Rebane's Ruminations
May 2012
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George Rebane

RR has long promoted the idea that education in wealth producing/sustaining fields is the ONLY solution to America’s economic and social problems.  Former SecState and now distinguished senior fellow at Stanford’s Hoover Institution, George Shultz co-authors ‘Education Is the Key to a Healthy Economy’ with Eric Hanushek in which they acknowledge our broken K-12 public school system, and make the argument that quality STEM (Science, technology, engineering, math) education correlates strongly with and is a causal factor promoting economic growth – see nearby chart.  Their conclusion is that “An improved education system would lead to a dramatically different future for the U.S., because educational outcomes strongly affect economic growth and the distribution of income. … (And) if we fail to reform K-12 shools, we’ll have slow growth and more inequality.”

GDPgrowthPISA

The authors point out research that shows how per capita GDP is affected by STEM proficiency, and that –

Current U.S. students—the future labor force—are no longer competitive with students across the developed world. In the OECD’s Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) rankings for 2009, the U.S. was 31st in math—indistinguishable from Portugal or Italy. In “advanced” performance on math, 16 countries produced twice as many high achievers per capita than the U.S. did.

Continuing on this path, as is the current strategy promoted by the nation’s teachers unions, will guarantee to nail us to a slow growth future in which all the catastrophes from our indebtedness and unfunded liabilities will come home to roost in spades.  We will quickly become a second rate nation and all that entails in our ability to remain as the world’s most salutary and beneficent hegemon in history.


However, if we get our collective tails in gear and revamp our educational system, then we may be able to achieve the ONLY bright future available to us.  A forty point increase in our PISA score (see chart) would generate “… results (that) are stunning. The improvement in GDP over the next 80 years would exceed a present value of $70 trillion. That’s equivalent to an average 20% boost in income for every U.S. worker each year over his or her entire career. This would generate enough revenue to solve easily the U.S. debt problem that is the object of so much current debate.”

This hits home where we are educationally starting to scrape the bucket’s bottom.  Shultz and Hanushek note that in California, “once a leader in education, it is now ranked behind 40 other U.S. states in math achievement, placing it at the level of Greece and foreshadowing a bleak future of ballooning debt and growing income disparity.”

The solution is within our reach, however the ramparts that separate us from it are manned by the strongest institutions on our social landscape – public service unions, here in the form of the teachers unions.  Teaching in our land is not a meritocracy, but a massive machine to accumulate and focus money from sinecured teaching jobs held by large cadres of non-performing individuals whose prime loyalty is to the politics and politicians who are paid to keep the teachers happy and ignore the students.  Such politicians get a double hit from sustaining the cesspool we call K-12 – generous political contributions to maintain their own jobs, and the steady production of ignorant and compliant voters to re-elect them in perpetuum.

When teacher meritocracy is discussed in bi-partisan assemblies, then the left immediately rejects any notion that parents are the customers of the public education system, and the product they ‘buy’ is their educated offspring.  And the only way to tell if you’re getting your money’s worth is to see how Johnny and Susie do relative to other students here and in other lands, and that is through testing, as in the PISA tests cited above.

Suggesting this makes the union members break out in a chorus of howls.  They point to a hundred reasons why testing children should not be used to evaluate the merit of their teachers.  When backed to the wall, the best they can do is to suggest that union members should evaluate fellow union members to determine each other’s fitness to teach.

I am not making this up, and offer a concrete example of such an evaluation scheme that has been thought out by a progressive retired teacher and RR reader which recently came to light in a comment stream under a previous post.  This approach is written up here and is worth study to see why under such progressive approaches to education our nation’s path to failure is sealed.

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89 responses to “Education, teacher meritocracy, and our national future”

  1. Russ Steele Avatar

    Yet again another report on the failure of California’s education system that will be collecting dust on another shelf somewhere, until it is upated five years from now.
    Five years after a team of researchers at Stanford University issued a massive study of California’s public schools, concluding that the system needed much more money but also major reforms, a followup report from the University of California says there’s been a lot of talk but not much progress.
    This report commemorates the fifth anniversary of the Getting Down to Facts project, which sought to provide a thorough and reliable analysis of the critical challenges facing California’s education system as the necessary basis for an informed discussion of policy changes aimed at improving the performance of California schools and students. The report focuses on the four key issues that received emphasis in the Getting Down to Facts studies: governance, finance, personnel, and data systems. The authors review what has changed and what has not in the five years since the original studies were completed, and reaffirm the importance of a long-term agenda for reform in California’s education system that is guided by solid evidence and rigorous analysis.
    Details HERE.

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  2. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    Maybe we could get a joint defense/education project going. Each state gets to adopt an F-35 fighter, and learning about it and how it works and the mathematics involved is used as an inspiration for students. It could fly from airport to airport and the students could be bussed in to get to see hitech up close and personal. Schools with the greatest gains could have a shot at one of their students getting a ride.

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  3. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    After all, these things cost a quarter billion a piece and we need to make sure we get our money’s worth, every way we can; There a lot of physics that can be taught too, and social studies teachers can have a field day explaining why we are selling more of them elsewhere, when today’s friends can be tomorrow’s enemies, in far less than the 50 year 1.5 trillion dollar life span of the craft, not to mention what a great use of society’s limited resources these planes represent.
    The United States intends to buy a total of 2,443 aircraft to provide the bulk of its tactical airpower for the US Air Force, Marine Corps and Navy over the coming decades. The United Kingdom, Australia, Italy, Canada, Netherlands, Norway, Turkey, Israel, and Japan all will equip their air and/or naval forces with the F-35.[8][9][10][11][12] However, the Japanese have warned that they may halt their purchase if the unit costs increase. Similarly, Canada indicated it is not fully committed to purchasing the aircraft.[13][14] The United States is projected to spend an estimated US$323 billion for development and procurement on the F-35 program, making it the most expensive defense program ever.[15] The total lifecycle cost for the entire American fleet is estimated to be US$1.51 trillion over its 50-year life, or $618 million per plane.[16] Testifying before a Canadian parliamentary committee in 2011, Rear Admiral Arne Røksund of Norway similarly estimated that his country’s 52 F-35 fighter jets will cost $769 million each over their operational lifetime.[17]

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  4. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    Ooops, I read the box at the Wikipedia article which gave three different years and three costs, all around 236 million each. Now I notice in the body of the article that the cost suddenly balloons up to 618 million per plane. I assume Lockheed is in charge of the F-35 Lightning page, and has two wildly different numbers for a reason. Just like a school budget….

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  5. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    Let the students design the necessary external wingpod that can carry them for the ride of a lifetime. The F-35 has a crew of one, like the previous Lightning, the P-38.

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  6. George Rebane Avatar

    DougK 430pm – Please connect your last four comments to the topic at hand. You seem to continue the policy of posting the most comments with the least content. Do you have another agenda working here??

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  7. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    Yes George, it is called the slow reveal, great for gunnysacking suckers like you know who. The last three plainly have to do with a call for enrichment of our school programs with stuff that society and the govment obviously feel are important, ten times more important than education, by Federal budget dollars, and by scope (ever see any 50 year education plans, which is what the F-36 is)? If you don’t look at the Big Picture, i.e., where society does spend its money, you can’t solve the littler problems.
    Russ: “The report focuses on the four key issues that received emphasis in the Getting Down to Facts studies: governance, finance, personnel, and data systems.”
    What, no mention of Unions? Then the rest must be trash.

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  8. George Rebane Avatar

    DougK 443pm – IMHO your “slow reveal” comments afflict RR readers with a case of instant ennui, skipping the sublime and going directly to the ridiculous. Try to straighten out and fly right; I’m in a quandary as to what to do with such inanities.

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  9. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    “The main problem that we will have is the supply of numerate teachers.”
    How about using starving undergrads with loans to pay who have already proven their mathematical abilities by passing with “B’s” or better Greg’s “hard science” math courses? That should work, and could work cheaply, if they are located on the other side of the planet. If cost cutting and numeracy proficiency are your only goals, that should fit the bill. Oh, they know the stuff but can’t teach a dog to spot a tree? Too bad, back to the drawing boards. OK, a free (to the student) cloud copy of Wolfram Mathematica for every student. The smart one can definitely learn from that.
    Note that for content here, I reference your post, go on to make a suggestion, see a problem with the suggestion, and then make an alternate suggestion. Surely some part of 66,000,000,000 can go to Wolfram for this purpose.

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  10. Todd Juvinall Avatar

    Good luck George!

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  11. Gregory Avatar

    “Gee, Greg, I didn’t think ANY public schools were acceptable in your book.”
    George, I consider that both without factual basis and slanderous. Would you please delete Keachie’s 4:10PM?

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  12. George Rebane Avatar

    DougK 457pm – This comment is like so many of yours where you play out both sides of an argument, fabricating the losing side out of whole cloth and attributing it to another commenter, then in conclusion declaring total victory to your side. A more credible approach is to actually address the other commenter’s words as written.
    Your idea about numerate grad students is weak on two counts, 1) numerate grad students usually have an employable major under their belts and would not look for a teaching job, and 2) even if they did, the unions would not let such people without appropriate teaching credentials (and California’s C-best) into classroom, even if they had a PhD in engineering and computer science (and volunteered to teach for free).

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  13. Gregory Avatar

    George, Keach just free associates his way through the blogosphere, erecting straw men left and right, putting names to them in a constant libelous exercise. He is a serial blog vandal, RR is just another wall on which to write.
    He has mentioned he’s been banned from The Union, RR should take a clue from them. Your traffic stats would go down but the quality would go up.
    I do again request you delete his 4:10, I just don’t want to deal with yet another lie about me from Keachie for the net to remember.

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  14. Gregory Avatar

    “Try to straighten out and fly right; I’m in a quandary as to what to do with such inanities.”
    He’s here because he’s given the freedom to post such inanities. Adult supervision is needed.

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  15. Paul Emery Avatar

    George
    To what extent do you support local autonomy for public education?

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  16. billy T Avatar

    Local schools should be run by local boards, period. Does anyone with 2 brain cells left think some bureaucrat sitting 40 hours a week at some desk in Washington DC knows what is best for every single k-12 pupil in Kansas or Georgia or Northern California? I say demolish the Federal Department of Education. Well, keep them around for overseeing Pell Grants, but get them out of our middle schools. Think it was around 1998 when Newt G said “If the government wanted to study the American Bison, they would have 5 people sitting in an office in Washington DC and 2 guys out in Wyoming” And we know those 5 public servants in DC are gone before 5:01pm Monday through Friday. The business of education has evolved into what is best for the teachers’ union. Just like the TSA, it has become nothing more than a giant personnel department. Speaking of teacher’s unions, this caught my eye: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/rich-california-fund-sues-wal-020935605.html

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  17. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    What I say I think is not slander, it is just an opinion. Since you have stated that I am wrong, I accept that, as soon as you list a couple of quantifiable public schools that meet your minimum standards.
    George, who said anything about graduate students?
    “How about using starving undergrads with loans to pay who have already proven their mathematical abilities by passing with “B’s” or better Greg’s “hard science” math courses?”
    I assumed it was obvious that they would not be in the classroom, but rather would be online, student would be in a computer lab at school, or an IPad room, as undergrads would only be available in person in our university towns.

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  18. George Rebane Avatar

    PaulE 850pm – billyT’s 954pm about says it all. Schools should be run as close to the parents of the attending kids as possible.

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  19. Gregory Avatar

    Keach, couching a slander as an opinion doesn’t change the slander.
    https://www.eff.org/issues/bloggers/legal/liability/defamation
    I’ve never, ever, written anything like ‘public schools are unacceptable’. A pure invention of the mind of Keachie thinking out of the Reality box. Locally, I’ve been approving (and have written about) the Pleasant Ridge district schools and the Nevada City schools. The GVSD and Pleasant Valley districts are, in contrast, failing academically, and the two local high schools have severe problems…
    Acceptable to the ed bureaucracy is any accredited school. If an online school meets that, and the parents have reason enough to believe it is a better choice than the local public school their kid(s) would otherwise be forced to attend, why should anyone object?

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  20. Gregory Avatar

    Billy’s 954pm doesn’t say it all. If there’s “local control”, meaning a local school board spending local money, but collective bargaining with a state or national union, there really isn’t local control. The deep pockets would belong to the union the schools will be dancing to the tune called by their leadership, and it’s likely the school board would be loaded with candidates that were acceptable to the union in the first place.

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  21. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    “Money should follow the student wherever the student goes as long as the academics measure up to the lowest acceptable public school.”
    The implication here is is very plain, some schools are unacceptable to Gregory Goodknight. He wrote this, and made no mention of any other judges of “lowest acceptable public school.”
    “I’ve never, ever, written anything like ‘public schools are unacceptable’.”
    Oh really? Would you like to talk about slander and FALSEHOOD, written by Gregory Godknight, try this on for size.
    “Russ, “Runts” is a brand spanking new sock puppet. Smells like Keachie.”
    Greg is into weird stuff, like smelling socks (and getting it WRONG) by his own admission.
    “Acceptable to the ed bureaucracy is any accredited school” Your clarification about who is doing the accepting is very late to the party, nice try, but your litter box has a problem. How does it feel to be on the receiving end of your typical writing style?
    Local control I sure will find a way to have boards that are 100% “numeracy literate.” at a level satisfactory to both Greg and George, such that they can make decisions about which calculus books and software to buy.

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  22. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    Now, let’s get to the heart of the matter. MATH IS BORING TO 95% of the population, and so you need not only teachers who know the subject well, you also need to have teachers who can, one way or the other, make it exciting and interesting. Please note, there is No Magic Formula here. Sacramento paid a fortune to bring “Stand and Deliver teacher, Jaime Escalante, and, whatever magic he could work in East LA, he was unable to bring it off up here. It may have been a simple case of aging, not that he had changed, but rather the prejudices the young have about older strangers. The arrogance of youth is only tempered through time.

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  23. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    “Schools should be run as close to the parents of the attending kids as possible.”
    Do you have any idea how this would play out in a ghetto area? Charter schools that pay for “parent involvement as tutors”, even if the parents don’t show up at the dim bulbbed garage where the kids are kept prisoner, in its most extreme form.
    I wonder if Greg has compared the demographics of the two areas he identifies locally as being good vs fair to midd’lin?

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  24. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    “The GVSD and Pleasant Valley districts are, in contrast, failing academically,” “I’ve never, ever, written anything like ‘public schools are unacceptable’” ~Greg Goodknight~
    So schools that are “failing academically” are acceptable to Gregory Goodknight? The bulk of your writings would suggest otherwise.

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  25. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    Greg excels at logic games, and fails at communicating in the English language using the common vernacular, as near as I can tell.

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  26. George Rebane Avatar

    Gregory 650pm – By local control I did not mean (nor did I think that billyT meant) partial local control. If you don’t control the money, you control nothing.
    BTW, lest there be any doubt, I do NOT think that the US public school system is acceptable to any society that wants to survive. Capice?

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  27. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    “If you don’t control the money, you control nothing.” and if you do control the money, you also control who does and does not get educated, and to what degree. I think we explored that in “separate, but equal” some time ago. Hillsborough get one level, and East Palo Alto another. Areas with greater numbers of special needs students will be shortchanged by one student, one unit of average daily attendance, unless additional protections are in place. I’m surprised no one called me on it, BTW, the FEDs are only 7% of the California school budget. Seems like more government in schools, if it is local, suits you just fine.

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  28. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    And Greg got me off into writing slander, when in fact he (and I, subsequently) should have used the word “libel.”

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  29. George Rebane Avatar

    DougK 923am – “Seems like more government in schools, if it is local, suits you just fine.” Yes indeed, it seem that now you understand (but not necessarily agree) that the collective works best on small and distributed scales, i.e. locally. And the beauty here is that local government need not grow at all to implement local control.
    If the richer are to subsidize the poorer through,say, the state government, then the education funding should come down to the school districts with the absolute minimal strings attached. Let them sort out how to spend it at the local levels where the parents and other residents have the most say on what and how they want their kids taught.
    Imagine what benefits will accrue when schools and school districts can decide and buy educational materials, services, programs, etc from third party commercial suppliers. (see also subsequent post on ‘edX …’ http://rebaneruminations.typepad.com/rebanes_ruminations/2012/05/edx-a-revolution-in-education.html )

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  30. Gregory Avatar

    Let me repeat an old question… would anyone here want Keachie teaching their kids, or anyone else they care about? If so, what subject? If I wasn’t here, what would Keachie write about? He’d have to find someone else and intentionally misunderstand what they write, constructing straw men as he goes.
    He lied when he wrote I didn’t find public schools acceptable in general, and then used the fact there are individual public schools that have failed academically as support for the earlier statement. BTW Blog defamations can be considered both slander and libel, as they are both written, and conversational in nature.
    George, you can control the money and still have a union which is statewide, or larger, and the union will dominate.
    A friend of mine was Escalante’s favorite math prof at CSULA, and I know enough of the story to say Keachie slanders Escalante almost as easily as he slanders anyone else. There was no magic at Garfield, just solid curriculum, starting with solid general math and algebra, leading up to calculus only after a number of years.

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  31. George Rebane Avatar

    gregory 1006am – how could a union dominate if we had ‘right to teach’ school districts??

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  32. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    I did not slander Esclante, I mereley repeated what he himself said about himself. Greg in so stating slanders/libels me, Good God, give it a break, GG!
    “The state’s superintendent of public instruction, Delaine Eastin, had similar praise for Escalante.
    “Everyone who has seen ‘Stand and Deliver’ or has visited his classroom and seen him stand and deliver, has a profound respect for the wonderful impact he has made upon his thousands of students over the years,” Eastin said.
    In his seven years at Johnson, Escalante did not achieve the same dramatic results with students that he did at his former high school in Los Angeles. But according to Benjamin and other educators, he made a strong impact at the campus.
    At Garfield High School in Los Angeles, Escalante came to fame for encouraging hundreds of students to enroll in Advanced Placement calculus classes. Students who pass the grueling AP tests may receive college credit.
    The critically acclaimed “Stand and Deliver” documented Escalante’s experiences in 1982, when his class of inner-city students performed so well on the AP calculus exam that the Educational Testing Service invalidated his students’ scores. In the moving film, the 18 students retook the tests and passed again.
    At Hiram Johnson, enrollment in AP calculus during Escalante’s years there — as well as student performance on the exams — has gone up and down, said Annette Manolis, an interim vice principal. Escalante, who taught an assortment of math courses, taught AP calculus during five of his seven years at Hiram Johnson. During those years, nearly all his students took the AP calculus exam — about 14 or 15 each year — and about three-quarters passed each year, he said.
    Escalante said he was not able to achieve the same levels of success at Johnson that he did in Los Angeles for several reasons, including a high turnover of vice principals that hampered his ability to build a comprehensive math program.
    Another difficulty, he and others said, was connecting with the diverse array of families whose students attend Johnson. At Garfield, Escalante enjoyed smooth communication and an easy rapport with the families of his mostly Latino students. At Hiram Johnson, he found that many parents either didn’t understand or objected to his demanding style and requests that students come for tutoring on weekends.
    Escalante also said he found many of the teenagers of the ’90s less motivated and more hardened toward adults and learning than those of a decade ago.
    “My father is well beyond retirement age. The job had become a huge challenge for him,” Escalante’s son said. “We told him, there’s no need for you to pull off ‘Stand and Deliver,’ part three or four. You’ve already shown the world what you can do.”
    From http://onenation.org/0698/061098b.html

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  33. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    “BTW, lest there be any doubt, I do NOT think that the US public school system is acceptable to any society that wants to survive. Capice? ”
    “BTW, lest there be any doubt, I do NOT think that the US public school system, in its present form, is acceptable to any society that wants to survive. Capice? ”
    I agree, with my modification. Likewise the healthcare system. I just had a pair of new glasses come back and SECOND time, with the wrong perscription, and was told my eyes would adapt. Since the bifocals in the pair are supposed to match my reading glasses, and they are 30 degrees apart, I KNOW there’s a screwup.

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  34. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    What would I do if Greg weren’t here? Have civil and intelligent, humorous and mind stretching conversations with the remaining inhabitants, who tend towards those things, instead of wasting their energies trying to play, “King of the Sock Hop,” a task best left to sophomores who never grew up.

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  35. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    Slander of character is a false statement about an individual, which casts that person in a negative light. This type of defamation may also be made against an organization or a company. For the accusation to be considered criminal, it must be implied or stated to be truth when it is, in reality, a lie. It must also be made with malicious intentions.
    And when you carefully qualify everything such that it is merely your opinion, and may or may not be true, you muddle the issue but good. I learned the technique from watching Greg, thanks! Besides, there is not a malicious bone in my body, merely a need to educate he who would claim:
    “Let me repeat an old question… would anyone here want Keachie teaching their kids, or anyone else they care about? If so, what subject?”
    without indicating the fact that he himself was the author of the “old question.” I suspect he himself is being educated by his attorney, who is lapping up the fees. I think I deserve a cut from said attorney….
    Education is near and dear to my heart.

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  36. Gregory Avatar

    “Sacramento paid a fortune to bring “Stand and Deliver teacher, Jaime Escalante, and, whatever magic he could work in East LA, he was unable to bring it off up here. It may have been a simple case of aging, not that he had changed, but rather the prejudices the young have about older strangers.”
    Nothing in Keachie’s followup quotes supports that
    1) Escalante was “paid a fortune” to teach at Hiram Johnson
    2) He failed there and
    3) it was because he was old, or due to prejudice.
    Delaine Eastin’s empty praise was biting; she presided over the post-Honig crumbling of California public schools with an acceleration of the whole language debacle, and the introduction of whole math. A travesty, with the detritus of the constructivist experiments at the Grass Valley Elementary District still working its way through the high school. Quoting Eastin on Escalante is like quoting Obama on Cheney.

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  37. Gregory Avatar

    “how could a union dominate if we had ‘right to teach’ school districts??”
    George, I think it’s pointless to conduct gedankenexperimenten regarding a right to work or right to teach reform in California, and I’m not even sure I’d back your ideas on such things. Backing off the Jerry Brown V.1 ‘reform’ giving public employee unions a right to collective bargaining would undo most of that damage, and requiring all union political expenditures be funded by opt-in payroll deductions and not general dues related to representation of the workers by the union, would do the rest.

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  38. George Rebane Avatar

    Gregory 1133am – the whole discussion of ANY education reform is nothing but a hopeful and hopefully reasoned set of gedankenexperimenten. I don’t think including the ‘right to teach’ stipulation is any more outlandish than finding right to work provisions in over 20 states today. Local control of money would be a half-hearted victory for education if ‘right to teach’ were not part of the reform.

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  39. Douglas Keachie Avatar

    “and, whatever magic he could work in East LA, he was unable to bring it off up here. ” ~Keachie~
    “Escalante said he was not able to achieve the same levels of success at Johnson that he did in Los Angeles for several reasons, including a high turnover of vice principals that hampered his ability to build a comprehensive math program.
    Another difficulty, he and others said, was connecting with the diverse array of families whose students attend Johnson. At Garfield, Escalante enjoyed smooth communication and an easy rapport with the families of his mostly Latino students. At Hiram Johnson, he found that many parents either didn’t understand or objected to his demanding style and requests that students come for tutoring on weekends.
    Escalante also said he found many of the teenagers of the ’90s less motivated and more hardened toward adults and learning than those of a decade ago.” ~Escalante~
    “Nothing in Keachie’s followup quotes supports that
    1) Escalante was “paid a fortune” to teach at Hiram Johnson
    2) He failed there and
    3) it was because he was old, or due to prejudice. ~GG~
    1) I was speaking metaphorically. If I recall correctly, they offered him a school setting tailored to meet his finest expectations. Of course, schools do not always deliver…
    2) I never said “he failed there.” GG, using his typical literal criteria, lies again.
    3) Again GG miss-rewrites what I wrote, to alter the meaning originally expressed.
    The author of the Escalante article wrote: “Escalante also said he found many of the teenagers of the ’90s less motivated and more hardened toward adults and learning than those of a decade ago.”
    If everyone else on this blog were chasing their tails over these “straw men” that you’ve been creating, you might have some validity in your complaints. As it is, it is just so much whining, and I have no idea what inner psychological needs you are attempting to satisfy.

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