Rebane's Ruminations
October 2015
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George Rebane

We have long pointed to the travesty of governance that has totally engulfed California over the past decades, and called out its failures which now have become a tidal wave of destruction.  The Left has identified this effort as the misbegotten complaints of an ignorant clutch living isolated from the glorious realities that define the Golden State as the defender of Earth and succor of the poor and alienated.  As the most recent years have demonstrated, these same people have doubled down on their most destructive policies, and are now determined to spread these across America.  We have a government in Washington only too happy to oblige and force the nation to march in the footsteps of California.

Fortunately, there are still Americans who see the follies of socialism, and in their own words echo what has appeared in these pages.  Unfortunately these same people are having a difficult time getting organized and become a more effective political force to oppose our headlong drive to socialism, that beguiling gateway to comprehensive collectivism.  One of the respected national voices of this cohort is the historian and commentator Victor Davis Hanson.  Yesterday he assembled a compendium of California’s calamities – β€˜Can California Be Saved?’ – that caught the notice of one of our readers – thank you Mr Tozer.  For the record here is an abbreviated summary of Hanson’s points.


1. Crime rates in the state have reversed and are soaring due to the early release of recidivist convicts and the general disrespect for law enforcement that our administration has fostered across the land.

2. In the fifth year of our latest drought (these have occurred regularly over the ages) we suffer extra because Sacramento has not built additional reservoirs to conserve additional water for its additional population.  Our legislators β€œprefer to designate transgender restrooms, ban plastic bags at grocery stores, and prohibit pet dogs from chasing bears and bobcats.”

3. Our state β€œCalifornia endures some of the highest gasoline taxes, sales taxes, and income taxes in the nation. Yet its roads and public schools rate near the very bottom of U.S. rankings.”  And traffic accidents are up 13% in the last three years.

4. In LA with our highest population of illegal aliens β€œalmost half of all accidents are hit-and-run where the drivers leave the scene.”

5. β€œCalifornia has lots of petroleum and natural gas”, and we used to set the pace in building hydroelectric and nuclear power plants.  Today Sacramento’s idiots have made our electricity and gasoline prices β€œamong the highest in the nation.”

6. California is following Detroit by β€œgrowing government it cannot pay for, shorting the middle classes, hiking taxes but providing shoddy services and infrastructure in return” and β€œobsessing over minor bumper-sticker issues while ignoring existential crises.”

And why has all this happened and why are the insanities proceeding apace?  Hanson collects the causes.

1. β€œThe cause is political.  California is a one party state, without any serious audit of authorities in power.”  Assembly – 52 Ds and 28 Rs; Senate – 26 Ds and 14 Rs.

2. All the state’s executive officers are Democrats as are overwhelmingly its delegation to Washington.

3. The once bipartisan purple has turned β€œbright blue” resulting in higher taxes and regs that have driven out small businesses and hundreds of thousands of middle-class voters to states like no-tax Nevada, Texas, and Florida.

4. Today the state is β€œdevolved into a pyramid of the coastal wealthy and interior poor – the dual constituencies of the new progressive movement.”

5. A third of America’s welfare recipients live here with a quarter of Californians living below the poverty line while the state boasts the most billionaires living in a β€œthin coastal corridor (that) has become a tony La-La land unto itself.”

6. The poorer in the interior β€œrequire ever more public services” for which the coastal rich don’t mind paying the β€œnecessary higher taxes, while the strapped, shrinking middle class suffers or flees.”

7. Demographically California is young and dumb, fielding median age 35 voters who are easy targets for the socialist screeds.

8. California hosts the most illegal aliens and foreign-born residents who form ill-informed β€œimmigrant groups (that) are likewise traditional liberal constituencies, at least in the early generations.”

9. Wealth in California is today made in β€œhigh-tech, social media, the Internet, government employment, academia, lawyering, and acting”, and not in β€œthe old-fashioned way – mining, timber, ranching, farming, and construction.”

10. Today β€œProfits usually involve programming, investing, financing, hedging, talking, dealing, suing, instructing, and regulating.”

And today we add to this list the AB32 spawned green regulations and subsidized jobs which put another knot into California’s economy based on hysterical science politically subscribed.

Hanson finally asks if California could change back to a sustainable social order.  I’ll let you read his β€˜only if’ answers and see what you think.  My answer remains a more doleful and dour NFW.

[24oct15 update]  As if to rub in the above analysis of California’s self-inflicted woes, we now hear reports of our neighbor to the east experiencing a surge in businesses and manufactories establishing themselves there to enjoy a more conducive tax and regulatory environment.  Reno is welcoming tens of new enterprises big and small that will use a nearby jurisdictional boundary to gain the best part of both worlds – Nevada’s pro-business clime and proximity to California’s high population markets. (more here)  In fact, because of California’s socialists, things are so good in Nevada that places like Reno are shifting their economies away from being casino-centric to enterprises that will generate even more wealth, jobs, and tax revenues.  Meanwhile the numbnuts in Sacramento, with approving nods from their know-nothing local lackies, continue putting forth more programs to perpetuate poordom that will be funded by our never-care coastal rich and our overtaxed, shrinking middle class.

For readers familiar with the Gini Index of wealth/income distribution, I leave as an exercise to draw the perverse shape of California’s Lorenz curve which our progressives are promoting as they continue to demagogue wealth inequality to our gruberized electorate.

But California’s liberal plague will continue as this bit of wisdom from Maxine will attest.

Maxine_2015

Posted in , , , ,

127 responses to “‘Can California be Saved?’ (updated 24oct15)”

  1. larry wirth Avatar
    larry wirth

    Thanks, Steven! While you’re about it, how ’bout you also retrieve my similar analysis of transportation fuel supply, you know the one about 62% of CA’s petro also being imported, mostly from Ecuador and Alaska ’cause gasoline from Texas can’t be burned in CA (which is why the 10″ gasoline pipeline in my back yard goes to Mexico). Thanks again.

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  2. don bessee Avatar
    don bessee

    As usual Frisch ducks the point that production here means high paying jobs that pump real money into the system. We don’t produce the stuff so we don’t get the taxes or economic stimulus the good old fashioned ways. There a number of labor unions that do not subscribe to your economic wishes that its fine we have to buy out of state and kill the industry here.

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  3. don bessee Avatar
    don bessee

    Frischy- ‘commodities markets know no political boundaries.’ Really? Might want to tell that to the Europeans (especially eastern NATO countries) and Gazprom as well as North Korea, Russia, Iran and so on. Great party line rhetoric that as usual ignores the realities that apply in the real world.

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  4. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: don bessee | 25 October 2015 at 04:15 PM
    Seriously, the statement that ‘commodities know no political boundaries’ is a ‘party line’ statement?
    Iran is signing a nuclear deal so they can sell oil, plain and simple. Iranian oil will compete with Iraqi and Saudi oil and it s price will be set by the global market.
    Russian natural gas will flow to eastern and western Europe as long as they buy it, and when and if it ever gets cut off for political reasons, Europe will buy natural gas from a global market. The price will spike, new system to deliver the commodity will be developed, and prices will fall.
    I can think of few things more agnostic than commodities. That is the real world.

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  5. George Rebane Avatar

    Stack & Pack coming to Nevada County as the feds implement Agenda21. To get a snoot full, please attend the BoS hearing next Tuesday (27oct15) at 1:30 pm in the Rood Center. Let your voice be heard.
    In the meanwhile you can listen to the progressives deny that this has anything to do with A21 as the onerous stack of laws/regs/codes grow to make life difficult living on low density acreage.

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  6. Russ Steele Avatar
    Russ Steele

    George Rebane — 25 October 2015 at 05:56 PM
    I found this on the CABPRO web page.
    Alert October 27th BOS meeting – Public hearing to consider the Nevada County Planning Commission’s August 27, 2015 3-1 (1 recusal) recommendation for the Housing Element Rezone Program Implementation Project and the Lockyer case.
    The rezone plan calls for zoning to provide for a minimum of 699 (340 in Grass Valley, 81 in Penn Valley, and 338 in Lake of the Pines = 759) high-density residential zoning at 16 units per acre minimum. The Brunswick Basin and Lake of the Pines are of particular concern. See Item 27 and the supporting documents on the Board of Supervisors meeting agenda. Note the Significant and Unavoidable Impacts listed in Staff Report and see the maps outlining where the units are to be built. Please read the article Smart city re-engineering your neighborhood? by Chuck Frank for a recap of what happened at the Planning Commission’s meeting when this plan was given the green light. You’ll find other important information regarding this issue in the article as well.

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  7. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Nice try, Steve:

    California’s politicians would like you to believe that their electricity comes from non-coal sources. However, while there are very few coal plants in California, making up only 0.4 percent of the state’s generation in 2014[i], California imports electricity from neighboring states and as much as half of Southern California’s electric generation comes from coal-fired generating plants in Utah, New Mexico, and Arizona.[ii] Although California is pushing electric vehicles, wanting 1.5 million on the road by 2025,the greenhouse gas savings from their use will be minuscule if electricity continues to be generated mainly from imports of coal-fired generation and natural gas that supplies the state with 60 percent of its electricity. California intends to become coal-free when its coal contracts expire in 2027 and when its carbon law requires compliance.
    http://instituteforenergyresearch.org/analysis/californias-hidden-coal-use/

    There’s known coal deposits good for a few centuries of use, and following the usual economic laws as coal becomes more expensive per kilowatt-hour, it will eventually become more expensive than alternative energy generation. That isn’t now; sustainability in Frisch-speak doesn’t mean we’re running out of coal, it means Frisch’s side is making it illegal because the sky is falling.
    Perhaps Frisch can share the reasons he thinks folk like Freeman Dyson are wrong and the Michael Manns are right. Hint… it ain’t the data.

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  8. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: Gregory | 25 October 2015 at 06:25 PM
    Man you sure can pick the sources to trust Greg.
    The Institute for Energy Research is a libertarian front group posing as a research institution funded by the American Petroleum Institute and a who’s who of right wing funders and industry groups, led by former Enron public policy director Robert Brady (remember the guy who gave California de-regulation and crashed energy markets sending Enron to court for fraud).
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Institute_for_Energy_Research
    Their partner organization the American Energy Alliance is a paid lobbyist for the petroleum and coal industry.
    As opposed to the CEC and CPUC who are required to publish all of their research and data and are legally able to maintain that information accurately.
    Its true that we previously relied on many of the coal generation plants referenced in the report from SNL/IER, but we have largely divested, and reduced reliance on coal. The amount we use depends upon other operations of our power mix but it has been shrinking every year.
    And yes, I would love to make coal significantly cleaner with CCS or other technologies to reduce GHG emissions. I am not against coal per se, I am against the emissions.

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  9. Walt Avatar

    As predicted… Nothing but crickets. Neither ECO fanatic will touch the fact that the “experts” cooked to books. (“adjusted” data)
    Another “fact”. Wind power generators can’t even pay for themselves before they wear out.
    Yup, REALLY “sustainable”.
    Those monster solar farms need to burn something else just to break even.
    Ivanpaw power is a prime example.
    Damn those pesky facts that keep getting in the way of “feelings”, and misplaced beliefs.
    As long as the taxpayer foots the bill, this ECO crap will continue.

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  10. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Standard attack the source drivel from Frisch. Yes, it’s going to be people who aren’t in the same political tank as you are. I noticed, and so did everyone else, you didn’t actually pick a statement to refute, you just attacked them.
    In the meantime, the National Center for Atmospheric Research put their new supercomputing center in Wyoming where the electricity is cheap due to coal. They may be running general circulation models for climategaters and friends but as long as the electricity is cheap, why not?
    Why didn’t they put the facility in Arizona or New Mexico or the Mojave Desert and install PV panels around it for as far as the eye can see…? Maybe because they wanted to run the computers 24 hours a day, not just in the middle of the day.

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  11. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    I stand by my statement and cited my sources.

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  12. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Your statement is an empty one, Steve; your standard argumentum ad hominem, attacking the source rather than refuting the message. Par for your course.
    California remains a heavy user of coal but the powers that be, and their toadies like Frisch, try to obfuscate the issue because they need the fiction that coal can be shut down without driving up California’s costs dramatically. It’s the end game now, Steve; the future is all pain and no gain.
    “Sustainability” that requires a belief in catastrophic global warming to define itself, and not a scarcity of a commodity, will not survive the end of the AGW scare and neither will the One Party State in Sacramento. Dyson is absolutely correct; Obama and the Democratic Party chose the wrong side of the climate debate, and the GOP chose the correct side… it has nothing to do with the overall understanding of science in particular or in general by either side which is agonizingly light… it’s just the climate scare conveniently herded the electorate in a direction the progressive left had been wanting to drive the electorate for decades.

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  13. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    On page 23 of the attached Environmental Assessment for the National Center for Atmospheric Research the EA states that the facility os getting its power from the 29 MW Happy Jack wind farm located 5 miles west of the Center.
    http://nsf.gov/geo/ags/envcomp/nwsc_ea_feb_17_2010.pdf
    πŸ™‚

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  14. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: Gregory | 25 October 2015 at 07:50 PM
    yet I am citing my sources…the CEC the CPUC the EA for the NCAR…that ain’t ad hominem Greg, them is facts.
    What do you have a report from a think tank funded by big coal and big oil.

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  15. Jon Avatar
    Jon

    Preparing for Agenda 21, a fine American with an uncanny resemblance to Walt.
    http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2015/10/south_carolina_man_gun_hoarder.html

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  16. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Jon | 25 October 2015 at 08:28 PM
    …..bitchy even by your standards! Maybe pace yourself a bit on a Sunday night Chardy bender?
    ,

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  17. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    the CEC and CPUC are political entities run by political appointees; just because they are “public” doesn’t mean they’re correct and without guile or a political agenda, Steve, and you are rejecting the statements by the source I found only because you don’t like their politics and business.
    I cited a source, they had what seemed to be claims that could be justified, and you attacked not the claims but their politics and business. Par for the Steven Frisch course.

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  18. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: Gregory | 25 October 2015 at 08:50 PM
    Greg I am rejecting your source because the data they provided in the SNL report does not match the data on electricity generation from the CPUC and CEC.
    These are agencies and processes I work with every day.
    I know what their processes and standards are. Their public process and peer review is extremely rigorous. Reports are required to be be checked internally by independent audits and reviews. Documents and technical reports are published then reviewed by every side of each issue they deal with. They have everyone from WSPA and the California Manufacturing Association on one side to the Utility Reform Network and NRDC on the other end of the spectrum and numerous stakeholders in between in their business. They are legally liable for the findings in their technical reports.
    The SNL report was not even peer reviewed. It just so happens they are also paid mouthpieces of one part of industry.

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  19. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    This is for Steve:
    “A minimum of 10 percent of the power provided to the facility will be wind energy from the nearby Happy Jack Wind Farm. NCAR and UCAR will continue to explore options to increase the percentage of renewable energy provided to the facility in future years.”
    https://www2.ucar.edu/atmosnews/news/8122/ncar-wyoming-supercomputing-center-opens
    So, Steve, you’re good with the other 90% being coal and cheap fracked gas, eh?
    The local utility, a subsidiary of a big gas and coal operation, Black Hills Corporation, hopes to get 10% of its energy from the wind farm,, when the wind doesn’t blow or the wind farm is iced over, it will be 100% carbon based, including that cheap Wyoming coal. It’s what keeps the local electricity rates way below those of California. The wind farm is window dressing.

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  20. don bessee Avatar
    don bessee

    Frischy is sourcing Saturday Night Live? πŸ˜‰

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  21. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: don bessee | 25 October 2015 at 10:39 PM
    Don, I think you just clearly proved that you don’t actually click through links to go to the original source material.
    https://www.snl.com/InteractiveX/Article.aspx?cdid=A-34113318-14128

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  22. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “Greg I am rejecting your source because the data they provided in the SNL report does not match the data on electricity generation from the CPUC and CEC.”-Frisch
    In other words, when information from a private source conflicts with data from California departments run by Jerry Brown appointees that Frisch works with, one should believe the Brown appointees. Actually showing the error by the evil outsiders is therefore not needed.
    Let’s also revisit what Steve thought was a gotcha… “National Center for Atmospheric Research [states] that the facility os getting its power from the 29 MW Happy Jack wind farm located 5 miles west of the Center.”
    What the NCAR document actually stated was

    Among the
    generating stations serving the company’s customers is
    the 29 MW Happy Jack Wind Farm located approximately
    5 miles west of the NRBP (Figure 3-8). The wind farm ge
    nerates renewable electric pow
    er using an array of wind
    turbines. Electrical power for the NRBP is distributed
    from the Happy Jack Power Substation (Figure 3-9), which
    is located near the northwestern corner of the NRBP pr
    operty. A high voltage transmission line extends from the
    Happy Jack Power Substation across the NRBP property from we
    st to east in a corridor south of Prosperity Drive.

    In other words, the Happy Jack Substation is just a node of the local grid, and the wind farm is just a fig leaf for the NCAR facility that will indeed get most of its power from the conventional generation powering the grid. Further bad news… CHeyenne power and light wind generation got only 5.8% of its energy from the two wind plants it has in its grid (Happy Jack and Silver Sage), a fraction of the amounts NCAR was hoping for. Another chimera for Frisch to genuflect towards.
    http://www.puc.sd.gov/commission/energy/epa/2014-12-01BlackHillsCorporationComments111dFINAL.pdf
    In addition, Frisch attacks SNL for being shills for those bad guys… someone clue SNL’s customers…
    “As a result, leading investment banks, investment managers, corporate executives, ratings agencies, government agencies, consulting firms, law firms and media such as The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Washington Post, Forbes and Fortune rely on S&P Capital IQ and SNL for the best possible information on the companies in our sectors.”

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  23. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Steven Frisch | 25 October 2015 at 09:27 PM
    The SNL report was not even peer reviewed. It just so happens they are also paid mouthpieces of one part of industry.

    You better hope the hoi polloi never finds out just what a scam “peer review” has become.

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  24. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Fish, what Frisch was calling “peer review” was, in essence, just having someone else in the office read it. Expect SNL does the same. In fact, virtually every work product of mine at every company I ever worked for was reviewed.

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  25. George Rebane Avatar

    A little piling on re ‘peer review’. Something being cited as having been peer reviewed impresses the non-technical layman about as much as does consensus science. The overwhelming fraction of published peer reviewed papers turn out to be wrong as revealed in subsequent work and publications. But alas, that is all that those who don’t know are left with if they want to enter conversations about topics beyond their ken. Since consensus science and peer reviewed assertions are all that they are left with, their admonitions should therefore be appropriately weighted when these are included in the debate.

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  26. fish Avatar
    fish

    Posted by: Gregory | 26 October 2015 at 11:53 AM
    “Peer Review” in a lot of instances is a little bit like receiving the “Certified Kosher” seal of approval. Again the layman thinks there is out there somewhere a rabbi making sure that all the proper forms are obeyed when in actuality it’s some flockless noob sitting on a barstool reading the NY Times and waving to the food as it makes its way down the processing line.
    Posted by: George Rebane | 26 October 2015 at 12:56 PM
    Yes and using ignorance of the term by the rabble to lend heft to his arguments. You say “peer review” and most people think that there is somewhere a panel of experts sitting round the table judiciously reviewing the facts and methodology of the paper in question…..not just some newly hired Phd suddenly on the “Publish or Perish” treadmill e-mailing acquaintances begging reviews with promises to reciprocate in the future.

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