Rebane's Ruminations
June 2015
S M T W T F S
 123456
78910111213
14151617181920
21222324252627
282930  

ARCHIVES


OUR LINKS


YubaNet
White House Blog
Watts Up With That?
The Union
Sierra Thread
RL “Bob” Crabb
Barry Pruett Blog

George Rebane

Given the 25jun15 SCOTUS ruling on ACA, I had to rush off a post on it since RR's readership will not sit idly by and let an occasion like this pass without extensive discussion and debate.  And this happening may even fit into these thoughts that I’ll try to weave together on equally impactive geo-political goings on.

William Galston, left-leaning observer and columnist picks up on RR’s ‘beyond the tipping point’ assertion in his ‘Modern Autocrats Are on the March’.  Therein he cites David Clark of UK’s Henry Jackson Society who argues that “the great wave of global democratic change that began in the mid-1970s—doubling the number of electoral democracies in the space of three decades—has come to an end. Instead, we are now confronted with a powerful authoritarian backlash that is reversing some of these gains and encouraging a resurgence of anti-democratic ideas.”

This according to many of us, including Galston, who have observed geo-political maneuverings over the last decade or so makes clear that while “the rise of violent Islamism has transfixed the world, another, graver threat—21st-century autocracy—is gathering strength. In the long run, it is sophisticated autocrats, not bearded zealots, who pose the greater menace to democracy.”  By this is meant that these sophisticated autocrats are not some conservative or progressive knuckle-draggers wanting to return to yesteryear, but instead are elites who take into account globalization, rising prosperity and digital communications, and, according to Clark, they have developed “new techniques of control and new justifications for monopolizing power that enable autocratic leaders to resist pressure for democratic change.”

As we know, democracy is not a naturally occurring form of governance, and pure democracy is now the established tool of would be tyrants as the enthusiastically swallowed preamble to tyranny.  Today these elites “adeptly manipulate the façade of democratic procedures” to “co-opt their countries’ rising middle-classes.”  This is most evident in the Asian autocracies that preach to their citizens their cultural exceptionalism in the expression and practice of their ‘Asian values’.  And I agree with Clark that “the rise of the new authoritarianism shows that democracy is not the inevitable outgrowth of modernization and economic development.”  To confirm this we need look no further than our own shores.


Columbia University’s Alexander Cooley puts a bow around the entire new authoritarian movement, observing the use of “post 9/11 counter-terrorism norms to suppress domestic dissent.”   An effective means toward this future is in their creation of “a network of pseudo-NGOs including false election monitors.”  And the more the west withdraws from its awareness, its investigation and reporting of these happenings, the more certainly its own countries (of the EU, North America, New Zealand, Australia, …) will be the inevitable targets of such enlarging authoritarian orders.  And most of those who are paying attention know that we are already well on our way (again consider how our government has transformed toward the authoritarian model).

A contributing socio-economic factor that will enable these autocrats is the public’s increasing awareness of the rise of systemic unemployment.  Popular outlets like The Atlantic are now publishing comprehensive reports and analyses with titles like ‘A World Without Work’.  These articles are full of numbers that tell the tale of fewer and fewer workers at companies with huge market valuations bringing in revenues that dwarfed the manufactories and service bureaus of yesterday with ten times as many employees.  And they cite well-known officials, executives, and economists who some years back thought that warnings of machines reducing the net jobs available to humans were a “Luddite fallacy”; they are now changing their minds in droves.

Nevertheless, what we can bet the ranch on is that masses of un/der-employed will be extremely receptive to political demogauges of the autocratic bent who promise them a new order in which everyone will work, and everyone will once more be relevant.   And again, we see it happening today, right here in River City.

The final goad to trading everything for security comes from Islam and its radical elements making progress – especially in the face of now obvious lies from the Obama administration – in the goal to set up its much awaited caliphate starting in the Middle East and Africa.  For the rest of us who prefer western civilization, the question has been and remains ‘what are the sentiments of the millions of Muslims who already legally live among us?’  The record of their acts, actions, and speech have not been a comfort, and their aired promises through the internet and from their state sponsors do not portend well – it will still be ‘Accept Allah, or die!’

So what are the sentiments of, say, American Muslims?  This question is polled and studied only at its margins, even by reputed polling companies like Pew Research Center.  These attitudes are highly in flux with the continuous stream of news about the latest bombings, beheadings, mass executions, and territorial gains by ISIS and the Taliban.  But for such an important and ongoing inter-civilizational conflict, the polling is surprisingly sparse and conducted with softball questionnaires that substantially miss the mark.  However, one not too well known right-leaning think tank, Center for Security Policy, has dared to step into that breech and ask at least some of the right questions that concern the rest of us.

The CSP poll conducted by The Polling Company should raise more than eyebrows in America.  You can read the entire report and also the poll’s questionnaire here.  A summary of the main findings of America’s Muslim sentiments and attitudes include –  

• a majority (51%) agreed that “Muslims in America should have the choice of being governed according to shariah.”

• More than half (51%) of U.S. Muslims polled also believe either that they should have the choice of American or shariah courts, or that they should have their own tribunals to apply shariah. Only 39% of those polled said that Muslims in the U.S. should be subject to American courts.

• nearly a quarter of the Muslims polled believed that, “It is legitimate to use violence to punish those who give offense to Islam by, for example, portraying the prophet Mohammed.” • Nearly one-fifth of Muslim respondents said that the use of violence in the United States is justified in order to make shariah the law of the land in this country.

Pew Research reports that there are three million Muslims in the US, or almost 1% of our population.  Even if the above poll results are even approximately on the mark, these findings reveal that there are hundreds of thousands of Muslims in our midst with values and mores that are radically different from our own.  And as we have seen, here and elsewhere in the world, Islam is not a religion of peace, never has been, and today according to its leading thinkers and theologians, Islam demands a harsh allegiance of all followers of Allah.

The violence perpetrated by the spontaneous radicalization of one or two Muslims in a larger population is well known here and around the world.  But the most worrisome absence is that there is no visible hew and cry from the so-called moderate Muslims in America to continually denounce the violence and civil variances of their zealous brethren.  All is quiet on the western front, until … .  Meanwhile, our leadership in Washington tells us a steady stream of fairy tales about Islam’s nature, objectives, and reach.

So to bring it full circle, what happens when the next jihadist attack again kills thousands of Americans?  We have in place the legal machinery to move the country firmly into an authoritarian form of governance from which exits, even if they exist, are unknown.  And to make sure that no indigenous protest by Americans will be successful, I invite you to monitor Jade Helm (q.v.) which starts in about two weeks.

 

Posted in , , , , ,

69 responses to “The Tangled Threads of Our Times”

  1. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: Todd Juvinall | 28 June 2015 at 01:45 PM
    “We are at war with them are we not?”
    We are at war with who? Afghanistan? Iraq? Syria? Libya?
    Are we at war with a religion without a specific state? Only certain portions of that religion or all of that religion?
    Did we declare war under either the power of Congress or the War Powers Act of 1973? If so whom did we declare war on?

    Like

  2. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: Gregory | 28 June 2015 at 01:49 PM
    here is your second chance George….7 minutes.

    Like

  3. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    I seem to recall Al Queda declared war on us and now Islamic State.

    Like

  4. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: Todd Juvinall | 28 June 2015 at 01:53 PM
    Third chance George…11 minutes.

    Like

  5. George Rebane Avatar

    SteveF 1242pm – Not sure I understand your use of “modeling”.
    Re Greg’s 149pm and my 151pm; I believe that 149pm < 151pm.
    Gregory 202pm – what has that got to do with this post’s topic? Please take this to the sandbox, and make sure people know who is being asked the question. Not everyone follows your exchanges in detail.

    Like

  6. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: Todd Juvinall | 28 June 2015 at 01:55 PM
    But Al Queda and the Islamic State are not nations. Can we declare war on a movement?

    Like

  7. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Reading the excellent new policy I believe the following question meets and exceeds the new reality:
    Pyramiding, diverting money withheld for payroll taxes into your pockets is a fraudulent practice according to the IRS… yes or no?

    Like

  8. George Rebane Avatar

    StevenF 200pm – I believe we can. We declared war on Communism, and probably other -isms which we proactively attacked, assaulted, prohibited, and generally attempted to diminish their effect on us.

    Like

  9. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: George Rebane | 28 June 2015 at 01:55 PM
    Re: the ‘model’ question:
    http://www.thefreedictionary.com/model
    “5. One serving as an example to be imitated or compared: a model of decorum. See Synonyms at ideal.”
    Re: your 1:49pm < 1:51 pm, I was counting from when you posted the rules as a new post, but in the interest of comity let’s just call it 1:51 pm 🙂

    Like

  10. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Sorry George, with the small tablet I’m using i thought this was the sandbox.

    Like

  11. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Red China’s communists are a small percentage of the total population but they are in charge. They sent hundreds of thousands of their own citizens into North Korea to attack the Americans and UN forces in the early fifties. Now since most of those fighters China conscripted were not communists but just peasants that makes the issue of war with a state kind of problematic (a good lib term).
    Al Queda and Islamic State are infecting many countries and we now see Tunisia and France attacked this week. The Islamic states that harbor the head choppers are subject to the Bush Doctrine. So yes, we can go getum. And their immigrants to America would be placed under the same scrutiny as FDR did to the Japanese.
    Regarding this new term “modeling”. Seems to me to be another phony baloney use of a good word for liberal shenanigans. I like modeling by attractive women mtself.

    Like

  12. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: Todd Juvinall | 28 June 2015 at 02:31 PM
    It never even occurred to me that the fact that some words in the English language have multiple meanings and that analysis of the context might be required to understand which meaning was intended would pose a problem.

    Like

  13. George Rebane Avatar

    StevenF 357pm – I plead a little calcification on my part when you used modelING to mean creating a reusable template of rules – a perfectly correct use with the ING appendage. ‘Model’ itself would not have confused me as a label for a template (physical, verbal, mathematical), but for me modeling had always meant either creating math/computer models, or people showing off new attire to potential buyers. Silly me.
    But on another soapbox, I am a devoted advocate of extending the language and minimizing the use of multi-meaning words. In technical fields we have done so for years with great profit.

    Like

  14. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: George Rebane | 28 June 2015 at 02:03 PM
    George, we have declared war on drugs and poverty as well, but metaphorical ‘wars’ seem to be outside the intent of the Congressional powers or the War Powers Act on 1973.
    I think the declaration of the War on Terror immediately after the September 11, 2001 attacks poses some serious questions of international and national law.
    George W. Bush declared the “War on Terror” on September 20, 2001. At that time, according to both Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney, we did not know who had perpetrated the 9-11 attacks, we had strong suspicion but not enough proof to definitively prove, nor did President Bush announce who had perpetrated the attacks. President declared that the “War on Terror” will not end until every terrorist group of global reach has been found, stopped and defeated.”
    Does this really mean “every terrorist group”? Does this include the Shining Path and other groups outside of the Middle East? Does it include the Aryan Nation in the United States? Does it authorize the use of military force within the United States to achieve its ends? Clearly Bush did not mean groups outside of the coterie of Islamic terrorist groups that perpetrated the 9-11 attacks, but his declaration was so vague it could have included violation of the posse comitatus act. Clearly he did not mean that either, but the question is is such a vague declaration legal?
    By the way, the main argument against allowing declarations of war or armed conflict against entities less than a state, is that in such a ‘war’ enemy combatants can be almost anyone and reside almost anywhere. Thus if the powers granted the Executive included the power to wage war forever, as the Bush declaration implies, and against such a wide range of opponents, if an American citizen contributed money to Al Qaeda, and they lived in Penn Valley, under current law they could be secretly declared a combatant and shot on the street.
    I find it hard to believe that you would be concerned about Jade Helm and allow such a broad declaration at the same time.

    Like

  15. George Rebane Avatar

    StevenF 454pm – For years I have excoriated the notion of “Declaring war on terror” and will not repeat my voluminous arguments about the wrongheadedness and futility of declaring war on a tactic – e.g. WW2 was a war on the mechanized division – butt stupid construction and wrong. I have long maintained, and now many authors and writers have joined me, that we are engaged in a centuries long civilizational war that saw its last battle in Vienna in 1683. For a number of reasons (another topic) the war has now resumed, and the only and perfectly suited weapon that Islam has against the highly structured liberal west is ad hoc terror not sourced from any single sovereign nation-state.
    We are fighting a trans-national autocratic belief system very similar in its form and function to communism. We should understand, fear, and respect that belief system; its adherents have no historical betters in their willingness to sacrifice themselves for their god and paradise – they believe themselves to be agents of ultimate good on Earth. They are also ‘end timers’, and as such are impossible to negotiate with, especially when you consider their constant, lavish, and visible use of takyah when dealing with the west.
    Liberal nations of the Westphalian persuasion are not structured ideologically or in their governance to successfully prosecute such a conflict. And more so if they contain a ‘fifth column’ dedicated to weaken/overthrow the only weapon which can disintegrate fundamentalist Islam – cultural capitalistic wealth generation. But then, I’ve circled this barn early and often. Now others are agreeing. Will and Ariel Durant educated us to all that over 50 years ago – how soon we forget.

    Like

  16. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    Posted by: George Rebane | 28 June 2015 at 06:23 PM
    You might find it surprising George that in many ways I agree with you. I do not believe we can declare war on a tactic either. I believe we should be fighting radical Islamic terrorists, and rooting them out where they take hold. I also agree that nation state like Afghanistan that allowed the terrorists to operate at will within their borders need to be brought to heel.
    I also agree with you that in the end the strategy that will work will be the spread of capitalism.
    I think our difference of opinion would be over how we spread capitalism and what brand of capitalism it is. For example, I would posit that the beast way to spread capitalism in Iran is to get them to agree to never produce a nuclear weapon then bury them in western influenced capitalism to the point that their people will never agin countenance a government that is a state sponsor of terrorism.
    I also think we might differ on how deeply embedded in the Islamic religious movement the apocalyptic vision of terrorism really is; I would contend that it is a radical minority fundamentalist movement that is not widely held by most Muslims. Our greatest allies against this sect would be the very Muslim people’s and governments that they also threaten.
    I think we also might differ on who constitutes a ‘fifth column’ in this discussion.

    Like

  17. George Rebane Avatar

    StevenF 657pm – Well said Steve. These are all points that we can sort out in depth and at a dignified pace. The only thing I see that will get our mutual adrenalin pumps going is the advent of Nov 2016. I think we both have strong feelings about the contending natures of a desirable outcome.
    The only item that pulls a quick response from me is your assertion of the sequence of 1) first to “get them to agree to never produce a nuclear weapon 2) THEN bury them in western influenced capitalism “. That seems to be a backward (impossible?) approach to me. Their populations longing for western riches and accoutrements need to be persuaded first on a different vision of the good life before they will agree to strategically weaken themselves. I hold with George Friedman’s analysis that the mid-east’s major near term struggle will be between Turkey and Iran as to who will become the Islamic hegemon – Iran sees its path through zealous faith, Turkey, until recently, saw their path through secular governance and capitalism.

    Like

  18. Steven Frisch Avatar
    Steven Frisch

    The more I type the more I realize I need a new laptop.

    Like

  19. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Costco online is the best bet for notebook computers. Don’t buy elsewhere without a firm promise they will take it back if there are any bad pixels.
    Costco will issue refund for the asking within 90 days for any reason whatsoever.

    Like

Leave a comment