Rebane's Ruminations
August 2013
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George Rebane

As we prepare to launch some sort of punishing strike against the Assad regime in Syria, the question of WMDs comes up again.  We recall that 1) no significant WMDs were found in Iraq after Gulf2, and 2) that our military reported large convoys of trucks headed to Syria in the weeks before Gulf2 started with its ‘shock and awe’.  Now we have evidence that Assad has used chemical WMDs – primarily the Sarin nerve gas – against both rebels and his own civilians.

What has been absent in the lamestream's coverage is the entire issue of how and when did Assad get the reported 1,000 tons of chemical WMDs that he has squirreled away across Syria.  There have been no reports, especially by Israel, of such a massive infusion of these weapons from other suppliers since Gulf2.  All we have is clear historical evidence that numerous convoys of Iraqi military trucks were observed heading for Syria before hostilities started.

The Left then gleefully reported the absence of Iraqi WMDs in their scourging of Bush2 for Gulf2.  In these pages (see comment stream here) we offered the reasonable conjecture that Saddam shipped his WMDs to fellow Baathists in Syria in the ample time he had before we started our last mid-east war.  Today this conjecture is again being picked up on sites like The Diplomad 2.0 (H/T to reader).

So now we are within hours of launching strikes whose only clear purpose is to risk American lives to deliver an inconclusive slap on Assad’s wrist.  And the purpose of that slap?  I believe it is only to extract Obama’s foot from his red-lined mouth.  With the given assurances of no intended regime change, what other interest could this inanity possibly serve?



[31aug13 update]  Moments ago in the White House Rose Garden President Barack Obama announced that his foot was more deeply imbedded than previously thought, and that he would now seek congressional support in its extraction before striking Syria.  Well, maybe not is so many words, but the message from Britain’s Parliament and the national polls to the president has been clear – don’t go it alone.

My own thoughts on the matter put a more comprehensive objective into play here as we await the return of Congress (now scheduled for 9 Sep).  I would advise Congress to get back to DC right after Labor Day, debate the matter, and give conditional support for the strike provisioned on the following –

1.    Make it not a pin prick with no threat of regime change, but a massive air/missile assault on all facets of Assad’s military infrastructure and fighting capability with the express intention that this action is intended to abet regime change.
2.    Include the promise and schedule of material military support to the secular Syrian rebels to aid them in prevailing against both Assad and the out-country radical Islamic factions hoping to turn post-Assad Syria into an Islamic theocracy a la Iran.
3.    State clearly that the US and its allies will support the new non-theocratic Syrian government against any remnant radical factions that intend to oppose such a new Syria.
4.    Enlarge the overall authorization to include the principled message aimed at Iran, that the US and its allies view Iran’s accession to the nuclear club with equal animosity as it holds all nations employing WMDs against their own people.

[2sep13 update]  Historian, classicist, and commentator Victor Davis Hanson is one today’s leading observers and interpreters of America’s fundamental transformation.   A recent interview with him is featured in the WSJ’s Uncommon Knowledge video series (here).  In it he discusses the role of human leadership at selected tipping points of history that reach back into antiquity, and bring us to the contemporary genesis of the Iraqi ‘surge’.  The finale to this compelling 40+ minute dialogue is particularly vindicative (new word) of the ideas presented and debated on RR.  Get yourself a cup of coffee and settle back for a stimulating interlude that is spot on relevant to what President Obama and his administration are going through now.

[9sep13 update]  As President Obama puts on the full court press to convince the Congress and the nation that Syria should be pinpricked, we revisit the simplest explanation for understanding his actions now and over the past years.  Recall that RR has maintained that his devastating policies for the country could always fall under the binary categories of being either inept outpourings from an incompetent administration, or purposeful in executing the promised fundamental transformation of America into a socialist state on par with the lost lambs of the EU.  I have continue to believe that the caricatured ineptness of this administration serves to hide his true agenda for the US.  Such incompetency is made more believable by the celebrations of his liberal constituency comprised of cynical elites, starry-eyed ideologues, and a plurality of the simply stupid.

Today in the 9sep13 WSJ neoconservative pundit and writer Norman Podhoretz offers ‘Obama’s Successful Foreign Failure’ that is an excellent summary of the president’s ineptness-as-camouflage foreign policy.  Of the utter confusion and lame denials (“I didn’t set the red line, …”) that now issue daily from the White House, Podhoretz writes – “Yet if this is indeed the pass to which Mr. Obama has led us—and I think it is—let me suggest that it signifies not how incompetent and amateurish the president is, but how skillful. His foreign policy, far from a dismal failure, is a brilliant success as measured by what he intended all along to accomplish. The accomplishment would not have been possible if the intention had been too obvious. The skill lies in how effectively he has used rhetorical tricks to disguise it.”

As often opined here, Podhoretz concurs that Obama’s visible history with “anti-American preacher Jeremiah Wright, unrepentant terrorist Bill Ayers, and the original ‘community organizer’ Saul Alinsky” laid the basis for his love of autocratic socialism that he sells under the rubric of “fairness” which can be attained only by dunning “the rich”.  Not mincing his words, Podhoretz unambiguously concludes –

“As a left-wing radical, Mr. Obama believed that the United States had almost always been a retrograde and destructive force in world affairs. Accordingly, the fundamental transformation he wished to achieve here was to reduce the country's power and influence.”

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123 responses to “Slap a wrist to extract a foot (updated 9sep13)”

  1. Paul Emery Avatar

    Todd
    Tort reform is part of any national healthcare system.
    I already have friends that have health insurance available to them despite pre existing conditions. They have to pay for it which they gladly will do. There was no insurance available to them at any price before Obamacare. For them this is a good thing.

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  2. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Well, I would rather banter single payer around than talk about Syria anyway. Syria does absolutely nothing without Iran’s thumbs up or thumbs down. It is just a puppet state of Iran.
    So, how do we get to single payer without all them school teacher unions and public employee service unions and workers at Google giving up their healthcare? How do we convince 85% of the workers who receive insurance through their employers that they got to dump their plans cause of the small minority that are uninsured??
    As it stands now, doctors who take medicaid are getting few and far between, especially specialists. And year after year that “doctor fix” comes up as a non budget item that always gets passed at the last minute. As far as I can tell, single payer and Obamacare and Medicaid promises more and more to the patients and cuts more and more from the doctors’ reimbursement. Costs them poor docs more in paperwork alone than the government pays to see the patient.
    As Obamacare stands now kids can stay on their parents insurance until they are 26. The dirty little secret is that even though the kids can stay on Mommie’s insurance, the employer can charge the full price of the insurance costs (100%) for little Sally if the employer chooses to.
    But, Paul, how do you get me to give up my insurance and jump on the Single Payer bandwagon? Or the County workers? Or the Unions? Or the Nurse’s Unions? Everybody in, nobody can opt out? What about sex changes? What about the new flavor of the month of another disease discovered? Lord knows we have discovered a dozen new debilitating diseases and chronic ailments in the last 10 years alone. Kleptomaniacs suffer from a disease and are covered under the ADA.
    Ah, just leave me alone and put the rest on disability. Tax the rich to cover the bill. Simple as that. Someday only the rich can afford to pay taxes anyway. Disability is tax free income. The good news is that Queen Nancy says that food stamps stimulate the economy. Yes, all will be fine. Illegal aliens and folks on disability do pay sales taxes so no problem here.. What, me worry?
    McCain was right when he ran against Barrack Hussein Obama. Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran.

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  3. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    PaulE, tort reform was rejected ny the democrats when they shoved Ocare down our throats. I am surprised you don’t remember. Also, since I am a Republican, I can tell you we have tried for forty years to get tort reform and have been foiled by the dems and their benefactors, the trial lawyers.
    Regarding your friends and their problems with healthcare. I paid for my own healthcare for twenty five years and then I got a policy. Anyone can do the same. I have supported in the past a “catastrophic” insurance policy so people are not totally left destitute but that too was defeated by the democrat party lackeys.
    I have personal experience in the healthcare system and can tell you it is the government interventions that have made the costs skyrocket. Along with the defensive medicine practiced because of the lawyers, we pay was too much.
    I am still unsure how we allowed the government to tell insurance companies in a free enterprise system that they have to cover anything. I thought contracts were not to be tampered with in our Constitution.

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  4. Paul Emery Avatar

    Lots of good questions Bill. However as I’ve outlined a single payer system such as Australia’s is more inclusive and efficient by far than what we have. In my view basic single coverage should not cover vanity medicine. Single payer should be available to everyone at a reasonable price. Private supplemental insurance is fine and is common in Australia. The important thing is everybody gets coverage.
    Todd
    You did have healthcare provided when you were a Supe right?

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  5. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    No I paid for it.

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  6. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Back to Syria for a minute. Can anyone tell me WHO used chemical weapons? No doubt they were used, but by whom? There is enough distrust of all parties for me to not assume much or put anything past any party involved.
    When Secretary of State was asked before a congressional panel if Hezbollah had chemical weapons, Sec Kerry said he would prefer to answer that in closed session. When asked about proof that Assad used chemical weapons lately, he said that topic should be discussed in closed session as well.
    When Britain debated the topic and looked at their intelligence, they did the democratic thing and cast their votes in Parliament. The Prime Minister took note and did not override the people’s wishes.
    As soon as Britain gave its thumbs down, Obama went to Congress for cover. Whether the House votes aye or nay, we do have a separation of powers here. It would be quite telling if Obama persuades Congress by saying I am going to do what I want to do anyway.
    We have a balance of powers here. Even Bush got Congressional approval before Iraq and Afghanistan. And Bush got a coalition of nations backing him and the intervention efforts as well. Well, everybody except France. Now Obama has no nobody but France calling for the airstrike.
    Back to my original question. Who gassed who?? Russia is so confident that it was not the Syrian Army that is says “Prove it and then count us in.” Not the kind of statement made without holding a trump card in diplomacy.
    http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2013/09/05/201268/russia-releases-100-page-report.html#.UiqMbn9OSSo

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  7. George Rebane Avatar

    BillT 736pm – Mr Tozer, thanks for returning us to topic. For what it’s worth, the strength of my belief that it was Assad is based on 1) his past gassing episodes when he was the only one with the gas, and 2) Kerry’s testimony that we had commo intercepts of Syrian command talking about the coming gas attack, and pictures (orbit?) of the stuff being moved from storage to firing positions. The latter disclosure seemed to have been untimely since Kerry immediately switched to ‘can only talk about it in closed session’. Now, did Kerry lie?

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  8. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    I am on shaky ground to consider ever defending Putin, but I am growing more skeptical everyday. So, is Kerry a liar? I dunno. Lets just say there are some things brushed under the carpet when Kerry says “Trust me, I was once a big time prosecutor. I know evidence when I see it. Case closed.”
    http://www.usatoday.com/story/theoval/2013/09/05/obama-kerry-putin-syria-russia-g-20/2769683/

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  9. Russ Steele Avatar

    BillT and George,
    Russia has communication intelligence collection and military base in Syria, and they have overhead assets as well. I have no idea if they are on par with the US capability, but feel confident they have as much insight as the US does and perhaps more due to the location of the naval base. We only have Kerry’s word of the comm intercepts and overhead observations. And, you know how well those resources worked in Iraq. The WMDs vanished right under the observers noses. Some how all this just does not add up and the American public smells a rat in foggy bottom.

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  10. George Rebane Avatar

    RussS 1006pm – Valid points. I hope my 825pm is appropriately circumspect. Nevertheless, we must consider that Russia has a national interest in retaining Assad, because he will not let Mideast gas through Syria to compete with Russian gas to European customers. Therefore, if Putin really has evidence from its Syrian sigint assets that favors Assad, he would share that intelligence either directly with the US, or with a credible third party who would publicly corroborate Putin’s claims. Thoughts?

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  11. Russ Steele Avatar

    It seems that the intelligence community is unable to make a direct connection to who ordered the gas attack. Details here: http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/09/07/us-syria-crisis-attack-idUSBRE98603A20130907

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  12. George Rebane Avatar

    The 7sep13 WSJ reports “The number of countries ready to take military action in Syria has reached “double digits,” U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said Saturday after European Union foreign ministers agreed there was strong evidence the regime of Bashar al-Assad was behind the alleged use of chemical weapons against rebels.”

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  13. Russ Steele Avatar

    Here is a letter from the Syrian Parliament to the US House of Representaives with some information on terrorist access to Sarin Gas. I can not vouch for the validity of the information, but it is another aspect to the “being set up” story.
    http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2013/09/08/syrian-parliament-letter-to-the-us-house-of-representatives/

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  14. George Rebane Avatar

    RussS 716pm – Most interesting. Now why would both the Dems and Repubs wish to ignore such a formal communication from the Syrian government as they debate war? If it were a fake, then at least someone from either camp should publicly dismiss the letter and put the matter to rest. I wonder to whom in Congress this letter was delivered.

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  15. Al Avatar
    Al

    Sir Edmund Hillary’s namesake was wise to take cover from this and let Lurch expose himself prior to the ’16 Primary voters.

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  16. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Sign of the times when I would ever consider believing a pinko murdering commie dickhead like Putin over our wonderful American Sec of State. Dr. Rebane’s points are valid about Russian interests at stake and all….and Assad does have the family tradition of gassing. Something about this just doesn’t pass mustard.
    We don’t need no stinkin proof or wait a few days for an UN report. No need. We are going to strike anyway and the facts be damned.
    Just like Obama calling the Muslim Brotherhood moderates that we can deal with, Kerry is calling the Syrian opposition moderate. I may have been born at night, but not last night. Fool me twice, shame on you.
    We are going to war (or whatever you can bombing the shit of a forgein government) because if we don’t, President Obama will truly become a weakened prez. This defeat will hinder him greatly as we enter into the Budget negotiations soon and no Repubs or Insdependents will want to play along with Barrack Hussein Obama.
    No way will the Dems allow that. We are going to Shake, Rattle and Roll over the Syrian skies to help O politically. Who cares about the Syrian Army anyway? Or if the “moderates” in Syrian have the balance tipped in their favor. Its O’s legacy that is of upmost importance. Critical Mass time for the Dems.
    Smoke ’em if you got em

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  17. Al Avatar
    Al

    I heard from a reliable source that Assad kicked a baby elephant!

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  18. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Why Obama ever picked the Muslim Brotherhood as the vessel to carry the US into a brave new Muslim relationship defies reason. He kissed up to them since day one and pushed to rid Egypt of their secular president in favor of his beloved Brotherhood. That did not work out very well. Maybe another Beer Summit is in order.
    Does anybody besides me feel that we MUST bomb the daylights out of Syria just so Obama looks good at the end of the day? Now the administration is double speaking about Iran as the reason to bomb bomb and drop more bombs on Syria. Its not about gas anymore.
    Its not even about civilians anymore.
    Well, if that is the case, why not take on Iran directly in a Crusade to save the world? We won’t effect the outcome in Syria with airstrikes, nor in Iran nor Lebanon. We are going pedal to the metal only so Obama will look good and not lose political clout.
    Notice the small gatherings of anti-war protesters around our major cities? The crowds are too small to notice. The Hollywood Left, which has volumes to say against war, is mum on this issue. Even Ed Asner, the unabashed card carrying peacenik says to criticize the pending Syrian strike is considered by Hollywood as an racist act for protesting a black man.
    Well, at least Asner has the ranchos huevos to tell it like it is. To criticize the War is racism cause Obama is black. Obama is black? I did not notice.
    Those 60 racist Nevada City white people who protested the war at the Constitution Day Parade displayed their sickness in full view of all of us. No wonder the cops were called in. Racism is not being Nevada City friendly.
    Obama is one smart operator. He can do what he wants and brand all opposition as racists. But, we knew that all along, didn’t we? Its not about war or policy. Its all about Obama. And we knew that all along as well.

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  19. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    My, events change rapidly, don’t they. Never look a gift horse in the mouth:
    http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2013/09/10/putin-is-one-who-really-deserves-that-nobel-peace-prize/?intcmp=trending

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  20. George Rebane Avatar

    BillT 859am – Methinks tonight Mr Obama will take gold in figure skating on Syria’s WMDs. The speech no doubt will rely heavily on the use of the new grammatical forms introduced by this administration – first person majestic and first person prescient.
    Regarding the speech, WSJ’s Bret Stephens has some worthy words comparing the Obama/Kerry handling of Syria to Bush2’s travails in Iraq.
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323623304579059571477464750.html?mod=hp_opinion

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  21. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    The world has been turned upside down I tell ya. First, we have that commie bastard Putin behaving most statesman like and deserving of the Nobel Peace Prize.
    Second, we have that murdering SOB Assad being the only one in the region that protects Christians with enforcement and might. “Don’t touch a hair on their heads.”
    So, we have Amnesty International refusing to even look into or mention the genocide of Christians in the Middle East and a President that can’t even get Britain join along with Libya-Lite in Syria. Getting Britain to join the party should have been a slam dunk, a no brainer.
    We have a Congress that will not give our Nobel Peace Prize Winner President its backing to do the Libya-Lite thing on Damascus. Never in the history of our country has any President not received the votes, backing and support in Congress when asked for the go to war vote.
    The world has turned inside out. The Russians are the peacemakers and our foreign policy has strengthened rather than weaken Assad. The Arab Spring had nothing to do with a democracy movement. Its plum painful to watch Amateur Hour being broadcast from 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. Somebody please Gong Show Obama and get him off the stage.

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  22. Michael Anderson Avatar
    Michael Anderson

    Mister Tozer, that was a pretty good assessment. Well, up until the last sentence anyway.
    And today was definitely Opposite Day. The last place SF Giants beat the first place LA Dodgers 19-3 this evening. The mind reels.

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  23. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    Putin may be at the top of his game, but the Russians are still Russians. In Russia they even have free speech. Anyone is free to go out the streets of Moscow and criticize Obama. No law against it.
    Here is a photo republished on the Russian Deputy Parliamentarian’s Twitter account. The Deputy Parliamentarian is also a 3 time Olympic figure skating champion. She is unapologetic, stating the picture came to her from the United States. She has since taken it down cause she owns a skating school in the USA.
    Wonder if this is really how the Russians see us, or just how they see Obama. Very distasteful to say the least. Down right despicable.
    http://www.polit.ru/media/photolib/2013/09/14/Obama_1379137588.jpg

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