Rebane's Ruminations
April 2015
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George Rebane

The Nevada County Board of Supervisors will be presented the ‘State of the Schools in Nevada County’ by Superintendent of Schools Holly Hermansen.  (Download State of the Schools in Nevada County April 14, 2015)  The presentation slides have the story, but not the complete story.  In them Ms Hermansen tells the Supes about how many of what kind of schools we have, how population has declined, what laws the schools have to operate under, and the advent of Common Core here and across the nation.  (H/T to reader for the PPT)

ConfusedThere is nothing in there about the most important part of why parents send their children to school – to become educated in skills like reading, writing, and arithmetic, skills that prepare them for the workplace or advanced education and training.  The accomplishments of our schools seem to be focused on reducing bullying in the school yards, period.

In California, Nevada County’s schools are not the brightest bulbs on the state’s education tree, in fact they’re pretty dismal for a community that does not have to contend with inner city, cross-cultural, and English language problems like those that overwhelm our metropolitan areas.  One measure of this can be seen here.

I don’t know what other information the Supes have been given about our schools, but it sure seems that that the presentation by our schools’ superintendent should have a bit more meat on the bones.  The material presented is essentially a generalized pabulum of data instead of information for decision making about our schools.  It does not even come up to the level of confusing best efforts with achievement that is the standard fare when government units report to one another.  (We recall that data is facts and beliefs about the real world, and information is data formatted to support decision making – i.e. presented in formats that address the specific decision areas for which it is intended.)

A more relevant presentation would include a stark assessment of where the county is relative to the state’s schools, what impact such a performance decrement has on our students’ attempts to enter colleges and the job markets, and what alternative programs and reallocations of available resources are possible to improve the educational product delivered to our children.

Countering liberal economists promoting various government welfare programs, there is nothing to compare with education as being the most important ingredient in combatting inequality in our society.  Greenstein and Merisotis point out in a recent article some compelling statistics to make their point that ‘Education Does Reduce Inequality’.

MIT economist David Autor has an instructive thought experiment: The increase in wages for the top 1% between 1980 and 2005, if divided among the bottom 99%, would provide each household about $7,000 in additional income. But the wage gains of college graduates over the same period, divided among high-school graduates, would provide each household with $28,000 of additional income. All this comes into focus as we arrive at the end of another academic year.

During this time of the year we celebrate scholarships and commencements, and prepare to send Nevada County’s graduates (and dropouts) to join the nation’s annual 4.3 million young people who exit our education industry to join the workforce.  In this light we have to consider our mostly futile attempts to improve our county’s economy.  Do any wealth producing workers, who are also parents, really want to put their children into Nevada County schools?

Given what’s already under the rug, we need to pay more attention than ever to the wizards behind our education curtain.

[11apr15 update]  In today’s (11apr15) Union the debate continues between longtime RR reader and contributor Greg Goodknight and Linda Campbell, member of the Nevada Joint Union High School District Board of Trustees.  In ‘Common Cored, indeed’ Mr Goodknight responds to Ms Campbell’s 30may14 Union piece in which she took to task Mr Goodknight’s critique of math education in Nevada County.

I recall Ms Campbell’s rebuttal and attack last year as being extremely awkward and significantly off the mark regarding her claims and assessments.   In his response today Mr Goodknight quotes Ms Campbell extensively.  Being reminded of what Trustee Campbell said in print is somewhat jarring in the sense that we countenance such ignorance in those who serve to guide and make policy for our local schools.  Her membership on the school district’s board of trustees does not promise change in our county’s low scholastic rankings – of more immediate concern, are the board’s other members equally qualified?  Goodknight’s column underlines my recommendation that we take a closer look at our educational wizards behind the curtain.

[14apr15 update]  Here is a graphic taken from the above linked site showing our local schools’ rankings in API performance which may serve as a proxy for other levels of instruction in the curriculum.  As we see, none of our schools are above the median rank in the state.

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21 responses to “Educational Performance? Look Under the Rug (updated 14apr15)”

  1. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    I think readin’ and writin’ will have to be taught by the parents. The schools have other curricula to impart to our little darlings that are of far more importance.
    http://www.scpr.org/blogs/education/2014/11/19/17582/lausd-requiring-ethnic-studies-for-graduation/
    If you think Hellenic, Slavic, Levantine or Nordic cultures will be included you would mistaken. Only the ‘victim’ cultures will be taught.
    Courses that might prepare our youth for the real world are just too darn complicated and where will you find enough qualified instructors?

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  2. fish Avatar
    fish

    Vaguely on topic…..
    Watching the Leper’s Fingers Fall
    April 12, 2015
    Oh god. Oh god. Oh god. At Vassar some ditzbunny got blitzed, got laid, and a year later decided that she had been sexually assaulted. I guess she didn’t notice it at the time. You have to be alert to know when you have been raped. It can happen when you are distracted, maybe working on your laundry list, and you don’t find out about it for a while.
    Congruent with the national fantasy that college girls don’t know about sex or the effects of beer, a conventionally imbecilic judge found the guy guilty. No surprise here. (“What part of “yes” don’t you understand, your honor?”)
    But check out the astonishing email she wrote to the offender:
    “I’m really sorry I led you on last night I should have known better then [sic] to let my self [sic] drink yet, I really don’t want this to effect [sic] our team dynamic or friendship. I don’t think any less of you at all I had a wonderful time last night I’m just too close to my previous relationship to be in one right now.”
    Doesn’t sound very raped to me, but what do I know? I love her grammar. The child is semiliterate. I couldn’t have gotten away with such stuff in the sixth grade. Vassar? The national fingers drop. Drop, drop, drop they drop.
    Next, in Stars and Stripes, we find that American Special Operations troops do not believe that women can succeed in their death-in-the-bushes outfits. The shame. How can they believe that women, who obviously can’t do certain things, obviously can’t do the things they obviously can’t do? This discriminatory position has no support at all, other than common sense, observation, and experience.
    You see: Women, imperiled by frat parties, want to be SEALs. The only conclusion possible is that women are crazy.
    Next, Rolling Stone retracts its story about yet another imaginary rape, this time at the University of Virginia. The magazine admits that it just invented the story. This too is traditional, as in the Towana Brawley and the Duke lacrosse unrapes. The magazine called the story’s fabricator, one Sabrina Erdely, ”a really expert fabulist storyteller.” This is flackspeak for “an accomplished liar.” The magazine says that Sabrina will not be fired. Apparently the story was in the nature of a typo. It could happen to anyone.
    I find myself wondering, what is going on in the swirling minds of American women. I asked Natalia, my Mexican stepdaughter, whether rape was a concern on her university campus in Guadalajara. “No,” she said, and apparently thought she had exhausted the subject. There is in these rape rhapsodies a whiff of lurking bogeymen, an hysteria reminiscent of the spinster looking under her bed every night for fear, or in hopes, of finding a man.
    Something curious goes on with our indigenous females. What? Is it that they can’t decide whether they want to be biochemists or mommies? That they really aren’t comfortable in the workplace? The insecurity of not having an place in society with which they are comfortable? Have stopped quite being women without quite being men, and it boggles them? Get things through affirmative action but know that they got them that way? Their personal systems seem to be under some nameless stress.
    Next, the US has become a continental Vassar. Fortune headline: “American Millennials are among the world’s least skilled.” It warms a curmudgeon’s heart, as it will lead to something apppallingly stupid but interesting. Wilful collapse is wonderful entertainment.
    Yes. We gringos are all brainless now, men and women together, koom bah yah. This is the unsurprising conclusion of a sprawling international exam.
    Here we go.
    “Sponsored by the OECD, the test was designed to measure the job skills of adults, aged 16 to 65, in 23 countries. When the results were analyzed by age group and nationality, ETS got a shock. It turns out, says a new report, that Millennials in the U.S. fall short when it comes to the skills employers want most: literacy (including the ability to follow simple instructions), practical math, and — hold on to your hat — a category called “problem-solving in technology-rich environments.”
    Actually, our larvae fall way short, being behind everyone but Spain, Ireland, and Poland. Welcome to Vassar.
    Not to worry, though. Nobody can hope to challenge America, us, the indispensable country. In particular, the Chinese are lazy, narcissistic, stupid, immature, lacking in ambition, and very, very bad at math. They enroll only in victims’ studies, and spend most of their time in studying rape or taking selfies.
    As proof of this inferiority, I offer a column of the other day by Pat Buchanan.
    By way of introduction, Thomas Jefferson High School, in Fairfax Country in the Virginia suburbs of Washington, DC, accepts only seriously smart kids. I mean, pretty seriously seriously smart kids.
    Writes Buchanan, “According to the Post, 70 percent of the incoming freshmen are Asians, the highest percentage ever…White students make up only 22 percent of the entering class.”
    Ye gods and little catfish. And big ones too. This is worse than it seems since whites much outnumber Asians in suburban Virginia. Seventy freaking percent? But the snowballing inadequacy is everywhere, like corruption and sinus drainage. At CalTech, with probably the highest entrance standards in the US, and no affirmative action: Asians 40%, whites 29%, Hispanics 10%, and blacks 1.7%. In the elite high schools of New York, the same pattern holds.
    But not to worry. Writes Buchanan, “Jeremy Shughart, admissions director at TJ, has a committee “reviewing the application process to improve diversity at the school.” Oh good. Affirmative action. Heartwarming morons. Dumbed-down classes will presumably follow.
    More specifically, the school will admit unqualified blacks and Hispanics at the expense of whites, or at the expense of Asians. That will fix things. The white kids will probably have to take Ritalin, attend rape-consciousness seminars, and discuss feelings.
    Being as I am incorrigible, and weary of bureaucratic capons, in Shughart’s place I would have told the entitlement doxies, “Bugger off. TJ is not a remedial institution for the mentally lame and halt, the ethnically challenged and gender-deficient. If you can’t cut the mustard, get a federal job.”
    But the man—I use the term loosely—doesn’t have the glands. Dimmer and dimmer we get, and dimmer, and dimmer. What else could one expect in a feminized system of schools hostile to academics, boys, talent, and competition? And unable to see the consequences of their sillinesses? Not to owrry, though. Not for a little bit.

    http://www.fredoneverything.net/Vassar.shtml

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  3. fish Avatar
    fish

    “Mr. Goodnight’s letter (proves) a little knowledge is a dangerous thing. Despite him (sic) using statistical jargon of percentile, decile, (sic) he clearly lacks the ability to understand let alone do analysis of statistical data.”
    I imagine that she would fare better stepping into the ring with Mike Tyson to challenge his skills in the ring than trying to bluff Greg on matters math.

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  4. Bonnie McGuire Avatar

    Bravo! What wonderful observations and discussions. I do have to mention the reverse discrimination that’s been going on for years. For example, one blond boy was an A+student. The other was an Asian athlete. The athlete qualified for a collage scholarship, but the A+ boy was told his parents could afford to pay for his education. Same thing happened to one of our daughters who worked hard for a scholarship. She was told her parents could afford to pay for it. (Was it racial?) She went into the Marines, and later worked in a flour mill stacking heavy sacks of flour. When she applied for the job they told her they weren’t hiring. She told them they’d want to hire her, and surprise! they did. That’s how she went to college to became a teacher. Her experience in the Marines was very helpful regarding discipline in the classroom.

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  5. Greg Goodknight Avatar
    Greg Goodknight

    I am sans keyboard and all thumbs today, but will add that the reason for the long delay was a lack of a smoking gun linking the Whole Math debacle of the ’90’s to the Common Core debacle in the making. Once the Phil Daro connection was made I started writing the rebuttal and only then did I discover the background of Ms.Campbell.

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  6. Russ Steele Avatar

    Gregory,
    Thanks for taking the time to reply to Ms. Campbell, and for providing extensive quotes of her argument in your analysis. It made following the context much easier, rather then have to constantly switch back and forth between her article and your commentary on it. Well done!

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  7. Bonnie McGuire Avatar

    Thanks for sharing your experience in your Opinion article in the Union. That’s the only way the rest of us get an education about what’s going on around us, that enables us to make more informed decisions on what to accept or reject.

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  8. George Rebane Avatar

    Last night’s annual Republican Spring Dinner at the Alta Sierra CC honored Lowell Robinson, a decades long pillar of our community (and a conservative) who has built and maintained his business against strong liberal econut headwinds and continues to provide hundreds of local jobs and support more charities and educational organizations than you can count. My hat is off to Lowell and his management team.
    The event was attended by all the electeds who impact our neck of the woods – two congressmen, state senator, assemblyman, and Supervisors Nate Beason and Dan Miller. These events are doubly enjoyable for Jo Ann and me because we get to have extended conversations with the people we have voted for, bend their ear with issues important to us, and hear what their biggest efforts are in Washington and Sacramento and the Rood Center.
    Nate and I had a chance to discuss Nevada County’s educational milieu and Ms Hermansen’s upcoming presentation to the Board this week. I think the lady will be asked to expand her report beyond what we see in her prepared PPT when the supervisors start asking their questions.
    And there is no doubt that our congressmen are of a mind about Sacramento’s gross mismanagement of our water resources and amplification of our historic drought. We need to put the smelt and its pals into some kind of perspective regarding human water use, and re-examine the cost of blindly applied (and A21 corroborating) green initiatives such as have prevented the building of more water reservoirs in norCal. The econut pinheads have a record in automatically opposing anything that supports growth and economic development in California.

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  9. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Biggest problem businesses face is lack of skilled workers in this post Y2K era of enlightenment and stomping out cyper-bullying. Boy, who uses the word “cyper” nowadays beside us fat thumbed people?, but I digress.again. Wonder if education plays a role in this new round of rising wages. Oh, I get it. Fewer workers=higher wages for all us, even the unskilled dyed in the wool PC types.
    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/teslas-gigafactory-highlight-two-biggest-163206807.html

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  10. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Got a keyboard a’gin.
    When is the County supes ed meeting? I’ve some questions a skeptical supervisor might ask to clarify Hermansen’s ppt misinformation.
    An interesting piece in the NY Post yesterday that mostly gets it right. Here’s a taste:
    The Common Core was never a good idea.
    It was a sneaky idea — and sneaky ideas in American public policy tend to have exactly the life span that Common Core has had.
    The core sneakiness of the Common Core is that it was (and still is) presented as a state-level project when it was from the get-go intended to be a national project.
    The proponents of the Common Core insist, often vehemently, that it is simply a set of “standards” and not a “curriculum.” It is, in fact, very much a curriculum. The sneakiness in this case is again aimed at getting around legal barriers that prohibit federal efforts to establish curricula, but the sneakiness is also aimed at diverting teachers and the public from the truth. The Common Core standards are finely detailed, grade-by-grade specifications for what should be taught, how it should be taught and when it should be taught.

    http://nypost.com/2015/04/11/common-core-tests-take-the-imagination-out-of-education/

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  11. George Rebane Avatar

    Gregory 704pm – Supes meet this Tuesday 14 April in the Rood Center.

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  12. Russ Steele Avatar

    Gregory@07:04PM
    Hermansen will present her Power Point to the Supervisors at the next Board Meeting on Tuesday at 9:02 AM. It is a scheduled item on the BoS Agenda. I would send some email to the Sups on Monday, or give their office a call. I sent email last Friday and have not received any answers yet. Maybe tomorrow?

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  13. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    I’m going to have to make it a followup to whatever is said at the Supe’s meeting.

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  14. George Rebane Avatar

    Any report on what happened at the Supes’ meeting today?

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  15. Russ Steele Avatar

    George@04:12 PM
    I attended Holly Hermansen’s presentation to the BoS this morning. In her preamble to the presentation explained that in the past she had discussed where Nevada County Schools were relative to the state and other counties, but that was old news and she wanted to focus on current programs to improve the schools.
    The Supervisors listed to the presentation rather stone faced, like a bored kid in school listing to a boring teacher.
    Nate asked my question about the where Nevada County Schools stood relative to the state and surrounding counties. Hermansen said that NC schools score about the state average in most areas, except in math, which is lower then State average, but science scores were above the State average. However, Nevada County is behind Placer and El Dorado County, more inline with Sutter and Yuba County, which is more demographically aligned with Nevada County, according to Hermansen. [More on this in a future post after I have studies the demographics.]
    In her answer on the math question, Hermansen said they were working to improve the math scores. But, not one Supervisor asked a follow up question as to what specific actions were being taken to improve the math scores. How long was it going to take, or what the BoS could do to assist schools in becoming closer to the top of the list in school performance.
    Nate asked how they were assessing the STEM programs. Hermansen said it was difficult to measure, and offered that improved science scores might be an indication.
    According to economic development and education studies, the number three item of importance to an employer seeking new or expansion location is the quality of the community’s education. The same is true when recruiting employees for local firms. Families want to move to a community with above average schools.
    Being at the state average, or below, in assessment scores is not an effective tool for selling Nevada County to companies seeking to relocate. It seems to me that the ERC should be very concerned about this situation and be working hard to improve schools scores. I am not aware of any ERC programs to improve school math programs.

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  16. George Rebane Avatar

    RussS 441pm – Thanks for that report Russ. Have no idea how Ms Hermansen can back her point that NC schools were “about the state average” in everything but math. In the 14apr15 update to this post I have shown our rankings in the API courses which may serve as a proxy for other subjects. All of our schools are in the bottom half.

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  17. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    The raw API is grossly misleading… as a whole, Nevada County students are way below average for middle class Euro kids who speak English as their original language.
    Terry McAteer used to do the same dance every year… wooo wooo, we’re above Marin… until you only look at white middle class kids. Then our schools pale in comparison to competent schools elsewhere.

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  18. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    George, reading your addendum, I think you got the index backwards. The 1st decile (red) is the bottom 10%. Yellow is the lower middle, 40-50%.
    But that’s just raw API, not factoring in the socioeconomic status of the families of the children. Not factoring in the expectations… yes, if our schools were 20% ELL and 50% free lunch, those numbers would be respectable.
    The dark blue/purple (9/10) are the top 80-100%, and it’s the better schools that I identified in my 20 May 2014 piece that are showing dark blue/purple. Pleasant Ridge District, Clear Creek, Ghidotti. They are doing great jobs.

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  19. Russ Steele Avatar

    Here are some more details on Nevada County school performance for the year 2013. Look at the math scores.
    Bear River High School 2013 STAR Math 26.1% Proficent, English 70.6%
    Composite SAT: 1651 Math: 556 Reading: 554 Writing: 542
    http://schools.latimes.com/school/grass-valley/bear-river-high/
    Nevada Union 2013 STAR Math 31.6% Proficent, English 58.6%
    Composite SAT: 1645 Math: 561 Reading: 545 Writing: 540
    http://schools.latimes.com/school/grass-valley/nevada-union-high/
    William & Marian Ghidotti High 2013 STAR Math 72.9% Proficent, English 94.1%
    Composite SAT 1757 Math: 582 Reading: 608 Writing: 567
    http://schools.latimes.com/school/grass-valley/william-marian-ghidotti-high/
    You will find a plethora of data at the links on past performance. You will see that math has been a problem for years and years with little improvement.

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  20. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “In her answer on the math question, Hermansen said they were working to improve the math scores. But, not one Supervisor asked a follow up question as to what specific actions were being taken to improve the math scores. How long was it going to take, or what the BoS could do to assist schools in becoming closer to the top of the list in school performance.”
    Hermansen’s office drank the Phil Daro Common Core Math Koolaid. The pieces they’ve written make it clear they believe in the Common Core Standards for Mathematical Practice, the section that reads like the disastrous 1992 Mathematics Framework for California Public Schools, and they’ve got Common Core coaches helping the hapless math teachers of the county master this new way of teaching and learning mathematics… new that is, if you weren’t in the Grass Valley School District after Ms. Hermansen’s 2nd husband, retired GVSD Superintendent Jon Byerrum, had turned it into a whole language, whole math district, tanking math scores.
    Again, my son’s class, which got the first year of Mathland at the former Hennessey School, when first tested near the end of the 3rd grade, showed fully half the kids in the bottom 25% in the SAT9, nationally normed test. At the Pleasant Ridge district, where they tossed Mathland out after just one month, all the kids tested in the upper two quartiles.
    We are cruising towards a meltdown at the moment. Even the math tutors I’ve talked to aren’t happy despite having more business than you can shake a stick at.

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  21. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Russ, knowing SAT averages doesn’t tell you much. What I’m interested in is how kids in our schools are doing compared to how well they should be doing.
    For Bear River, a key page on the state database is here:
    http://api.cde.ca.gov/Acnt2013/2013GrowthSch.aspx?allcds=29663572930048
    and here
    http://api.cde.ca.gov/Acnt2013/2012BaseSch.aspx?allcds=29663572930048
    Note they went from 1st decile (bottom 10%) Similar Schools to 3rd decile (a less execrable 20-30%) from ’12 to ’13… but their API didn’t changed… the socioeconomic status of the kids dropped significantly. That might be real, or it might be massaged. In any case, neither are anything to crow about.
    For NUHS,
    http://api.cde.ca.gov/Acnt2013/2013GrowthSch.aspx?allcds=29663572935500
    http://api.cde.ca.gov/Acnt2013/2012BaseSch.aspx?allcds=29663572935500
    It’s important to note high schools can only do so much… they’re at the top of the food pyramid and if kids walk in the door in the 9th grade having been eating Academic Cheetos in K-8 rather than a healthy diet, expect dismal results. The shame of Nevada County schools is how poorly Bear River does with solid Pleasant Ridge kids.
    My first wife Teri didn’t even bother applying to work at BRHS when she was looking for work teaching math (with a BS Math from Harvey Mudd and an MSEE from LMU, you’d think she’d be snapped up)… even in the late 90’s, they had also drunk the whole math Koolaid, using CPM (the wretchedly misnamed College Preparatory Math, originally intended as a remedial math program). CPM proudly proclaims on their website that all of their past programs, going back to 1989, conform to Common Core Standards for Mathematics Practice… Whole Math incarnate.

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