Rebane's Ruminations
February 2009
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George Rebane

TruckSign It is very clear that the rock apes are in charge of the zoo we call Washington DC, and the BS continues to flow across the land repeating the screed that free market capitalism is no longer working.  Everybody except the Hopeful Change Democrats are to blame for the current financial crisis.  In the docket remains former President Bush who is accused of starting this recession single-handedly with perhaps a little help from the greedy capitalists on Wall Street.  Anyone who points out the almost thirty years of the government’s distortion of the American housing market is put into a pen with the other unrepentant “ideologues” who are beyond help.  For a quick review of some history, please see this

(Quiz for the well-grounded reader – why is this evidence not referenced every time Congress tries to put blame someplace else?  What equivalent evidence exists for the charge that Bush and company hindered government oversight of the financial industry starting with GSEs like Fannie and Freddie?)

And the big lie continues as it must.  For this is the great age of government expansion, and NOTHING will be allowed to stand in the way.  First you mangle the markets, then watch the capitalists attempt to game it, and when they crash and burn, you scream that we need even more government to fix the problem.  The way ahead is well marked – no matter the duration, pain, and cost, we will continue to be stimulated whether we like it or not.

And when the 700 pages of HR1 (aka American Recovery and Reinvestment Act – 76 page short form here) of the Obama $900B stimulus bill is examined, it quickly becomes apparent that this is nothing more than taking money out of the private sector – today and forever – in order to spread pork across the land.  Contrary to Larry Summers’ dictum that the stimulus should be “targeted, timely, and temporary”, it is none of these.  Upon closer examination, this bag of bovine scat is at best an earmark-ladened, slow boat to China – and they may even refuse to pay for any of it.  As Henninger points out in today’s WSJ (‘What is Congress Stimulating?’), this is mostly government doing some “self-stimulation” – perhaps even the kind that will grow hair on your palms.

In the grand progress of the rush to ruin, this morning we woke to headlines outlining President Obama’s latest outrage against the evils of executive compensation.  According to his dictum, government will now set the compensation limits on pay and benefits for executives of the bailed out corporations.  Now I’m not a big fan of the overpaid empty suits who manage most of those companies, but I am afraid that Obama and Congress will not stop there as they hear the bleating of their approving herd.  It will be mighty tempting for the Barney/Nancy/Harry club to ride this momentum to legislate executive pay scales for all publicly traded companies.  That will give ‘off shoring’ a whole new meaning.  Stay tuned.

[update – For the more sensitive readers who thought my ‘rock apes’ appellation may have been too strong, I offer tonight’s advance notice of tomorrow’s news as reported by Fox News, Nightly Business Report (PBS), and Reuters here.  It seems that our government financial mavens have already overspent by $78,000,000,000 (yep, that’s billions), or more than 44%, for assets of banks that were included in the TARP1 bailout.  These are the turkeys from the same flock who will be leading the country out of this recession by wisely spending what appears to be an amount that will knock the bejeezus out of the next trillion dollar bill that we all will wind up paying for.  And they’re bitching and moaning about the mistakes of the empty suits on Wall Street!  The only bad part about these visually impaired feds leading the blind is that the government foggies have the hubris and the force of arms to back up their mistakes – we have no choice but to go along.]

   

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7 responses to “BS FOB DC (updated)”

  1. Russ Steele Avatar

    I always thought it was up to the Board of Directors, with support from the Stock Holders, to decide what executive pay should be. They should also be responsible for removing the executive empty suits when they fail to preform. Once the government sets the pay scales for executive are they now also responsible for deciding executive performance? How do we identify and remover the under performers? The ultra liberal rock apes who never made a payroll, would like nothing better than to punish those mean capitalist, making sure they get what’s coming to them for making money and sharing it with the stock holders. Let’s see first it was carbon caps, now it is pay caps. It is time for some dunce caps.

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  2. Wade Avatar
    Wade

    So according to the video, two GSEs responsible for buying and holding roughly 15% of the total securitized subprime mortgages, which were originated by other companies such as Countrywide, are responsible for the financial crisis? The other 85%, hedged and extended 30 fold with CDSs played what? A minor role? I do not understand. Had Bush, the obviously prescient and prudent economist, imposed whatever “regulations” he had in mind for Fannie and Freddie, we wouldn’t be in this mess? I am not convinced… That the GSEs were politically cozier with Democrats is really the only impetus behind Republican calls to “reign them in.”
    And, uh, Russ, those “mean capitalist… making money and sharing it with stockholders.”??? Are we talking about the guys with record-smashing losses on their balance sheets? The guys lining up for socialist corporate welfare? The guys who ran venerable, 150 year old Wall Street institutions into the ground with 10s of trillions of leveraged bets on credit default swaps based on securitized subprime mortgages, CDSs they loved so much simply because they were completely unregulated, because the Bush admin gave them all waivers from the sensible 12-1 leverage ratio allowance, because interest rates were held disastrously low for the entire Bush administration? The guys giving themselves performance bonuses out of said taxpayer welfare? The guys desperately trying to disguise their insolvency as a “liquidity crisis” in order to keep the public dole open? Yeah, those guys can take a pay cut. If they don’t like it they can always go work for Lehman…

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  3. Mikey McD Avatar
    Mikey McD

    The best possible investment for 2008 would have been a sizable contribution to a winning political candidates campaign. Just weeks into the term of the winning politicians and POOF! $900 billion in pork and pet projects have already been legislated. What I would have given to be the head of a union PAC in 2008. Talk about a great return on investment!

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  4. George Rebane Avatar

    One of the problems that the Left/Right debate has is their respective disagreement on the facts. Fannie and Freddie’s involvement in the mortgage markets was much larger than the 15% claimed above. Here is a quote from a typical report on the matter (by Henry Paulson, Sec Treasury as reported on TheHill.com)
    “Together, Fannie and Freddie’s market share has grown substantially from 46 percent of all new mortgages in the second quarter of 2007 to nearly 70 percent in the first quarter of 2008. Because of the GSE guarantee, mortgage securities are more attractive to investors around the world, investors who are then more willing to purchase mortgage securities and finance new mortgages. It has never been more critical that markets have confidence in how Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are overseen and regulated.”
    But in the final analysis it doesn’t matter if the percentage was 15% or 70%. If a giant GSE gorilla starts making the market at a deeply discounted rate, the rest of the players have to follow or lose market share. Free markets work that way – at least they used to.

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  5. Wade Avatar
    Wade

    I stand by my statement: “15% of the total securitized subprime mortgages” which is not to say “mortgage markets.” There’s a big difference. Fannie and Freddie have regulations requiring them to stick to “conforming” loans as opposed to “subprime.” These they buy from the mortgage originators, securitize and guarantee, then resell. They are allowed to purchase “subprime” securities for their own portfolios which they did, but as I pointed out, they were minor players in this market.
    The problem stems from a shadow financial system that was guaranteed to fail with just a small percentage of failed mortgages. 10s of trillions of CDSs loosely based on subprime mortgages. Fannie and Freddie are by no means blameless, but they are hardly the central or only culprits in this story…

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  6. Wade Avatar
    Wade

    Whoops. Got confused between “subprime” “jumbo” and “conforming.” The latter two have to do with home price while the first has to do with mortgage conditions. Consider that sentence retracted with admonishment…

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