Rebane's Ruminations
December 2012
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George Rebane

Just a couple of quick notes on some current and very important topics – the ongoing disaster of federal meddling in the markets, and how our systemic unemployment growth continues to be the biggest secret our ‘establishment’ (both parties) does not want to you to think about.

Remember Fisker, the battery-powered sportscar that was supposed to leap tall buildings in a single bound.  Well, that is the latest of the California-based, government propped and promoted green manufacturing enterprises to go into its death spiral.  Oh, make no mistake that the entire thing can be resurrected as a zombie company with some billions pumped into it, but right now it’s looking for a “partner” while wandering around with a ‘Buy Me, please’ sign pinned to its backside.

What should make it doubly embarrassing, but doesn’t – progressives are never embarrassed when their central planning doesn’t pan out and costs the wealth generators more money – is that the $110K Fisker Karma didn’t even pass the Consumer Reports test procedures to be rated, and the supplier of its battery pack, government subsidized A123 Systems, couldn’t come up with its mandated revolutionary batteries, and is now itself “in the midst of a bankruptcy auction.” (more here)

But none of this makes no never-mind to those Beltway Buffoons who know better what we should buy and how we should live.  This little item adds to the recorded torrent of such ongoing failures of approaching Soviet-era central planning.

America’s systemic unemployment growth continues unchecked and unreported.  What is reported is that the economy continues to grow in its anemic way with another 146K jobs added in November (with downward revisions of 49K jobs for previous months).  While outlets like the WSJ and zerohedge.com go through some of the numbers, even they don’t connect the important dots.

Last month's job numbers allow Team Obama to continue its national recovery bamboozle by citing that the official unemployment rate also dropped from 7.9% to 7.7%.  This happened, not because of the dodgy new jobs number, but because another 350K+ workers just quit looking for work, raising the number of nonworkers in our workforce to 89.2M from 86.8M a year ago.  Throw a brain cell on this, the fraction of people working in our available workforce has now fallen to 63.6%, down from 65.7% when the recession was supposed to have ended in June 2009.

What these percentages hide is the growth of the actual number unemployed.  Remember that the worker demographic continued to grow at somewhere between 1.1% and 1.5% annually during that same interval while the participation rate dropped.   People not arithmetically challenged know that this spikes the growth of non-workers who demand an ever higher redistribution of wealth.  The 8dec12 WSJ reports “Welfare payments that redistribute income from workers to mostly nonworkers now exceed $1T a year.”

To tie in technology driven productivity growth, according to the Fed we are today producing a 48% higher real GDP ($13.8T) than we did in 1996 ($9.6T) with the same number of people employed (approximately 95M).  Readers who do numbers can also take a look at some more strategic remarks I have made on this irreversible trend (here and here and here).

So what's the deal with totally misleading headlines like ‘Labor Market Plods Forward’ when it is actually falling further and further behind the amount of jobs needed to keep the country afloat?  The long-term picture has no chance of getting better because none of the buffoons acknowledge the problem, let alone have a clue about a solution.  ‘Full employment’ as we knew it is already a fading memory.

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90 responses to “Ruminations – 9dec12”

  1. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    No Doug, but we are unwilling investors of electric cars and solar via Tesla, A123, Fisker, Solyndra, Govt Motors and on and on. What do we have to show for it? Money down the drain for the most part. Crony capitalist jobs propped up with tax dollars. Our tax dollars subsidizing the wealthy when they buy cars we can’t afford to buy. Oh – and don’t forget the wealthy cronies after they get the fed money. They go to Obama fundraisers to give a good chunk back. And you lefties are down with this BS.

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  2. Ben Emery Avatar
    Ben Emery

    Why wasn’t I surprised there is no mention of international human rights day on the so called liberty and freedom blog.
    Just a thought for all you free marketeers who want to let corporations set the rules of the market. Especially for Mickey M. who has taken the side of box stores and WalMart with me over the Hills Flat and Four Gardens. When any institution becomes to large the mission of the institution evolves into securing and expanding power and influence, period. This story mirrors Triangle Shirtwaist Factory fire of 1911 and exposes where the modern day free marketeer wants to take US market once again.
    100 Bangladeshi Garment Workers Died In Factory Fire After Walmart Refused To Finance Fire Safety Improvements
    By Amanda Peterson Beadle
    Dec 5, 2012
    More than 100 workers died in a garment factory fire on November 24 in Bangladesh. The Dhaka plant, which was making products for Walmart and Sears, had no emergency exits or emergency evacuation procedures.
    But in a meeting last year, Walmart officials decided against agreeing to pay suppliers more so that they could upgrade their manufacturing facilities and pay for the costs of safety improvements. “Specifically to the issue of any corrections on electrical and fire safety, we are talking about 4,500 factories, and in most cases very extensive and costly modifications would need to be undertaken to some factories,” Walmart officials said in documents obtained by Bloomberg News. “It is not financially feasible for the brands to make such investments.”
    More than 300 Bangladeshi garment factory workers have died since 2006. Walmart reported a 9 percent increase in third-quarter net income, earning $3.63 billion.

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  3. George Rebane Avatar

    BenE 812pm – It appears that your concern for humanity knows neither bounds nor reason. The seller and his customer (Walmart) made a deal on product delivered for agreed price. The governments of the manufacturers allowed their businesses to operate, apparently agreeing that the jobs these exports provided were a sufficient compensation for however the manufacturers ran their facilities. None of these agents were responsible in your eyes. But Walmart, the foreign buyer, that runs a business providing low cost products for our country’s poor, in your eyes, turns out to be the guilty party in this entire affair. My, my.

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  4. JesusBetterman Avatar

    Scott, think of the electric car investments as a hedge against CO2 or other pollution agents actually provably causing global warming and therefore leading to the banning of burning fossil fuels. As insurance, improving and expanding the technology of electric cars is valuable.

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  5. Paul Emery Avatar

    George, they are two distinctly different subjects. Opposition to global warming is well expressed on this venue. It seems that the vested interests of both sides are well fortified and at this time support for AGW is soundly winning the argument so those opposing have their work cut out for them. As for me is say Earth Abides.

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  6. JesusBetterman Avatar

    Get real, George, our country’s poor buy in thrift stores, or depend on free boxes. So you are fine with Walmart burning foreign workers to get cheap goods, and simultaneously deny USA workers jobs, because by law they can’t do it in the good old union protected USA? The art of Snark, at the Petabyte level.

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  7. L Avatar
    L

    Somebody, Anybody? Please tell me how producing any number of coal-powered automobiles is going to reduce mankind’s “carbon footprint.”
    Get real. Any high school physics student can tell you that converting fossil fuel directly into mechanical energy is more efficient than converting it into electricity, delivering it over great distances, and then using it to power electric motors.
    If elecricity grew on trees, this would be great. But when 90+% of our power comes from fossil fuels (and will for the foreseeable future- at least 50 years), electric cars only make sense where there there is no alternative. L

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  8. Bill Tozer Avatar
    Bill Tozer

    L, I was wondering if the tires the electric cars scoot about on are made of wood or rubber? Are the roads they scoot about on made of dirt or asphalt? Perhaps they scoot about on cement freeways(gasp!) Good thing them green house gas causing cement manufactures got closed down by the Great State of California How about the plastic in the car one touches or the make up one puts on before slipping into nylons before getting into the car. Too much fossil fuels about, even in our clothing. Now, the steam engine trains did not burn fossil fuels and the passengers all ate organic food back in the day. As a bonus, the steam engines did not have to get charged up at night from a coal fired generating plant nor did they use electricity from gas fired plants like our solar panel manufactures do. Yep, The West was Won without fossil fuels.
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-10/california-democrats-covet-carbon-market-funds.html

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  9. Gregory Avatar

    Bizzare, Paul. Is your reality really just a figment of public opinion?
    If I do nothing, it will be figured out eventually. If I do something, I’ll be able to point out that the people weren’t failed by science or scientists, they were failed by the government they trusted to fund science equitably, and not fall into the trap of a technological elite that Eisenhower warned of in the same farewell speech in which he warned of a military-industrial complex.
    This is about truth. The IPCC was formed 20+ years ago to determine how bad CO2 was and to shake down the 1st world for reparations. That’s not the way to make scientific progress. They got it wrong.

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  10. George Rebane Avatar

    JesusB 956pm – Doug Keachie meet Ben Emery. “… Walmart burning foreign workers to get cheap goods, and simultaneously deny USA workers jobs …” What different worlds we all live in!
    For those who care, Walmart is the country’s largest employer – especially those with limited abilities – and it increases net employment when it comes into a community. This has been known for years by non-progressives, low-end workers, and frustrated union bosses.
    http://rebaneruminations.typepad.com/rebanes_ruminations/2011/05/true-value-of-work-and-caring-economics.html

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  11. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    Doug – first of all, CO2 is not ‘pollution’. And if the ‘investments’ you love to go on about are so valuable and so many lefties like them, then why does the govt need to step in? All the great ideas and high tech developments are worthless if it doesn’t translate into an inexpensive mass produced product that will replace the current fleet. Money has a carbon footprint and the vast sums needed to buy these Obama-mobiles raises that footprint to a higher amount than gasoline powered ones. Get the govt out of the market and get rid of a lot of the onerous safety standards that inhibit small creative companies and you will have lots of affordable electric cars in just a few years.

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  12. Jesus Betterman Avatar

    George, how much of your California taxes went to subsidize the wealth of Walmart billionaires back before it was discovered that Walmart was issuing a handbook to employees about how to suck the California welfare teats? Largest employer at the expense of closed family businesses everywhere, thanksalot! Employees handicapped, as efficiencies of scale allow them to exploit every law in favor of employers doing so (tax breaks, etc., (handicapped bathrooms charged as employee expense, etc.), just as McDonalds scrapes every chicken carcass absolutely into the bone and then some.

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  13. Jesus Betterman Avatar

    correction: “Employs handicapped”

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  14. Jesus Betterman Avatar

    No spinnoffs of any value came from the Apollo Moon Program, or so Scott insinuates. SRCC died a logical capitalistic death. The government is but one aspect of the economic environment we all have to live in, unless of course we are big enough to buy enough Congressfolks and Prexies, and that is merely “evolved unbridled capitalism of the classic Libertarian sort.”

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  15. Scott Obermuller Avatar

    Ben E. has a laughable line – “Just a thought for all you free marketeers who want to let corporations set the rules of the market.” Please name these folks Ben, and provide some documentation. A free market is free for everyone Ben. And companies in a free market go bust with no handout from the tax payers. In a free market, how does a corporation set the rules? They can try, but if the public disagrees, then goodbye corporation. In a free market, we will still have all sorts of laws and regulations regarding honest marketing, contract law, standards of weights/measures and so forth. Free marketeers want those rules. We don’t want govt picking winners and losers and we don’t want the govt butting into agreements between consenting adults as to our employment.

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  16. Jesus Betterman Avatar

    CO2 is not pollution but its production is associated with many other compounds which are, and scrubber on centralized coal plants burning at top efficiency are again like McDonalds’ chicken scrubbers, making electricity far cleaner than in a hybrid car using the dink gas engine.
    You like living in a country with 40,000 plus deaths per year via our insane transportation system, and want to see the numbers go up? As for me, let daily transportation be handled by robots, while I attend to more important matters.
    Is your IQ such that you feel doing what truck drivers do with 80,000 lbs rigs gives you a sense of accomplishment in your Camry? It’s a long way up to the future for you, Scott. This generation would rather text than drive, and that will have consequences once we get past the bad part of today’s system and those attitudes. Driving on a race course, yes that’s cool, and you can pay extra for that experience, and the insurance required. You to can be a Galloping Ghost.

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  17. Jesus Betterman Avatar

    “and it increases net employment when it comes into a community.”
    ~George~
    It being Walmart here. And of course the economic river Walmart steps in never changes? Try this. Those numbers were derived during the high times of the uSA economy, which according to George we will never see again. Now that the wealthy have sucks every penny they can out of the poor middle class, the Walmarts will become the only vendors around, Soviet style, and serve slop to the remains of the poor and middle classes. In time the business will run online only, with monthly dropoff points, every square mile or more (in populated areas, in the deserted mall parking lots), where you will wait in line for hours to get your stuff.
    Or…Well…

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  18. Jesus Betterman Avatar

    “and we don’t want the govt butting into agreements between consenting adults as to our employment. ”
    ~Scott~
    So that persons who have banded together to pool capital and equipment can gangbang individual employees one by one, right? While the capitalist can band together to form corporations and thus exert power, you sure as heck don’t want employees to have the same such rights, do you, Scott? The Internet is your worst nightmare, because it makes it so much easier for folks to band together for union activities. Viva la OWS!

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  19. Ben Emery Avatar
    Ben Emery

    George,
    The largest employer in the US that pays poverty wages and encourages its employees to go to the government for food stamps and healthcare, while its executives receive astronomical compensation packages.
    Jonathan Turley might be another guy who knows nothing in the eyes of hard right wing world but I take his positions and writings to be very solid and competent.
    http://jonathanturley.org/2010/07/03/walmart-ceo-makes-average-workers-annual-salary-every-hour/
    I want to point out that the Walton heirs (6 human beings) have more wealth than the bottom 140 million Americans, they were lucky enough to be born or marry into the family and then they use slave wage labor in horrible work conditions to expand their wealth. Nice family values and business model.
    Scott,
    Have you ever heard of monopolies?

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  20. Gregory Avatar

    The Walton heirs will manage to mostly piss the money away in the next couple of generations; this has been the way of wealth in the US for a century or two.
    Ben, good luck getting Walmart employees to quit their horrible jobs. The bad news for low wage employees everywhere in the US is that, thanks to Obamacare coverage rules, most can look forward to getting no more than 30 hours a week from any one employer.

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  21. Jesus Betterman Avatar

    Too bad the Waltons won’t be pissing it away on better math teachers…

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  22. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Funny how a American citizen (BenE) trashes everything successful (capitalism etc.) and honors everything unsuccessful (spread the wealth). Walnart has over a million employees and they, the employees, have defeated every attempt to unionize. Why is that BenE? They are free to vote a Australian ballot (overseen by numerous federal departments). Why would these people working in such deplorable conditions and treated like slaves keep out the unions?
    Regarding the Bangladesh fire. You once again try to pin the tragedy on Walmart. I thought the rules for Bangladesh were theirs? Aren’t you the fellow who whines and accuses the USA of hegemony and colonialism? Why then do you want to force American values, laws and regulations on Bangladesh? Once again you have proved the size of the space between your ears is occupied by ….space.

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  23. Jesus Betterman Avatar

    Why does Todd want to force cheap shoddy goods made under nasty conditions on the American public, which is given the choice of choosing them or going without? Todd is part of the army of unaware, self destructive folks, attempting to turn this country into a 3rd world colony of the super corporations. Thanks a lot, Todd!

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  24. Paul Emery Avatar

    Todd
    What is your best idea on how a full time low income single parent can have access to health care for his or her family?
    Let’s make it simple, a single mom with two children earning minimum wage.

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  25. Michael Anderson Avatar
    Michael Anderson

    George wrote: “For those who care, Walmart is the country’s largest employer – especially those with limited abilities – and it increases net employment when it comes into a community. This has been known for years by non-progressives, low-end workers, and frustrated union bosses.”
    Sorry George, this is complete and utter nonsense. Your ridiculous claim does not take into account unique markets, nor does it address the failures in the supply chain.
    Ryan explained pretty well why he does not shop there. I share his values.
    Unions were created to smash monopolies created by immoral & deeply evil (perhaps psychopathic) human beings. We apparently are going to have to re-learn this lesson all over again. I will enjoy it, no skin off my nose. But I will certainly enjoy even more the toppling of cretinous robber barons, and their retarded offspring who make welfare queens look like Richard Branson.

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  26. George Rebane Avatar

    MichaelA 832pm – “Sorry George, this is complete and utter nonsense. Your ridiculous claim does not take into account unique markets, nor does it address the failures in the supply chain.” Could you please explain how this contradicts my statement?
    For reference see my 29oct11 212pm comment to BenE and the link.
    “Walmart is making a high quality of life possible for millions of poorer Americans. It is applying and passing on the savings available from large scale retailing. And its net effect on jobs is neutral to beneficial, please see
    http://rebaneruminations.typepad.com/rebanes_ruminations/2008/07/big-box-buy-loc.html
    The company is clearly running away with profits since it’s stock has appreciated less than 4% per annum over the last 5 years – whoopeee!”
    Going to my linked post will also allow you to download a report that contains reams of data supporting the contention that you term “complete and utter nonsense”. Your move Michael.

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  27. Michael Anderson Avatar
    Michael Anderson

    GR 854pm:
    “high quality of life”
    Huh?
    “savings available from large scale retailing”
    A race to the bottom.
    “it’s stock has appreciated less than 4% per annum over the last 5 years”
    Which could be due to anything, like having a cynical view of its customers, as well as the communities they live in (though I will give them some recent kudos for reworking their inherent cynicism, which has possibly been motivated by recent union activism inside the Malmart castle walls)
    M.

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  28. George Rebane Avatar

    MichaelA 935pm – thanks for that devastating response Michael, I am put in my place.

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  29. Michael Anderson Avatar
    Michael Anderson

    Oh come on George, don’t give up so easy (-:

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  30. Michael Anderson Avatar
    Michael Anderson

    George, we’ve talked about this. As you know, I was once a proud member of the AFL-CIO, IATSE Local 363 out of Reno, Nevada. I became less proud when I found myself to be an inadvertent party to the gold-bricking of IATSE Local 44 in L.A. Pretty gross stuff, but this was back in the early 1980s so hopefully they have cleaned up their act. But I doubt it.
    When I was a union member, this was in Nevada which at the time was one of the much-fewer-than-today Right To Work states. I saw first-hand how those who didn’t pay union dues were the wankers, the spendthrift blow-your-paycheck on slots/blow/beer who we all had to carry. It was boring.
    I disagree that union reform comes from “right to work” legislation; the corrupt bosses will continue to exist in Michigan. They’ll just have a smaller bailiwick which won’t really bother them all that much.
    Right to work laws might feel good, but they only increase the divide and cause unnecessary social consternation and anxiety. They don’t solve any problems. In fact, they create more problems.

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  31. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    I hope this “right to work” sweeps America and we get back to being America. Unions had their day and they now need to evaporate into true capitalism.

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  32. Ben Emery Avatar
    Ben Emery

    Todd,
    ” I thought the rules for Bangladesh were theirs? Aren’t you the fellow who whines and accuses the USA of hegemony and colonialism? Why then do you want to force American values, laws and regulations on Bangladesh?”
    You really are stupid. Its about human rights and worker rights not American values. Walmart is a US company and uses wage slave labor in sweat shop conditions, it is deplorable.

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  33. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    BenE, au contraire, American values and Bangladeshi values are different. Your view of “human rights” is yours not the rest of the planet’s. If you think your views on how the Bangladesh lack of regulations (in your opinion) needs to be modified, then have at it. My guess is you are just full of hot air.

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  34. George Rebane Avatar

    BenE 548am – I do believe you are doing your best to figure out a complex world with a deficient toolset. People like you use words which you never define, and their illusive meanings are multiple and appear to fit any occasion as you wish them to fit. When you use notions like rights in a trans-national sense, it really is difficult for reason to follow you. Can you define your use of a ‘right’?
    (Mine is given in the RR Glossary, to give you a hint at what a definition might look like.)
    With such a definition firm in hand, and allowing the reader to understand your ‘this is not that’ discriminant(s), maybe you can then make sense of how you can indict Walmart for the customs and practices of labor in a foreign land.

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  35. Ben Emery Avatar
    Ben Emery

    Well George,
    My tool set is well stocked and where we might be parting is your favorite subject of Great Divide. If we are talking about human rights there is a accepted world definition found here- http://www.un.org/en/documents/udhr/index.shtml
    As for worker rights. Worker rights are the same as human rights on many levels. Employers do not have the authority to put the lives of their workers at stake with unsafe conditions. Paying what is equivalent to slave wages, wages that don’t meet the monetary levels of the cost of basic necessities for full time work. I guarantee the Bangladesh example they were working well into the 60-90 hours per week.
    So go ahead and add a different tool to your own box by reading the declaration provided above.

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  36. George Rebane Avatar

    BenE 1022am – thank you for corroborating the philosophy espoused on RR about definitions and semantics. Your “accepted world definition” link is an example prime UN crappola that defines NOTHING, and illustrates why confusion reigns when people use terms the meaning of which they are ignorant. (It also corroborates the cited academic studies of the intellectual wasteland that is the progressive dialectic.)
    On the worker rights topic, apparently the Bangladeshi workers have a saner view of work conditions in their country that does not involve holding foreign clients responsible for the workplace tragedies that are more common in their country.
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324296604578176983283834310.html?KEYWORDS=Bangladeshi+workers

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  37. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    George, your smackdown of BenE is complete. He is shivering in shame in the bathroom of the UN. BenE should travel over to Bangladesh and interview some of those people before he embarrasses himself any further with his blather.

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  38. Michael Anderson Avatar
    Michael Anderson

    Todd splorted: “He is shivering in shame in the bathroom of the UN.”
    The only shivering that is going on today is you in the TSA “special events” line, where the nice Filipino woman is giving you a prostrate check for the ages.
    Enjoy!

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