Rebane's Ruminations
May 2014
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George Rebane

The lying season is in full swing.  Yesterday the Obama administration released the latest assessment on the progress of global warming, climate change, or whatever their nom du jour for what’s happening with the weather (‘Third National Assessment on Climate Change’).  The bottom line of this latest issue of climategate is that the reason the economy has been doing so badly is that AGW has been screwing up America’s businesses with all these “extreme weather events” for which there is no evidence whatsoever.  The leftwing Brookings Institute reports that every year of Obama’s administration has seen more businesses close than open their doors.

The report is again touted by 97% of all scientists in the universe who put the blame squarely on the shoulders of Americans spewing CO2 into the atmosphere; and if we only quit doing that then things would turn around and Miami streets would not soon be six feet under water.  Again, there is no evidence to support any of their claims other than the religious fervor of progressives some of whom have been awarding generous grants to compliant ‘scientists’ worldwide.

A definitive refuting of the whole case is found in ‘The Climate Inquisitor’, but that will not make a difference in minds already calcified in “the debate is over” cement.  It is election year after all, and the American electorate has proven itself to be among the world’s most gullible and proud (just check the longitudinal study of the country’s adult literacy results).  So the bottom line for the poor state of the union is AGW, income inequality, and Bush2’s fault that Obamacare has landed flat on its ass – did I leave something out?  (Added scholarly refutation can be found in NIPCC's 'Climate Change Reconsidered II'.)

Heard about the new National Women’s History Museum now being planned for the Capitol Mall?  This little progressive propaganda palace was going full-tilt boogie until some folks started questioning about the kinds of displays and exhibits it would ensconce.  Well, you’ve never seen the fogbank descend so fast before in Washington.  (Actually that’s not true, just recall the fog that hovered over the cowpile that became Obamacare.)  But true to form, the NWHM planners invoked what is sure to become a perennial progressive plaudit when such discoveries are attempted in the future .  They pulled out the Pelosi Principle – we really can’t talk about what is going to be in the museum until it is built.

What??!!  Museums are built because there is a need to exhibit very specific things that society should recall, understand, and honor through the coming years.  But not according to leftwing logic; we build the damn thing first, and then we’ll tell you what we’re going to put into it.  Sign here and shut up.

[update]  Common Core continues to confound.  The 7may14 Union published a distinctly one-sided and confusing report – ‘Republicans approve Common Core standards amidst opposition’ – on the McLaughlin poll released this Monday (more here).  From it the conclusion is drawn that Republicans and swing voters back CC – which some now call ObamaCore.  On the same day the Univ of Connecticut released its poll with the main finding that at least 6 out of 10 Americans had no clue about CC, with most of them not even having heard of it, and concluding that “Americans are skeptical about Common Core”.  While McLaughlin’s sample agreed with the wholesale ignorance about CC, its Republican backed conclusion was, when told that CC was a set of uniform national school standards, that they then backed it (more here).

All that really happened was that the UConn and McLaughlin polls re-established that about two thirds of Americans don’t know squat about CC, and that those who claim they do have notions that range all over the map, mostly concentrating in the belief that CC is a new curriculum for schools.  None of the reports contain the illumination that “support” for uniform standards in schools does not automatically imply support for CC since that is only one specific set of standards which competes with various existing educational standards already in place across the land.  And you can bet the ranch that 99 and 44/100 percent of the people know nothing of what CC standards entail.  So to draw conclusions and then report that such polls discover support for CC is at best ignorant and at worst specious.

[10may14 update]  More on the recent climate change bamboozle.  In a piece titled 'Inside the sausage factory', the 10-16may14 Economist describes the generation of the last IPCC report's executive summary (the part intended for policymakers and the only part anyone reads) –

… having a report reviewed by officials who are themselves interested parties "created and irreconcilable conflict of interest".  The details, arguments and numbers remain in the full report.  But the summary aimed at policymakers is not necessarily a good guide to them.

Posted in , , ,

87 responses to “Ruminations – 7may14 (updated 10may14)”

  1. fish Avatar
    fish

    Carp — Do you have a point or is this just more mockery of social issues you don’t understand?
    No JoKe…just enjoying you presenting muddled thinking as reasoned analysis again. Please continue.

    Like

  2. Russ Steele Avatar

    JoeK@09:07AM
    The Khan Academy has free SAT Prep sessions, that anyone with a computer can take, including the students in poor families. The reason that the writing portion of the SAT was dropped is that students regardless of social status cannot write a coherent sentence or paragraph. Why is that? Their teachers cannot write a coherent sentence, etc. Just read some of the notices that children bring home from school.
    The other reason is that computer programs can now write gibberish that will get a perfect score on a computer graded SAT essay. This software has written papers that passed peer-review, were published in journals and then had to be removed.

    Like

  3. Russ Steele Avatar

    John@10:14AM
    You will find your answer in Coming Apart by Charles Murray.
    Drawing on five decades of statistics and research, Coming Apart demonstrates that a new upper class and a new lower class have diverged so far in core behaviors and values that they barely recognize their underlying American kinship—divergence that has nothing to do with income inequality and that has grown during good economic times and bad.
    The top and bottom of white America increasingly live in different cultures, Murray argues, with the powerful upper class living in enclaves surrounded by their own kind, ignorant about life in mainstream America, and the lower class suffering from erosions of family and community life that strike at the heart of the pursuit of happiness. That divergence puts the success of the American project at risk.

    Bottom line, the smart people marry other smart people and produce smart children. The less than smart people marry less than smart people and produce less than smart children, and the cycle repeats it self over and over, and the divergent gap continues to expand. Smart people make more money. But even more troubling is the middle class is vanishing, as people join the smart people or the less than smart people cohorts.
    Read Murray’s book and you will see our social problems in a different light.

    Like

  4. fish Avatar
    fish

    Read Murray’s book and you will see our social problems in a different light.
    No he won’t…..as long as one kid has one more peanut M&M than his neighbor that horrible injustice will serve to explain everything that is wrong in society.

    Like

  5. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “the SAT really is not a good predictor of success in college, high school GPA adjusted for regional content issues remains the best predictor of success.” -Koyote
    JoKe, that’s only after the SAT has helped students and colleges sort out who belongs where. Let me assure you a 2.5 GPA CalTech chemist with a 1500 SAT M+V really is more successful (and probably with 40+ extra IQ points) than a 3.7 GPA Podunk U. Elementary Education major who barely squeaked an 850 SAT M+V.
    The SAT essay has been abandoned because it cost far more than it returned in value, with uneven scoring being rampant; such is the case with most . Good riddance.

    Like

  6. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    We spend more per capita on public education than any country in the world. Fact: When we spent less per pupil (inflation adjusted) our kids did better. Just read the research of the last 40 years. The more money dumped down the education kybo, the less bang for the buck. In fact, there is a direct correlation between increasing education dollars and declining test scores.
    I am sick and tired of teachers’ excuses. Their job is to teach. So do yer friggin job and suck it up. Quit blaming the kids, the poor kids, the dumb kids. Read the job description. Perhaps more educators should find another line of employment.
    Greg is right. There is direct correlation of dumb students becoming teachers, thus the continuance of the downward spiral. Blame, blame blame. The spoon made me fat. Its Bush’s fault. The car I was driving went off the bridge.
    Time to change our immigration policy to exclude all 8th grade drop outs and allow only the brightest and smartest to touch their toes on blessed USA soil. Definitely will save on social services and help counterbalance the damage done by dumbos.
    The only ones I see discriminated against in college entrance are the Asians. They would kick everyone’s rear and be 70% of most of the best institutions for higher learning if they were judged on merits only, not the color of their skin. And they make up about 7% of the nation. They know the three R’s and know just passing is not acceptable in class nor life.
    Stupid people should not breed or become teachers. Nor should some teachers ever be allowed to flip a burger anyplace, anytime. They can mess up a wet dream.
    Teachers: Want respect? Try the old fashioned way. Earn it.
    PS: Have a good one.

    Like

  7. George Rebane Avatar

    re RussS 1050am and BillT’s 1148am – Both comments relevant and well said. Charles Murray’s Coming Apart was summarized and put into a larger context here.
    http://rebaneruminations.typepad.com/rebanes_ruminations/2013/09/the-new-class-divide.html

    Like

  8. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Stop the presses… Mike Anderson, does your wife now work in a classroom at the Grass Valley Charter? If so, that puts an interesting additional spin on your past remarks.
    If that is her working with Merry Byles-Daly, does B-D still believe that, concerning a page of, say 4th grade arithmetic problems, “If the child can do the first one, it does them NO GOOD [HER emphasis] to do the rest”? That was her fervent belief when she was running a Parent’s Night for Mathland that my wife and I attended, she was the one in charge of piloting the curriculum the first year, in charge of the rollout schoolwide the second year, and in charge of evaluating the program and reporting back to the Board.
    I went to those board meetings… Byles-Daly told the board everyone loved it and all the kids were learning far more math than ever before, belied two years later when the school absolutely tanked on the first SAT9 STAR exam. Half the kids from my kid’s class being in the bottom quartile is a crash and burn. B-D apparently didn’t notice the boys upset with group coloring exercises who wanted to do the math instead.
    Jon Byerrum, Linda Brown, Merry Byles-Daly and others trashed the early education of well over a thousand of local kids before the worst of the whole math epidemic was over. Constructivism used to be whole language and whole math. Those ‘brands’ died years ago, but teachers didn’t abandoned their failed pedagogy, they just changed the packaging.
    Here’s “A Constructivist Primer for Educators: A Teacher’s Handbook” from a graduate education course at Virginia Tech. The Grass Valley Charter’s “Expeditionary Learning” model heads up the “Current Applications” section on page 15:
    http://filebox.vt.edu/users/jabates1/portfolio/primer.pdf
    GVCS would have crashed and burned had they not packed the school with kids whose parents were college educated, as did the Yuba River Charter. Parents and taxpayers have a hard time understanding that a barely above State average score is way below what a school of English speaking middle to upper class kids should be capable of, so it’s an effective cover for an ineffective, feel good school.

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  9. stevenfrisch Avatar
    stevenfrisch

    “Stop the presses… Mike Anderson, does your wife now work in a classroom at the Grass Valley Charter? If so, that puts an interesting additional spin on your past remarks.”
    —–Hey George, I thought families were off limits.

    Like

  10. Michael Anderson Avatar
    Michael Anderson

    Hey Greg, your question is irrelevant. It is also completely inappropriate.
    Your trashing of the local schools is a community scandal. You should be deeply ashamed and humiliated for your disgusting behavior. Greg, what is wrong with you? Why won’t you get the help you so desperately need?

    Like

  11. George Rebane Avatar

    Administrivia – my druthers are that families enter into these comment streams only when and to the extent that commenters include mention of their families. However, I see no harm in civil and topic-relevant inquiries about commenters’ family members, inquiries to which no response is required.

    Like

  12. fish Avatar
    fish

    Your trashing of the local schools is a community scandal. You should be deeply ashamed and humiliated for your disgusting behavior. Greg, what is wrong with you? Why won’t you get the help you so desperately need?
    Don’t know Michael….that kid who is now “thinking creatively about math” while not actually able to calculate…is the kid who might be drawing up Gregs anesthesia plan at some point in the future. I’d say he has a vested interest in quality education as much as the guy who still has kids in the system.

    Like

  13. George Rebane Avatar

    fish 553pm – Well said. All of us have a vested interested in what kids are (not) being taught and what they are (not) learning because all of our progeny will live in the same future world.

    Like

  14. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “I have had 4 children run through the the Nevada County school system and you’ve had only 1. Your son was in the system back whenever; my kids first entered in the early 1990s and I will have them in the system until 2022.”
    Apparently, talking about families is fine when Mike is trying to justify why his opinions regarding the local schools are valid and mine (not to mention those of the California State Dept of Education) are not. My kid is apparently younger than Manderso Nation’s oldest. Time will tell, Mike… it appears your youngest will have 8 years to sort out the Common Core thrashing, although if the younger ones have all been run through the Grass Valley Charter and their “Expeditionary Learning” discovery programs, well, let’s hope for the best. By the STAR exams, there really isn’t much hope for great outcomes.
    Mike, if your wife is sharing classroom duties with Merry Byles-Daley, she is sharing a classroom with the very teacher who drove math instruction into the ground at Hennessey for the better part of a decade, forcing my family to flee our local public schools.
    By the last STAR exams, the only local elementary district worth a damn is Pleasant Ridge, and, with the current POV forced by the Common Core chats, the Other Voices column written by Hermansen’s employees and how the usual suspects here are reacting, I’m feeling the creative writing urge, bubbling with ideas. I think a focus on the Similar Schools index of the last real measure of school performance we’re likely to get until the current Common Core causes the next educational crisis.
    Maybe Mike remembers that great “custom” standardized test that the GVSD created in the mid-90’s, because they wanted to measure all the great things whole language and whole math were imparting to the children. According to The Union article commemorating the completion of the new test at the time, with the help of an Oregon company specializing in constructivist pedagogies, the GVSD teachers joined hands in a circle and sang Kumbaya. A magical moment. According to that test, the kids were doing great… but the SAT9 placed half of them in the bottom quartile… while Pleasant Ridge schools had virtually all their kids in the top two quartiles.
    Those differences have remained.

    Like

  15. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    George, since you brought up libertarian Charles Murray, this piece of his from 2008 on Educational Romanticism should be of interest.
    http://www.aei.org/article/education/the-age-of-educational-romanticism/
    Unfortunately, it wasn’t waning, it was waiting in the wings for a nationwide reemergence.

    Like

  16. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Here’s an outline. Chew on this for awhile; numbers from the 2012-2013 Base Accountability Progress Reporting (APR) for our County schools:
    Here are the Nevada County Schools with a Similar Schools index of a dismal 1, from 1 to 10 on the list of their 100 most similar schools; call it a clear F:
    Scotten – GVSD
    Seven Hills – NCE
    Nevada City School of the Arts – County Office of Ed
    Yuba River Charter – County Office of Ed
    Forest Charter – County Office of Ed
    Bear River High
    Of the above, give Yuba River the Dunce cap as the lowest performing school of their list of 100 most similar schools. The absolute bottom. F-.
    Now those that rated a 2 (from 11 to 20 on their list of 100)… F+ or D-, your choice:
    Grass Valley Charter
    Deer Creek
    Nevada Union
    3rd decile (#20 to 30):
    Lyman Gilmore
    Pleasant Valley
    4th (30 to 40 on their list, not wretched but should be doing better):
    Hennessey
    The 5th and 6th deciles are solid OK. They are doing about average with similar groups of kids.
    5th:
    Ready Springs
    Union Hill
    6th:
    Cottage Hill
    Now, the overachieving begins:
    7th:
    Alta Sierra
    8th:
    Magnolia
    9th:
    Clear Creek
    10th:
    Ghidotti

    Like

  17. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “Your trashing of the local schools is a community scandal. You should be deeply ashamed and humiliated for your disgusting behavior. Greg, what is wrong with you? Why won’t you get the help you so desperately need?”- Michael P. Anderson, in yet another defamation
    The trashing of our local schools has been going on for years, but not by me: by the ones driving the schools into the dumpster and being paid handsomely for it. My last post categorized our local schools by how they compared to other schools with similar student bodies using the last of the state STAR/API data. It’s no accident the Romantic, “child centered” schools did poorly.
    Disgusting behavior to me is sticking one’s head in the sand refusing to believe the hard data being presented while children’s futures are being compromised. That’s you, Mike, and many others involved in the schools at the bottom of the list I just presented.
    I think the next iteration of that list will have the educational level of the parents appended.
    BTW, I hope all understand that Romantic isn’t quite the same as romantic… we aren’t talking about chick flicks here.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Romanticism

    Like

  18. fish Avatar
    fish

    More from the jeffy/McClintock saga…..
    Noted sage and former grad student JoKe weighs in with the following.
    Maybe a better question might be how many men, women, and children have had their life situations worsen by McClintock’s ideologically entrenched votes that seem to only benefit billionaires and not the majority of the people Tom was elected to represent. Throw the turkey, and all the rest of them out.
    I’d send McClintock back to the private sector in a heartbeat if you guys perform a similar tick like extraction of Pelosi, Boxer Bera, and Feinstein.

    Like

  19. George Rebane Avatar

    For the record, Tom McClintock ran on his clearly stated ideology, the mainstay of which was that he would not vote for the standard items of pork that have been the mainstay congressional corruption. He is one of the few in Congress who are trying to break the ‘business as usual cycle’ that everyone admires during the campaign, and then later wails when they don’t get their share of the debt-laden bacon that other congressmen are bringing home. If just saying NO doesn’t start with set-asides, then where does it start? and when?

    Like

  20. fish Avatar
    fish

    For the record, Tom McClintock ran on his clearly stated ideology, the mainstay of which was that he would not vote for the standard items of pork that have been the mainstay congressional corruption. He is one of the few in Congress who are trying to break the ‘business as usual cycle’ that everyone admires during the campaign, and then later wails when they don’t get their share of the debt-laden bacon that other congressmen are bringing home. If just saying NO doesn’t start with set-asides, then where does it start? and when?
    Yes he did and I laud him for it. The system is far too sclerotic at this point to recover in my opinion. The “Business as Usual Cycle” will continue without reform until it doesn’t….after that…who knows!

    Like

  21. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Crickets from Michael P. Anderson, who can fling his feces into the fan but can’t deal with solid factual information that challenges his worldview, not to mention the poor educational choices made for his children and the community.
    Regarding the McClintock mailer/advert regarding his opponent’s failing to ever register to vote that Pelline is apoplectic over, I recall Meg Whitman got reamed for the exact same thing:
    http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/morning-fix/morning-fix-meg-whitman-and-a.html
    McClintock failing to capitalize on that would be political malpractice.

    Like

  22. fish Avatar
    fish

    McClintock failing to capitalize on that would be political malpractice.
    Whitman could always be portrayed as the out of touch elitist…too above it all and insufficiently community…..gosh there’s that word again…spirited to be bothered. I think the McClintock mailer was a mistake for all the reasons seen both up thread and at the Fathills Report. He basically just gave proggie nitwits like jeffy an opportunity to go full patriot in their rantings.
    Fortunately for society, perhaps eleven people on earth see jeffys bleatings.

    Like

  23. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    Fish, the McClintock mailer wasn’t aimed at the “proggie nitwits”, and the unwashed masses think their politician-wannabees should have cared enough about political life to actually have voted themselves. So do I.
    I couldn’t believe the silliness that year when the state’s GOP was all overthemselves regarding which women with no political experience whatsoever would be on the November ballots… and Carly Fiorina also had a spotty record of actually casting votes in elections.
    Neither Governor nor Senator are great entry level jobs in politics. Barbara Boxer, who didn’t get the LA Times endorsement the last time around because she has the IQ of a sack of hammers, was nevertheless smart enough and tenacious enough to work her way up from dogcatcher (or was it school board member?); she does know what to say and how to say it to get reelected. Again.
    McClintock has a weak opponent because no strong opponent could be found. His reelection is a fait accompli.

    Like

  24. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    I should have been a little more reserved as no election is truly a fait accompli. As a Louisiana politican said a few decades ago, “The only way I can lose this election is if I’m caught in bed with either a dead girl or a live boy”.

    Like

  25. Michael Anderson Avatar
    Michael Anderson

    Hey Greg, I have real work to do, unlike you apparently, so you can check for crickets where the sun don’t shine. Don’t forget to wear gloves.
    But don’t worry, I’ll be back to address your continued nonsense about the Nevada County school system, about which you know absolutely nothing. While you’re waiting, perhaps you could answer my question regarding your impending run for school board, or being hired as educational consultant, something other than just your slanderous buffoonery that has made Greg Goodnight the laughing stock of every single educational institution in Nevada County.

    Like

  26. fish Avatar
    fish

    Fish, the McClintock mailer wasn’t aimed at the “proggie nitwits”, and the unwashed masses think their politician-wannabees should have cared enough about political life to actually have voted themselves. So do I.
    No, but that is who has worked themselves into a lather. Maybe McClintock is a shoo-in, maybe not but I still think that going after Moore over this issue was “weak sauce”.
    McClintock has a weak opponent because no strong opponent could be found. His reelection is a fait accompli.
    Well we shall see….jeffy and Monsieur Frisch seems to think that Moore has a chance.

    Like

  27. fish Avatar
    fish

    ….. something other than just your slanderous buffoonery …..
    Turf battle Michael?

    Like

  28. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “something other than just your slanderous buffoonery”
    Said slanderous buffoonery being California Dept. of Education test results and data collection. Mike is going to have to do better than that; I can cite data and it’s pretty clear all he can do is fling crap.

    Like

  29. stevenfrisch Avatar
    stevenfrisch

    Moore has a chance because of the top two primary system. The only other candidate is Independent Jeff Gerlach who has pledged to only spend $5K of his own money on the campaign.
    Out there on the hustings Mr. Moore is lining up quite a slate of brave early endorsers, including a bevy of County Supervisors and popular former US Representative George Radonovich (R-Mariposa).
    In addition, the McClintock camp annoyed a good chunk of his own base in part of the Sierra when he backed his Chief of Staff Igor Birman instead of Rico Oller for the 7th Congressional District, where Ose is out fundraising Birman 4 to 1.
    http://www.sierrastar.com/2014/04/29/67429/sparse-turn-out-for-congressman.html
    I am hearing from local government leaders up and down the Sierra that they believe they need someone who is going to fight effectively for their communities now more than even, and that Mr. McClintock’s rigid positions often mean the Sierra loses.
    Finally, I think that if Mr. Moore has even a good showing, say above 30%, in the primary, he will garner even more endorsements, forcing Republican groups like party central committees to decide whether to stay neutral between two Republicans, or endorse and set the precedent that they will fight these battles inside their committees.
    ‘Top two’ is a quiet revolution the ramifications of which few people have fully realized yet.
    Oh, and yeah, Greg is a buffoon.

    Like

  30. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Buffoon? That is exactly what Honest Abe’s opponents called President Lincoln….a buffoon. That was back in the age of civility, after they banned dueling and fisticuffs on the Senate floor. Wonder how long before buffoon becomes an antiquated word? Probably is already going the way of such other words as butthole, spastic, and nincompoop.
    Carry on.

    Like

  31. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    I’ve never voted for McClintock, even before he was gerrymandered out of my district (or vice versa), so I don’t have a dog in that hunt.
    If I’m a buffoon, all the better to drag down the buffoons who can’t ignore me. I think I’m close to actually writing the piece on local education that the data I’ve mined supports.
    Thanks for the gratuitous name calling, Steve. Were I the buffoon you’d like me to be, I would be ignored rather than attacked.

    Like

  32. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Buffoon? Jeeze the grany whore is name calling again? LOL!

    Like

  33. Michael Anderson Avatar
    Michael Anderson

    Greg wrote: “I think I’m close to actually writing the piece on local education that the data I’ve mined supports.”
    Oooooh, ooooooh, that’s really going to make a difference. Why do I have this image of you typing it up on your Underwood, making mimeograph copies in your basement, then stapling it to telephone poles all around the county? Oh, I know why, because that’s the only way anyone will ever see it.
    Type away, Shakespeare.

    Like

  34. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “Why do I have this image of you typing it up on your Underwood…”
    Because you live in your own progressive Fantasyland, who thinks the constructivist “Expeditionary Learning” model of the Grass Valley Charter is effective?

    Like

  35. stevenfrisch Avatar
    stevenfrisch

    Posted by: Todd Juvinall | 12 May 2014 at 04:03 PM
    Posted by: Gregory | 12 May 2014 at 04:01 PM
    As long as name calling is countenanced, name calling it will be. I was merely following up on the previous rhetoric!

    Like

  36. Gregory Avatar
    Gregory

    “As long as name calling is countenanced, name calling it will be. I was merely following up on the previous rhetoric!”
    And this is how a 6 figure CEO of a wretchedly misnamed 501c3 justifies his poor judgement and boorishness? Any previous name calling was not by me, nor approved of by me, so your choice of target was not at all appropriate.

    Like

  37. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    grant whore, sorry for the misspelling.

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