES WERE TOLD ABOUT THE NEED TO PROTECT CLASSIFIED MATERAL. ๐Ÿ˜‰

    Like

  45. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Did Kapernick just crush the black turnout for MLLPF? ” ..it almost seems like there trying to debate who’s less racist.’ ๐Ÿ˜‰

    Like

  46. Russ Avatar
    Russ

    WHAT THE HELL IS THAT?’ Hillary Clinton was wearing a mysterious box with wires during TV debate with Trump, conspiracy theorists claim in latest bizarre theory
    Eagle-eyed viewers also noticed a clear earpiece attached to the Democrat candidate’s ear on Monday night
    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/1868904/hillary-clinton-was-wearing-a-mysterious-box-with-wires-during-tv-debate-with-trump-conspiracy-theorists-claim-in-latest-bizarre-theory/
    Photos in the article, you decide, was Hillary getting help from afar?

    Like

  47. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    No Russ, Hillary was getting help from the boys with their hands on the buttons from the studio booth, not from afar. ๐Ÿ™‚
    This is one of the truest pics I have ever posted, IMHO.
    https://www.facebook.com/UncleSamsMisguidedChildren.Net/photos/a.169953786533962.1073741830.169676909894983/559145507614786/?type=3&theater

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