Rebane's Ruminations
June 2015
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George Rebane

Economic development in Nevada County must address what many of us see as the three legs of the county’s existing economy – IT based industry, tourism, and retirees.  Absent public service employees, these are the three main cash importers.  There are initiatives in place to attract more IT companies through increased broadband availability and a new business incubator in the plans.

But not much is being done to boost the other two areas.  (Yesterday’s NC Bike Race Classic was a sad commentary on tourism.)  Additionally, aging retirees who want to downsize from their big houses on acres of land are forced to seek their next abodes elsewhere (quality condos, smaller houses in protected neighborhoods, variable care communities, …).  Tourism is suffering because we don’t have enough quality beds at reasonable prices to attract more weekend visitors who want to attend evening performances from our rich palette of cultural offerings – Music in the Mountains, In Concert Sierra, Center for the Arts, theaters, the fairground, … .

RLCrabb150621People driving up here from the flats would rather have a nice dinner, attend a performance (or two), perhaps enjoy an after dinner libation, and then hit the sack instead of driving two plus hours, tired and three sheets to the wind, to get back home.  They would much rather wake up refreshed, have a good breakfast or brunch, and then be on their way.  The boost to our economy that such a weekend agenda would provide, multiplied a thousand times, is not hard to imagine.  Another decent hotel or two, and a proper performance center would fit the bill nicely.

But in addition to the intrinsic financial risks that such projects normally entail, our county and cities add on their own regulatory and procedural burdens as recently pointed by our RL Bob Crabb in the nearby cartoon filched from The Union.  Our electeds deny all this by putting the onus on those dumb and good-for-nothing outsiders who are not bellying up to the Planning Department counters with their project plans.  But reality advises otherwise, Nevada County’s ‘development friendly’ reputation is known far and wide.  And without our chambers of commerce and planning jurisdictions actively simplifying the development processes, and then inviting people to come up here and see the opportunities, nothing much more will happen in these woods.  Tourists won’t come and retirees will continue to leak out at greater than replacement rates.

Anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is in the news again with the Pope’s controversial encyclical and the next UN global warming conference in the fall.  Here on RR the debate between the Skeptics and True Believers has revived in spades to the point where one reader (True Believer) has challenged another reader (Skeptic) to a public debate in which the TB promises to maximally embarrass the Skeptic, presumably by exposing the Skeptic’s case allegedly based on both weak science and a fundamental misunderstanding of the involved science.  Here are my two cents on this challenge.

The problem is that the TB has no technical credentials and bases his belief in AGW on politically sponsored reports, at least twice removed, that cite discredited datasets, ignore major areas of science impacting earth’s climate, and evince profound ignorance about the design, care, and feeding of complex climate models (the so-called General Circulation Models, GCMs).  At the same time the Skeptic is a scientifically read and astute engineer, fully credentialed with multiple degrees that attest his technological pedigree.  I began thinking about the conduct of such a media reported/recorded debate, and who would derive what profit from it.  The bottom line is that I couldn’t think of any way that such a debate between those two would shed useful light on the issue, or in any way contribute toward a resolution of it in the minds of its most likely audience.

This conclusion is abetted when we consider the TB’s more complete resume that includes being a well-practiced and rehearsed activist for almost all the leftwing causes and initiatives that have made California into the taxed, regulated, indebted, and economic basket case that it is today.  The TB will have no alternative but to spout today’s made-simple for broad, unread audiences, and politicized ‘consensus science’.  And the Skeptic will be forced to take his refuting arguments to the next technical levels where few, if any, will be able to follow – all the while the TB baselessly disparaging every one of those arguments in a manner that elicits uncritical nodding heads among the gruberized, and leaves the others numb.  Everyone knows that such audiences have been meticulously prepared to either ignore or mistrust all uncomfortable and confrontational arguments about AGW aka global warming aka climate change.

What’s more disturbing is that the entire True Believer society has for some time been quite comfortable with the way their message has massaged the masses.  Team Gore, to their strategic credit, even refuses to put their best scientists on a stage with skeptical scientists to discuss the evidence in front of a technically knowledgeable audience.  While the skeptics contend every emerging piece of IPCC’s evidence for AGW in its detail, their arguments are summarily ignored.  The only recognition of the Skeptics is a vague reference to them as ‘Climate Change Deniers’, or worse, ‘Climate Deniers’, inferring the existence of a discredited knuckle-dragging, flat earth bunch howling in the wings.

And the saddest part for our overall body politic is that such debates are now beyond the pale for many other socially important issues that relate to numbers and/or science.  And, of course, they all do.  My conclusion is that polarized dumbth (q.v.) has reached a level in the land such that only slogans shouted across the chasm serve as an acceptable substitute for dialogue.

[23jun15 update]  The topic of saving the world’s sovereign nation-states and distinct, regionally anchored cultures has long been a topic of debate and discussion on RR.  The EU is now in the throes of attempting to reconcile a good-sounding but poorly thought theory of how manage fractional or partial sovereignty.  And the problem comes down to the question of what is a border.  It turns out that having complete control of your borders is fundamental to a people’s self-determination.  Europe is rediscovering that now, and we (at least the progressive ‘we’) in America don’t have a clue.  A strongly recommended read on this is ‘What Borders Mean to Europe’ by Stratfor’s George Friedman.  The piece is like a periscope into our own future, a future that is already underway.

[27jun15 update]  In the late 00s I talked Jo Ann into letting me become a student pilot.  Reluctantly she gave permission (which I still don’t have for riding a motorcycle) and I started my lessons at Alpine Aviation under the tutelage of owner Gordon Mills.  Anyway, I progressed appropriately and on a sunny day soloed – three takeoffs and landings, followed by a longer ‘victory lap’ solo flight over these Sierra foothills, especially beautiful when you’re alone in the airplane.  The cross country phase of training followed with my taking the occasional solo flights in the single-engine, low-wing Diamond DA-20.

In my defense contractor days I was privileged to work with men I consider to be the best pilots in the world – carrier based, light attack – these guys (gals?) fly their F-18s so low as to occasionally get tree branches in their undercarriage.  I worked with the squadrons at Lemoore (light attack) NAS and Whidbey Island (medium attack) NAS in the design of advanced in cockpit displays for successful penetration of complex sensor and SAM fields during target in/egress.  From my naval aviator colleagues I learned about ‘OK-3’ carrier landings – tailhooking the third of four arresting cables that puts your aircraft in the optimum spot on the deck for rapid repositioning, thereby allowing a tight final approach pattern to get returning fuel-starved aircraft quickly onboard with a minimum of fuss.  The logged OK-3 landings on a pilot’s record were very important to good assignments, promotions, and general bragging rights within a talented, exclusive, yet very competitive comradery.

So during a solo flight on final to Nevada County KGOO’s 25 (runway), I decided to nail an OK-3 landing.  I picked my precise touchdown point (where my ‘tailhook’ was going to snag the ‘#3 cable’) and set my glide path appropriately.  Well guess what? your junior league aviator nailed the KO-3, but in so doing sacrificed my flare so that I touched down what might charitably be characterized as a mite hard – and porpoised, bouncing back in the air.  When I brought that bucking DA-20 safely on the runway, I felt pretty red-faced knowing that someone else had probably seen that crappy landing and was grinning ear-to-ear.

Anyway, since landings have always been my favorite part of flying an airplane, I decided to taxi back, take-off again, go around the pattern, and redeem myself.  This I did, but as I was making my take-off run, I noticed that the airplane somehow seemed to be underpowered.  I was puzzled since the engine sounded normal as I lifted off after a longer than normal run and then went around.  After landing again (no OK-3 this time) I taxied back to the Alpine hangar to report on my experience.  Gordon came out and discovered that I had shredded six-inches of the propeller’s tips, which explained the weak performance of the aircraft on the second go around.  Anyway, that turned out to be an expensive flight, but a valuable lesson in piloting.

I continued my flight training after that, but was convinced by a same-age friend who had abandoned his own flight training, that I should also reconsider going on with something for which I would have limited time in the future.  The convincing argument, reinforced by Jo Ann, was that infrequent pilots who do not keep up their hours are a danger to themselves and others when they do climb into the cockpit as Pilot In Charge.  The stats tell the story, especially for older flyers.  So now I wistfully consider just going back and flying with an instructor on windy afternoons coming in on final in a steep forward-slip, then converting into a side-slip before touchdown.  Fun stuff, even if it isn’t an OK-3.

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181 responses to “Scattershots – 22jun15 (updated 27jun15)”

  1. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    Say – here’s the Kali way to have affordable housing. Start a new bureaucracy!
    http://www.flashreport.org/blog/2015/06/24/ab-1335-tax-hike-undermines-american-dream/
    With a novel way to fund it. A new tax!
    All those other govt agencies have done such a swell job like eliminating poverty and all that. So one more itsy bitsy little govt agency won’t be so bad.

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  2. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    Ah – googled it and saw what’s going on. Thanks.
    Is he going to sue the Union as well?

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  3. fish Avatar
    fish

    I googled it and got nothing! Enlighten us.

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  4. fish Avatar
    fish

    Well if nothing else I’ve got an address to which to send this years Christmas card.

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  5. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    fish – just copy and paste his name and add ‘Nevada County’
    Comes up with the stories from the GV Union about the arrest and the charges being dropped.

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  6. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Todd
    AS I recall it was you and your pals that opposed the Eden Raqnch developmnt on Highway 49 and the Old Downiville. I live just around the corner and was a strong supporter but you and all the other pro growth types were opposed. It has turned into a nice community.

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  7. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Good Golly Miss Molly, I come home to find Paul has pushed the lever on his time machine again and spent the whole friggin day stuck on……NH 2020 in the 90’s. Good gawd, man, get a grip on yourself. Blabbing for two days stuck in 2008, and now this? I know your justifiable anger is direct at things that happened a few years or a decade or so ago, but Holy Cow, you are regressing. What’s on tomorrow’s menu, a day stuck on Speral Agnew? Well, you are edging closer to the Tea Pot Dome scandal, I will concede that.
    One would assume that by your age, Mr. Paul, that it would dawn on you that if you have one foot in the past and the other foot in the future, you end up pissing all over today.
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=a7W3LCEFMxs

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  8. Jon Avatar
    Jon

    Tozer, Gregory and Todd are obviously the ones constantly reminding us of their anger and frustration with NH2020. God if I had a nickel for every time the supposed “Gang of 4” was mentioned… Somehow even Steve Frisch is perceived as a major enemy in that whole affair..totally bizarre revisionist history.

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  9. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Really Jon
    Todd is in a time warp because he hasn’t had any meaningful employment for 30 years after being soundly rejected in his political ambitions and development projects. Gregory just likes to argue and Tozer has way too much time on his hands. It’s kinda fun to hang out here once in a while when it’s a slow news day.

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  10. Jon Avatar
    Jon

    Agreed Paul. Its more than fun to watch the predictable behavior here every so often, and comment as appropriate, noting the silly statements. Almost as much fun as The Russians Are Coming, The Russians Are Coming. You can imagine a couple of our local characters in that movie. Filmed- by the way- in one of my favorite areas on earth. Now on YouTube, for free anytime.

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  11. Jon Avatar
    Jon

    Apologies, that classic flick has been mostly pulled from free viewing on YouTube- only a few clips remain.

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  12. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Paul Emery, now that a rewrite of history. You have supported development? Jeeze, Paul Emery, The only things you aupport are MMJ and government subsidies based on all you say here. I would suggest you have done a very large disservice to media since you were such a ardent yes man and helped elect the “Gang of Four” and then had the temerity to sit in the reporters nest at the Rood Center and report on your pals. You have no credibility. The reason the Gang and your support for them are brought up is the laws they did are still working on the books. That is why the cvounty population is headed backwards and we have become a county business says “no thanks”. And now you complain about those very laws and riles you created!
    I crack up when you write here since you are really a nobody with anything and your music is laughed at by the people. But hey, to each his own. What a hoot!

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  13. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Sorry, “Jon”, I have no anger over NH2020 and was not up in arms over the Gang of Four. My only contact with Bedwell was when he was dying and grasping at straws that might have been over at the Stanford Medical Center, to point him towards local pilots or Angel Flight to make the trip easier. An hour in a small plane is a whole lot easier than 3 or 4 hours (even 6) in a car.
    NH2020 to me was the emergence of the “Sierra Business Council” as a local political operator with an intentionally misleading name and an intentionally misleading President and CEO. Silly me, at the time I thought Frisch was representing business interests, not enviro rent-seekers.

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  14. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “Gregory just likes to argue”- Paul 11:03PM
    Argument
    noun: argument; plural noun: arguments
    1.an exchange of diverging or opposite views, typically a heated or angry one.
    2.a reason or set of reasons given with the aim of persuading others that an action or idea is right or wrong.
    I do like #2, I don’t particularly like #1 but, as you have noted, I am perfectly willing to do #1 when being assaulted by a “Jon” or a “Steve” or a “Michael P. Anderson” and can give more than I take.
    Paul, more than most you seem to like to just provoke and not actually do 1 or 2. Boxing just to draw some blood, not actually make a point or settle an issue. To wound not persuade, the rhetorical equivalent of pulling wings off flies.

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  15. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Todd
    Can you explain to readers why you didn’t support the Eden Ranch development and why as County Supervisor you supported the infamous Wildwood Estates fiasco that cost Nevada County taxpayers bib bucks when it went bankrupt?

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  16. Jon Avatar
    Jon

    Gregory, apparently the hundreds of small business clients of the Sierra Business Council like working with them. Seems to be a pretty diverse and impressive roster of small to medium firms in the Sierra. They must be doing something right for their business interests.

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  17. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “Jon” 9:44AM
    Where does one go to see this “diverse and impressive roster of small to medium firms in the Sierra”? “Jon” has this list, and so does “Steve”. Does that make one person, or two, who are impressed?
    How many on that “impressive roster” would rather have not been subjected to onerous requirements in the first place?
    But thank you, “Jon”, for being correct in one sense… a council is “an advisory, deliberative, or legislative body of people formally constituted and meeting regularly”. The “Sierra Business Council” instead has clients who pay the SBC to ease the passage of governmental regulations by their applying of a thin coating of regulatory K-Y.
    Does “Jon” have a copy of any actual survey of the small business Johns the SBC has serviced and their long term satisfaction with their perhaps less-than-voluntary SBC transaction?

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  18. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Also all those American that had full time jobs (40 hours) who are now part time in the businesses really thank ol’ jonnie!

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  19. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Based on the 9:44AM, 50 Quatloos doubledown and say “Jon” is Frisch. Who else would write such SBC marketing blather?
    I will be happy if and when the typepad semirandom avatars for Frisch and FUE again differ from mine.

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  20. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    It does appear “Jon” is avoiding this end-of-thread as best he can… his 9:44AM is unlikely from anyone else’s fingertips other than Steven Frisch, the six figure CEO of the wretchedly misnamed Sierra Business Council.
    http://rebaneruminations.typepad.com/rebanes_ruminations/2015/06/scattershots-22jun15.html?cid=6a00e54f86f2ad883301bb0848a20f970d#comment-6a00e54f86f2ad883301bb0848a20f970d

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  21. Paul Emery Avatar
    Paul Emery

    Todd
    Can you show me one habit for Humanity project that tried to cram 28 houses in two arces?

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  22. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Why not admit you support the government housing Paul Emery. You campaigned as a adviser to the people that made the laws you now dispise. You shot yourself in the foot and just can’t admit it.
    I think as I recall a little subdivision on Searls your government allowed (subsidized) and it was 15 or twenty houses on a acre. Right past Gold Flat on the left going north. Sam Dardick a noted liberal and your personal friend got a project (subsidized) on a side street off of Brighton were the density was as you seem to not favor. So I assume Urban High Density apartments like those along Sutton are OK with you? 20 units per acre? Otherwise I have no idea what you are talking about.

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  23. Jon Avatar
    Jon

    Hey Gregory, wasn’t really following this thread after my SBC comment. No, not Steve, but have seen somewhere a list of the SBC clients and they appeared very diverse. Have also spent a ton of time in Truckee and the North Shore with my contacts, read the stories where the SBC has helped with projects, and I know some of his clients. SBC is very prominent in the Eastern County, even though you can’t believe it. Without the benefit of any survey, yes, I am surmising that they are a pretty satisfied group.

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  24. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    The problem is, “Jon”, that both Steven Frisch and Jeff Pelline are liars with this being provable in court. So which one is not lying when “Jon” claims they aren’t that one?

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  25. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Gregory 1234- That kind of sums it up. Lots of smoke blowing toward the sbc sphincter whoever it is. 😉

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  26. Jon Avatar
    Jon

    Have no clue what you mean by that Gregory. Man, this is too weird. There are only 2 or 3 people at most I could possibly be?
    The name is Jon. If you don’t like, don’t engage me. I’m not particularly interested in engaging you.

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  27. Jon Avatar
    Jon

    That’s right Don, I like the work of the SBC, like their philosophy of collaboration, and like to read Steve’s comments on various blogs and boards.

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  28. George Rebane Avatar

    This morning I received an email from a RR reader, who others may have called a scumbag (I withhold judgment, see below). After a long and painful interval dealing with his ‘contributions’ and conflicts with other commenters, I finally banished the reprobate from these pages while leaving his comment stream legacy largely intact (see below). Subsequently and for some considerable time now, the man has sent me emails threatening to sue whenever any RR commenter makes reference to him, no matter how innocent, oblique, or even without naming him. The guy is a real piece of work, and the record of his comments (some of the more hyperbolic ones I have pulled and archived for the sake of his family) makes me unsure of his mental state. If there ever is a subsequent clinical diagnosis, then I retract my harsh appellations, because one does not use such language with the mentally ill. But given the evidence, I admit that I am afraid of him.
    In any event, in his latest attempt to annoy he accuses me of “hypocrisy” for not describing an incident I had during a training flight in my student pilot days some years back. It appears that his logic is also deranged, since he somehow connects that incident with Pelline’s ongoing and meritless attacks on a RR reader and commenter who is a pilot and aircraft owner. Be that as it may, my erstwhile correspondent promises to disclose my flight incident if I don’t fess up to it myself. Now I’m not sure about the relevancy of such a ‘disclosure’, or even that anyone is interested in it, but also knowing what the FUE will make of it – truth was never his strong suit – I have addended the incident in this post’s 27jun15 update. It most certainly is something that I would have eventually included in the My Story category of RR as part of my long time involvement in aviation.

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  29. Don Bessee Avatar
    Don Bessee

    Too many litigious lefty loons around here.

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  30. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    I can guess who.
    George, interesting to hear of your flight mishap; it’s important to not get fancy and maintain airspeed until you aren’t flying or the not flying anymore can be expensive… yes, I can imagine the expense of buying Gordon a new propeller and an engine tear down and inspection, required after a prop strike, plus any other damage from the flop, if you didn’t have renter’s insurance. Most renters don’t bother, but the FBO’s insurance doesn’t cover the renter and if you total the plane, you’re on the hook for all of it.
    Gordon is one of the better instructors I’ve had; he’s also tight with a number of the local Burning Man fanatics.
    One needs to follow both their heart and their brain in deciding how far to stretch their wings. Some people take a few hours of instruction, get a feel for what it is and what it takes, and decide to stop before taking a solo flight when the obvious safety net of an instructor/commercial pilot is first taken away. Others wait until after the solo when the net is still significant because the student pilot certificate will have specific restrictions written on it and you ain’t flying unless they say you can fly, even if the student owns the airplane. Some quit after passing both the written and practical exams, able to plan and take any flight they want and start to learn just how significant having a real pilot. Others, like one pilot of many thousands of hours of solid flight experience I know of have to be dragged out of the airplane despite Alzheimer’s being an issue.
    EVERY pilot has done something boneheaded. The trick is to learn from them; deciding not to fly anymore is one perfectly valid choice after one of those. You flew an airplane by yourself; the person threatening you is jealous, along with other uncomplimentary things.

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