Rebane's Ruminations
August 2011
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George Rebane

[This is the corrected form of my Union column for August.  In the submitted form I mistakenly assigned PM Cameron to the Labor Party.  However, due to a glitch, it did not appear today but will instead publish next Saturday 20aug11 here, hopefully in the corrected version as below.  Thanks again to readers for pointing out my blooper.  In the post below I have addended comments about a related piece on the “skills gap” that appeared in the 11aug11 WSJ.]

There’s a burr under my blanket about how our young people are short-changed by establishment schools.  But before getting to that irritation, we need to frame the issue.

Across the world we have two massive social storms merging into an historical typhoon of unknown proportions.  Expanding economic crises due to massive overspending by European Union governments and the United States is colliding with an un(der)employed youth demographic already cooked into developed western societies.  The result is growing civil unrest.

Without adding in the so-called Arab Spring uprisings across the middle east and Africa, Europe is showing the strains of belated austerity measures as the growing “number of protests against public-spending cuts have turned violent.”  They began last year in Greece and have haphazardly spread across southern Europe, and now we have witnessed days of wanton rioting and looting in the UK.

There Tory Prime Minister Cameron has attempted to sweep it all under the “pure criminality” rug, but when such criminality quickly spread from London to other big cities like Birmingham, Bristol, and Liverpool, then wiser heads know that there is something more than spontaneous hooliganism going on.

We in the US are not immune from this social disease.  Here no progressive politician would consider sponsoring a serious cut in the only major entitlements that might slow our fiscal freefall.  But cuts will come, they have to.  And then we will see the thread count of our civilization’s ‘gossamer veil’.  It has ripped before.

So what have we been doing with our young people, those whom we expect to graduate from high school and go on to college or into the job market?  Other than giving most of them a second rate education, we send a large fraction of our youth into the job market without even a high school diploma.


Our high schools reached their pinnacle performance in 1969 when 77% of entering students graduated.  That was about the time that President Johnson’s Great Society programs began to kick in, and public education started going downhill.  Things shifted into a real low gear ten years later when President Jimmy Carter launched one of the most arguably damaging government bureaucracies, the Department of Education – costs skyrocketed, performance plummeted, and graduation rates dropped to about 68%.

Consider that today our secondary public education mills annually pump out about 4.3 million students in their late teens.  Of those 1.3 million are dropouts – no diploma.  By the way, taking into account people retiring and immigrants arriving explains why the economy needs to add about 250,000 jobs a month.

But these jobs are not being created, and the dropouts go directly to the bottom of the hiring barrel, joining the ranks of the unschooled and unemployed.  Dropout rates are disproportionately higher in urban areas where such young become the ignorant and malleable fodder for politicians who promise them checks and jobs they can’t fill.

My regular work with young people on various educational and scholarship programs, gives me a chance to talk about their futures.  Perhaps the biggest tragedy is that these young people – with or without diplomas – leave high school clueless as to what awaits them in the real world.

The punchline is that almost all the students don’t know what skills are required for various jobs, the kinds of jobs currently in demand, and how technology will impact the future jobs picture.  They don’t have a clue because no one has told them.  Almost all of them are lackadaisical about what field or career would interest them.  They believe there is plenty of time to get all that sorted out after getting into college.

No one told them how life gets faster after you leave high school.  No one told them the best subjects to take while you’re making up your mind (today’s answer – science, math, computer programming).  Many so-called educators in high school are silent on those topics, and mostly give out self-esteem points if you play sports or sing in a choir.  There is little sense of the ‘career urgency’ we all had when we graduated in the dark ages.

So today’s overwhelming fraction of young enter the job markets under-skilled for the available work.  Many of them instinctively become sucklings at the public trough, looking for this or that government job where skills are optional. Or they simply join the angry unemployed living on some public transfer payment.  What will they do when they learn that their check may no longer be in the mail?

Take some time to talk to your neighborhood teenager.

George Rebane is an entrepreneur and a retired systems scientist in Nevada County who regularly expands these and other themes on KVMR and Rebane’s Ruminations (www.georgerebane.com).

[Addendum]  Democratic Senators Landrieu and Murray wrote ‘How to Close the Skills Gap’ for the 11aug11 WSJ.  In it they correctly cite a “skills gap” that prevents most workers, young and old, from filling the jobs that companies have available.  The Bureau of Labor Statistics states that over three million jobs are currently open, but no qualified workers to take them.

Being of the liberal bent, the good Senators have a hard time finding the proper causes for such a shortfall – at least none that can’t be solved by more federal spending.  They are totally blind to the abortion we call public secondary education in America, and instead want to reauthorize, reform, and refund “the Workforce Investment Act, our nation's foundational federal work-force development policy.”  Yes, indeed.

In the process, they seem to have rediscovered apprenticeship as a way to get young people into the workplace and have the employer fill in what the schools missed.  On a more positive note, in addition to finally realizing that there is a growing skills gap contributing to unemployment, these liberal senators are the first that I have seen who give a nod to the dreadful state of adult literacy in America (oft cited along with innumeracy on these pages, e.g. here and here) – “According to a report by the National Commission on Adult Literacy, 90 million adults have literacy skills so low that success in postsecondary education and training is becoming more and more challenging.”

“More and more challenging” my overtaxed a$$ets!  In the aggregate, the high schools are a failed public institution made so by years of indiscriminate government funding and the tender mercies of the teachers’ unions.  And these senators prescribe the predictable reprise of perpetually failed prescriptions.

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122 responses to “Our Painfully Uninformed Young People (Addended)”

  1. George Rebane Avatar

    DougK, in my 838am I only inferred that GregG has been a compliant lifelong taxpayer who shelled out monies that presumably went for the common good. I know him only through these pages, so that inference is in no way limiting – GregG may also have done more than shell out to the IRS.
    Nevertheless, in reading your conversation about teachers, I must add that I have met and worked with many teachers in my career. Overwhelmingly, but with the usual exceptions, these public K-12 ‘professionals’ would not have survived long in any business with which I was involved. My sample may be skewed.

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  2. Doug Keachie Avatar

    So I guess Greg does agree that there are no teachers in California, myself included, who are, in his opinion, losers?
    Or is he just creating more spin liquids?

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  3. Doug Keachie Avatar

    “and declared us all, repeatedly, “losers.”
    To declare something to be so does not necessarily require exact quotes of wither spoken or written words. There is no libel here. I never said that Greg said “blah blah blah.”

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  4. Doug Keachie Avatar

    “these public K-12 ‘professionals’ would not have survived long in any business with which I was involved.”
    and just how long do you think you’d last as a teacher in Deep Hunter’s Point or any serious barrio in LA?

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  5. Greg Goodknight Avatar
    Greg Goodknight

    Todd, I would be delighted to not be engaging Keachie, but he is making stuff up to hit me over the head with, and ignoring the topic and the discussion, as usual. It’s why his sock puppets were routinely put in the penalty box at TheUnion blog.
    Associating me with Bachmann is another cute misdirected misdirection, part of his Brownian logic-less logic.

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  6. Greg Goodknight Avatar
    Greg Goodknight

    MMcD, I’ve not seen an analysis specific to California recently, but charter schools in general get less per student and, unless lucky enough to get an empty legacy school for nothing (or next to it), pay more for facilities.
    Couple that with a much smaller school that is unlikely to have a full spread of courses that fit the needs of most students, or the outliers on both tails of the bell curve, and you have a lesser choice. The local comprehensive high school has to be pretty bad, or the actual target demographic (like the Mormons in Roseville and surrounding areas that I assume are the target for JAA) have needs such as isolation from elements they wish their children to avoid, to have enough students to make it worthwhile.
    It wouldn’t take much change by NUHS/BRHS to drain students away from a local JAA if it managed to get a start around here.

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  7. Greg Goodknight Avatar
    Greg Goodknight

    Keachie:

    “and declared us all, repeatedly, “losers.”
    To declare something to be so does not necessarily require exact quotes of wither spoken or written words. There is no libel here. I never said that Greg said “blah blah blah.”

    When put it in quotes, yes, it means I said or wrote it. And what you wrote to kick this off was

    He, without having spent one minute in a classroom where I was teaching, has anointed himself the judge and jury, not only for me but 250,000 other California teacher, and declared us all, repeatedly, “losers.”

    Never said, either the “losers” part, or any denigration of ALL teachers. If Cisco Systems thinks out of 100 people they have employed there are on average 4 they might be better off without, public schools with much less selectivity in hiring should have a much easier time finding 5.
    Until the teaching profession can shake the Lake Woebegone self image that they are all above average, they will not be treated like a profession, or paid like one.

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  8. Todd Juvinall Avatar
    Todd Juvinall

    Greg, Keachie was taking my picture at the Republican booth at the fair and it was kind of creepy. He is taller than I thought he’d be. Anyway, I know you need to make sure as best you can he and the others are not mis-characterizing you and your positions but I can assure you it does not faze them. SteveF calls George all kinds of vile names over at the FUE’s trashhblog and then comes over here and wines about how he is being treated (accurately I might add). They are all spoiled little babies and you will never convince them. I decided long ago they are hopeless and that is why I don’t deal with them much except to call a spade a spade.

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  9. Douglas Keachie Avatar
    Douglas Keachie

    Todd, on calling names, you should know that to the scientifically inclined mind, “part of his Brownian logic-less logic.” is simply another way of calling someone an irrational gasbag, a clever way, admittedly.
    You yourself are taller than I thought too. What did you think, that I was, a FUE clone?
    You seemed quite tied up with the gentleman in the foreground, and I’m sorry I never got back to formally introduce myself.
    You’ll find the shot in the “Rush into the Fair” section of:
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/keachie/collections/72157627307232581/
    I have yet more photos to edit, which will be added to that location.

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  10. Douglas Keachie Avatar
    Douglas Keachie

    Until taxpayers learn that there is a bell curve in the students they send to “must take them all” public schools, they will never grasp the notion that their community, just might be, “average,” and all that entails. bring in your finest of teachers, and let them have at it with the left side of that bell, and get back to me with the results. If they can’t get those students to the middle of the curve, FIRE ALL YOUR “best” teachers!
    That’ll learn’em!

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  11. Greg Goodknight Avatar
    Greg Goodknight

    Keachie once again with a straw man argument. A teacher who takes a 10th grader who reads or computes at a 6th grade level, and brings them to an 8th grade level, is a teacher who can impart two years of understanding in one year. In a ‘value added’ evaluation system they would be well rewarded, not fired for failing to impart 4 years of progress in one year.
    A teacher who can get even one year of progress in a child who has consistently underperformed would also be considered to be above average.
    Teachers have a vested interest in derailing any appropriate use of pupil testing in order to separate the wheat from the chaff among the teacher corps.

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  12. George Rebane Avatar

    OK gentlepeople, here’s some administrivia that I would request in your comments, and have herein explained as part of my editorial output. Please use quotes only to delimit text which was actually spoken or written by someone whom you can cite. Please use semi-quotes to delimit words/phrases which call for emphasis, have a special semantic that is understood in the context, or derive from an origin which you cannot accurately cite or attribute.
    Following this editorial convention would markedly cut down on the number of extra laps around the barn in these comment streams.

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  13. Greg Goodknight Avatar
    Greg Goodknight

    George, here’s some readersandposters triva: please delete those posts which ascribed to me words or phrases which I did not utter, and thoughts which I have never had or shared, posted with the intent to denigrate my character.
    Keachie has a BA in something from UC Berkeley. He can be expected to have known what a quote means without a reminder from you.

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  14. George Rebane Avatar

    GregG – I understand your frustration, and am a victim of the same kinds of unfounded attributions. For me to start searching out what one commenter said before another’s claim of what was said is labor beyond my love for this enterprise – beyond RR I too have a life to live. My response to such mis-attributions is just to call them out in a subsequent reply, or ignore them when a reply is not warranted. But, of course, the best solution is for the parties to rise above character denigrations. That said, the founded denigration of ideas is the sum and substance of a lively debate.

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  15. Douglas Keachie Avatar
    Douglas Keachie

    Greg, you have no idea of what you are attempting. This state has tried to set up a system to track the kids, especially those on the left side of the bell curve, as they move from school to school, all around the state, so that they could track the stats you want. Last time I looked they did NOT have a working system. Until you can set up such a system that works, and a testing system that deals with 44 plus languages in use around the state, you will be firing at least some, if not most, of the teachers, unjustly.
    Oh, yes, it would cost more money to do it right, so that’s the deal breaker, I suppose?

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  16. Douglas Keachie Avatar
    Douglas Keachie

    I will simply say, “GG has, through his writings, given me the approximate impression, that he may tend to believe, something like this –> {blah,blah,blah}
    Greg is free to continue with his barrage of apparent efforts at insults. And I’ll probably rise to the bait from time to time. I don’t have need to denigrate him, not that I admitting I ever have, as he does quite well on his own.
    Semi-quotes well covered here
    http://kochanski.org/blog/?p=3
    Bachman celebrated Elvis’s Birthday today, many months late, and her own political suicide. This happened faster than I thought.
    I had just posted,
    “This is going to be just like watching the bad guy’s 747 lumbering down the snow covered runway in DieHard 2, as John McClane lights the dribbling fuel. I truly hope either Perry or Backman gets the nomination, it will make Obama a shoo-in.”
    on FB. Looks like she won’t even get the wheels up.

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  17. Douglas Keachie Avatar
    Douglas Keachie

    GG has, through his writings, given me the approximate impression, that he may tend to believe, something like this –> {he got a degree from a college named, in part, Mudd} That might explain a few things.

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  18. Greg Goodknight Avatar
    Greg Goodknight

    George, allowing libels to stand is never the answer. This has turned into Keachie’s sandbox, and we are all the worse for it.

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  19. Mikey McD Avatar
    Mikey McD

    Greg, thanks for you thoughts. Would you be willing to be a resource in an endeavor to start a private or charter school in Nevada County? Thanks in advance.

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  20. D Keachie Avatar
    D Keachie

    Better a creative sandbox, than GG’s litterbox.

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  21. D Keachie Avatar
    D Keachie

    here are the latest Tea leaves from the Nevada County STAR testing, for our resident high priest to analyze.

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